LUNA/USD Daily Neutral BearishLUNA/USD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% LUNA, 60% cash. *Bull trap watch*. Price is currently breaking out above $84.05 resistance (at $89) after testing (and bouncing off of) $78.04 minor support. Volume ended the 7 day streak of shrinkage when demand showed up at $78.04 minor support. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $92.78 minor resistance. RSI is currently trending up at 48.50 after testing the descending triangle from August 2021 at ~40 for a little over a week (strengthening the case for established support); the next resistance is close by at 51.40. Stochastic is forming a bullish crossover and is currently trending up at 15.36; the next resistance is at 21.78. MACD is forming a trough and is currently trending up at -3.55 (it is still technically testing -2.43 minor support); a move above -1.28 would likely lead to a bullish crossover. ADX is trending down slightly at 29 as Price surged in today's session, this is neutral at the moment. If Price is able to break out above the 50 MA + Parabolic SAR at $92.78, the next likely target is a retest of $102.60. However, if Price is rejected at $92.78, it will likely test $84.05 as support. Mental Stop Loss: (two closes above) $84.05; currently on track for one close above today but to be mindful of the threat of a bull trap, two closes above $84.05 would help confirm support.
Terra
#LUNA #CRYPTOI recommend selling the LUNA coin because it will drop to the price of 51 and then it will be reversed. I recommend buying and selling from 51.
LUNASHORT
Terra (LUNA) - April 18hello?
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(LUNAUSDT 1W Chart)
You need to make sure you can rise within the rising channel.
Above 52.16: Expected to make a new wave.
Below 34.69: There is a possibility of entering the mid- to long-term investment area.
(1D chart)
I think it's very risky to buy on the spot.
Therefore, it is important to check how it is supported over the 66.95-69.44 section.
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** All indicators are lagging indicators.
Therefore, it is important to be aware that the indicator will move accordingly as price and volume move.
However, for convenience, we are talking in reverse for the interpretation of the indicator.
** The MRHAB-T indicator used in the chart is an indicator of our channel that has not been released yet.
** The OBV indicator was re-created by applying a formula to the DepthHouse Trading indicator, an indicator disclosed by oh92. (Thanks for this.)
** Support or resistance is based on the closing price of the 1D chart.
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee a profit or loss in investment.
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit and loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made through split trading. It is a short-term investment perspective.)
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LUNA/USD Daily TA Neutral BearishLUNA/USD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 35% LUNA, 65% cash. **Sunday bull-trap watch**. Price has now been testing $80 as support for four consecutive sessions now and is currently forming a rounded bottom (U shaped) as it attempts to test $84.05 resistance. Volume has now shrunken for seven consecutive sessions (indicating an impending breakout/breakdown) and is on track to favor buyers for two consecutive sessions if it can close in the green today. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $96. RSI remains trending sideways at 38.50 as it has now been testing the descending trendline from August 2021 for seven consecutive sessions now; if it can establish support here it would be bullish. Stochastic remains bearish as it is currently attempting to complete a double bottom at 1.60; a move above 4 would reinstate a bullish crossover. MACD remains bearish and is finally showing signs of trough formation just below -2.43 minor support (currently at -3.40). ADX remains trending up at 30 as Price is attempting to fend off the selling pressure, this is mildly bearish. If Price is able to breakout above $84.05 and recapture support there, then it will likely test the 50 MA at $92.78 minor resistance. However, if Price is rejected here then it will likely retest $78.04 minor support before potentially heading lower to $70.15 support. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $84.05.
Terraform Labs CEO on Advantages of TerraUSD ($UST) Over CentralIn a recent interview, Do Kwon, Co-founder and CEO of Terraform Labs — as well as a director at Luna Foundation Guard (LFG) — talked about the limitations of centralized fiat-backed stablecoins.
Kwon’s comments were made during an interview with Kate Rooney, a technology reporter for CNBC.
According to a report by The Daily Hodl, Kwon said:
“I don’t think that there’s anything wrong, per se, with backing stablecoins in terms of dollars. It’s just that there are some limits to the things that you can do with the use cases of the so-called centralized stablecoins.
