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TSM: Growth and Charts Align for 15%+ Target?Hey Realistic Traders, Will NYSE:TSM Create a New All-Time High? Let’s Dive In.... TSMC is the world’s largest contract chipmaker. Recent Earning Call reported whooping third quarter revenue of $759.69 billion, marking a YoY increase of 36.5%. The performance is beating the market forecast. Double Digit Revenue Growth is driven by demand for AI Chips especially with major client like NVIDIA & Apple and 3-nanometer &5 nanometer technology in Smartphones. TSMC Chief Financial Officer Huang Renzhao shared optimistic project for the company. TSMC expect Q4 quarterly revenue growth of approximately 13%, sligtly above the market the market expectation. Strong AI-Related demand predicted to persist for year, inlined with the company’s perfomance and expectation. The positive sentiment support our bullish call on NVIDIA. Technical Analysis On the daily timeframe, TSM has remained above the EMA200 line for over a year, maintaining its bullish trend. On August 5, 2024, TSM rebounded impulsively from the EMA200 line after completing an ABC correction pattern, signaling the start of a new bullish wave. The second and fourth corrective waves have retraced to the Fibonacci 0.382 and 0.618 golden ratios, respectively, aligning with Elliott Wave rules that typically indicate further upward movement. In addition to the Elliott Wave analysis, a breakout from a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern has been identified. Such breakouts often signal the continuation of the prevailing market trend. Therefore based on these technical analysis, I foresee a potential upward movement toward the first target at $217.85 or second target at 234.46 This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at 177.95 Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Taiwan Semiconductor."
NYSE:TSMLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
NVDIA: Eyes on the long term picture. $400 by end 2025.NVDIA is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.887, MACD = -1.990, ADX = 34.084) but still neutral on 1W (RSI = 54.240), which outlines a strong long-term buy opportunity on this temporary medium-term weakness. The current situation is best viewed on the 1W timeframe where NVDIA has been experiencing since the June High a pause to its bullish trend as the price action turned sideways. This is a situation that the stock is familiar with as it has happened on every Cycle in the last 10 years. The two past Cycles you can see on the chart had the same mid-way sideways consolidation, while at the same time the 1W RSI formed a Channel Down. In both cases the 1W MA50 supported, as it has now. With that trendline holding, NVDIA was able to resume the bullish trend to the 3.5 Fibonacci extension from the consolidation Rectangle. That Fib is now at $400 and that is technically this Cycle's target towards the end of 2025. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by InvestingScope
Riding Wave 5: Is $700 Just Around the Corner?Hey Realistic Traders, Will META Bullish Bias Continue ? Let’s Dive In.... In the Daily timeframe, META rebounded above the 38.2% Fibonacci level, marking the completion of wave 4. Within this wave, a Descending broadening wedge pattern was formed. Recently the price has broken out of the pattern. This breakout was further confirmed by a bullish MACD crossover, signaling increasing momentum and strengthening the case for a continued upward move. Based on these technical signals, I foresee a potential upward movement toward the first target at $638. After reaching this level, a minor pullback is likely before the rally continues toward a new high at $700. This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at 550.00. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on META.
NASDAQ:METALong
by financialfreedomgoals101
7
SMCI This is why investors should always keep a clear mindset.It was only a month ago (November 07, see chart below) when we gave a very strong long-term buy signal on Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI), in the midst of a price collapse following the resignation of their auditor (Ernst & Young) and compliance delays with stock index requirements: Putting the fundamentals aside, we made this bold call by purely looking at the technicals, which in turbulent times like these (market fear on news) tend to deliver a clearer and more objective picture. The price had just hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), for the first time in 4 years (since October 26 2020), while reaching Fibonacci level 1.0, which was the former top of the Channel Up for 4 years until it broke and the stock turned parabolic from January 2023 to March 2024. At the same time, the 1W RSI touched the oversold barrier (30.00) for the first time since March 16 2020 and second since October 01 2018, which was the start of the Fibonacci Channel. As a result, that gave us a very strong buy signal combo, which as you saw was immediately translated into a price rebound. Less than a month after, the stock is about to close the gap of the October 28 2024 1W candle, which was the week of the Ernst & Young collapse. This amount of buying pressure indicates that there were a lot of long-term buyers waiting on the buy zone we identified and assuming SMCI continues to restore faith in their reported accounting practices, are looking for a new multi-year rally. Our $122.50 Target remains intact for Q3 2025, which is basically the stock's All Time High (ATH). Technically there is room for a 2025 extension within the 3.5 - 4.0 Fibonacci Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TradingShot
6
CRM potential Breakout to 424+CRM is setting up for a classic bullish breakout trade, showing multiple strong technical patterns that align with a high-probability long setup. The short-term moving average has crossed above the long-term moving average, a strong bullish signal indicating sustained momentum. CRM has shown strong bullish momentum, confirmed by multiple technical patterns. Look for increased volume on the breakout above $348 to confirm the move. The trade offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:3, depending on the stop placement. Ascending Triangle Higher lows are forming as buyers step in at increasing levels, while resistance remains flat at $348. This shows accumulation and strong bullish sentiment. Breakout Target: $348 + $76 = $424 Targets: First Target: $ 400 (psychological level). Final Target: $ 424 Trail stops once the first target is hit to lock in profits. I will enter this week a position (options) and will update this post accordingly.
