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How To identify the Jesse Livermore Buy PatternAs traders, we're always on the lookout for reliable patterns that can give us an edge in the market. One such pattern, popularized by the legendary trader Jesse Livermore, is the Accumulation Cylinder with Widening Mouth. This pattern is a rare but potentially explosive formation that can signal a significant price move. What is the Accumulation Cylinder with Widening Mouth? The Accumulation Cylinder with Widening Mouth is a technical analysis pattern where the price of an asset moves back and forth between two non-parallel lines, creating a cylinder-like shape. Over time, the "mouth" of the cylinder widens as the price continues to fluctuate within the pattern. This pattern is often seen during periods of consolidation, where the market is accumulating before a potential breakout. Key Characteristics Non-Parallel Lines: The price moves between two trendlines that are not parallel. Widening Mouth: The distance between the trendlines increases over time. Consolidation: The pattern typically forms during a period of consolidation, where the price is ranging within a defined area. Volume: You must see that the volume size is as pictured in the schema. This post is real evidence that such a pattern does exist. In addition, you can see that the consolidation period takes time to develop... No need to rush... Also, if you have not got on it from the start, by looking at the past, you can estimate that the runup is just starting, so you can still get some of the cream. The Plus and Minus are showing increasing volume vs decreasing volume.
NASDAQ:PLTREducation
by ZoharCho
1
HOW TO Document your RESEARCH using TradingViewDocumenting your research as a trader is not just beneficial—it's essential. After a decade in the trenches, I know that organized, thorough documentation can make the difference between a profitable strategy and a missed opportunity. TradingView is not just a charting platform, it is also a journal, a diary, for ALL your trading ideas. The features it has are enormous. You can literally screenshot/snip your screen or part of it from another window and then CTRL+V it onto the chart itself. Personal TIP: I picture my physical notes, then I put the picture inside next to the chart, then I save the chart image with a link, and then I put the link into the idea text, and it shows me the note, like here: You can always revise your documentation and add to it as much as you want. The more evidence you can add, the more sound your pattern is, and the more confident you will be in putting your money on it, since you "KNOW" it should manifest because it is backed up by stock market logic and research. The price will move, with you or without you, ask yourself always the question: "Can this move be predicted beforehand?" and start your way from there... Be honest with yourself, some moves just CANT be predicted, they come out of nowhere, but others CAN and WILL give you HUGE SIGNS... if you document them... Here’s a structured approach to help you capture and refine your trading insights: 1. Find a Market Logic Before diving into trades, establish a market logic—a hypothesis or theory that drives your trading decisions. This might stem from historical data patterns, news-driven market reactions, or economic indicators. Ensure your logic is grounded in data and has a clear basis for expected outcomes. This foundational step helps avoid random, emotion-driven trades. 2. Give It a Name Assign a distinct and memorable name to your market logic. This helps you quickly reference and differentiate between multiple strategies. A good name can be as simple as “Earnings Reversal Strategy” or as creative as “The Phoenix Rebound.” Naming your strategy not only aids in documentation but also enhances your cognitive recall during decision-making. 3. Take Pictures of It Documenting your strategy visually is crucial. Take screenshots of relevant charts, trade setups, and indicators. Annotate these images with key details like entry and exit points, stop-loss levels, and any other pertinent information. Visual aids can clarify your logic and make it easier to analyze past trades. TradingView allows you to insert a chart into your research, giving you the most visual documentation possible. By the way, if you are short in time, you can do a video of your documentation and speaking your idea of a strategy instead of writing it, much faster documentation. Also, much more interactive for future reference. 4. Write the Pros of It Clearly outline the pros of your strategy. These could include: Consistency: Does your strategy yield reliable results over time? Risk Management: Does it have built-in mechanisms to minimize losses? Simplicity: Is it straightforward to execute without complex calculations? Adaptability: Can it be applied across different market conditions? 5. Write the Cons of It - Are You Maybe Wrong? Be honest about the cons of your strategy. Acknowledge potential weaknesses: Overfitting: Does your strategy rely too heavily on historical data, potentially failing in real-time? Complexity: Is it too complicated to execute consistently? Market Conditions: Does it only work in specific market environments? Emotional Bias: Are there elements that could lead to biased decision-making? 6. Write the Limitations of It - Where It Works, and Why? Define the limitations of your strategy. Clearly state where and why it works, and under what conditions it might fail: Timeframes: Does it perform best on certain timeframes (e.g., daily, weekly)? Market Phases: Is it more effective during trending or ranging markets? Instrument Specificity: Does it work better with certain asset classes (stocks, forex, commodities)? Understanding these limitations helps you apply your strategy more effectively and avoid unnecessary risks. 7. Connect with Different Ideas - Do They Make Sense? Finally, cross-reference your strategy with other ideas and strategies. This process involves: Finding synergies: Does your strategy complement other existing strategies? Seeking validation: Are there external sources or research that support your logic? Peer Review: Discuss your strategy with fellow traders to gain different perspectives.
