Techstocks
SNAP Potential bearish reversal. MACD to confirm the sell. Snap Inc (SNAP) has been on a strong rise since the September 26 Low. Technically since the October 21 2022 market bottom, the stock has been trading within a wide Rectangle pattern, with the majority of its price action observed within the (blue) High Volatility Zone consisting of the 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci range. The price is currently on the 0.236 Fib.
Every 1D MACD Bearish Cross above the 0.00 mark, following a rally that started with a Bullish Cross below 0.00, has been a great sell opportunity. Our target is exactly on the 0.618 Fib at 9.85 (the bottom of the High Volatility Zone), which will also make a perfect contact with the (green) Ichimoku Cloud. Notice the harmonic trend of the Ichimoku Cloud within this long-term Rectangle. Every decline tends to hit it.
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PALANTIR May fractal points to $24.50 before years end.Palantir (PLTR) a week ago above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of its medium-term Descending Triangle pattern, and has been basically consolidating this whole week but notably on a series of (minor) red candles. This is similar to what turned out to be a Bull Flag pattern of May 10 - 15.
Surprisingly, the stock had also broken above the Lower Highs trend-line of its Descending Triangle at the time, and with the support of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it registered a remarkable (almost) +180% rally on the August 01 Top. Although in order to attract a rally of equal proportions, a strong fundamental catalyst would be needed, we can deem the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, a feasible technical target by the end of December, as it can even be within the borders of a Channel Up.
As a result, as long as the 1D MA50 is supporting, we have a medium-term target at $24.50 on PLTR.
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IBM: A Risky Earnings TradeNYSE:IBM Reports after the market closes today. It is probably at or near its fundamental levels even if the report is weak.
The chart shows a strong support level as the stock price is at the neck of the bottom completion level.
IBM is in a long term trading range when viewed on a long term trend. The problem is a weak CEO who has failed at reinvention and a stock that is pricey for its growth potential.
However, it has more upside potential than downside. It would take a really negative report to create a strong run down. That is not likely.
PSHI is very low so less savvy investors own almost half the outstanding shares. This means trading the earnings report is riskier.
ADBE, Second BEAR-Fractal, SHORT-Momentum DOOMSDAY Incoming!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of ADBE. This stock has been massively battered by the major bear market decline setup in the gigantic bear channel. This stock did not exceed any new highs and did not have the potential to emerge with new bull momentum. The bears are still present within this stock and this is exactly why the bear momentum for this stock can accelerate heavily any time soon. There are several major bearish indications that are underlining the bearish scenario for the stock in an overwhelmingly precarious way.
Three reasons why the bear doomsday scenario for the stock is present, starting any time soon:
1.) Massive Liquidations: Over 250 Billion positions have been liquidated within the previous bearish doomsday market decline wave towards the downside.
2.) Weak Momentum: The momentum with which the recent meager recovery wave setup is highly fragile and is likely to turn anytime soon.
3.) Major Short-Side Positioning: A vast amount of institutional and smart money operators are positioning their selves on the short side. Always an important indication especially with retail traders positioned in the other direction.
Why shorting the stock through the upcoming second bear doomsday scenario will be the best approach in the current and upcoming market conditions:
1.) Second bearish ascending wedge fractal: The stock is going to complete exactly the same bearish ascending wedge fractal towards the downside once again.
2.) Total-Return Approach: By shorting the stock a trader has the candidature to a total-return approach, the trader is profiting when prices fall and at other times when they go up.
3.) Liquidation Acceleration: Once the whole ascending fractal has been completed it will trigger a fast-paced bearish wave making profits much faster than in an uptrend.
The most prevalent determining indications that are going to activate the upcoming bear market scenario wave for the stock:
As it is seen in my chart ADBE completed the huge bearish ascending triangle fractal exactly by moving into the upper distribution zone from where it emerged with the pullback towards the downside and set up the massive 250 Billion bearish liquidation wave towards the downside. This wave developed very fast and by positioning oneself before this huge bearish wave and completion of the fractal towards the downside a trader could make a big load of profit in the market.
Now, ADBE is still trading within the gigantic descending channel formation in which it has the most prevalent upper resistance distribution channel which has been the origin of the massive bearish waves towards the downside before and is now already setting up the upcoming 300 Billion bearish liquidation wave towards the downside which is going to activate the completion of the second ascending wedge fractal and the preceding wave C towards the bearish direction.
