Last week , we examined Natural Gas from a seasonality perspective. This week, we aim to extend that discussion and explore other ways to implement a similar view. To quickly recap: From a seasonality standpoint, we identified short-term opportunities for a downward move in Natural Gas. Factors such as higher-than-normal storage levels, unseasonably warm weather,...
The surprise production cut announcement from OPEC+ on Sunday caught us off guard! With oil prices surging close to 7%, the question arises: will this trend persist? To put the production cut into perspective, the unexpected 1.16 million barrels per day reduction is a continuation of the cuts announced last October. In total, these cuts will represent roughly...
This shows all the different Volatility products. As you can see, when the 9d Vix goes above the longer term Vix's. Bad things happen. Why? Because if the 9 day vix is higher than the others, it means that people are more uncertain about what will happen in the next 9 days than the next few months. Just something to think about:)
... for a .77 ($77/contract) credit. Another "Term Structure" trade (See Post Below). Farther out in time than I like to go, which means I'll probably regret it in short order.
Another "Term Structure" trade, this time in the April expiry. (I currently have one of these on in March -- a 16/19 short call vert). Here, the /VX futures contract in April is currently trading at 17.10 or so, so I'm using that price as a guide for my short call strike. Looking for a fill at .75-ish ... .
With Dough transitioning over to TastyWorks (it's basically Dough on steroids), I'm looking to wind up positions I've got on here over the next several weeks so that I can transition over to TastyWorks, which will not interface with TDA accounts. While I can naturally use ThinkOrSwim (ToS), it just doesn't have the features of Dough that I've come to know and...