NASDAQ:COINEducation
by ZoharCho
1
HOW TO TRADE with the ICHIMOKUThe Ichimoku is one of the best-trending indicators out there. The best strategy you could use is the CLOUD BREAK. When the price is breaking out of the cloud, you enter into a trade in this direction. This is the best strategy because the Ichimoku Indicator shows you multiple timeframes simultaneously, but the cloud is the highest timeframe, which means it is the strongest, and you will have fewer whipsaws and false entries with it. This indicator is also a great tool, to hold onto your winning trades and let your profits run. Once you get professional with it, you will know how to recognize both trending environments and ranging environments. This means that you will know how to apply different strategies that are fit to that specific environment.
NASDAQ:COINEducation
by ZoharCho
Stock Market Logic Series #13The double bottom and double top patterns are among the most powerful and reliable indicators in technical analysis. These formations provide traders with insights into potential trend reversals, making them valuable tools in a trader's arsenal. However, one must approach these patterns with patience and discipline to truly harness their power. Statistically, the price often does not move decisively on the first attempt, and waiting for confirmation can significantly improve the likelihood of a successful trade entry. A double bottom pattern occurs when a stock's price hits a low point, rebounds, and then retests the same low point before moving upward. This pattern suggests that the selling pressure is diminishing, and buyers are starting to take control. Conversely, a double-top pattern forms when the price reaches a high point, retraces, and then retests the same high point before moving downward. This indicates that buying pressure is waning, and sellers are gaining the upper hand. One of the key aspects of trading these patterns is patience. It's essential to wait for the price to confirm the pattern before entering a trade. For a double bottom, this means waiting for the price to break above the resistance level formed between the two lows. For a double top, it involves waiting for the price to break below the support level formed between the two highs. By waiting for these confirmations, traders can avoid false signals and increase their chances of entering a profitable trade. This is because you will not fall into the trap of HINDSIGHT backtesting and it is clear that an M or W happened. HINDSIGHT backtesting is that you have the hindsight advantage when you backtest, but you don't have it when you do REAL-TIME trading. FYI, TradingView gives you the ability to do a reply of bars ... This gives you the dramatic advantage of seeing if your trading rules are REAL-TIME approved. Patience is particularly crucial because, statistically, the price often makes multiple attempts to break through these key levels. Impatient traders who jump in too early may find themselves caught in a false breakout or worse an "imaginary breakout", resulting in losses. By waiting for the price to confirm the pattern, traders can ensure that the trend reversal is genuine and increase their odds of success. Imaginary breakout is when you imagine the price will do what you believe it will do, and it never does it. This cognitive error causes you to enter trades you would have never taken when you backtested your strategy. John Bollinger, the creator of the Bollinger Bands, recognizes the power of double bottom and double top patterns. Bollinger Bands are a popular technical analysis tool that measures market volatility and provides a dynamic range within which prices are likely to move. When combined with double bottom and double top patterns, Bollinger Bands can further enhance a trader's decision-making process. TradingView also functions as the best Trading Journal , I have my whole series of stock market logic ideas which I always refer back to. Also, you can add inside the journal idea a picture of the chart that is automatically stored and displayed on the TradingView ideas. What you see on the chart is a confirmed validated M-pattern (the pink is the manifestation of the pattern), then after it you see a period of "NOT LONG". This gives you a "TELL" that the probability of the rallies... they are fake. Then, you see a confirmed W-pattern (the pink is the manifestation of the pattern), then after it, you see a period of "LONG". This gives you a "TELL" that the probability of the corrections... they are fake. When YOU, yes YOU, "KNOWS" statistically, when a fake pricing happens... this is a very lucrative business opportunity...