In the next times, the whole bearish ascending wedge fractal will be completed with the breakout below the lower boundary followed by the breakout below the 65EMA and 100EMA from where the bearish trend acceleration is going to unfold huge accelerations towards the downside and the severe bearish continuations towards the lower target zones. Especially, in this case, the market could still continue beyond this level in the bearish direction.
Upcoming Perspectives and the major underlying factors that are primarily important for consideration on the short side for the stock, the sector, and the economic field:
It has to be mentioned that an economic field with high interest rates, spreading inflation, a stagnation within the sector is setting up the determination to increase this whole bearish wave development, especially with a more bearish volume moving into the market. Also, highly determining in this case is the actual technology developments because when they reverse in an economic field this will have massive bearish effects on the stock as well.
Now, for traders it is highly important to follow such market situations with the appropriate setup within the market, especially in such times it is necessary to have the right positioning within the market because a massive bearish pressure acceleration can start anytime soon considering a huge acceleration in the inflation, a smart money operator bearish market making in which the bearish conclusion will be inevitable, an expiring futures market in which a lot of futures turn to an bearish volatility in the market. This is why traders need to position their selves before all these heavy bearish scenarios are set up.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of ADBE. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
MSFT, PULLBACK Momentum, Positions Trigger, BEARISH-Indication!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about MSFT Stock Price Action Analysis on Several Timeframe Perspectives. In the recent times MSFT has emerged with a crucial pullback to the downside almost printing over 10% of a bearish pullback. In such occassions a big question is if the bearish momentum will accelerate into the bearish direction and if higher inflation rates could heavily increase such a bearish momentum. In any cases the bearish momentum wave could trigger further long-liquidations down the path.
In my chart you can watch that MSFT is about to complete a huge ascending-wedge-formation and such a ascending-wedge-formation is likely to lead to a massive pullback and bearish reversal once it has been completed with a breakout below the lower boundary. Currently this pullback could be triggered when MSFT moves below the remaining supports between the 315 to 320 area as many many long-positions are waiting below this area this will lead to such a bearish momentum that a reversal into the other direction will be unvalid.
There is the possibility that MSFT firstly stays within the area and bounces in the remaining supports to form something like an initial reversal, nonetheless MSFT has still huge resistance levels in the structure especially when moving into the upper boundary of the ascending-wedge-formation this upper boundary is a paramount resistance-zone from where the pullback to the downside is inevitable. This means that also with the initial stabilization the completion of the whole ascending-wedge-formation will shape a reality for MSFT and complete the pullback and liquidations down the path.
If the bearish momentum accelerates so heavily once the wedge has been completed it will be highly decisive on how MSFT moves into the final target-zone of 220 because if the bearish momentum should be that high that a reversal in this area will not be possible this will complete the huge double-top-formation and will accelerate even more liquidations to point to a scenario of MSFT moving below the 150 area.
For now the bearish scenario for MSFT should not be underestimated and should be watched and because of this we will keep having the symbol in our watchlist and adjust to changing factors.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
Is DocuSign Bottoming out?This is a Technical Analysis for DocuSign, Inc. (DOCU) on the 1 Week timeframe.
Our current price action is being squeezed by a Symmetrical Triangle.
We are currently testing SUPPORT on the Black trendline.
The space inside the triangle is tight. This move is getting very very close to playing out and may be in the process now.
If we break to the UPSIDE, our 1st target = BLACK Resistance line around $58-59
Our next target would be the RED Resistance line at around $67-68.
If we break to the DOWNSIDE, our 1st target = around $46
Our 2nd target = $41
Now whats more probable? Upside or Downside?
In my opinion, We move to the Downside.
Some evidence exists that i believe will support a downtrend.
Before i continue, i just want to add that Price declines should not be viewed as a negative thing. Its part of the normal nature of the markets. In this case, i think this decline would help support the next move Up in DOCU.
Especially noting that in my opinion, DOCU is trying to set a BOTTOM.
Now notice the RED arrow pointing down. This is my downside target ($41) and what i think will help DOCU's market structure.
If we hit this, it will indicate a DOUBLE BOTTOM formation, which would be a probable area for a bounce. This would also be a catalyst for momentum to enter for price to move towards "MAJOR RESISTANCE" level.
