TESLA It has begun...Tesla (TSLA) is on almost a +5.00% rise today an aggressive reaction to the market news and technically extending an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern as we mentioned on our previous analysis (see chart below):
It is a good time to shift to the longer term time-frame of 1W, where this IH&S pattern is a bottom formation that Tesla has registered before all of its major long-term rallies. The one that looks from cyclical start to finish with today's pattern is the period of 2014 - 2016.
Once the price broke above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) on that pattern, Tesla started a rally that peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level. Observe similar the 1W RSI patterns are as well between the two Cycles.
If the stock repeats that Fibonacci target, we can get a price as high as $700.00. That is of course a very optimistic scenario but even the more pessimistic one, has a (dotted) Channel Up targeting its top on the 3.5 Time Fib at around $400, which is almost the All Time High (ATH) for Tesla.
As a result, we see $400 as a real posibility for the end of the year.
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Technology
SMCI Excellent short-term buy opportunity.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 22 Low, with every Bullish Leg registering at least a +35.80% rise. The price is now just below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the final technical confirmation that's needed is for the 4H MACD to form a Bullish Cross.
As a result, this is an excellent short-term buy opportunity. Or Target is $1050 (just below the +35.80% mark).
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BITDEER deserves to be re-rated HIGHERBased on fundamentals and technicals of course!
This company I expect to comfortably trade as a double digit company by years end
And during the #Bitcoin bull top even has the potential to tag this log projection
we can see an Inverse head and shoulders clearly being formed.
Yet to trigger, but it has some impressive projections.
Will Bitdeer outperform it's more well known rival #Mining competitors?
AMD broke above the 3-week Bull Flag. Major buy signal!On March 13 (see chart below) we issued a major sell signal on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), as we saw the stock topping at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of its 2-year Channel Up:
Our projection was materialized as the price corrected significantly by -37% and has almost reached the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was the level that held, formed the latest Higher Low of the Channel Up and made us give a new long-term buy signal a month ago (while also the 1W RSI reached the symmetrical Support level of the October 2023 bottom (45.50)).
Today the buy sentiment got stronger than ever as AMD not only broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) but also above the giant Bull Flag pattern that started on the May 28 High. With the 1D MACD about to form a Bullish Cross, a very strong long-term buy signal emerges that call for a new Bullish Leg similar to at least the May 02 - 28 one.
If the prevailing structure is a Channel Up then expect a +23.65% rise, which puts our Target at $190.00 (just below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension).
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APPLE formed 1st 1D Golden Cross in 15 months! Attention needed.It wasn't long ago when we called for a buy on Apple's (AAPL) absolute technical bottom (April 25 and May 02, see charts below respectively):
Needless to say that the 198.00 Target has been smashed. As the price reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 20-month (blue) Channel Up, the stock turned sideways and has been consolidating for the past 4 sessions.
This is a strong indication of a medium-term Top. If rejected, we expect a Channel Down correction to at least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), where we will again buy for the long-term. If broken though, we will buy the first 1D candle close above the (blue) Channel Up and target $250.00.
The reason for this bullish expectation is that Apple just formed the first 1D Golden Cross in 15 months (since March 22 2023). Last time it did, the price had already initiated the new Bullish Leg (in the form of a blue dotted Channel Up). It only started the medium-term correction of July 2023, when it closed a full candle below the 4H MA50 (thin red trend-line).
At the same time, the 1W RSI had to hit the 79.00 overbought level. As a result, if you do turn bullish upon a 1D candle breaking above the (blue) Channel Up, consider booking the profit earlier if 4H MA50 breaks or the 1W RSI gets rejected on its 79.00 Resistance (unless your portfolio can support the correction).
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BROADCOM Short-term pull-back in order?Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) easily hit the 1800 Target that we set on last month's analysis (May 22, see chart below) and made a new Higher High at the top of the 20-month Channel Up:
The symmetrical leg at the end of 2023, got rejected right below the 3.0 Fibonacci extension back to the 2.0 Fib. Even the 1D RSI is on the same levels as December 18 2023. As a result, we are turning bearish short-term on AVGO, targeting 1670.
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My BTC Plan For Next MonthRight now, the market is at a short-term support level on the daily chart, and we have two possible paths ahead.