NASDAQ:TTDEducation
by ZoharCho
Stock Market Logic Series #12 TradingView is so awesome that they let you change any piece of the chart . You can use this chart template for visual clarity. FYI, all my chart templates, are for visual clarity trading purposes, you can choose anyone that looks good for your eyes. So in this chapter in the series #12 lets see what we have here. 1 - The trendline is still alive. 2 - On the correction, you can see that there is a high volume on the upside. So it means that the puppet master is buying. 3 - You could see that there are 3 down candles, on increasing volume, but their spread is smaller and smaller. So it means that the puppet master also buying on the downside, also, stops where hit there strongly, and many people stopped out directly into the hands of the puppet master, classic puppet master move. 4 - The biggest volume is on the up side ! since this is the last (recent) piece of information, this is what counts! so currently, the chart is LONG biased. 5 - Crack pattern AWARENESS- if the price will test the low, it will be the crack pattern and then the price can go down up until $105 again. It will also be a break of trendline so it makes sense that there will be a fast SHORT move. But if the price goes to test $135 and then makes $140 push, it will be a failure of the crack pattern, which increases even more dramatically the LONG bias. WHY? Because if it is short... the crack pattern should materialize... since it can't materialize... it means it is not short, so it is LONG. #### I already showed the same exact logic, in AMD, failed crack pattern (in the past posts). #### 2 & 3 & 4 Examplify beautifully my concept of FORCE of the puppet master.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by ZoharCho
6
Stock Market Logic Series #11If you are not adding the pre-and-after-hours of trading on your chart, you don't actually see the full picture of your trading analysis. A lot of times, the market makers will push the price on the pre/after-hours times on a light volume, and will define the true low or high of the day, where you could have gotten inside with a much better price and stop placement, so when the trading hours starts, you don't feel lost that you don't have a close risk point to put your stop at. Also, in those outside-hours, you can clearly see a much more sensible picture where the trendlines are much more clear and it is clear what the price is doing. Also, I don't even talk about when EARNINGS are happening... and there is a high chance for gap to happen in one direction or the other. After a gap happens, if you only look on the trading hours, you have only the information of the first 5 min of the day so you have some estimation of what could be the high or low of the day, but looking at the pre-market you could see what are the possible true high or low of the day, which is completely different. Also, after a gap happens, your indicators are "wrong", since they miss information. As you go into a higher frame this becomes less important, but still... some crazy huge moves start in the pre/after-hours and the price just never comes back, it just flies to the moon. So why not position yourself at a better price with better stop placement? The logic behind it, is that if BIG money wants a stock badly... he will buy it whenever it is possible and available before the other BIG money will snatch it from it... Look how clear price action looks in this chart:
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ZoharCho
15
How to PROTECT your profits while letting them runIn the trading business you need to let your profits run while also managing your risks that means to cut your losses short. Losses of unrealized profits are real profits that are lost. What if you could save them? Well, there is a way... It is not always available but it is one you want to know since if you can save 3 points of wiggle room and pay 1 point or less, over the long run it adds up to HUGE chunk of profit to your bottom line. The reason I applied this method is because TSLA was doing 3 days in a row a push and gap up, so it seems likely people will want to take profits... but this is TSLA... it can shoot up above 500 and reach who knows where... (she did it before...). So I want to TAKE MY HUGE profit, while giving it the option to continue to the moon, if it will want to do so... You