ANother clue that supports my downside targets, is the printing of the Gravestone Doji candle, week of June 5th. This is extremely BEARISH candle pattern. It may have not been priced in yet and we have yet to see the effects of this candle.
To see further signs of what is to come, lets look at the INDICATORS.
Firstly, RSI -> Notice how we are also in kind of a triangle pattern and that its getting tight for RSI as well. We need to see what it does next also, whether breaks to upside or downside. WHich ever direction, it will also coincide with the movements of price.
STOCH RSI -> shows momentum, we are currently in the process of printing a BEARISH cross. If its confirmed, then this could put momentum that pushes price DOWN
ADX -> Is another momentum indicator. Currently we are in this weak momentum zone. We have to watch the interations between GREEN and RED.
If RED moves ABOVE = BEARISH momentum -> this will support a price decline
If GREEN moves ABOVE = BULLISH MOMENTUM -> this will support a price increase
CONCLUSION:
We are in a tightening Triangle pattern, one directions got to give. Whether up or down is yet to be determined. However, my thoughts are leaning more towards a DECLINE. The gravestone doji candle, supports the idea of further decline and creating better market structure would also add to a decline. But a decline is not a bad thing, if we get one. It becomes probable for a DOUBLE BOTTOM and signs of a bottoming out of DOCU.
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
WOW Massive Double Top on #MSFTMr Softee looks like it wants to melt
Incredible if this triggers fulfils this pattern.
Linear target is actually worse than the Logarithmic target.
massive bearish divergence on the Monthly RSI
If was an #microsoft stock holder and in considerable profit...
I would definitely want to lock in those gains!
Nasdaq 2000 top vs Current Market.As Rektember draws to a close
The seasonal's actually point up for Q4
Santa Rallies are real market phenomenons!
But is this time is different? Could we have actually topped??
Compared to the tech wreck of 2000
You can see the initial drawdown was around minus 40% from the top
We then got a mini bull run, a recovery wave.
About the same 40% in an upward reversal move.
The 2000 downdraft and recovery occurred over a shorter time frame than what has transpired so far today..
The current market structure has more volume / price action that has taken place below current prices.. This in theory should provide more support.
The market was caught off guard regarding the Fed wanting to stay higher for longer
(I'm not sure why!)
... and seemed to have been pricing more aggressive rate cuts sooner in 2024
This could cause a repricing of risk and expectations.
Chamath Palihapitiya has told his CEO's to have adequate cash into 2025, but has revised his thinking and expects they need to have enough cash to get them through to 2026!
If more captains of industry come around to this way of thinking... the ways to generate cash on hand is to withdraw from spending and possibly laying off extra capacity in the workplace!
You see how this thinking feeds on itself and into the broader economy...
If we look back in a few years time and 2022 did prove itself to be the manic top... and there is plenty of evidence it was, in terms of sentiment and broad retail involvement (dog coins , meme stocks, NVIDIA at PE way north of 100)
WE shouldn't be too surprised!
Are we forming a Bull Flag in Carvana?Hi guys! This is a quick analysis on my opinions on a current chart pattern that may be playing out in Carvana (CVNA).
At first glance you can notice the formation of a Bull Flag on the 1 Week CVNA chart.
As you can see we have had our Sharp price move to the Upside, almost resembling a straight line up. This is known as the Flagpole. The Volume spike seen in this move is supportive of this phase.
Followed by a pause or sideways action resembling a parallelogram. Here we see diminishing Volume, which is supportive of this phase as well.
This pause is to consolidate/ take a break from such a massive uptick in price during formation of the flagpole.
Flag patterns are known to be one of the most reliable continuation patterns and are said to rarely lead to Reversal of Trend.
Currently we are in the process, on our current Daily Candle of trying to breakout.
But we are meeting with Serious Resistance, depicted by a MASSIVE Upper Wick. Ideally, i'd like to see a larger body at the close of today's candle.
Could this still lead to a break out? Well one thing to check is the VOLUME.
For a breakout to occur we need to see a Massive Spike in VOLUME.
Which we have not seen yet.
Could be warning for a test back down to the lower rim of the parallelogram. This would also lengthen the time spent in forming this pattern.
Also note that Flag patterns are normally short term patterns and shuold breakout within 1 to 3 weeks, as per theory.
We are currently 8 bars in on the weekly chart indicating 8 weeks of consolidation.
This is Not Textbook. Which has me second guessing if this is a Bull Flag.