NYSE:CRMLong
by EssieQuantumTrader
BROADCOM Best buy opportunity since September for $223.Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) hit its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) on Friday for the first time in more than 2 months (since September 11). This is the best buy opportunity since then as the dominant pattern remains the Bullish Megaphone. On top of that, it appears that we are currently within a Bull Flag, similar to the one that was completed when the 1D MA100 was hit and held last time on April 19 2024. The 1D RSI sequences between the two fractals are also very similar. That Flag initiated a price rebound above the 2.5 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we turn bullish on AVGO again, targeting $223.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AVGOLong
by TradingShot
3
META can turn bearish if it fails to break this Channel.Our previous call on Meta Platforms (META) was on July 26 (see chart below), almost 4 months ago when we gave a strong long-term buy signal on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line): Despite the excellent timing of the call, we has seen in the past 30 days that the price action has diverged from the model and the current Bullish Leg of the Channel Up isn't as strong as the previous two inside a 2 year span that each rose by +95%. The price has instead turned sideways, mimicking the price action of the two Accumulation Phases that emerged after each of the Bullish Legs topped. The 1D RSI being on a Bearish Divergence (Channel Down already) technically agrees with that, so if you followed our July buy call, it might be best to book the handsome profit now and wait. What to wait for? Well it all depends on a new pattern that has emerged, a Diverging Channel Up (dashed trend-lines). As long as the price is trading inside it, there is greater probability to give us a lower buy entry near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) again. In that case we will take it and target the top of the Diverging Channel Up at $660. In the event that the price breaks above the Diverging Channel Up, we will buy the bullish break-out and pursuit the previous $800 Target as that would mean that the original 2-year Channel Up remains the underlying pattern dictating the long-term movement of the stock. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:METALong
by TradingShot
Broadcom: Bullish Comeback!The downtrend that began in early October was recently broken as AVGO surged by 10% at the start of the month. We still see the stock in an overarching corrective movement, with the last cycle top marked in June 2024 by the peak of the blue wave I. Primarily, we anticipate a three-wave structure to unfold in the ongoing blue wave II. The beige wave B should have sufficient upward momentum to push up to the resistance level at $211.94. Afterward, the final sell-off of wave C should unfold. Our 30% likely alternative scenario, however, suggests a different wave count and a premature downward move below $126.04. In either case, we expect a new low of the blue wave II.
NASDAQ:AVGO
by MarketIntel
Zscaler: Wave (2) Correction! After a rapid rise in early September, the ZS stock managed to reach the highs from August, but there was no significant acceptance at this level. Structurally, the upward movement isn't sufficient for us to consider wave (2) as completed. So far, the bullish signals lack a clear impulsive character, and we expect new lows during the magenta wave (2), which should primarily end above the support at $84.93. Once a trend reversal has been initiated, the subsequent wave (3) should push through the resistance at $251.45. According to our 33% likely alternative scenario, this could also happen directly.
