NDXNasdaq looks like it still has the ABC down happening, the SP500 looks like it want's to push higher, while the nasadq looks like a H&S pattern can play out dropping tech stocks to 14,000 to finish wave C. I really don't like the mixed indices. When DJIA was pointing down for wave 4 but SP500 & NASDAQ were pointing up the truth was revealed that the dow jones w4 bears had the power to correct all markets. So we need to watch closely. The Evergrand news seems to be priced in though, so let's see if the bulls can NUKE the head & shoulders pattern and break out above ATH. I would add the a big crash to 14k would likely be the gas needed to pump NDX over ATH(just a thought)
Techstocks
Alphabet: Bearish Ending Wedge Formation - Selling OpportunityAlphabet - Short Term - We look to Sell at 2875 (stop at 2967)
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. Price action has formed a bearish ending wedge formation. Price action has posted a bearish Engulfing Candle and is negative for short-term sentiment. A lower correction is expected. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 2575 and 2400
Resistance: 2925 / 3012 / 3019
Support: 2832 / 2708 / 2621
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
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$PINS less stress and more pinterest *This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
This week my team has been investigating popular online product and idea discovery platform Pinterest $PINS. The company derives the majority of its revenue from selling digital ads. Last weeks 2nd quarter earnings reported an earnings beat of $0.36 per share on revenue of $632.9 million. The companies earnings weren't the greatest, but after downtrading for so long $PINS finally appears ready to soar once again.
After correcting from an all-time high of $89.9 $PINS currently trades at just $45.8. Incredibly cheap shares!
My team entered $PINS this afternoon at $45.5 per share and we plan to take our first profit at $53.
This company is a no-brainer hold at these levels.
OUR ENTRY: $45.8
TAKE PROFIT 1: $53
TAKE PROFIT 2: $64
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
HOOD trading tightening up. Finally some positive news?Okay, there is no denying that Robinhood has been a dumpster fire.
Between all the bad press with trading halts and outages, then the IPO was very obviously less than spectacular.
But my hunch is that we may be bottoming very soon, with a large amount of institutional money, they won't be letting this fail.
But we can let the charts tell that story.
SONOS (SONO) to explode higher post Q4 EarningsFundamental Analysis
Sonos is a technology company, that specializes in the home audio, wireless and multi-room sound systems. It's major competitors are Bose, JBL, Harmon Kardon, Cabasse in the higher-end home speaker space.
The firm sells a wide range of audio devices including connected speakers, subwoofers, soundbars for TVs and more.
Sonos made a big step in the right direction earlier this year, when the company entered into the popular portable smart speaker segment with its $179 mass-market Roam speaker.
The company has also seen a significant increase in demand for its products as a result of the consumer shift towards modern, connected devices, smart homes etc. and this tailwind is expected to continue to push the company forward as more people spend on home-based upgrades. Recognizing the fact that the company relies heavily on its hardware sales, the senior management at Sonos has slowly but surely began to diversify the company's business by introducing new services and features to its clients. The most recent one was the Sonos Radio HD, which is an ad-free streaming tier of its music service competing directly with the likes of Spotify and it costs $7.99 per month. Following the example of the leading tech giants out there like Apple (AAPL), Sonos wants to build an ecosystem of products and services that will increase the loyalty to the brand, its revenue streams and overall efficiency.
Sonos revenue climbed 11% in FY19 and 5% last year. Analysts expect call for its 2021 (year ended October 2) sales to surge more than 30% to over $1.8 billion, with FY22 projected to jump another 13% higher to come in at $1.95 billion. The company is expected to swing from an adjusted loss of -$0.18 a share last year all the way to +$1.11 in FY21, with FY22 set to climb another 6% higher.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, the stock has been in a sideways consolidation trading range in the last 8 months, after the huge BULL run in the Sept. 2020 - March 2021 period. We saw the stock failing to break the ATH resistance at the $44 mark on few occasions earlier in the Spring. Since then, the stock has been stuck within the broad $31-$44 range, with few sharp rises and declines. However, most recently we've seen a strong pickup in the bullish momentum for the stock heading into its Q4 Earnings report, which is scheduled to be released on November 17th after the market close. This shows that investors are positive about the future of the company and as a result expect to see the stock moving higher. We are seeing both the RSI and the Stochastic oscillators trending upwards on their daily graphs. The current position of the stock with respect to the above-mentioned price range as well as the upcoming earnings report, combined with the 4 straight Earnings beats that Sonos has produced in its last 4 EPS reports, we expect to see a major move to the upside for the stock in the coming weeks.
We see Sonos moving easily towards the higher end of the price range around $44 per share before the end of November, where it will face certain selling pressure as many pending SELL orders are waiting there. However, we believe that the stock will ultimately manage to break above this strong resistance, which will then open up the door for a strong rally towards the $55-60 range in Q1, 2022.
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NAS100 NEW ATH 16368! NAS HAS BEEN ALL GAS NO BREAKS FOR THE LAST 30 DAYS (Q4 BULL RUN)
Tech is at an all time high world wide with WFH continuing as well as vaccine mandates that have citizens returning to office.
The recent crypto run can be said to be a fuel to the NAS fire. TESLA going to 1K+ is another great indicator of a healthy nas bullish trend.
I would love to see a slight pullback to my blue liquidity box 15600s before the rocket to 16300s!
OCT was all green for NAS with a full-body close with no top wick.
Currently 450 points away from this short term goal. Does nas want 17-18K to close 2021?
(NAS IS UP 3400 YTD)
Nasdaq bounce may be done - buy SQQQOn QQQ daily, price took a sharp bounce and has come up to resistance (lower yellow line). Today's small indecisive candle may be a warning sign.
Also, RSI 14-day dipped below 33.33 (in oval) and so there should be more downside and RSI should stall between 60 and 66.66 (pink line).
In place of QQQ puts, buying SQQQ is a good idea to hedge your account if you want to hold long positions. It will increase in value if tech stocks sell off. The black line provides a downside target.
The monthly chart on right is for macro planning. This last two month's churn can continue lower, so it is a good time to make a list of stocks you want to buy and set alerts for lower support buy targets. Do not pay too much for overpriced stocks.
Keep in mind with hot inflation and the 10yr yield staying high, the November Fed meeting will move markets.
BTC vs Tech Stock CRASH!The BIG question is whether Bitcoin crashes with a Stock Market Crash, in particular the Tech Stocks. We have an interesting chart here with the SQQQ (Bear ETF on the QQQ's) compared to the BTC price on Bitstamp. There appears to be a correlation that has been showing since May in that BTC has been basing and now breaking out to the upside. The SQQQ has been basing since May as well and has not technically broken out of the base to the upside just yet. However, if you look at our Proprietary Oscillator (Blue Dots) it is positively divergent from the SQQQ price. Our Prop Oscillator is showing that a breakout to the upside on SQQQ is imminent. Since BTC is accelerating to the upside we are expecting BTC to continue higher while the Tech Stocks Crash. The SQQQ chart (without BTC overlay) reminds me of February 2020 when our Prop Oscillator was in a very similar positive divergence. The next couple weeks the price exploded to the upside. Something is coming out at anytime that is going to crash the Tech Stocks and as of now BTC markets should benefit. We will update this chart as we move forward.
AMD flag formationThe US markets have taken a beating over the last few weeks but as sellers start to reside we could see some short term recoveries across the market on some strong players.
Im watching AMD closely with this flag formation, not ruling out a drop back further yet before a bounce but the market structure is set for a continuation
Fib levels from the last bullish rally are being respected so targeting the 1.272 extension of around 130+ over coming months
NVIDIA may be entering an accumulation phaseSo far the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is supporting NVDA which has been inside a strong bullish trend since the March 2020 COVID crash. There is no better way to illustrate this than the Fibonacci Channel.
However there have time phase of accumulation where the price took a breather from the prior aggressive leg, trading around the 1D MA50 and rebounding only after it made contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This has happened twice since March 2020 and the most recent accumulation phase has been September 2020 - March 2021.
If the 1D MA50 breaks, the stock may enter such a phase and initiate the next parabolic leg once contact is made with the 1D MA200. My thesis is to observe for that 1D MA50 break-out. If it comes wait until the ATH breaks ($230), in case there's no pull-back or the 1D MA200 before buying (which will be even better). As for the target, it appears that every Higher High within the Channel is +0.5 Fibonacci higher. Naturally the next one is at 2.5.
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Let's get into some stock trades #3- NetflixNetflix has been chopping for more than a year now and consolidating really hard, but with a clear emphasis on the upside. It's still showing signs of strength and could move much higher pretty soon given that it's been in this range for 14 months. Don't know much about the financials of Netflix but I do know it's growing and is one of those companies that has a huge brand and is like many other companies more of a network than a company.