“The issue is that if you’re keeping a dollar in the bank account for every unit of stablecoin that’s issued, that stablecoin now has an issuer and an operator. What that means is that you have all the attendant compliance and custodian risks of having an operator and an issuer because, for instance, what happens if the company for some reason goes bankrupt? In that case, everybody that built interesting things on top of that stablecoin is now held hostage to the bankruptcy court…
“Or given that bank deposits are so easy to regulate, I think one of the things that we’ll start to see with centralized stablecoins is that there’s going to be massive compliance creep, which means that over time, you’re going to start to layer on things like KYC requirements and sort of vetting what types of applications can use a stablecoin, which isn’t necessarily appropriate for all use cases.“
Kwon believes that a decentralized stablecoin, such as TerraUSD ($USD), which is not backed by fiat reserves, does not suffer from the aforementioned limitations:
“A decentralized stablecoin, as something that is backed in native cryptocurrency like LUNA or Bitcoin, has the property that there is no issuer, there is no operator because anybody in the world can trade in a dollar’s worth of Bitcoin, can trade in a dollar’s worth of LUNA to issue one TerraUSD. This has the nice property that it makes decentralized finance truly decentralized.“
Waiting for Better Long EntryLUNA is currently flirting with the 100 EMA vs BTC. Shorter-term Bullish traders may have an opportunity for a quick flip as LUNA could certainly hold here and continue it's bullish run. However, buying here doesn't feel like the higher-probability play. I'm more interested in waiting for price to come down closer to the 200 EMA. I'm also waiting for my indicator to show that we are in a solid buy zone.
Good Luck
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LUNA/USD Daily TA Cautiously BearishLUNA/USD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 20% LUNA, 80% cash. Price is still defending $80 as the selling pressure mounts; the next support (minor) is at $78. Volume remains very low and continues to shrink (since 04/11/22), indicating that an impending breakout/breakdown is likely; it has favored sellers for three consecutive sessions now. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $99. RSI remains trending sideways at 38.50 and is beginning to trend down just below the descending trendline from August 2021. Stochastic has officially regressed to a bearish crossover and is currently trending down at 1.60 as it fast approaches max bottom. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending down below -2.43 minor support (at -3.32) with no signs of trough formation; the All Time Low is at -7.75. ADX is trending up slightly at 28 as Price continues to fall, this is bearish. If Price is able to defend $80, then the next likely target is a retest of $84.05 resistance. However, if Price continues to fall here, then it will likely retest $78.04 minor support before potentially retesting $70.15 support. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $84.05.
LUNA Trading zonesIf you are a LUNA Trader and looking for long zones..
Note this is a HVA requires small size. For this reason, if you are going to invest based on core fundamentals, then the TECH zone noted much lower is for you... but nonetheless, Price action methods and TECH analysis remains the same regardless of what we are Trading.
BTC/ETH and those alike are much safer to trade, so if you have a preference it is better to pick those.. There are those however who want to trade LUNA and it is OK to do so if you are trading safely and accurately..
It is on these assets you must concur about the fundamental side in your own process. Trade HVA's small in doing so.
LUNA/USD Daily TA Cautiously BearishLUNA/USD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 25% LUNA, 75% cash. Price is currently defending $80 as it trends lower toward a formal retest of $78 minor support. Volume remains very low and has been shrinking since 04/11/22, indicating that a breakout/breakdown is likely pending; it has favored sellers for two consecutive sessions now. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $102.60 minor resistance. RSI is beginning to trend down at 38 and is currently showing signs of breaking down below the descending trendline from August 2021 (this would increase the likelihood of RSI retesting the uptrend line from November 2019 at 30 significantly). Stochastic is currently crossing over bearish at 5.54 and if it were to continue, then a retest of max bottom for the first time since 01/29/22 would likely follow. MACD remains bearish and is currently barely breaking down below -2.43 with no real signs of trough formation. ADX is beginning to trend up at 28 as Price continues to fall, this is bearish. If Price is able to bounce here, then it will likely retest $84.05 resistance before deciding it's next move. However, if Price continues to fall, then a retest of $78.04 minor support and potentially lower at $70.15 is likely. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes) above $84.05.