NASDAQ:ZS
by MarketIntel
1
Riding the Bullish Wave: HPQ Eyes $41.53 Long Term TargetHP Inc. (NYSE: HPQ) is showing promising signals for a short-term upside, despite recent volatility in the tech sector. According to recent reports, the stock outperformed its competitors on a strong trading day, yet faces ongoing risks to a PC market rebound, as highlighted by warnings from Citigroup. However, our Quantum Probability indicator, W.ARITAs, coupled with technical patterns, points to a solid trading opportunity. Technical Outlook: Bullish Patterns Indicate Upside Our analysis has identified two powerful overlapping bullish patterns in HPQ stock: the Bullish Harmonic Pattern - BAT and the Bullish Flag, both signaling potential upward movement. The stock has faced considerable pressure around the critical zone of $36.08, where we saw three retests, each validating the support level. Following these retests, we have now confirmed a breakout above this critical zone. The ideal entry price for investors looking to capitalize on this momentum is $36.09 . We are placing a stop loss at $34.18, protecting against potential downside, while the take-profit target is set at $41.53 , based on key resistance levels. This offers a strong risk-reward ratio of 2.89, making it a compelling short-term trade. Conclusion: High Potential Short-Term Opportunity While HPQ has faced challenges in the broader tech market, including concerns about the PC market rebound, the stock’s technical setup presents a positive outlook for short-term gains. Investors seeking to enter at $37.09 with a stop loss of $34.18 and target price of $41.53 stand to benefit from a bullish breakout and a favorable risk-reward scenario. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical indicators and market observations. It is not financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NYSE:HPQLong
by insidermike
NETFLIX Earnings is setting it up for $840.Netflix (NFLX) is already one of the big winners of the earnings season as it announced Q3 results that exceeded expectations and saw the price up by more than +11.00% on Friday. Even technically that is a big win as the rebound came from a Thursday test of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the first in 2 months (since August 14). The stock has been trading within a Channel Up for a whole year (since the October 18 2023 Low) and now has the perfect fundamental excuse to aim higher. The 1D RSI shows a similar pattern so all previous bottoms with the Channel Up (Aug 05 2024, April 22 2024, January 17 2024, October 18 2023) so either a 3.0 Fibonacci extension or a +25% rise is expected. This time both happen to be just over $840.00, so we can claim that this is a reasonable target to aim for during this Bullish Leg. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by TradingShot
Fiserv: Trading Opportunities!Recently, the FI stock surged directly into our green Target Zone (coordinates: $186.40 – $207.40). This year alone, it has gained over 40%. With the recent arrival in our Zone, the time is now ripe for an overarching trend reversal. Because: by hitting our Zone, the price has reached the absolute minimum target for the green wave . From a technical perspective, an immediate trend reversal and a transition into wave II are now possible. At the moment, we place Fiserv in the turquoise wave 3, which should be followed by another dip below our Target Zone. Ultimately, the entire turquoise upward impulse should complete the overarching uptrend of the beige wave I. Thus, our Zone can be used to take profits from existing long positions or to initiate new short trades. Such potential short positions can be hedged with a stop 1% above the 78.60% retracement level (at $207.40).
NYSE:FI
by MarketIntel
AMD broke above the Lower Highs and confirms a massive rally.It's been a while (August 13, see chart below) since we last looked into the Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which was a strong long-term buy signal, with the price reacting very favorably, having already started its new Bullish Leg: Today we take it to the 1D time-frame where where the scale of where the price might be compared to the previous two mega rallies since the October 13 2023 bottom, may be clearer. Remarkably, the last two rallies were both of around +142%. In symmetrical terms we are around the 0.618 Fibonacci level mark where both Bullish Legs had a technical pull-back. The key bullish development of last week though has been the break above the Lower Highs trend-line, which in line with previous Legs, has been the confirmation of the start of the long-term rally. As a result, we have now validated that the Bearish Leg is behind us and any pull-backs this structure gives, will be buy opportunities. Our Target is intact at $295.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TradingShot
4
ROCKET LAB Time the next pull-back and buy.Exactly 4 months ago (May 29, see chart below) we gave the ultimate long-term buy signal on Rocket Lab (RKLB) when it was trading at $4.39 and eventually not only did it return us +100% profit by hitting our $8.75 Target but even broke above the 2-year Higher Highs trend-line and Resistance 1: It is now confirmed that the stock has broken into a new Bull Cycle and won't (most likely) continue to follow the accumulation pattern of the previous 2-year Ascending Triangle. This is also evident on the 1D RSI, which is rising on a Channel Up. In our opinion it will continue the pull-back buy low sequence that started in July. The next key Resistance is the 0.618 Fibonacci, above which we expect the next short-term correction to start. Our intention is to buy again at 9.15 or if we see 2 red 1W candles first. Our next Target will be 14.50 (the 0.786 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:RKLB
