AMD a great stock to have in your portfolio to the end of yearLast time we looked at the Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), we made a short-term call (June 20, see chart below) at the bottom of the Bull Flag, with the price responding flawlessly, and is currently on its way for a Higher High on our $190.0 Target:
Before that, it was on May 15 (see chart below) where we called for a buy exactly at the bottom of the cyclical correction/ Bearish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up:
Just a quick reminder, it was back in March when we waved the strongest 1W sell signal on AMD and it surgically delivered (chart below):
In any event, back to today, the price has just broken above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and established the last two trading sessions there. With the 1D RSI approaching the 70.00 overboughr barrier, we are on the exact same level that AMD was during both previous Bullish Legs (circle).
This suggests that we are only at the very start of the new Bullish Leg and based on the Sine Waves, it should start peaking end of December - start of January 2025. We are moving our long-term Target higher to $320.00.
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As you see, we couldn't have gotten a more efficient long-term buy entry than that and the stock has basically confirmed the start of the new uptrend/ Bullish Leg
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Technology
ROCKET LAB 1st 1D Golden Cross in 1 year!Rocket Lab (RKLB) is up heavily following our last buy call (May 29, see chart below) and is approaching our $5.50 short-term Target:
Since however the Lower Highs trend-line is now a bit lower and the medium-term pattern since April's bottom emerged as a Channel Up (dotted), we lower this short-term Target to $5.35.
The key development of the week though is none other than the formation (today) of the 1st Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame in 1 year (since June 20th 2023). As a result, we don't expect the rally to stop there but instead to accelerate tiwards the 2-year Higher Highs trend-line. This is a seasonal rally that RKLB has done in the past two years during July-August. Our long-term Target is 8.75.
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AI Bubble grows above resistance for QQQThe gap up and follow through today shows a clear break above the 2010 trading channel that has provide resistance so far. I see a pattern very close to that of July 6, 2020. The is not confirmation yet that price is out of the channel and that resistance has become support, but for the bulls this is a very good start. I would expect the bulls to try and run with it now that price is above the channel. I will also be watching for a pullback to test for support in the near future. If that can hold, the AI bubble may get really pumped. We can never know what will spook the market, but right now it feels like the sky is the limit.
Today
July 6, 2020
GAMESTOP Can it repeat the crazy run of 2020/21?GameStop Corporation (GME) has been consolidating during the past 2 weeks and lately have found support exactly on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Early in May it gave the first signs of breaking above its recent 3-year Bear Cycle. The rise was almost as strong (+520%) as the one that made a temporary high on October 22 2020.
Both formed a 1D Golden Cross. The main support of 2020/2021 was the 1D MA50, so technically as long as it holds (even a marginal break would be ok), the probabilities for a new High remain alive.
Practically the sequence that led to the recent bottom is quite similar to 2019/20. If history keeps repeating itself then we could be looking at a +18630% from the bottom, which price-wise is translated to $1800.
The times are of course different and GME's whole move was based on the 'meme' retail investors crusade against the big hedge funds that were shorting the price. Also those were post-pandemic times with very low interest rates and cheap money that could easily be diverted to extremely risky assets such as GME. Volumes were more easy to be achieved.
Do you think history will be repeated?
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NVDIA Not the time to buy yet.NVDIA corporation (NVDA) is on the 3rd straight week of losses following the mid-June High, which was a Higher High at the top of the 20-month Channel Up. During that time the stock turns into a Buy only after it breaks below its 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
As you can see some times the bottom process takes longer, other times it is very short. The 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) hasn't been broken since mid-January 2023. At the moment, the stock has started the new Bearish Leg. Past such Legs extended to at least -22.56% and with a maximum -26.18%.
We are ready to buy at $110.00 and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $170.00 (each Higher High is on a Fibonacci extension lower).
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ELI LILLY Entering consolidation phase. Wait for the buy signal.Last time we looked at Eli Lilly (LLY) was on March 18 (see chart below) and we got the most out of it as we entered after a 1D MA50 correction and got the most optimal value:
Our original target was $1050 calculated according to the % rise of each previous Bullish Leg (+45%) of the +1 year Channel Up but now it appears that the stock won't hit that level during this Leg as we are entering the bottom phase of the Sine Wave.
As you can see on the chart (now on the 1W time-frame), this is where LLY typically pulls-back and consolidates (red Rectangle) until the next Bullish Leg begins near the 1D MA100 (red trend-line).
As a result, we are closing our bottom buy position and turn neutral on LLY until we approach the 1D MA100 again, starting mid-August.
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MICROSOFT $450 Target hit. Potential consolidation ahead.Microsoft (MSFT) easily hit our $450.00 medium-term Target that we called on our last signal (May 01, see chart below):
That call came on the most optimal buy entry, with the price right at the bottom of the 18-month Channel Up. The symmetry between the pattern's Legs is very high and based on the previous Bullish Leg (dotted Channel Up), we should now get a medium-term consolidation to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then resume the uptrend.