can never take the very top anyway, so if you "give back" 1 point of profit it is considered reasonable, but if in case the price falls down sharply or gapped down I can give back maybe 3 points with this strength of volatility, which is undesireable. So what I did? I sold the PUT option at strike 470 at a price of $15 (my point was $17) so for me it is even less than a point so it is very attractive deal to me... Then... if the price had crushed down it meant for me that I sold my stocks at a price of 470 while paying the hedge cost of the PUT option of 15 so it is equivalent to me that I sold my stock at a price of 455, which is ALMOST the top. Making sure ~90% of the profit stays in my pocket. So I WIN. If the price would continue to shoot up, then I making SUPER HUGE MONEY, while sleeping like a baby, that I already realized my HUGE profit. So I WIN. So either way, I WIN ! Since the price did not crushed the next day and hold, and my stop loss advanced, so there was no longer need to my PUT option hedge since if price will fall I will get out with the stop loss with the same profit. So I sold the PUT hedge for a small loss, so the hedge cost me 0.25 a point overall. SUPER WORTH IT ! FYI, this comes from years of experience, but I give you some of my experience, you could do it too. The moral of the story... when you have HUGE profit, and you feel itchy to take profit, don't ! and try to hedge yourself with options ! this way, if you were wrong and you have GME, AMC on your hand, you don't let them go, and you WIN either way ! Sleeping like a baby.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ZoharCho
2
A stock to watch for... LONG setup or PUMP and DUMP ? PSQ Holdings, Inc. (PSQH) has recently seen a significant surge in its stock price following the announcement that Donald Trump Jr. will join the company's board of directors. This news has generated substantial investor interest, leading to a more than 270% increase in share price for the session. The addition of Donald Trump Jr. to the board is a strong positive signal for the company, indicating potential strategic changes and increased credibility. Given the recent surge in stock price and positive analyst ratings, there is a strong case for a continued upward trend. In addition, his father is the USA president... And you know what I think of human nature... So trust human nature... and watch for a LONG setup on this stock. Obviously, watch it carefully so it will not turn out as a pump and dump, so manage your risk properly.
NYSE:PSQHLong
by ZoharCho
How I identify the best forex pairs to trade: (2)Here is how I identify the best forex pairs to trade: (Publication #2 / Update) In the top left panel, the indicator 'Compare Forex' displays the PERFORMANCE of each major currency. The USD (red line) has been the strongest currency for the past 2 months on H6 charts. By identifying the strongest currency, all that remains is to trade the USD against all the other currencies since they are weaker. = Smooth stress-free charts. I look at my trades 2-3 times a day to see if they are still blue or red. Takes a few minutes. __ DEC 1st UPDATE: Last week, the JPY became the strongest performing currency. The JPY (yellow line) crossed above the USD (red line). When the performance of the USD became weaker than the JPY = The USDJPY PAIR turned down.
Education
by ascension
USDCAD H1 - Stress-Free Clear Charts.Stress-Free Clear Charts. (Required 10 years in R&D.) In this layout, we see these indicators: (From top to bottom of the screen) -Angle: Shows the Angle of the Trend. -Bear&Bull Powers: Displays who are in Power, the Bulls or the Bears. -Strength: Shows the Strength of the Trend. -Template: Always clearly shows the direction and precisely where to open and close (where to flip position). We open at the beginning of the Trend and stay in all the way till the end, stress-free. Turns perfectly. -Performance: We see where to enter and close, the pullbacks and the performance. -Odds: Shows the Odds everywhere. -Probability: Shows the Probability all the way. -Compare Forex: We see the performance of each currency of the Pair on chart. Each line is one currency. USD in Red. CAD in White. When the USD is above the CAD, the USDCAD pair goes up. And vice versa, when the USD is below the CAD, the USDCAD pair goes down. The background color displays the intensity of the trend.