by TradingShot
1
Palantir Technologies and a strong look into its FundamentalsNYSE:PLTR is one of the most popular stocks of the last 2 years , and not for no reason being a high revenue growth stock "16.8% Growth Rate" , My personal problem with the stock lays with the valuation holding a PE Ratio of 201x, and a forward PE Ratio of 172.5x, a 20.1x Price to Books Ratio, and a 32.8x Price to Sales (Revenue) Ratio. an interesting Return on Equity of 10% , A Return on Assets of 4.6% , And an Return on Capital Employed of 6.7% , with Net margins of 16.3%. Being Completely "Debt" free according to there Balance Sheet -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Valuation: PE Ratio: 201x Forward PE Ratio: 172.5x Price to Sales: 32.8x Price to Books Ratio: 20.1x ----------------------------------- Balance Sheet: Cash: US$4.00b Debt: US$0 Equity: US$4.14b Total Liabilities: US$1.05b Total Assets: US$5.19b ----------------------------------- Strengths and Weaknesses: The Valuation to me personally is a weakness, however the Balance sheet is a Strength in my view. I think based on the price I currently would wait to add this one to my own portfolio however all investors and traders are different. ----------------------------------- Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Palantir Technologies) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may pose different risks and overall be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this idea or any idea. Please be careful! this post is only for conversation. ----------------------------------- Idea:
PLong
by BullishCanadianInvestor
11
QQQ bounce right back to resistanceExtremely bullish 2 weeks after that crazy low last Monday morning. You can see that QQQ tagged resistance yesterday and sold off today. Market is feeling bullish, but my gut tells me that this is a dead cat bounce. Hard to know for sure. The rally has been almost abnormally strong, and if you look back to early 2022 you saw the same thing. Big sell off with ridiculously strong rallies, but ultimately the market kept going down. Now, I obviously don't know that for sure. The advice I got the other day was "stocks only go up" as he bought a bunch of TQQQ and made a nice profit the last 2 weeks. So, maybe it pays to always be bullish. Anyhow, I'll just keep doodling on my charts and sharing with the hope that it helps someone.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Dr_Roboto
Can Palo Alto Networks Sustain Its Cybersecurity Dominance?Palo Alto Networks has cemented its status as a cornerstone in the cybersecurity industry with a stellar Q4 performance. Their ability to not only meet but exceed expectations, coupled with a strategic pivot towards platformization, positions the company at the forefront of a rapidly evolving landscape. The company's financial results are a testament to its operational efficiency and strategic acumen. The impressive growth in Next-Generation Security ARR underscores the market's confidence in Palo Alto Networks' ability to deliver innovative and effective security solutions. This, combined with the company's strong balance sheet and cash flow generation, provides a solid foundation for future growth. However, the cybersecurity arena is characterized by constant evolution, with emerging threats and technological advancements demanding continuous adaptation. Palo Alto Networks will need to maintain its focus on research and development, while also expanding its market reach to sustain its leadership position. The company's success in navigating these challenges will be crucial in determining its long-term trajectory. Investors will be keen to monitor Palo Alto Networks' ability to execute its platformization strategy and expand its customer base. Additionally, the company's financial performance against the backdrop of a potentially slowing economy will be a key indicator of its resilience. Ultimately, Palo Alto Networks' capacity to innovate, adapt, and deliver exceptional value to its customers will be instrumental in shaping its future success.
NASDAQ:PANWLong
by signalmastermind
QQQ back in long term channel. What's next?After spending about a month above the long term blue channel since 2009 (excludes COVID bubble), QQQ is back inside the blue channel. You can see the gap up on June 12th and gap back down on July 24th. The black channel goes all the back to 2008 and the bottom of the market and includes the COVID bubble. The black mid-channel is currently acting as support. The AI rally starting in Jan 2023 has been confined to the purple channel. I see a couple of options for the next week or two. First, we could see a rally to test resistance of the purple channel. It is possible that we jump back above and the AI rally continues, but that fells unlikely. Second, it seems to me a bigger correction could be in store to break the purple channel support down to the red trend line. The core batch of tech earnings is up the next week or so, and that is going to have a lot to do with the direction. Weekly
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Dr_Roboto
2