The path I've drawn isn't the path I think it will follow, but the path that it might follow if it wants to create more pain for all those that are long right now.
Netlist (NLST) - A Harmonic, a Schiff and an Earnings Report . .. . Walk into a bar . . :)
All kidding aside and this is by no means investment advice but we've got two possibilities here. One could easily apply a Schiff pitchfork to the upside and be correct BUT, given that they missed earnings estimates with a -24% downside surprise and given the history of Netlist filling gaps, I'm gonna err towards the logic applied when we saw those big red douchy candles on the 23rd of July and then post earnings August 9th dump. I think we may see those gaps fill down below and I'd personally love to snap it up again cheap (bought at $0.65, took a few scalps between $2 and $3 before it got away from me to run up 20x . . sigh . . )
Some of you know that I take scalps so I'll be looking to trade this inside the pipe with the hope of longing into a $50 target position next year for some more good gains.
.
Anyway, Good luck friends!
NDX (Nasdaq) one of the possible moves. Possibility of dotcom2.0Hey, this is one of the possible moves in of $NDX, the index is overbought and it needs to cool off, maybe we see a market crash (or just a big correction) in February 2022.
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
P.S I will be glad if this is not gonna happen. If this happens many people will lose their savings.
P.P.S If we see market crash it will not be as 'light' as 2008 but more like as it was in 2000 (dot com crash) or even as hard as the Great Crash (1929 aka the Great Depression).
UPST At Major Intersection, Now What?UPST has been chugging along since IPO. It hasn't been smooth sailing but every major drop has been greeted with the next drop putting in higher lows. Doing a little Fib retracement revealed some core levels as well as helped outline the latest high-traffic area.
It finally broke back above the 382 fib level at the start of the week and held it as lower support for the first time since May. Before this UPST was rejected for the last week at the 382. Obviously the news catalyst helped a lot in post market trading on Aug 10th..so now what? This gap up has firmly set UPST above the 236 fib level, it has only traded in this area a few times previous but hasn't managed to hold it as support for a meaningful amount of time. BUT since it's here, the hopeful are looking "up" ... maybe in the sense of optimism but I'm talking about more in the sense of levels and wouldn't you know it, right around $166 has been a hairy level for the stock. It hasn't failed at this level once or twice but 6 out of the last 7 times tested (yes I missed a circle the day it spiked to ATH). With the positive news and clear retail interest, this could be an important level to watch (along with maintaining the 236 fib area as a new support) heading into the rest of the month (for now).
One of the best performing industries over the past few months has been in tech stocks. The landscape has drastically changed thanks to the pandemic. Many companies have shifted their tech strategy to move more things online and to a virtual platform...Everything from entertainment to sports has seen this become a factor. In this article, we’ll take a closer look at a few tech stocks to watch in August that fit this mold... Continue Reading
Post IPO Hangover Rebound For FUBO?I did a quick and dirty Fib retracement on FUBO using this year's low and didn't include the whole post IPO exuberance and ensuing hangover. Now even with this as the case, there are several important levels in the short term to watch. 382 Fib is likely one of them as it appears to be presenting a major pivot over the last few months as both support and resistance. With the market trying to recover, this is the first time in weeks that FUBO has established itself above this level and approaching the 286 level. With tech and streaming/esports/igaming picking up steam, it could be an interesting second half of the year.
' There are plenty of other outliers to keep track of right now especially considering the overall trend in tech. Despite being slightly down this week, overall, technology stocks have performed well this year. In fact, tech (based on the XLK ETF) is up over 17% since the beginning of 2021. Based on the growth outlook, some expect the sector to continue flourishing in light of a lower rate environment in the near term. Should that end up as the case, there could be plenty of tech penny stocks to watch heading into the second half of the year. "
Quote Source & Read More: Top Tech Penny Stocks To Watch For August 2021
The 2022 Tech Bubble Fractals and Sentiment AnalysisIntroduction
I was inspired by CryptoKaleo's post (original post below) on the "Next Tech Bubble", where he predicted a tech bubble to take place in the coming years based on the fractals of the 1998-2002 Dot com bubble market price action.
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or loss generated from your investments. Trade and invest at your own risk.
Analysis
I myself have been also thinking about the probability of another 2000-esque bull rally for the Nasdaq index for a while now.