We have so much Resistance Above us, and the massive sharp move from $3, didnt create strong market structure. This in my opinion could lead to a collapse of current move with a massive correction.
Continue to monitor this. Remember to trade a Bull Flag:
You must wait for a breakout with CONFIRMATION before you take positions.
I would personally not take a trade inside the pattern. Watch for signs of rejection here as well.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on CVNA in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
AAPLE: Take this buy opportunity for a 186.50 targetApple remains neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.572, MACD = -2.560, ADX = 26.090) despite the Death Cross on the 4H timeframe. The 4H MACD just formed a Bullish Cross and the pattern since the July 19th High already bears many resemblances with last September-November (2022). It seems that the market is at the point after the Double Bottom where the price rose to Fibonacci 0.786 before getting rejected on the LH trendline. This is an short term opportunity to buy and target the new Fibonacci 0.786 (TP = 186.50).
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UiPath Bottoming & Trend Shift Signs Point to Trade PotentialHi guys! With this years bullish activity, ive been on the hunt to find assets that are down 50%+ and with unignorable strong technical signs of bottoming that will pull in bullish activity.
One that i have noticed to have some nice technical signs playing out in my opinion is UiPath,Inc (PATH).
This analysis is on the 1 Week timeframe giving us Macro insights.
First we will discuss MAJOR Macro developments that really brought my attention to PATH.
We have broken out and confirmed out of MAJOR RESISTANCE Line that expresses our major DOWNTREND.
That is indication in my opinion of a Trend Change.
This is important to see in a stock trying to bottom out.
The 2nd MAJOR Development, is the observation of an ASCENDING Triangle Pattern.
Usually its seen as a Bullish Continuation Pattern but at bottoms it can be seen as a Bottoming pattern.
If we start to see signs of a breakout and then CONFIRM Support on the Blue Flat Trendline, it would signify the Triangle is playing out and we have indeed bottomed.
The confirmation of Support would make a solid area to take positions.
VOLUME must continue to increase if we are to breakout of the Triangle.
So this next week to couple weeks will be interesting to see what happened.
Also note, that for the Triangle to play out, we need to pass some Extreme RESISTANCE. There is always a possibility of a rejection here or a fakeout so maintain vigilence and watch for CONFIRMATION.
Keep in mind also a rule of trendlines = The more we touch a trendline, the weaker it gets.
Now lets take our attention to Current Price Action:
As long as we close around these current prices today, we will print a BULLISH ENGULFING candle.
This print will also have our price action ABOVE the 21 EMA.
Though we've been above and below quite a few times, with other things playing out in the charts, i believe we have a more likely chance to continue ABOVE the 21 EMA.
Normally in UPTRENDS, staying ABOVE the 21 EMA is needed.
We will need a test of support and confirmation of maintaining it.
ALong with this, if our MACD prints a BULLISH CROSS while being above the 0 level, this would be key for BULLISH MOmentum to come in.
With MACD if the Red line in the RSI is broken and it takes the Path i drew out in black.
This would make it likely for the Ascending Triangle to play out to the measured target.
Check out my Doordash Idea to see example of Ascending triangle.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on PATH in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Microsoft (MSFT) -> Retesting The All Time HighMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Microsoft.
Looking at the higher timeframe you can see that Microsoft stock is once again retesting the previous all time high at the $340 resistance level.
Furthermore Microsoft is also creating an ascending triangle formation so I would love to see another bearish rejection and then the longer term bullish breakout.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
NVDA ~ Long-Term Buyers ZoneNvidia ~ A beast of a company & Leader in the Semi-Conductors and Computer industry
NVDA Stock has fallen nearly 60% with the recent market downturn. Nvidia has came to levels now attractive to buyers and is finding some Long-Term Support dating back to TrendLines from Years ago & Previous Resistance Zone in the Fall / Winter of 2020/2021.
Though Nvidia had some bad news recently which has pushed it further in to this zone, long term outlook from the company has not changed one bit. As the Price of NVDA falls the value behind the stock only increases, with the p/e falling to near 35.
Earnings are continuously growing annually, and this company is a monster in Tech. Long Term outlook here is strong, and the Risk/Reward near these levels are optimal for Long-Term investors.
If NVDA Breaks Below its current demand Zone which I expect it to consolidate in, we could see a run down to $100 and then Pre-Pandemic Levels.