by ascension
Gap opportunity setup -TSLA Gaps are opportunity setups for trading purposes, but why? Because at those times you know for sure that something is happening with the stock so it will move to a certain direction. It gives you a signal of one of the following scenarios: - Someone is "exploiting" news and creating a shakeout to generate liquidity for himself so he can buy more stocks by inducing FEAR into the hearts of the paper hands. - Someone urgently wants to get rid of his stock, so he reduces the price until he finds uninformed value investors who can take from him the stocks. Since he is the puppet master who is a giant of industry relative to the ants of uninformed value investors, there will never be more uninformed value investors demand than his supply, so the gap can't be filled. Note to self: To create educational idea about this. Here I just described 2 scenarios out of 8 possible scenario combinations. You have TrendUP/TrendDown (2) Multiplied X by Gap up/Gap Down (2) Multiplied X by Filled/ Not Filled (2) Equals = (8) combinations. Again, if you don't have the master puppet philosophy of stock market logic, you are always confused. If you look at the market like the master puppet, everything makes sense and you have calm and easy trading. See my other posts about the puppet master theory and philosophy to know more. See that there is an upcoming earnings in TSLA very soon, the stock is just begging to move... If the stock will remain in place, and there will be gap up in earnings, there will be Island pattern so this is clear strong indication to the LONG side...
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ZoharCho
4
AUDUSD H1 -AUD Strongest Currency Against USD Weakest=UpTrend(2)This indicates which currencies are GAINING value and which currencies are LOSING value. As a result, we see which pairs to trade. By trading the currency gaining the most value against the currency losing the most value = We aspire to ride the strongest trends, obtain the highest performance, be in the safest trades and to avoid the choppy chaotic charts. --- This layout displays the Value, Performance and Pressure behind each currency. Let's break it down by panel. -- In the top panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Performance All 8 Currencies. We see the performance of all 8 major currencies. Most recent bars: AUD (Orange line) is the strongest currency. USD (Red line) is the weakest currency. So, we bought the AUDUSD pair because both currencies are going opposite ways (AUD going up / USD going down). -- In the second panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Pair Performance. We see the Performance of the 2 currencies of the pair on chart. The AUD (Orange line) and the USD (Red line) + the Pressure of the Pair in the background. The brighter the color in background = The higher is the performance for the pair on chart. -- In the 3rd panel: Indicator: The 'Template'. (Over 10 years in R&D to paint the chart perfectly.) Resistance was broken and retested. Resistance became support. -- In the 4th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Pressure. We see the Pressure behind each currencies of the pair on chart. The Higher is the line = More Upside pressure. The Lower is the line = More Downside pressure. -- 5th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Value of the Base currency (AUD). Displays the Value of the AUD + Intensity Background (Up/Down) 6th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Value of the Quote currency (USD). Displays the Value of the USD + Intensity Background (Up/Down) Strategy for 5th and 6th panels: Blue Background (One Currency Gaining Value) AGAINST Red Background (One Currency Losing Value) = Pair Trending. (If you want to learn more about this, we have recorded a video. Comment 'Video'.)
