JUMIA - Ranging ChannelRanging Channel Between $4 and $5.
Negative RSI suggests we are heading toward $4, which would represent an excellent buying point.
Techstocks
Nvidia is this sustainable?Hello everyone.
So from a fundamental perspective Nvidia has great products and technology, the profit margins are also great. But a 70/1 P/E ratio? Does that seem sustainable? I mean how many years would it take for the P/E to normalize with the price staying the same as it is, to let's say 20/1 which is still high relative to historical standards. Maybe there is something out there that will quadrupple the earnings of this company in a short time.
But let's we what the charts say shall we?
Well from a technical perspective the stock is overvalued, the red middle line is the average of the trend. And as you can see the price is way above the growth average. Pretty much confirming that what the P/E ratio tells us. The problem is in this sort of mania the price could go up even more before eventually going down. It's not safe to short here. Just keeping an eye on this stock is the plan now.
Also it goes without saying, I would never buy a stock at these technical levels and these valuations.
Facebook - Price Reversal LikelyFacebook hit a new all-time high today.
Two days ago, very strong volumes pushed the price just over the long term resistance.
However, the high RSI and stochastics combined with a lack of volume (yesterday and today) suggest we are due for a correction.
StockMarket Update : Weekly Range on SPX, Reverse on Nasdaq ?!Hope this idea will inspire some of you !
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JUMIA - African Amazon Makes Another BreakoutOur previous objective of $6 is almost reached. A confirmation pullback pattern could form using the $6 resistance. If not, the next resistance is at $7.
Today's breakout represents a strong mid-term buy signal as we can now see a cup and handle pattern combined with a breakout.
We also note that the rally that started on 20 March point could be the start of a new Elliot Wave.
APPLE ($AAPL): Should We Buy the Dip (if We Ever Get One)?✨ New charts every day ✨
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Apple is coming off of good earnings and their new series of upcoming iPhones was just leaked (so far there seems to be a warm reception). With a strong uptrend and a monster of a company, it seems unwise to do anything other than look for a long position. With that in mind, one could argue the tech sector is a little overextended and running right into resistance here, not only is that true for the sector, it is also true for AAPL as well. The bet here is that despite tech and Apple being bullish overall, a pullback for Apple if not the whole sector is in the cards first. The goal would be to find an entry at support and ride this monster of tech back to resistance if not beyond to new all time highs.
Resources: appleinsider.com + www.earningswhispers.com
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1. Fractal Trend is showing a strong uptrend (Aqua bar color) on the 2 hour chart. The pullback to the S1 and S2 support levels should still be contained within the uptrend and not initiate a trend change (bar color change).
2. With this strategy, we we want to enter long on bullish order blocks plotted by Orderblock Mapping (Blue) and bullish S/R levels plotted by Directional Bias (Blue).
3. There are two really clear levels of resistance from the range formed in the earlier part of the year. We are looking at those Bearish levels (Red) to initiate a healthy correction to our S1 and S2 levels.
4. With that all in mind, we will exit positions if Fractal Trend changes color, at any point. This will help to lock in profits and limit risk if Apple can't retain its uptrend.
Alphabet - Healthy Upleg Next Resistance at $1420.
A strong breakout above $1420 would trigger an upleg to the $1500-$1520 zone.
Alibaba - Trading ChannelPrice strongly rebounded Monday on the lower end of the pitchfork, validating the upward trading channel.
Microsoft A bearish candle formed on 29 April, signaling a short term turnaround.
Prices are very probably heading lower tomorrow morning.
Support at 168 & Resistance at 190.
Here is my long term latest analysis
MicrosoftHigh volumes signal the end of the bearish trend.
The last 2 candles are bullish.
BUY MORE !
AAPL - Trade IdeaApple stock is in indecision zone. Fundamentals for stocks say recession / bear market but FED QE infinity is bullish for stocks. that is macro larger term view though. Here we see that APPLE stock is in an indecision point here under the 100 day MA. would like to see it break above this. then retest and have long entry at green 283.03, probably add 12 cents to that and make it 283.15 for front runners and then have my stop close due to high volatility in markets currently. Stop in Red on chart. If breaks red supply zone can enter short upon bearish retest. would place stop on green long entry. looks like more volatility coming and decent move either way just need to wait for the breakout and for market to choose direction. If we break down chance we are in larger range and can belong near 200 day MA at $248. would again place a tight stop as we can hit much lower rather quickly. stops will preserve capital in this market, but there is a lot of money to be made with the extreme volatility with proper risk management.
This is not financial advice but for educational purposes only.
NASDAQThis is also why I am super bearish on the DJI as well as the S&P.
They have both already lost their 200 W1 ema.
So when NASDAQ finally drops over 2k points what do we think the rest of the market will do?
GOOGLE: Buy opportunity within the Channel Up.Alphabet Inc wasn't excluded by today's Coronavirus led pull back on the stock markets and declined below the 1D MA50 (blue line). The 1D chart turned bearish (RSI = 38.867, ADX = 33.996, Highs/Lows = -57.8228) but the price remains well within the long term Channel Up that started in July 2019.
The 1D RSI just hit a 7 month Support and in fact the last time that happened (October 2nd 2019), the price also had just crossed below the 1D MA50. This was when it made a Higher Low on the Channel Up and gradually rebounded. We are expecting a similar bullish reversal. Our Target Zone is 1,500 - 1,530.
