FTNT - Breakout Ceiling Falling Trend- FTNT has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel in the medium long term.
- The stock has met the objective at 57 after a break of the double bottom formation.
- The price has now fallen, but the formation indicates further rise.
- The stock has support at 63 and resistance at 71.
- The RSI curve shows a rising trend, which could be an early signal of the start of a rising trend for the price as well.
- Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
TERM
ITC
Open
244.00
Previous Close
242.50
UC Limit
266.75
LC Limit
218.25
Volume
24,823,291
VWAP
240.26
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.)
293,778
20D Avg Volume
33,726,752
20D Avg Delivery
12,283,897
Beta
0.72
Face Value
1
TTM EPS
11.30
TTM PE
21.10
Sector PE
22.78
Book Value Per Share
47.88
P/B
4.99
Dividend Yield
4.51
P/C
18.86
$NVDA AccumulationOne of the industries I'm looking to accumulate heavily in the bear market is AI and Tech. Nvidia is a leader of it's field and will be one of the main companies that rises from the ashes better and stronger. Nvidia went on a crazy run 6 years going from around 7USD to 300.
It's now down 50% from its ATH and like most stocks, I expect them to keep bleeding through 2023 and 2024. I'm a buyer below 100USD laddering down to 40USD-50USD.
I expect this stock to perform very well over the next decade.
What can financial ratios tell us?In the previous post we learned what financial ratios are. These are ratios of various indicators from financial statements that help us draw conclusions about the fundamental strength of a company and its investment attractiveness. In the same post, I listed the financial ratios that I use in my strategy, with formulas for their calculations.
Now let's take apart each of them and try to understand what they can tell us.
- Diluted EPS . Some time ago I have already told about the essence of this indicator. I would like to add that this is the most influential indicator on the stock market. Financial analysts of investment companies literally compete in forecasts, what will be EPS in forthcoming reports of the company. If they agree that EPS will be positive, but what actually happens is that it is negative, the stock price may fall quite dramatically. Conversely, if EPS comes out above expectations - the stock is likely to rise strongly during the coverage period.
- Price to Diluted EPS ratio . This is perhaps the best-known financial ratio for evaluating a company's investment appeal. It gives you an idea of how many years your investment in a stock will pay off if the current EPS is maintained. I have a particular take on this ratio, so I plan to devote a separate publication to it.
- Gross margin, % . This is the size of the markup to the cost of the company's product (service) or, in other words, margin . It is impossible to say that small margin is bad, and large - good. Different companies may have different margins. Some sell millions of products by small margins and some sell thousands by large margins. And both of those companies may have the same gross margins. However, my preference is for those companies whose margins grow over time. This means that either the prices of the company's products (services) are going up, or the company is cutting production costs.
- Operating expense ratio . This ratio is a great indicator of management's ability to manage a company's expenses. If the revenue increases and this ratio decreases, it means that the management is skillfully optimizing the operating expenses. If it is the other way around, shareholders should wonder how well management is handling current affairs.
- ROE, % is a ratio reflecting the efficiency of a company's equity performance. If a company earned 5% of its equity, i.e. ROE = 5%, and the bank deposit rate = 7%, then shareholders have a reasonable question: why invest equity in business development, if it can be placed in a bank deposit and get more, without expending extra effort? In other words, ROE, % reflects the return on invested equity. If it is growing, it is definitely a positive factor for the company and the shareholders.
- Days payable . This financial ratio is an excellent indicator of the solvency of the company. We can say that it is the number of days it will take the company to pay all debts to suppliers from its revenue. If the number of days is relatively small, it means that the company has no delays in paying for supplies and therefore no money problems. I consider less than 30 days to be acceptable, but over 90 days is critical.
- Days sales outstanding . I already mentioned in my previous posts that when a company is having a bad sales situation, it may even sell its products on credit. Such debts accumulate in accounts receivable. Obviously, large accounts receivable are a risk for the company, because the debts may simply not be paid back. For ease of control over this indicator, they invented such a financial ratio as "Days sales outstanding". We can say that this is the number of days it will take the company to earn revenue equivalent to the accounts receivable. It's one thing if the receivables are 365 daily revenue and another if it's only 10 daily revenue. Like the previous ratio: less than 30 days is acceptable to me, but over 90 days is critical.