You can check out my analysis on the comparison between the market in 2020 and the Dot com bubble, which I posted last year:
My goal for this post was to not only compare the price action of the two periods through fractals, but also to research the headlines of financial news from the past, in order to more accurately research the sentiment that was reflected on the media. The quotes in red are direct quotes from 1998-2002, and the quotes in black are recent news that reflect the current market sentiment.
We can see a clear shift in sentiment; optimism > euphoria > fear > surrender.
The most notable parts of the cycle is the euphoria at the absolute top of the market, and sense of despair at the bottom of the market.
This figure will further help you understand the structure of a market bubble, and the market sentiment according to the price action of the market.
What's extremely interesting is that the Dot com bubble demonstrated a textbook pattern of a market bubble structure.
Conclusion
There may be multiple news that could potentially trigger the next market bubble. If one were to occur, it's highly likely that we see it happen in the tech/bio sector this time, where insane multiples are given based not on the current financials of the company, but the prospect of it. While there is also a probable case where we don't see a bubble at all, if it we were to see the market make parabolic moves up to overbought levels, referring to fractals of the past, and comparing the market sentiment of the past, could provide a guideline for us to refer to.
If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
Fly Robin Fly! 🐦...up up to the sky!
The NASDAQ is pushing for new all-time highs. The resistance at 14996 is broken and the way for higher quotations is paved. We now expect further bullish action until we reach the 15600 area.
To uphold the expectation the NASDAQ needs to stay above 14445.
Happy Monday!
WOW NLST!! +360% since June 25th buuuut . . Look at THAT TOP!! The long legged Doji may as well be a Gravestone / Orphaned Baby. There's a gap just under the daily low and after a 360%+ run from the 25th of June, it's gotta pull back from a $9.98 resistance. I left the Fib overlay intact from yesterday as it snap fits like a glove. Also, just look at the ski tips on those MA's (50/200). I've been watching this since last Fall and got it at $0.65. Super salty now cuz I sold at just under $3 to pile into something else. Looks like the lawsuit with Google will print some new highs in time but for now, the last valuation I saw was $4 by the analysts. We do have a gap still, down around $2.50 so we'll see what comes of that. Not investment advice, DYOR and Good luck!
Fib Levels On AEHR Going WAY BackHad to take the AEHR chart all the way back out to 2017 to find some levels to plot. Took the fib retracement and look what we found: high traffic area around the 236 level. Tested it for the first time since 2017 and failed to break & hold. After pulling back, AEHR came within testing distance of the 382 level. After such a huge extension it will be interesting to see if it ends up consolidating above this level or if it tests (or breaks below) it.
"If we consider that the market for computer chips is extremely in demand right now, we see just why AEHR is getting so much attention. While it is not a producer of these chips, it does work as an ancillary company in the industry. In the past six months, shares of AEHR stock have rocketed higher by around 31%. Over the past twelve months, that number shoots up to over 45%... Only recently, Aehr Test Systems won a $2.9 million follow-on order for its FOX-XP Wafer Level Test and Burn-in system as well as multiple WaferPak Contactors from its lead silicon carbide customers. While this alone is not a be-all-end-all deal, it is a big step for the commercialization of its products. Additionally, large orders tend to help with the notoriety of a product and can lead to more orders in the future... ...While many gains with penny stocks occur without news, AEHR made an exciting announcement in the early morning on Monday. The company stated that it received a $10.8 million order for its silicon carbide test and a burn-in customer regarding its FOX-XP systems its WaferPak product... "
Quote Sources:
7/12: 5 Top Penny Stocks on Robinhood That You Should Check Out in July
7/19: 3 Top Penny Stocks For Your Monday Morning Watchlist
Who's WISHing for a Retest?WISH simple fib retracement using recent lows revealed some levels on the chart. The 786 fib has been a relatively frequent area of traffic for the stock. Meanwhile, 618 fib line was previously a level of support the continued to get tested but didn't break until recently. With WISH testing 618 as short-term resistance last week and 786 as potential support on Friday, it will be interesting to see if these levels remain the channel for WISH if/when it continues this consolidation trend.
Other than the usual social media excitement, also take a peek at the filings which should show the latest Form 4 coming out last week (7/15), which revealed that Brett Just Chief Accounting Officer, sold more shares. This adds to the growing number of Form 4s that have shown selling from insiders.