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WHERE IS THE BITCOIN BOTTOM?? IS IT ALREADY IN??So the FTX mess really destroyed the potential that crypto had to rally. The DXY broke down as we predicted hitting our third target on Friday, letting the stocks and currencies rally against the dollar. However, crypto was left out of this rally because of the FTX mess. So where is the next opportunity?? After not holding 19600 and breaking the 18500 support that we held for over a month, BTC looks to head lower and is in the middle of nowhere. - As long as we're below 18500- 19600 we are bearish until we reach 12200- 13000. THERE IS NOTHING IN BETWEEN, any long from here would be pure gambling and not a profitable strategy in the long run. \ WHAT TO DO? - Hold on to your money until a trade opportunity arises, which will either be a bullish edge at around 12k or a bearish edge between 18500-19600. Moreover, - We have massive support as shown around 12k. We also have the PCZ of a massive bullish sark around 11.2k, where we could wick to should we head to 12k.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by SynergyTradingSetups
Daily review of BTC interval 4HHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price has left the triangle sideways and is currently just above the local uptrend line. Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $16727, if the support is broken then the next support is $16451, $16234 and $16015. Now let's move on to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance the price is currently fighting is $16967, if you manage to break it the next resistance will be $17352, $17649 and $17964. Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that in the 4-hour interval we have a lot of energy for the next move, while the MACD indicator indicates that the blue line is above the red one, which confirms the maintenance of the local uptrend.
Short
by cryptodailyuk
1
BNB / USDT 4H INTERVAL, STOPLOSS AND TARGETSHello everyone, let's take a look at the 4H BNB to USDT chart as you can see the price is moving above the local downtrend line. Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can consider: T1 - $ 309 T2 - $ 317 T3 - $ 323 T4 - $ 329 and T5 - $ 338 Now let's move on to the stop loss in case of further market declines: SL1 - $ 289 SL2 - $ 274 SL3 - $ 262 and SL4 - $ 250 Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that in the 4H interval, most of the energy was used, and the MACD indicator shows a local upward trend.
by cryptodailyuk
2
An easy way to lower the risk profile of your stock portfolioThe correlation between Visa and Mastercard creates an interesting investment trick. I began this analysis not even looking for the correlation between these two companies' stock prices. But rather I was looking for some chart patterns using a stock screener. At the top of the list, these two companies emerged. As usual, I was going to go through the stock charts of all the companies in the list briefly to determine if they hold any chart pattern merit. However, as I scanned over Visa, and then Mastercard, I noticed they looked extremely similar. Weird. I then opened up Tradingview and put these stocks in. Side by side they look the same. These two companies have very similar price movements. No surprise, they are very similar companies. They are direct competitors. They are both big players in the global credit services market. Transacting trillions of dollars in total payments volumes per year. They’re both tech companies that connect the consumer and the merchant digitally for transactions. They have been seen as rivals for over a decade now. Neither Visa nor Mastercard are involved in extending credit or issuing cards. They work in a co-branded relationship with the card provider. That's why you will see their logos on your credit card but won’t see a full absolute Mastercard/Visa credit card. Visa is generally larger in terms of the transaction, purchase volume and cards in circulation. However, Mastercard growth has been picking up and may see a catch-up. Now let’s get back to the price movement analysis. I have split this up into three time periods and then done a Pearson Correlation Test. The first period is the matched IPO date to the current date. The next is the last 5 years and then the last 2 years. The reason for the three time periods is simple. I want to do a full IPO to current date analysis to get the full picture and long-term perspective. A 5-year analysis because if you look at the charts above, that’s when the volatility in the stocks picks up. The last 2 years, because if you look again at the charts above, some crazy price movements have been occurring in the last two years that do not follow the past 14-year trend. The closer to +1, the closer the correlation. March 2008 - Nov 2022: 0.83 Nov 2017 - Nov 2022: 0.92 Nov 2020 - Nov 2022: 0.90 As you can see from the above stats both of these stocks have a close relationship with each other. A higher correlation in recent years. Of course, correlation doesn’t mean causation. However, the fact that these two companies are very similar and direct competitors means that one could form a reasonable conclusion. Not that one stock is affecting the other price. But rather than investors see these two companies as very similar. Such that when they exit one, they exit the other. Unless there is a big reason not to. But as you can see from the stats above. The stocks have a close correlation over the last 14 years such that even if one says that, let, for example, Visa is going to grow faster than Mastercard, the chances are - Mastercard wouldn’t be far behind. Henceforth, this leads to an interesting investment tip: Let’s say you want to diversify your portfolio by gaining some exposure to the credit services industry. Since Visa and Mastercard are the two leading companies, you chose them. However, you only have enough money to invest in one. But you also want to lower the risk profile of your portfolio. Is there a way both can be done? The answer is yes, since Visa and Mastercard have such a close correlation and are very big established companies they will most likely follow each other in price movement. Also, since they are two different companies, you will be diversifying your investment and will be lowering your risk. So, you divide that last portion of your portfolio into two smaller portions and buy Visa and Mastercard 50:50. This will mean you get the exposure you are after, the returns as well since they have a close correlation, and the risk is lowered since they are two separate companies. Quite a cool trick is not it? I created three different portfolios. Each beginning with $10,000. I invested the full out in two of them into Visa and Mastercard. The last portfolio had a 50:50 split. I then calculated the standard daily deviation and the annualized standard deviation. Here are the results: Visa 100%: Start value: $10,000 End value: $137,295.57 Annualized STD: 29.60% Mastercard 100%: Start value: $10,000 End value: $151,466.00 Annualized STD: 32.30% Visa 50% Mastercard 50%: Start value: $10,000 End value: $144,380.79 Annualized STD: 29.50% As you can see from the above stats, once the two stocks have been combined the standard deviation drops by 8.67% and the standard deviation is lower than the two stocks individually. This means the risk is lower. However, yes, the final value isn’t as high as the Mastercard 100% the returns are higher than the sole Visa 100% portfolio by 5.10%. So, in other words, the risk has been lowered than if you had individual portfolios and the returns are higher as well. Of course, the returns aren’t as high as they are in the Mastercard 100% portfolio, but the risk is lower while still ensuring higher returns. This means the Visa 50% Mastercard 50% portfolio provides an effective way to reduce risk while increasing returns. However, one thing to note is the maximum drawdown was the lowest in the Mastercard 100% portfolio. The second lowest is Visa 50% Mastercard 50%. Highest in Visa 50%. So, ensure that if you are going to follow this strategy, there is more research to be done and it is best worked in a long-term investment strategy possibly combined with dollar cost averaging. To conclude, if you want to see a higher return while lowering the risk profile of your portfolio. It pays to diversify with similar correlating assets.
