Technology
QCOM probably good for at least a short-term swingWith today's weak inflation data, treasury yields are falling, which should be at least short-term bullish for tech. Qualcomm has an additional news catalyst from yesterday's announcement that they authorized a $10 B buyback plan. Qualcomm looks to be exiting oversold territory on the daily RSI. It's just under 15 forward P/E right now, with PEG under 0.5 and dividend yield at 2.2%. We may get some positive analyst coverage over the next week as an upside catalyst. I took a gamble on October 22 calls at the 128 strike.
XLP - Consumer Staples Ponzied - Made in China - Stuck at SeaCOGS/PPI etc. is through the roof. Shipping a product? Good luck. Atleast #cannabisreform is going on. $KERN- the CANNABIS DATA Software!!! GO USA MSOSs!!!!
Multi State Operators! #thegem #jobsandjustice *rising rates environment.
Go Small cap gems. #valueinvesting
Playing the Squid Game on South KoreaThe South Korean show Squid Game dramatizes, in part, the extremely high household debt levels in that country. With household debt-to-GDP highest in the world, South Korean 30-somethings owe an average of 270% of their annual income.
Those are the kinds of household debt levels that could either plunge the country into recession as credit tightens or cause young Koreans to compete to the death on a dystopian game show for the entertainment of billionaire VIPs.
South Korea looks better in terms of government debt-to-GDP, which allows room for government to provide household debt relief or economic stimulus by growing its debt. That's partly why South Koreans elected a center-left proponent of universal basic income in last Sunday's presidential election.
South Korea's technology-heavy stock index trades at about half the price of other advanced economies on a free cash flow basis. Stocks have sold off sharply in recent months, setting up a possible short-term long-side mean-reversion play. By buying the index, you get large exposure to household names like Samsung and Hyundai. I also like some smaller names like South Korea Telecom, which trades at 2.75 forward P/E with nearly 5% dividend yield.
But household debt remains a long-term risk for South Korea, so I think you carefully scale in. I took a small position here just to satisfy my FOMO, in case we bounce now that the presidential election is over. I am hoping for further selloff to about $26.20 to take a real entry-level position. I will add more at secondary support around $24. Because of the risk of a credit recession, I am sizing my position so that if I should happen to lose this squid game, I won't get killed. :)
This is part of my recent initiative to diversify away from US stocks.
TOTAL2 end-number 200+ trillion?Given some technics from the past few cycles we can establish that the duration of the "big gain" period is extending and the actual gains (%) decreasing. It could be more accurate, but the point is the bigger picture. Hold your coins. Don't get scared. You don't have to "buy the dip" and "sell the top", IF you have the patience and calm to zoom out and focus on the bigger picture.
NASDAQ on 1D Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the price is at the bottom of the Channel Up, below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line, which has accurately given a long-term buy signal 3 times since November 2020) and the 1D CCI is on Higher Lows at its bottom.
Target: Short-term 15100 (the 1D MA50), medium-term 15700 (Resistance and All Time High) and long-term 16350 (the 1.5 Fibonacci extension).
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$EVH Merger with Walgreens Will Not Happen Sources SayWe all come here to notice that Walgreens is not interested in the Merger with EVH after digging into the company earnings and realizing there's a conflict of interest in proprietary technology. A Merger makes no sense any more spokesman said. "We'd like to notify private investors today to let them know that the deal doesn't seem to fit our model anymore as far as the health care management software Evolent has to offer" - Walgreens
WACC% 15.48
ROIC -3.73
Operating Margin -4.18
Net Margin -7.28
ROE -11.23
ROA -5.35
3 Year EPS NRI Growth Rate -61.20
Net Income Operations -72.27 70% Worse than 606 companies
Sloan Ratio -42.26
ROCE -4.49
1 Year Asset Growth Rate -7.30
1 Year Debt Growth Rate -21.80
1 Year OCF -881
1 Year Total Growth Rate 8.80
1 Year Revenue Rate Per Share 5.70
10x potential gain at long timeIt has been reacted to the below area of the channel. So may go back to the middle line at least then reach higher.
SOXX 1 year trendSemiconductors/chips continue to be an essential part of everything around the globe.
For a year, we have maintained an upward trend, which is being tested today.
There are clear outperformers in the industry, but it is clearly been working for all of them as a whole.
When we have touched the trend line in the past, we have had a 50 point gain, which has happened through 2 weeks approximately. That gives us a target of around $505.
US 100 / NASDAQ -If history repeats itselfHere is an idea into Spring and Summer 2022. If tech is the future, and stocks only go up, with pull backs and corrections along the way.
Automating strategies keeps me sane 😊Running a strategy with a proven edge has me comfortable mentally on how a trade plays out, Be it a stop out or a take profit target met.
Also automating those proven strategies and just letting them be helped with my mental state as a trader.
Trade alerted 17:45 this afternoon and has been close once to TP.
I didn't know this I was in the garden enjoying the late summer sun that has bestowed the UK this week 🌞
Once upon a time watching the charts would of had me thinking of closing to soon and then filling with regret as the retrace occurs that I didn't close.
Only reason to look at chart tonight was a quick mid week review of trades and this trade is one of my open ones.
Trade details are shown on the chart.
We are working the 15M time frame on this strategy.
We're looking for the green line which is take profit target.
Little red arrow is entry point and purple line is stop loss.
The current open trade still might not hip TP but I'm not allowing emotions to play a part I let the objective based plan play out.
Previous trades shown on chart from the last two days.
Trade history can be seen at the foot of this trade idea too for full transparency.
These are year to date stats.
How do you as traders journal your trades I'm intrigued to know?
Having back test capability and a trade log which is possible through TradingView pine script saves me hours in manually logging trades as well as manually back testing.
Having that level of data allows me to know I'm running a proven strategy and that I have an edge.
The next key bit to staying sane/stress free and one of the best pieces of advice I could give as a trader is use technology available to your advantage.
Trading shouldn't consume every spare minute. Most of us do this to escape the 9-5 so don't spend hours at charts unnecessarily.
Not spending hours at charts is why I haven't shared all these trades on this pair and when this current one alerted.
If your reading this tonight let this sink in I've only looked at this chart once this week when I shared my last idea yesterday on the pair in question.
There has been three trades since then and I'm only just looking now!
Take it from me find a strategy that works and then automate that strategy.
Your mental health and well being will be the winner in the long run along with healthy account gains.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
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Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren