Tenaga
Down for now, Buy again at a discounted PriceMy view on TENAGA, price will be floating around $7 to $5.8 ish, looking for "big shark" purchase power around that area before it continues to go up. Fyi, TENAGA is one of my choice in term of 'dividend growth' investment. I will be looking to buy when I see weaker bearish. -FIN
KLCI “Finally” reached 1490. 10/June/22KLCI Finally break below 1500 and reached 1490 as last wave e or last leg of bullish triangle as previous ideas. But “maybe” still having some “space” for downside until around 1480? As its “big brother” composed “stock” which is Tenaga still waits to break RM8.570 before “bottoming”?..
Tenaga Price may drop till around RM8.50. 13/Jan/221)On Charts : Charts consist of 3-Dimensions - The X-factor ( Time or Cycle ), The Y- factor ( Price Geometry ), AND The Z-factor ( The Speed ).. 2)On Elliot Wave / Market Structure : Unlike Textbook written rule : ALL Impulsive wave comprise of ONLY a-b-c sub-waves NOT 1,2,3,4,5 waves.. AND there is NO Truncated 5th wave BUT ONLY wrong wave counts...
Tenaga - No catalystMarket Structure
1. Price moving in the downtrend channel . Currently being supported at 9.97, being tested 3 times with higher RSI . Possible technical rebound towards the top of the downtrend channel
2. Moving averages still showing downtrend, with steep slope for the WMA200, and HMA50 with no sign of reversal yet.
3. Extending the UHV in Jun 2021, can see resistance at 11.25 which may indicates possible rebound level.
4. VOP - POC is way at around RM15.50. Not significant evaluation at the moment.
Area of Value
1. Resistant at 11.25 based on UHV
2. Upper level of the Downtrend channel
3. Support at 9.50. Break below will see continuation of downward movement towards 7.50.
Trigger
1. No trigger on PA.
Fundamental
1. Finbox valuation as of 26 May 2021 at 12.77
2. 5Y & 10Y DCF valuation ranges between 13.80 to 16.92
3. PE multiples at 12.45
4. Dividend model 7.38
Conclusion (26/5/21)
My opinion is to put more weightage on TA for Tenaga at this moment, as i do not see any catalyst in term of business that may serve as growth engine for Tenaga.
TNB Support & Resistance ChartPersonally, what I learnt is there must be a Technical Analysis Strategic Plan in order to increase the risk-to-ratios favourable risks.
1. Draw Support & Resistance
2. Identify the stages (Accumulation, Advancing, Distribution, Declining)
3. Entry Triggers
4. Stop Loss
5. Exits
I have learnt during my past mistakes that we should let the stock price comes to us, rather than us chasing the stock prices!