The Higher High was priced just above the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level. As a result, our next Target is $480.
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MICROSTRATEGY Bottom on Inverse Head and Shoulders. Eyeing $2000MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) is about to complete the Right Shoulder of an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, which is a bottom formation technically. The Head was formed on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), a long-term Support for the stock, while the price is now testing the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Resistance.
We saw this exact same behaviour on MSTR's previous bottom (May 01) and right when it broke above the 4H MA50, it peaked marginally above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. As a result, we expect a similar development and our Target is $2000.
Notice also that right when the price was testing the 4H MA50 last time, the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross, which is what it is currently doing. Strong similarities everywhere.
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TESLA It has begun...Tesla (TSLA) is on almost a +5.00% rise today an aggressive reaction to the market news and technically extending an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern as we mentioned on our previous analysis (see chart below):
It is a good time to shift to the longer term time-frame of 1W, where this IH&S pattern is a bottom formation that Tesla has registered before all of its major long-term rallies. The one that looks from cyclical start to finish with today's pattern is the period of 2014 - 2016.
Once the price broke above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) on that pattern, Tesla started a rally that peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level. Observe similar the 1W RSI patterns are as well between the two Cycles.
If the stock repeats that Fibonacci target, we can get a price as high as $700.00. That is of course a very optimistic scenario but even the more pessimistic one, has a (dotted) Channel Up targeting its top on the 3.5 Time Fib at around $400, which is almost the All Time High (ATH) for Tesla.
As a result, we see $400 as a real posibility for the end of the year.
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SMCI Excellent short-term buy opportunity.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 22 Low, with every Bullish Leg registering at least a +35.80% rise. The price is now just below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the final technical confirmation that's needed is for the 4H MACD to form a Bullish Cross.
As a result, this is an excellent short-term buy opportunity. Or Target is $1050 (just below the +35.80% mark).
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BITDEER deserves to be re-rated HIGHERBased on fundamentals and technicals of course!
This company I expect to comfortably trade as a double digit company by years end
And during the #Bitcoin bull top even has the potential to tag this log projection
we can see an Inverse head and shoulders clearly being formed.
Yet to trigger, but it has some impressive projections.
Will Bitdeer outperform it's more well known rival #Mining competitors?
AMD broke above the 3-week Bull Flag. Major buy signal!On March 13 (see chart below) we issued a major sell signal on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), as we saw the stock topping at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of its 2-year Channel Up:
Our projection was materialized as the price corrected significantly by -37% and has almost reached the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was the level that held, formed the latest Higher Low of the Channel Up and made us give a new long-term buy signal a month ago (while also the 1W RSI reached the symmetrical Support level of the October 2023 bottom (45.50)).
Today the buy sentiment got stronger than ever as AMD not only broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) but also above the giant Bull Flag pattern that started on the May 28 High. With the 1D MACD about to form a Bullish Cross, a very strong long-term buy signal emerges that call for a new Bullish Leg similar to at least the May 02 - 28 one.
If the prevailing structure is a Channel Up then expect a +23.65% rise, which puts our Target at $190.00 (just below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension).
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APPLE formed 1st 1D Golden Cross in 15 months! Attention needed.It wasn't long ago when we called for a buy on Apple's (AAPL) absolute technical bottom (April 25 and May 02, see charts below respectively):
Needless to say that the 198.00 Target has been smashed. As the price reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 20-month (blue) Channel Up, the stock turned sideways and has been consolidating for the past 4 sessions.
This is a strong indication of a medium-term Top. If rejected, we expect a Channel Down correction to at least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), where we will again buy for the long-term. If broken though, we will buy the first 1D candle close above the (blue) Channel Up and target $250.00.
The reason for this bullish expectation is that Apple just formed the first 1D Golden Cross in 15 months (since March 22 2023). Last time it did, the price had already initiated the new Bullish Leg (in the form of a blue dotted Channel Up). It only started the medium-term correction of July 2023, when it closed a full candle below the 4H MA50 (thin red trend-line).
At the same time, the 1W RSI had to hit the 79.00 overbought level. As a result, if you do turn bullish upon a 1D candle breaking above the (blue) Channel Up, consider booking the profit earlier if 4H MA50 breaks or the 1W RSI gets rejected on its 79.00 Resistance (unless your portfolio can support the correction).
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BROADCOM Short-term pull-back in order?Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) easily hit the 1800 Target that we set on last month's analysis (May 22, see chart below) and made a new Higher High at the top of the 20-month Channel Up:
The symmetrical leg at the end of 2023, got rejected right below the 3.0 Fibonacci extension back to the 2.0 Fib. Even the 1D RSI is on the same levels as December 18 2023. As a result, we are turning bearish short-term on AVGO, targeting 1670.
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My BTC Plan For Next MonthRight now, the market is at a short-term support level on the daily chart, and we have two possible paths ahead.