TTM_Squeeze also indicates bearish momentum fading on the stock.
Overall, my thesis for NVDA Long-Term (3-5 years) is strong and bullish for new fresh ATHs.
QRTEA is in a bottleneckIt appears QRTEA is facing a bottleneck once we draw the bollinger band on a weekly basis, meaning low volatility, this situation usually do not take too long before it starts to widen up. We have a positive EMA Cross which can be considered as a bullish signal. If we take both indicators together, it may be possible to expect a maeaningful ride on price during these days or weeks.
Finally we know Michael Burry invested over $1.5M on this company during 2Q 2023 at $0.99, so he was (or is) optimistic about the future of this company at that price, thus considering the current price (which is 14% lower vs Burry's), is a great opportunity to capitalize on this. Stay alert.
Support: 0.80
Resistance: 1.2
Microsoft -> A Long Term Double Top?Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Microsoft💪
On the monthly timeframe you can see that Microsoft stock once again retested the previous all time high at the $340 level and once again rejected it towards the downside.
You can also see that after the recent retracement on Microsoft, MSFT stock is approaching previous structure at the $320 level from which we could see a short term bullish bounce.
And last but not least I am just waiting for the daily timeframe to shift back to a bullish market before I then do expect a short term rejection away from the daily and weekly support area.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
Nasdaq: support bounce to feed new continuation?Today's focus: NASDAQ (NDQ100)
Pattern – Continuation
Support – 15,015
Resistance – 15,435
• The Nasdaq led US indices on Monday, adding 1.05%
• Could this be the start of a new continuation higher?
Hi, and thanks for checking out today’s analysis. Today, our focus is on the NDQ100 index, and we are watching to see if yesterday’s rally and support hold could be the beginning of a new continuation pattern. In our last report, we discussed whether price could return to the main trendline after breaking its fast trend.
From here, we want to see buyers continue to push forward. Today’s retail sales at 8:30 could be a factor, and we feel that overly strong data could hurt stock indexes. A move back to support would be a worry and could show that buyer strength is not that strong currently. If we we see price continue to rally, 15,435 could be a first test.
Another news item to watch this week will be the FOMC meeting minutes. Buyers will be looking for a dovish tone from the Fed to help support upward momentum.
Have a great day and good trading.
Advanced Micro Device Can we bounce from 21 Weekly EMA?Hi Guys! This is a Technical Analysis on Advanced Micro Device (AMD) on the 1 Week Timeframe.
Previously i posted a chart on the Daily Timeframe, mentioning of a potential breakout to the upside. But it was short lived as a fakeout, and we are down 7ish% since then.
To get an understanding of what went wrong, i decided to analyze the Weekly timeframe to get a bigger picture.
As you can see:
We have closed BELOW the SUPPORT line of the triangle.
We have also closed below this short term RED Horizontal support line.
And we are now Testing SUPPORT on the 21 Weekly EMA.
This is a Major development in my opinion.
21 EMA is used to determine trend:
->If its ABOVE = BULLISH
->If its BELOW = BEARISH
Whenever we are ABOVE the 21 EMA, its important for the BULLISH trend to have price action test SUPPORT on the EMA, every now and then.
For the BULLISH Trend to continue, we need CONFIRMATION that the 21 EMA indeed acted as SUPPORT.
But there is also the case, of the 21 EMA not being able to maintain SUPPORT.
So whats more likely in our current situation?
In my Opinion, its becoming more likely or probable that we BREAK BELOW 21 EMA.
For me and for more evidence i like to use INDICATORS.
Ive highlighted some Scenarios that mirror our current developments in the 3 indicators ive added.
Notice the Differences between how far we drop under the 21 EMA and the variations found in the indicators.
For Price action to weaken and drop below 21 EMA, 3 things need to happen:
1. RSI -> Showing the Orange line break support and move BELOW the Black line. The longer stay below and continue lower, more likely for price declines.
2. MACD -> BEAR CROSS, (Blue line below Orange line) and the appearance of Red Histogram.
3. STOCH RSI -> Below the 20 level. The longer we stay below this level, more likely for price decline
We are currently in this SCENARIO, highlighted by BLACK BOX.
So now to determine exactly how far BELOW we go, If we do break SUPPORT.
To gauge at that, we look LEFT and we look at the specific changes/ differences in the indicators.