SunCar Technology Group: Strong Partnerships & Business ModelSummary SunCar has built an innovative cloud service and mobile app that digitalize the automotive aftermarket and eInsurance sectors in China. SunCar’s cloud platform is critical to China’s EV manufacturers as it delivers leading technology, a user-friendly mobile App, and China-wide scope. In FY 2023 SunCar registered almost 30% overall revenue growth and 80% growth in its auto eInsurance business. China's EV manufacturers primarily use Direct-to-Consumer models and rely on SunCar's digital platform and mobile app to deliver over 300 aftermarket services and eInsurance. SunCar recently reported positive Adjusted EBITDA showing a commitment to profitability while still investing in growth. BYD EV retail store Robert Way Introduction and Thesis If you believe that EVs are a flawed solution to a serious problem on Earth, then read on. I have an investment idea in a really solid company that went public in 2023 through a SPAC deal. Its technology helps cure some pain points for EVs. It's called SunCar Technology Group, (NASDAQ:SDA). Their technology links car owners to aftermarket service and insurance providers via a cloud service and mobile app. It profits by solving the problem of China’s underdeveloped aftermarket for EVs and ICE cars in the largest car market in the world. Like SunCar, EV manufacturers are highly digitalized and have adopted direct-to-consumer models. This means they don’t have large dealer networks, so their aftermarket support is dependent on SunCar. Suncar is strategically positioned through its partnerships with almost all Chinese EV OEMs. It operates a business-to-business-to-consumer, B2B2C, model where Suncar sells its services in deals with OEMs and other large enterprises such as the Bank of China. It's not surprising that SunCar’s traction among EV companies has been so strong. The type of services that will comprise the aftermarket for EVs is still being defined, but SunCar’s network of 47,000 connected service providers is a platform that should drive steady demand. Because China is at the leading edge of EV technology, and these vehicles are highly computerized, I believe technology and data on the EV aftermarket and issues specific to Chinese EV makes are good assets to own. China's EV Aftermarket Most of the EVs on Earth are driven in China, and most of the EVs driven in China are made in China. According to the International Energy Agency, "In 2023, just under 60% of new electric car registrations were in the People’s Republic of China." China represents just 17.4% of the global population. While growth is strong in the U.S. and Europe, data from the same source points to China being also the past leader in EV adoption. This is largely due, indirectly, to one factor: intense domestic manufacturer competition. Producers like BYD, Li, Xpeng, Nio, and several smaller names have saturated the market with vehicles and driven down prices for EVs to more affordable levels. Yes, less than $10,000 worth of yuan buys EV caliber of engineering. The specs are inexpensive and comparable with American EV models. Some rough estimates from numbers across the internet have approximately 35% of the Chinese population as drivers. Comparably, by my estimate, roughly 76% of Americans are drivers. This difference suggests a runway for growth in China. I believe the Chinese market stands to grow much more than the American market as economic conditions improve over the long run. Falling prices, due to government investment in manufacturing, should attract first time car buyers to EVs in China. This growth opportunity suggests that connecting drivers with aftermarket services will be essential to keeping these cars on the road and useful to their owners. Demand for service, repair, basic maintenance, and modifications should grow in line with the Chinese EV market. There are few, if any, competitive players in SunCar’s digitalized, aftermarket services sector when compared to the fiercely-competitive manufacturing sector in China. For me, SunCar is a company that has an attractive combination of both exposure to and protection from the manufacturers. China's Auto eInsurance Market SunCar’s fastest growing business is actually its auto insurance segment. The company developed an innovative technology that allows consumers to get a real-time insurance quote while they are getting another SunCar service such as a tire change. If the consumer goes with the insurance deal, SunCar and the service provider split the commission on the sale. This service opens a new revenue outlet for service providers and incentivizes them to join the platform. This service has proven immensely popular and is likely to become the company’s largest business segment. The synergies between its aftermarket services and insurance segments continue to grow. China’s auto insurance market continues to further privatize and shift towards EV-specific policies, giving SunCar a large and high-growth market opportunity. This opportunity is highly synergistic with SunCar’s business in the EV aftermarket, as EVs have unique insurance needs which SunCar is meeting through its strong partnerships with the Chinese EV manufacturers. Due to the EV manufacturers’ direct-to-consumer model, those SunCar partners rely heavily on SunCar to provide high quality aftermarket services and insurance to their customers. SunCar's cloud platform is connected to all the major auto insurers in China. It offers the best policies within minutes through a proprietary technology that puts insurance sellers into competition with one another and gives the best deal to the consumer. In the era of the smart shopper, the total cost of owning a vehicle is the main focus, so consumers are increasingly sensitive to insurance. The benefit SunCar provides to buyers in maintaining affordable yet sufficient insurance is something very useful that consumers are seeking. Insurance premiums for EVs typically run 20% higher than for ICE vehicles. Bringing these insurance premiums down to parity with ICE vehicles requires data on the burgeoning aftermarket, which SunCar is able to provide through its large network of service