Long
by ascension
AUDUSD H1 - AUD Strongest Currency Against USD Weakest = UpTrendThis indicates which currencies are GAINING value and which currencies are LOSING value. As a result, we see which pairs to trade. By trading the currency gaining the most value against the currency losing the most value = We aspire to ride the strongest trends, obtain the highest performance, be in the safest trades and to avoid the choppy chaotic charts. --- This layout displays the Value, Performance and Pressure behind each currency. Let's break it down by panel. -- In the top panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Performance All 8 Currencies. We see the performance of all 8 major currencies. Most recent bars: AUD (Orange line) is the strongest currency. USD (Red line) is the weakest currency. So, we bought the AUDUSD pair because both currencies are going opposite ways (AUD going up / USD going down). -- In the second panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Pair Performance. We see the Performance of the 2 currencies of the pair on chart. The AUD (Orange line) and the USD (Red line) + the Pressure of the Pair in the background. The brighter the color in background = The higher is the performance for the pair on chart. -- In the 3rd panel: Indicator: The 'Template'. (Over 10 years in R&D to paint the chart perfectly.) Resistance was broken and retested. Resistance became support. -- In the 4th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Pressure. We see the Pressure behind each currencies of the pair on chart. The Higher is the line = More Upside pressure. The Lower is the line = More Downside pressure. -- 5th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Value of the Base currency (AUD). Displays the Value of the AUD + Intensity Background (Up/Down) 6th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Value of the Quote currency (USD). Displays the Value of the USD + Intensity Background (Up/Down) Strategy for 5th and 6th panels: Blue Background (One Currency Gaining Value) AGAINST Red Background (One Currency Losing Value) = Pair Trending. (If you want to learn more about this, we have recorded a video. Comment 'Video'.)
Long
by ascension
2
AUDUSD H1 - AUD Strongest Currency Against USD Weakest = UpTrendThis indicates which currencies are GAINING value and which currencies are LOSING value. As a result, we see which pairs to trade. By trading the currency gaining the most value against the currency losing the most value = We aspire to ride the strongest trends, obtain the highest performance, be in the safest trades and to avoid the choppy chaotic charts. --- This layout displays the Value, Performance and Pressure behind each currency. Let's break it down by panel. -- In the top panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Performance All 8 Currencies. We see the performance of all 8 major currencies. Most recent bars: AUD (Orange line) is the strongest currency. USD (Red line) is the weakest currency. So, we bought the AUDUSD pair because both currencies are going opposite ways (AUD going up / USD going down). -- In the second panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Pair Performance. We see the Performance of the 2 currencies of the pair on chart. The AUD (Orange line) and the USD (Red line) + the Pressure of the Pair in the background. The brighter the color in background = The higher is the performance for the pair on chart. -- In the 3rd panel: Indicator: The 'Template'. (Over 10 years in R&D to paint the chart perfectly.) Resistance was broken and retested. Resistance became support. -- In the 4th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Pressure. We see the Pressure behind each currencies of the pair on chart. The Higher is the line = More Upside pressure. The Lower is the line = More Downside pressure. -- 5th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Value of the Base currency (AUD). Displays the Value of the AUD + Intensity Background (Up/Down) 6th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Value of the Quote currency (USD). Displays the Value of the USD + Intensity Background (Up/Down) Strategy for 5th and 6th panels: Blue Background (One Currency Gaining Value) AGAINST Red Background (One Currency Losing Value) = Pair Trending. (If you want to learn more about this, we have recorded a video. Comment 'Video'.)
Long
by ascension
1
What are Volume Candles and how to use themVolume Candles are a great chart type you can use to integrate volume analysis into your trading. TradingView is a superb platform that offers this chart type in real-time, so you can immediately get a completely different feel of what the market is actually doing. As an experienced trader, understanding volume candles is crucial in getting a deeper insight into market dynamics. Unlike standard candlestick charts, which focus primarily on price movement, volume candles combine price action with the strength of trading activity (volume). This offers a unique perspective that can give you an edge in reading market sentiment and momentum. What Are Volume Candles? Volume candles are modified candlestick charts where the width of the candle is proportional to the trading volume during the corresponding time period. The typical candlestick elements—open, high, low, and close prices—are still present, but the volume aspect adds an additional layer of information, enhancing the clarity of price action. Key Features of Volume Candles: Height: Represents price movement (just like in regular candlesticks). Width: Indicates the volume of trades within that period. Unique Information You Can Extract from Volume Candles: 1. Volume-Driven Price Action Volume candles show how much trading interest exists at various price levels. When you observe a large volume candle, it tells you that a lot of market participants were active at that price. Conversely, a thin candle signals lower activity. This helps you: A. Identify levels where strong participation occurs (institutional players what I call the puppet master). B. Spot consolidation zones where volume is low, which often precedes significant price moves. 2. Momentum Confirmation High-volume candles that align with price trends suggest strong momentum. Wide Bullish Candles: If you see a wide up candle during an uptrend, it indicates that the buying pressure is backed by solid volume. This gives more credibility to the uptrend and hints at a continued move upward. Wide Bearish Candles: Similarly, a wide down candle during a downtrend signals strong selling pressure. Volume Candle Chart can also be used for day trading purposes where you need to act FAST. This TradingView chart type is extremely good so you don't need to compare the traditional volume bars on the bottom of the chart. IMPORTANT: You must understand the puppet master mentality, which gives you context. *** EXTRA: You can use this theme color.
NASDAQ:COINEducation
by ZoharCho
4
Stock Market Logic Series #10Do you think the above is a coincidence? There are no coincidences in life - only cause and effect. You are where you are because of a cause that is bound to physical and natural laws. The same pressure of physics that works on the airplane wing, or the balloon that wants to push its way up when pressed into water (pool), also works in the stock market. You just have to KNOW how to SEE it. follow my explanation. If you follow the price action, you can see clearly where the high-pressure volume comes in, you can't miss it. It is obviously seen. Then you need to wait for the correction, and you want to see that the correction is demonstrating a low-volume pressure behavior. When you see this low volume pressure behavior, the stock has DRIED UP. This DRYING-UP effect is a key indicator of a probable future LIFT and stock movement. You want to ask yourself the question: Why the stock is not falling down anymore? The question of "WHY" is searching for the cause BEHIND the stock movement. The stock movement is only the effect! In previous posts, I explained the other LOGIC behind this pattern, and explained why the price should not fall down and with a high probability of going up. If you read any of the books of Jesse Livermore, he clearly states that you need to "KNOW" that the stock will move your way, first let the market "SHOW YOU" exactly what will happen, and only then you put in a trade. The KEY CONCEPT in this idea is the DRYING UP OF VOLUME. When you understand the WHY behind the stock movement, buying and selling are emotionless. The focus should be only a trading setups that you "KNOW" it is highly probable to move in your expected trade direction. You "KNOW" because you have stock market LOGIC to back it up. If you want a specific post about Jesse Livermore's trading rules, let me know in the comments. It is always important to make sure that you have the correct perspective on the stock market, otherwise, you get confused. There is only at every given time only ONE side to the market as Jesse Livermore said, "The RIGHT SIDE". This goes back to my idea, that at every given time the puppet master ONLY buys or sells but NOT BOTH.
NASDAQ:POETEducation
by ZoharCho
Stock Market Logic Series #8The natural psychological expectation is that after a stock goes up, it will continue to shoot up and go to the moon. But the truth is, that most of the time, the above does NOT happen immediately. WHY? Put yourself in the shoes of the BIG SHARK, the Puppet master... You want to buy the stock so you increase the price to lure people to sell to you. When you reach this point of selling, you know this is a price people are willing to sell... So what do you do? You stop buying and start ABSORBING all the selling from the weak hands. Not all weak hands are the same. Some people will want to sell at the new high or resistance. Some people will fear and want to sell at support. But what truly matters, is that when the BIG SHARK discovered where the ACCUMULATION zone, he has zero motivation to mark the price up further. And before the next run-up, he will stop force buying and start to let others sell into him (whipsaw motion). This is the WHY, price will not move further up IMMEDIATELY. And you will usually see a flag pattern or a triangle pattern before the next run-up. So always remember to keep in mind, that the LONG SIDE needs a RUNWAY before takeoff. I am talking here about being consistent and having extremely more confidence in your trading. Once you understand the LOGIC behind the patterns, you are much more likely to trade them correctly. It is much more bullish to wait for the RUNWAY to form than just buying a new high. In this post, I explained the logic of why so many new highs are "fails" and do not take off...
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ZoharCho