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Tesla: Second expansion phase. Upside potential $1,200 - $1,270.We are looking more deeply into Tesla's technical potential after its very aggressive (and continuous) rise since October. We were among the first to enter this rise early at 205.50 posting that trade back in May 2019:
Needless to say we didn't expect it to rise that strongly on such a short period of time. This is a parabolic move on the 1W chart which turned even this very long term time frame overbought (RSI = 89.001, ADX = 75.689, MACD = 75.910).
In our attempt to find pointers and a comparision framework to move into projections of the future price movement we went back to 2013 during TSLA's first expansion phase. See how similar the two parabolic sequences are. Both were preceded by 850 - 900 days of accumulation with a clear Resistance level (illustrated by the orange zone) and when this level broke, the parabolic rise started.
Based on the above comparison, if the principles stay the same on the current parabola (so far the same parameters are followed), we see no reason why Tesla can't repeat and complete a full +630% rise. Our Target Zone is 1,200 - 1,270.
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Netflix: Update on our long term Buy.This is an update on our NFLX buy position since we posted the following trade in September 2019 when the price was trading on the $250-260 bottom:
We have called for a long term Target of $650 but in the mean-time told more medium term investors to start booking profits near the 385 - 415 Resistance. If you took that trade with us you should be almost +50% in profit. With 1D on a steady Channel Up (RSI = 62.074, MACD = 6.790, Highs/Lows = 8.4729), we think it is a good time to update this position and look at the more short term price action. That resembles the previous time Netflix reached 385. A Golden Cross comes as confirmation. If you are a short term investors book profits within 378.00 - 385.00.
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Facebook: Higher High on 1W. Potential pull back.Facebook has been trading within a 1W Channel Up (RSI = 69.832, MACD = 8.020, ADX = 41.061, Highs/Lows = 15.2786) since early February 2019. Right now the price is only a fraction below the pattern's Higher High trend line which is typically an early bearish signal.
On top of that both the MACD and RSI indicators on the 1D chart have reached their respective multi month Resistance Zones. This is an additional sell signal. As FB has been trading within a narrower 1D Channel Up since the October Low, our short term Sell Target can't be below the Higher Low trend line (dashed line). Since the former July ATH at 208.50 matches perfectly on the trend line, we will take that as TP (target/ take profit). Notice how well the 1D MA50 comes for support near that level.
It can be argued that the 1W Channel Up has a gap to fill much lower for a Higher Low, but it is too early to discuss that. If the MA50 breaks, then the MA200 may come for support and accumulate buyers without reaching the Higher Low trend line. And since Facebook is on a long term uptrend it is best to buy such pull backs (when/ if they come) and not sell.
~~~ Our previous long term call on Facebook issued last September with the 220 target hit:
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Tesla: Attention, entering a Sell Zone.We've been bullish on TSLA since May 21st and the 180 bottom right when most were calling on a death spiral. As you see on the chart below both 360 and 380 Targets have been hit, making us over +100% return on the stock in a few months:
Right now however we are getting some medium term sell signals on the 1W chart that makes us call for caution. First of all the 1W RSI has been on Lower Highs since 2013, thus on a bearish divergence to the actual price action.
On a second note, the actual price is near the Higher High trend line of the wide Channel Up that started in late 2013 with 1W near overbought territory (RSI = 73.073, MACD = 29.460, ADX = 55.095, Highs/Lows = 76.5621). If the price is rejected within the red Triangle then we may get a pull back towards the 1W MA200 at 300.00, where we will be waiting with strong buys again. If on the other hand the Higher High trend-line breaks to the upside we expect a peak at 480.00 (before a new trend emerges), which will complete a roughly +175% rise as Tesla did on its last Higher Low - Higher High sequence.
Trade these levels wisely, it is not necessary to hold.
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QQQ bulls running the showTICKER: $QQQ
Just like SPY, QQQ also confirmed its daily cup and handle pattern. Bulls in full control at the ALL TIME HIGH.
Weekly RSI is at 70, the highest since the top of the V shape bounce of April 2019.
"The trend is your friend" they say and its true, don't doubt the bulls.
Anything above $203.44 on the daily time frame is a high lower.
Nasdaq: Sell opportunity towards the 1D MA50.NDX has been trading within a Channel Up since July (1W RSi = 64.749, MACD = 236.300, Highs/Lows = 208.4773). Last week that pattern touched the Higher High trend line giving the first Sell Signal. The 1D RSI is on a bearish divergence similar to the late July Higher High.
Technically the index must touch at least the 1D MA50 before it resumes the bullish trend, so 8,030 is a moderate Target. Traders who can tolerate more risk may extend all the way to the Higher Low zone (green) and the 7,830 Gap Target.
See our recent successful trades on Nasdaq using this Channel:
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Apple stock continues to rally, $295 is the target! 100% in 2019Over the last 14-weeks, Apple stock has had 2 red weeks, and they've been almost negligible. The stock is up nearly 80% this year alone!! We can see the stock gain 100% by the end of the year if this continues, especially around the holiday season. Since Apple is on all-time highs, the only instrument to help us with the potential upside target is the Fib extension, we've used two different levels to identify levels at which Apple may get attracted to and/or stall.
The first target level is $275 based on the Fib extension from the impulse that brought price up to this high.
The second target is $295 based on the Fib extension from the move that managed to drop price heavily in December 2018.
Where could a trader get in? The logical level is where the last slight pullback happened and the broken high at $240-$250 however that is pretty far from the current price, if the equity market does see a pullback then Apple may be more prone to retrace.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is for educational purposes exclusively, this does not constitute investment or trading advice. TRADEPRO Academy is not responsible for any market activity.