For LARGER PRICE DECLINES like in Scenario #3 and #4
-> MACD Histogram Bars were LARGE
-> MACD Blue/Orange lines moved BELOW 0 level
-> STOCH RSI for #3 continued for about 133 days (longest compared to other scenarios).
-> RSI Orange line stayed below Black line for extended period
Now notice #1 and #2
-> The indicators didnt show extreme variations as seen in #3 and #4
-> Scenario #2 Price action was below 21 EMA for a decent amount of time but it was consolidating, rather than having a major decline.
-> Though the RSI Orange line was below the Black for extended time,
-> the STOCH RSI was at oversold area for 119 days,
-> the MACD Orange/Blue line NOT dose diving BELOW 0 level, helped price action maintain a range before moving back over 21 EMA.
We have to keep in mind though that history DOES NOT have to repeat and that a new scenario can be possible
BUT Main thing to watch is the size of the histograms of the MACD and whether or not we stay ABOVE the 0 level, in my opinion.
A level to look at is the SUPPORT line labeled "MAJOR SUPPORT".
IF we do close BELOW 21 EMA, it becomes more likely we test this line.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on AMD in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Tesla may reverse from hereBased on the analysis, it appears that Tesla's stock price has gone through a specific pattern known as the Elliott Wave Theory (i,ii,iii, and iv looking to be completed. This theory suggests that markets move in predictable patterns consisting of five waves in the direction of the main trend and three waves against the trend. In this case, you're indicating that Tesla's stock has completed its 4th wave, which retraced approximately 38% of the prior price move.
If this analysis is accurate and Tesla's stock price is following this Elliott Wave pattern, it suggests that the stock might be preparing to enter its 5th wave. The 5th wave is typically an upward-moving wave that aligns with the overall trend of the stock. The upside may be 300-317-335 $.
However, it's important to recognize that Elliott Wave Theory, as well as the use of Fibonacci retracements, relies on interpreting price charts and patterns. While these tools can provide insights into potential price movements, they are not foolproof predictions. Market behavior is influenced by a multitude of factors such as news, events, economic data, and overall market sentiment. These factors can lead to unexpected price movements that may deviate from the predicted patterns.
Disclaimer : As a reminder, trading and investing come with inherent risks. Decisions should be made with careful consideration of various factors, including both technical analysis (like Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci retracements) and fundamental analysis (such as a company's financial health, competitive landscape, and industry trends). Consulting with financial professionals, conducting thorough research, and implementing risk management strategies are advisable before making any investment decisions.
Advanced Micro Device Symmetrical Triangle Break/ Swing Hi guys this is a Technical Analysis on a Swing Trade opportunity for Micro Advanced Devices (AMD) on the 1 Day Timeframe.
Crruently, we are in the process of breaking out of the Upper trend line of the Symmetrical Triangle. Notice how we are coinciding with the previous candles WICK.
Now before taking any trades, make sure that the breakout is CONFIRMED. Which i will update on the confirmation.
If would be positive for this breakout if we test SUPPORT on this Upper trendline of the Triangle.
KEEP WATCH of FAKEOUTS, where we enter back into the triangle***
Our 1st Target = $125 - $132 range
Our next target and what i'd love to see is if we get ABOVE this range and act as SUPPORT on the "MAJOR RESISTANCE" line.
This MAJOR RESISTANCE line coincides with our TOP on Novemeber 2021.
Lets look at some more CLUE that will help strengthen this breakout in the INDICATORS:
RSI -> Notice how the RSI is coiling up in this range between the BLACK lines.
-> If we break above the UPPER line, this would indicate a trend change and will be a catalyst we need.
STOCH RSI -> Is showing a BULLISH CROSS. This would inject momentum into the breakout and help it move towards Target 1.
MACD => Is also showing that we have BULLISH momentum coming in, with the print of the GREEN histogram and BUllish cross inching towards the 0 level.
-> If we get above this 0 level with the cross, it will further the Bullish Momentum case.
TRADE IDEA:
STOP LOSS 5% below the Upper Trend Line of the Symmetrical Triangle
Scale in your buy orders
CONCLUSION:
We are in the process of breaking a Symmetrical Triangle which will require confirmation for validity. The first target is highlighted on the chart, with the best course of action being us breaking ABOVE the MAJOR RESISTANCE line and having it act as SUPPORT. Our indicators are either showing signs of a bullish case or is in the process of exhibiting such signs.
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DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.