- Inventory to revenue ratio . This is the amount of inventory in relation to revenue. Since inventory includes not only raw materials but also unsold products, this ratio can indicate sales problems. The more inventory a company has in relation to revenue, the worse it is. A ratio below 0.25 is acceptable to me; a ratio above 0.5 indicates that there are problems with sales.
- Current ratio . This is the ratio of current assets to current liabilities. Remember, we said that current assets are easier and faster to sell than non-current, so they are also called quick assets. In the event of a crisis and lack of profit in the company, quick assets can be an excellent help to make payments on debts and settlements with suppliers. After all, they can be sold quickly enough to pay off these liabilities. To understand the size of this "safety cushion", the current ratio is calculated. The larger it is, the better. For me, a suitable current ratio is 2 or higher. But below 1 it does not suit me.
- Interest coverage . We already know that loans play an important role in a company's operations. However, I am convinced that this role should not be the main one. If a company spends all of its profits to pay interest on loans, it is working for the bank, not for the shareholders. To find out how tangible interest on loans is for the company, the "Interest coverage" ratio was invented. According to the income statement, interest on loans is paid out of operating income. So if we divide the operating income by this interest, we get this ratio. It shows us how many times more the company earns than it spends on debt service. To me, the acceptable coverage ratio should be above 6, and below 3 is weak.
- Debt to revenue ratio . This is a useful ratio that shows the overall picture of the company's debt situation. It can be interpreted the following way: it shows how much revenue should be earned in order to close all the debts. A debt to revenue ratio of less than 0.5 is positive. It means that half (or even less) of the annual revenue will be enough to close the debt. A debt to revenue ratio higher than 1 is considered a serious problem since the company does not even have enough annual revenue to pay off all of its debts.
So, the financial ratios greatly simplify the process of fundamental analysis, because they allow you to quickly draw conclusions about the financial condition of the company, without looking up and down at its statements. You just look at ratios of key indicators and draw conclusions.
In the next post, I will tell you about the king of all financial ratios - the Price to Diluted EPS ratio, or simply P/E. See you soon!
Financial ratios: digesting them togetherI hope that after studying the series of posts about company financial statements, you stopped being afraid of them. I suggest we build on that success and dive into the fascinating world of financial ratios. What is it?
Let's look at the following example. Let's say you open up a company's balance sheet and see that the amount of debt is $100 million. Do you think this is a lot or a little? To me, it's definitely a big deal. But can we say the company has a huge debt based only on how we feel about it? I don't think so.
However, if you find that a company that generates $10 billion in annual revenue has $100 million in debt (i.e. only 1% of revenue), what would you say then? That's objectively small, isn't it?
It turns out that without correlating one indicator with another, we cannot draw any objective conclusion. This correlation is called the Financial Ratio .
The recipe for a normal financial ratio is simple: we take one or two indicators from the financial statements, add some market data, put it all into a formula that includes a division operation - we obtain the financial ratio.
In TradingView you can find a lot of financial ratios in the section Financials -> Statistics .
However, I only use a few financial ratios which give me an idea about the financial situation of the company and its value:
What can you notice when looking at this table?
- Profit and revenue are frequent components of financial ratios because they are universal units of measurement for other reporting components. Just as length can be measured in feet and weight in pounds, a company's debts can be measured in revenues.
- Some financial ratios are ratios, some are percentages, and some are days.
- There are no financial ratios in the table whose data source is the Cash Flow Statement. The fact is that cash flows are rarely used in financial ratios because they can change drastically from quarter to quarter. This is especially true for financial and investment cash flow. That's why I recommend analyzing cash flows separately.
In my next post, I'll break down each financial ratio from this table in detail and explain why I use them specifically. See you soon!
DXYHi guys what's up?
I want to tell you something at first BE PATIENT. its extremely important in all markets and it doesn't matter what market you are trading and how much money do you have.
okay lets talk about DXY I have posted an analyses about it and I had a resistance zone and it has been touched very nice and now I thing it can fall till the support zone in the picture.
Here is A cluster of fibs and another thing in price action technique.
I hope that it be useful for you please like and shear it whit your friends.
DONT FORGET TO FOLLOW AND LIKE THANKS.
Don't Sell Dollar(USDX) in the Short & Medium TermAs we shown on the daily chart, we expect 1(one) wave ((5)) movement in the next months to around 118. So the biggest odds are higher. If Dollar(USDX) breaks the last low wave ((4)), a double correction will take place. In this moment, the Right Side of H1 and H4 is turning up. We need more data to see a clear definition in USDX next movements.
SERUM or how to earn 400%The asset has been in a deep drawdown and accumulation stage for a long time. At the moment, SRM has approached the global downtrend line and is ready to break through it. Buying after breaking through and testing the resistance/support line. I expect the asset to grow in the near future to ~$0.31 per coin, in the long term up to ~$2.1 per coin.
The maximum income from the transaction is 420%.
This is not a financial recommendation, everything you do you do at your own peril and risk.
QQQ - Breakout Falling Trend [MIDTERM]- QQQ has broken the ceiling of the falling trend in the medium long term, which indicates a slower initial falling rate.
- QQQ has given a positive signal from the double bottom formation by a - break up through the resistance at 295.
- Further rise to 327 or more is signaled.
- QQQ has support at 295 and resistance at 320.
- Overall assessed as technically neutral for the medium long term.
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
INTC - Bullish Reversals - Long On the chart of Intel Corporation (INTC), we can see two bullish reversal patterns on a daily timeframe.
We can see a Descending Broadening Wedge. This is a typical bullish reversal pattern. Once the price breaks out of the upside of the pattern the highest point of the pattern becomes the target.
The second pattern is a forming Double Bottom. This pattern indicates a bullish reversal. Once the price breaks out of the neckline the target will rise the same length as the range from the neckline to the bottom
In this particular case when the Double Bottom gets validated, the Descending Broadening Wedge will be activated too. When this happens the long position can be taken when the neckline has changed from a resistance into a support.
See all further details on the chart.
Goodluck!
Medium Term Path with More Probabilities for S&P 500 Daily ChartShort and Medium term structure S&P is bearish once it makes a new low around 3,500. Now we expects more downside to 3,100 as it's shown in the orange circle in Daily Chart. We expects a reverse in this circle area and we saw a strong correlation with other indices (American, European and Asian). Next week, we'll update this forecast.
BTC Turned Bullish. MID-TERM 6-12 monthsHi everyone.
I think BTC is turned Bullish after the last fall. Sorry that the explanations on the chart are in Turkish. If someone wanted I'll translate them into English. Otherwise, just by a little knowledge of TA, you can understand what I mean on the chart.
Give my your opinion.
Regards!
MCO 2nd try 📈As you're seeing on this chart - made my 2nd long entry. The first order didn't get filled. I've decided now, that the 38's % fibo retracement seem to give enough support. Would be better if the price has been touching the broken trendline below, but this setup may also work. Let's see.
Good trades, folks!
MATIC Strong Castle 🏰 Analysis #17/50Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
on DAILY: Left Chart
As per my last analysis, we were waiting for MATIC to approach the 1.0 blue support to look for buy setups.
on H4: Right Chart
MATIC is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern, but it is not ready to go yet.
🏹 Trigger => for the bulls to take over, we need a momentum candle close above the gray neckline.
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, MATIC can still trade lower till the 1.0 support zone again.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBPJPY buy ideadipping back into the same weekly level we respected last week...4hr is now bullish, will be buying until 4HR EMA MA cross bearish again
*ideas created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
Bitcoin Cash 💶 Analysis #12/50Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
BCH has been stuck inside a big range between the 100.0 support and 150.0 resistance.
Now BCH is approaching the lower bound / support zone so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes
Moreover, the red trendline is acting as a non-horizontal support.
🏹 So the highlighted blue arrow is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue 100 support and red trendline.
As per my trading style:
As BCH approaches the lower blue arrow, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
OIL INDIA Clearly the most undervalued stock (with P/E ratio under 3) as compared to other stocks of this sector oil and gas industry ⛽
My avg. Buy at 180
Key Notes as:
Cmp 240
Book value 340+
EPS 80+
ROE 20+
Face value 10
Good Q3 results
Decreasing Public holding
Increased Mutual fund holding
Formation of ABC pattern (Sea horse)
TGT 325-350+
SL BELOW 220-200
So approx. 1:4 setup ready for medium term
Good risk:reward setup
Note: Just an idea not any recommendation to buy or sell the particular stock entity mentioned here ..