providers. Financials SunCar is approximately a $680 million company. It is earnings negative but Adjusted EBITDA positive, which means it is still largely in the product development phase in its lifecycle. According to seeking Alpha, unlevered free cash flow is $-32.1 million, with net income of $-17.6 million. SunCar currently has cash on hand of $52.5 million at the last report, but SunCar is raising capital, as recently covered by Jaskiran Singh, SA News Editor, so the cash runway shouldn’t be too tight given the burn rate. The major upside is that the existing products generate cash. SunCar has accounts receivable amounting to $58.9 million and has strengthened its working capital position by $23.9 million TTM. Sales are strong with 30% revenue growth in FY 2023. Major expenses include R&D and overhead. Given that the market cap is just approximately 1.9x revenue, it seems like strong growth combined with scalable costs have only been modestly rewarded by investors, as comparable tech stocks tend to earn higher multiples. I think there is plenty of room for multiple expansion if SunCar’s future financial reports don’t disappoint. Risks I believe that share prices could have a fair amount of extra risk and volatility as foreign relations between China and America play out in an election year. The good news is that SunCar’s auto aftermarket cloud service isn’t specific to EVs and can add value to the auto aftermarket experience in almost any country. Most auto owners feel they are overpaying for insurance and SunCar has a unique, innovative quote service. Many Americans only invest in American businesses because they don’t understand or agree with certain foreign government regimes or simply because the volatility measures of these instruments tend to be higher. This factor affects demand for share prices on an American exchange quite a bit. I do however expect a more educated investor to examine their bias and invest in companies that will become systematically more profitable in the future. There is also foreign currency risk. The yuan may depreciate against the dollar, causing real assets that are marketable in yuan to decrease in dollar value. I think the valuations of companies like SunCar would suffer some volatility consequently if this policy scenario occurred. However, SunCar’s business today is almost exclusively in China so the exchange rate may not be so important at this time. Conclusion SunCar is poised to thrive in the emerging China auto market. The global economy for automobiles is undergoing clear changes as well. China is emerging as a winner in engineering affordable, high performance EVs. The niche that SunCar has is making the motor vehicle service and insurance markets respectively more efficient through its access to big service provider and OEM data. This sort of solution seems at least somewhat portable to other economies, and M&A activity could very well bring a similar solution to the United States. Vehicles need to be serviced. EVs in particular need unique services. It’s likely that there is a better solution to organize EV data, and SunCar seems to be finding it. Understanding patterns in OEM-specific issues and documenting them solves several major pain points in the EV aftermarket. It lowers costs and improves the value of the car ownership experience. Appreciating that there are risks to my thesis, I reiterate my buy call on SDA.
NASDAQ:SDALong
by mackattack98
TESLA Buy the dip, correction nearly over. $285 next short-term.Tesla (TSLA) is bleeding hard today but that shouldn't if you got on that rally early like our June 13 (see chart below) buy signal suggested while the price was still trading in the low 180s: Our long-term Target remains $400.00 and today's sharp correction is nothing but a strong technical buy opportunity. In fact, this pull-back is not stranger to Tesla. The stock has seen a similar rejection near the 2.0 Fibonacci extension during its May - July 2023 rally on the June 21 2023 High. As you can see, the price declined by -13.00% back to the 1.382 Fibonacci level. At the time of the (temporary High), the 1D RSI was at 89.00, roughly where it got rejected today. The price recovered when the RSI was at 57.00. As a result, from a R/R perspective, it is worth taking another buy on the current market price and target the 2.236 Fib extension (similar to the JUly 19 2023 High) at $285.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
2
GAMESTOP Can it repeat the crazy run of 2020/21?GameStop Corporation (GME) has been consolidating during the past 2 weeks and lately have found support exactly on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Early in May it gave the first signs of breaking above its recent 3-year Bear Cycle. The rise was almost as strong (+520%) as the one that made a temporary high on October 22 2020. Both formed a 1D Golden Cross. The main support of 2020/2021 was the 1D MA50, so technically as long as it holds (even a marginal break would be ok), the probabilities for a new High remain alive. Practically the sequence that led to the recent bottom is quite similar to 2019/20. If history keeps repeating itself then we could be looking at a +18630% from the bottom, which price-wise is translated to $1800. The times are of course different and GME's whole move was based on the 'meme' retail investors crusade against the big hedge funds that were shorting the price. Also those were post-pandemic times with very low interest rates and cheap money that could easily be diverted to extremely risky assets such as GME. Volumes were more easy to be achieved. Do you think history will be repeated? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:GMELong
by TradingShot
9