First, I'll mention the red path, which doesn't have any particular significance in this context. If the market sharply declines, it could drop to the previous support level, resembling the red line.
However, in our market, we also consider the duration. Look, it's indicating that if the current bottom isn't broken, we can still range within this channel over the next month.
If the market follows the hypothetical white line path, new ascending channels will form, and in the first stage, it will pump up to the 86-89 thousand dollar range. According to observations, accumulation is occurring for this hypothesis because the bottom remains intact even after peaking. Unless the market enters a bearish and dumping phase, as illustrated by the red line.
(NASDAQ) CPI & Fed Rate: Key Drivers for Market Volatility TodayTechnical Analysis Nasdaq
The price reached the target we mentioned yesterday and has now achieved 19,250.
Today's Outlook:
Today, the market is expected to be volatile due to the CPI release and the Federal Reserve's rate decision. A CPI reading below 3.4% is likely to support an uptrend, while a reading above 3.4% could negatively impact the indices.
Bullish Scenario:
If the CPI is below 3.4%, as long as the price trades above 19,100 and 19,220, the bullish trend is expected to continue towards 19,450. It is possible that the price may retest 19,100 before resuming the bullish trend.
Bearish Scenario:
If the CPI is above 3.4%, stabilization below 19,100 would indicate a move towards 18,940. A further break below 18,940, confirmed by a 1-hour candle close, would signal a downtrend towards 18,810.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 19,200
- Resistance Levels: 19450, 19570, 19720
- Support Levels: 19100, 18940, 18810
Today's Expected Range:
The price is expected to move between the support at 18,940 and the resistance at 19,570.
Our Previous Prediction:
QQQ still confined to the trading channel since 2010The blue trading channel has been a very reliable resistance since 2010. You can see the many times that it has confined price action, only being broken during the COVID bubble. My guess is that it will continue to be resistance. We will likely see a repeat of the action from 2015 and 2018 where price will slowly work sideways but ever so slightly higher with numerous pullbacks until we see a large pullback to the support side of the channel.
Here is what the action looks like on the 1D. You can really see the price trying to break out, but as we saw back in April, it ultimately lost and we had a nice pullback to buy into.
NVDA Targets ExplainedLets be honest, NVDA rules the AI, Tech, and computing world. There is no reason to bet against it.
This analysis will be simple. After another bullish push to the upside, there is a buying imbalance above the volume profile. The best price action would be for it to retrace (pull-back) to $1,160, to backtest the Value Area High and sweep the liquidity below the local lows before moving higher. The next biggest area it can retrace to before moving higher would be $1,140.00, the Point of control which is the area the most volume is traded based on the FRVP pull.
Lets see how this plays out.
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This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
LTTS: Beautiful Breakout But ...The chart should give you everything you need to know. But here are some pointers for those who like to read:
- A beautiful Symmetric Triangle breakout. The support and resistance trendlines were religiously followed. Thus, making the pattern stronger.
- The consolidation period was a good 15 months. Every IT company has gone through the pain.
- We have defined support and resistance zones. The triangle breakout is good but is exactly near the Crucial resistance zone.
- A break and sustenance of it will be crucial for the future upmove.
- We have a 5000 psychological level sitting on the top as our first target
- Nifty IT is also gearing up for some long-due momentum. This should give a push.
What should we analyze next??
Have Requests, Questions, or Suggestions? Let us know in the comments below.👇
While you do that, how about a boost for some motivation🚀
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
Exxon continues the Energy forever bull marketExxonMobil Corporation (/ˌɛksɒnˈmoʊbəl/ EKS-on-MOH-bəl; commonly shortened to Exxon ) is an American multinational oil and gas corporation and the largest direct descendant of John D. Rockefeller's Standard Oil. The company, which took its present name in 1999 per the merger of Exxon and Mobil, is vertically integrated across the entire oil and gas industry, and within it is also a chemicals division which produces plastic, synthetic rubber, and other chemical products. ExxonMobil is headquartered near the Houston suburb of Spring, Texas, though officially incorporated in the U.S. state of New Jersey. : 1 It is the largest United States-based oil and gas producing company. ExxonMobil is also the eighth largest company in the world by revenue and the third largest in the US.