First, I'll mention the red path, which doesn't have any particular significance in this context. If the market sharply declines, it could drop to the previous support level, resembling the red line.
However, in our market, we also consider the duration. Look, it's indicating that if the current bottom isn't broken, we can still range within this channel over the next month.
If the market follows the hypothetical white line path, new ascending channels will form, and in the first stage, it will pump up to the 86-89 thousand dollar range. According to observations, accumulation is occurring for this hypothesis because the bottom remains intact even after peaking. Unless the market enters a bearish and dumping phase, as illustrated by the red line.
(NASDAQ) CPI & Fed Rate: Key Drivers for Market Volatility TodayTechnical Analysis Nasdaq
The price reached the target we mentioned yesterday and has now achieved 19,250.
Today's Outlook:
Today, the market is expected to be volatile due to the CPI release and the Federal Reserve's rate decision. A CPI reading below 3.4% is likely to support an uptrend, while a reading above 3.4% could negatively impact the indices.
Bullish Scenario:
If the CPI is below 3.4%, as long as the price trades above 19,100 and 19,220, the bullish trend is expected to continue towards 19,450. It is possible that the price may retest 19,100 before resuming the bullish trend.
Bearish Scenario:
If the CPI is above 3.4%, stabilization below 19,100 would indicate a move towards 18,940. A further break below 18,940, confirmed by a 1-hour candle close, would signal a downtrend towards 18,810.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 19,200
- Resistance Levels: 19450, 19570, 19720
- Support Levels: 19100, 18940, 18810
Today's Expected Range:
The price is expected to move between the support at 18,940 and the resistance at 19,570.
Our Previous Prediction:
QQQ still confined to the trading channel since 2010The blue trading channel has been a very reliable resistance since 2010. You can see the many times that it has confined price action, only being broken during the COVID bubble. My guess is that it will continue to be resistance. We will likely see a repeat of the action from 2015 and 2018 where price will slowly work sideways but ever so slightly higher with numerous pullbacks until we see a large pullback to the support side of the channel.
Here is what the action looks like on the 1D. You can really see the price trying to break out, but as we saw back in April, it ultimately lost and we had a nice pullback to buy into.
NVDA Targets ExplainedLets be honest, NVDA rules the AI, Tech, and computing world. There is no reason to bet against it.
This analysis will be simple. After another bullish push to the upside, there is a buying imbalance above the volume profile. The best price action would be for it to retrace (pull-back) to $1,160, to backtest the Value Area High and sweep the liquidity below the local lows before moving higher. The next biggest area it can retrace to before moving higher would be $1,140.00, the Point of control which is the area the most volume is traded based on the FRVP pull.
Lets see how this plays out.
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LTTS: Beautiful Breakout But ...The chart should give you everything you need to know. But here are some pointers for those who like to read:
- A beautiful Symmetric Triangle breakout. The support and resistance trendlines were religiously followed. Thus, making the pattern stronger.
- The consolidation period was a good 15 months. Every IT company has gone through the pain.
- We have defined support and resistance zones. The triangle breakout is good but is exactly near the Crucial resistance zone.
- A break and sustenance of it will be crucial for the future upmove.
- We have a 5000 psychological level sitting on the top as our first target
- Nifty IT is also gearing up for some long-due momentum. This should give a push.
What should we analyze next??
Have Requests, Questions, or Suggestions? Let us know in the comments below.👇
While you do that, how about a boost for some motivation🚀
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
Exxon continues the Energy forever bull marketExxonMobil Corporation (/ˌɛksɒnˈmoʊbəl/ EKS-on-MOH-bəl; commonly shortened to Exxon ) is an American multinational oil and gas corporation and the largest direct descendant of John D. Rockefeller's Standard Oil. The company, which took its present name in 1999 per the merger of Exxon and Mobil, is vertically integrated across the entire oil and gas industry, and within it is also a chemicals division which produces plastic, synthetic rubber, and other chemical products. ExxonMobil is headquartered near the Houston suburb of Spring, Texas, though officially incorporated in the U.S. state of New Jersey. : 1 It is the largest United States-based oil and gas producing company. ExxonMobil is also the eighth largest company in the world by revenue and the third largest in the US.
COINBASE Can catapult above $300 any time.Coinbase Global (COIN) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up pattern since the October 27 2023 bottom. Its long-term Support level is the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) which was most recently tested on May 14 2024 and held.
Just like the February 07 (near) test, this is technically the latest Higher Low of the Channel Up. The break-out above the Falling Wedge that followed, similar to the February bottom, has found Support on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which held even during Friday's dramatic pull-back.
With the Sine Waves accurately depicting COIN's all recent bottoms (Higher Lows) and tops (Higher Highs), they clearly show that we are past the latest bottom and have already started the new Bullish Leg to a Higher High.
The previous one was priced just above the 1.786 Fibonacci extension level. As a result, we remain bullish on this stock, setting a new price Target at $380.00 (Fib 1.786), which can be achieved by mid-July.
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