NYSE:V
by BlackbearTrader
NEOUSD Weekly Analyses NEOUSD seems to be forming descending wedge pattern. Last year NEO topped at $130+ it's also one of the coin which failed to break All time high like IOTA, XRP, DASH, BCH. but now it seems it's finally getting the momentum back. this chart shows that NEO will probably hit all time high around by the end of 2023 (time is very hard to predict). but here we go lol I am expecting a bull run to $400. so many people are bearish in the market right now. but i think bears are going to get REKT very soon.
Long
by CryptoSlazy
1
CRO / USDT 4H Interval- Targets and StoplossHello everyone, let's take a look at the 4H CRO to USDT chart as you can see the price has returned to our downtrend channel. Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can consider: T1 - $ 0.106 T2 - $ 0.115 T3 - $ 0.123 T4 - $ 0.129 and T5 - $ 0.139 Now let's move on to the stop loss in case of further market declines: SL1 - $ 0.087 SL2 - $ 0.075 and SL3 - $ 0.061 Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that in the 4H range the energy has been exhausted, while the MACD indicator shows a local downward trend.
by cryptodailyuk
1
Visa $V Rejecting off top channel resistance -- BearishGiven FOMC is behind us now and the market is most likely following another leg down I'm expecting a top line rejection off of the large channel on the daily. Rejected off the 200d MA of $218.11. Expect continuing rejection if we get a dead cat recovery at this point, but ultimately I see this impulse retracing back down. Notice the W pattern several bars before with a clear rejection off the top resistance with the large wick a few days prior. MACD is making lower highs, RSI is coming back down and about to cross the signal to the bearish side. Stochastic is losing steam as well starting to fall from overbought territory. VI+ looks like its done making an engulfing void to the upside, which indicates that a reversal pattern with VI- is probably around the corner. TTM squeeze looks like its starting to apex as well. Looking at the fib retrace from the previous low to high, and also following an extension downwards from previous high impulse to recent low and recent high we are looking at support levels of 0.236 at ~ $202.81 and 201.26 which is more or less where current price action is. Therefore expect the next couple of fib supports/resistances to be hit on both the retracement as well as the downward extension. Retracement supports are as follow -- 0.382 $194.42 0.5 $193.06 0.618 $188.70 Fib Extension resistances are as follow -- 0.382 $194.91 0.5 $189.79 0.618 $184.66 Looking at the volume profile we see a good shelf of support up to the 0.5 fib extension. Look for downward movement over the next 6 daily bars (10 days). Price action must clear the support shelf at $200 to continue downwards, otherwise expect sideways action between $200-203. PT1: -6 pts -2.99% to the 0.382 extension ~ $194.91 PT2: -11.11 pts -5.33% to the 0.5 extension ~ $190 -- I think this is where $V will find support and probably start heading sideways. Max PT: -16.11 pts -8.03% to the 0.618 fib extension ~ $185 -- Long shot, will have to continuously monitor to see how we move along with the macro and how the volume profile shapes up over the next few days. Stop loss: ~$203.50 +1.53% from current action -- This would be the last stop on the volume profile upwards where the next would be a gap towards the upside.
NYSE:VShort
by paolodamus
1
EURUSD I 30 min breakout I SHORT! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! **EURUSD - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support! Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
7
GOLD - potential swing longs from POIDear traders, Finally, GOLD has shown a reaction from a weekly POI. Potential buys are incoming. The price might drop down to test the demand zone before going higher. At the same time, it can just continue higher without any retracement. Anyway, we must REACT NOT PREDICT! Wait for a confirmation and use your own strategy for entry to get involved. Don't forget to manage your risk properly. DISCIPLINE Strive for patience, perseverance, determination, & rational action. Limit your losses, use stops. Never cancel a stop loss order after you have placed it! It's just an idea of mine. However, everyone can share their thoughts in the comment section below. Also, don't forget to support me! :) Disclaimer: Trade at your own risk. I'm sharing my ideas and not giving trading advice. Always plan your trade and trade your plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by d13wish
Daily review of BTC interval 4HHello everyone, I invite you to the BTC to USDT review for four hours and as you can see we are moving above the local uptrend line. Looking at the next hours, maybe days we have a support zone from twenty thousand six hundred fifty one dollars to twenty thousand four hundred twenty two dollars, if this zone is broken the next support is at a price of nineteen thousand seven hundred sixty seven dollars. Looking the other way, we have a resistance zone from twenty thousand nine hundred and twenty dollars to twenty one thousand one hundred and seventeen dollars, then we have resistance at twenty one thousand two hundred ninety seven dollars and twenty one thousand four hundred sixty eight dollars. At the four-hour interval, the chop index indicates that the energy has been used and is slowly starting to increase, while the makdi indicator indicates a local downward trend.
by cryptodailyuk
1