COINBASE Can catapult above $300 any time.Coinbase Global (COIN) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up pattern since the October 27 2023 bottom. Its long-term Support level is the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) which was most recently tested on May 14 2024 and held.
Just like the February 07 (near) test, this is technically the latest Higher Low of the Channel Up. The break-out above the Falling Wedge that followed, similar to the February bottom, has found Support on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which held even during Friday's dramatic pull-back.
With the Sine Waves accurately depicting COIN's all recent bottoms (Higher Lows) and tops (Higher Highs), they clearly show that we are past the latest bottom and have already started the new Bullish Leg to a Higher High.
The previous one was priced just above the 1.786 Fibonacci extension level. As a result, we remain bullish on this stock, setting a new price Target at $380.00 (Fib 1.786), which can be achieved by mid-July.
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Semiconductor Bull Run: Is it OVER?AMD is experiencing a breakout from the falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish signal. Currently, the stock is above its immediate support zone and ended the last trading session with a bullish harami candle.
Although sell pressure seems unlikely given the current levels, keep an eye on the medium-term support zone to reassess your trading strategy if needed.
These levels are suitable for options trading and could result in excellent swing trades based on liquidity analysis.
The price target is between $185 and $190, with the potential to reach $200 if the bullish momentum continues.
Let's monitor how this develops.
BROADCOM accumulating. Last opportunity to buy on this pull-backBroadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the October 13 2022 market bottom. The stock is now within the new Accumulation Phase that is being supported by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
Based on the previous Accumulation Phase, we should get one (or two max) more pull-back towards the 1D MA100, before the price breaks upwards aggressively towards the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line).
Last time the ultimate buy signal was when the 1D RSI made a Double Bottom. Our Target is $1800, which will be on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, similar to the December 15 2023 High.
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Kainos Group plc $LSE:KNOS Profits UP +14% to £77.2mLSE:KNOS Kainos Group plc is back in favour as adj pre-tax Profits UP +14% to £77.2m and reaching 14 Years of Consecutive Growth with Revenue hitting £382.4m!
With the Workday Segment of the business growing to over £60m ARR and Cash topping +16% to £126m with NO Debt this is a business that has great long term growth as leading consultants in Workday Products and in the Generative AI space having invested more than £10m into training their 3,000 staff in this area. The COVID contracts have ended in their healthcare segment thus returning to more organic growth figures and the share price since 2021 reflected this.
META New rally to $800 started.Meta Platforms (META) is consolidating within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA100 (green trend-line) only 3 weeks after it touched the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up.
This is the start of the new Bullish Leg of the pattern, half-way through the accumulation process. Once the 1D RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, we will have a bullish confirmation signal similar to October 06 2023. Our Target is $800.00, which represents a +95% rise, similar to both previous Bullish Legs of the Channel Up.
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AMD correction is over. Buy for the long-term.Back on March 13 (see chart below) we gave a bold (for the majority of the market) sell signal on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), as we saw the stock topping at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of its 2-year Channel Up:
Our signal was delivered and the price corrected significantly by -37% and has almost reached the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was the level that held and made the last bottom and Higher Low for the Channel Up on the week of October 23 2023.
As the 1W RSI also reached the symmetrical Support level of the October 2023 bottom (45.50), we believe that the market has already started the bottom process and any week now will start the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up.
Technically the previous 2 rose by +144% but we will settle our own long-term Target a little lower at $300.00, so that it makes a standard Higher High on the Channel Up.
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SMCI accumulation phase. Patience will be rewarded.Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) gave us an excellent sell opportunity two months ago (March 08, see chart below) that allowed us to short on time and target perfectly the 1D MA100 (red trend-line on the chart below, green trend-line on the one above):
The 1D MA100 has so far held twice successfully but even if it breaks, don't be alarmed as this will most likely be part of the standard multi-month Accumulation Phase when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks, which when completed sends SMCI as high as +417.86% from the bottom (that was the % rise during the last two mega rallies).
As a result, the time to buy this stock is now. Hold and you will be rewarded. It can potentially reach as high as $3500, even though $1500 certainly is good enough and more plausible on the medium-term.
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