Cash flow vibrationsIn the previous post we started to analyze the Cash flow statement. From it, we learned about the existence of three cash flows - operating cash flow, financial cash flow, and investment cash flow. Like three rivers, they fill the company's "lake of cash" (that is, they go with a "+" sign).
However, there are three other rivers that flow out of our lake, preventing it from expanding indefinitely. What are their names? They have absolutely identical names: operating cash flow, financial cash flow, and investment cash flow (and they go with a "-" sign). Why so? Because all of the company's outgoing payments can also be divided into these three rivers:
Operating payments include the purchase of raw materials, the payment of wages - everything related to the production and support of the product.
Financial payments include repayment of debt and interest on it, payment of dividends, or buyback of shares from shareholders.
Investment payments include the purchase of non-current assets (say, the purchase of additional buildings or shares in another company).
If the inflows from the three rivers on the left are greater than the outflows into the rivers on the right, then our lake will increase in volume, meaning that the company's cash balances will grow.
If the outflows into the three rivers on the right are greater than the inflows from the rivers on the left, the lake will become shallow and eventually dry up.
So, the cash flow statement shows how much our lake has increased or decreased over the period (quarter or year). This report can be presented as four entries:
Each value of A, B, and C is the difference between what came into our lake from the river and what flowed out of the lake by the river of the same name. That is, the value can be either positive or negative.
How can we interpret the meanings of the different flows? Let's break down each of them.
Operating cash flow . In a fundamentally strong company, it is the most stable and powerful river. The implication is that it should be the main source of "water" for our lake. Negative operating cash flow is an indicator of serious problems with the business because it means it is not generating money.
Investment cash flow . This is the most unpredictable river, as sometimes it can be very powerful and sometimes it can flow like a thin trickle. This is due to the fact that the purchase or sale of non-current assets (recall that these may be buildings, equipment, shares in other companies) does not occur as regularly as operational activities. A sudden negative investment flow tells us about some big purchase. Shareholders do not always view such events positively, as they may consider it an unwise expenditure or a threat to dividend payments. Therefore, they may start to sell their shares, which causes their price to drop. If a big purchase is perceived as an opportunity to reach the next level and capture more market share, then we may see exactly the opposite effect - an increase in share price.
Financial cash flow . A negative value of this cash flow can be seen as a very positive signal because it means that the company is either actively reducing its debt to creditors, or using the money to pay dividends, or spending the money to buy its own stock (*), or maybe all of these together.
(*) Here you may ask, why would a company buy its own stock? Management sometimes does this when they are confident in the success of their business and want to support the growth of their stock. The company becomes a major buyer of its own stock for some time so that it begins to grow. The process itself is called share buyback .
Positive financial cash flow, on the other hand, signals either an increase in debt or the sale of its own stock. As far as debt is concerned, you can't say that loans are bad for business. But there has to be a measure. But the sale by a company of its own shares is already an alarming signal to the current shareholders. It means that the company doesn't have enough money coming out of operating cash flow.
There is another type of cash flow that is not a separate "river," but is used as information about how much cash the company has left to meet its obligations to creditors and shareholders. This is Free cash flow .
It is simple to calculate: just subtract one of the components of the investment cash flow from the operating cash flow. This component is called Capital expenditures (often abbreviated as CAPEX). Capital expenditures include outgoing payments that go toward the purchase of non-current assets , such as land, buildings, equipment, etc.
(Free cash flow = Operating cash flow - Capital expenditures)
Free cash flow can be characterized as the "living" money that a company has created over a period, which can be used to repay loans, pay dividends, and buyback stocks from shareholders. If free cash flow is very weak or even negative, it is a reason for creditors, shareholders and investors to think about how the company is doing business.
This concludes my discussion of the cash flow statement topic. Next time, let's talk about the magic ratios that you can get from a company's financial statements. They greatly facilitate the process of fundamental analysis and are widely used by investors around the world. We will talk about the so-called Financial Ratios . See you soon!