LUNAUSD Update for the next 3 months. Target $160.00.My last Terra (LUNAUSD) analysis was in late February where I set a medium-term target of $130.00:
Even though the price "only" managed to scratch the $120 mark, that was good enough for those who bought into the rally and naturally the price dropped on heavy profit taking.
As you see the fractal comparison with the early 2021 Cycle played out fairly well. From September to November 2021, the fractal extended its rise through a steadier and more structured Channel Up formation. That pattern in a little more than 3 months reached the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
That extension is currently a little above $160.00 and that is our target by mid Summer.
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LUNA/USD Daily TA Cautiously BearishLUNA/USD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 30% LUNA, 70% cash. Price formed a bearish engulfing candle that took it back down below $84.05 support earlier today (in yesterday's session) and is currently trending down at $81; the next support is at $78. Volume remains very low and broke the two-day streak of buying earlier today (yesterday's session) and is on track for two consecutive selling days if it closes today in the red. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $102.60 minor resistance. RSI is currently trending sideways at 39 and is technically still testing the descending trendline from August 2021 as support. Stochastic is currently on the verge of regressing to a bearish crossover at 7.50 (a fall below 7 would accomplish this). MACD remains bearish and is currently testing -2.43 minor support with no signs of trough formation; this is bearish. ADX is currently beginning to trend up slightly at 30 as Price faces more downward pressure, this is bearish. If Price is able to recapture $84.05 support, then the next likely target is a retest of $92.78 minor resistance. However, if Price continues to fall from here (or is rejected at $84.05 resistance) then it will likely retest $78.04 minor support before potentially testing $70.15 support. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $89.52.
LUNA/USD Daily TA Neutral BearishLUNA/USD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 45% LUNA, 55% cash. Price continues the bounce upward from $84.05 support in a bid to establish it as a major support; it is simultaneously forming a bear flag in doing so (something to monitor). Volume remains very low and is on track to favor buyers in two consecutive sessions if it closes today in the green. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $108. RSI continues to test the descending trendline from August 2021 as support and is currently trending up at 43 (just above the trendline). Stochastic is attempting to establish a bottom at 3.56 and is currently forming a bullish crossover at 7.50; the next resistance is at 21.78. MACD remains bearish and testing -0.12 support; it is currently trending down at -0.60 with a slight angle toward a trough formation starting to be made. ADX is trending sideways at 28 as Price is attempting to establish a key support at $84.05, this is neutral at the moment. If Price is able to continue trending up, the next likely target is a retest of the 50 MA at $92.78 minor resistance. However, if the bear flag plays out, Price will likely breakdown below $84.05 and retest $78.04 minor support before potentially falling lower. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $92.56.
Terra: Into the Pool 🏊Terra has let go of the orange zone between $140.82 and $118.55 to drop down. Now, it is about to dive into the blue pool between $83.07 and $62.20, where we expect it to do some laps and to complete wave (ii) in blue. Afterwards, Terra should feel chipper and refreshed enough to start climbing upwards. To realize this, though, Terra should not sink below the support at $46.56.
LUNA/USD Daily TA Neutral BearishLUNA/USD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% LUNA, 60% cash. Price is currently testing $84.05 support for the third consecutive day and is beginning to form a bearish flag as it attempts to establish support. Volume remains very low and broke the two day streak of selling yesterday with Price attempting to bounce here; a green close would strengthen the case for temporary support at $84.05. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $108. RSI is currently testing the descending trendline from August 2021 at 42 as support. Stochastic is currently crossing over bullish at 4. MACD remains bearish and is showing no signs of trough formation as tests 0 support. ADX is beginning to trend up at 28 as Price is attempting to find support, this is mildly bullish. If Price is able to establish support at $84.05, the next likely target is a retest of the 50 MA at $92.78 minor resistance. However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely formally retest $78 minor support before potentially heading lower. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $92.56.
LUNA/USD Weekly TA Neutral BearishLUNA/USD Weekly neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 35% LUNA, 65%% cash. Price is currently testing $87.51 minor support (breaking down below at $85). Volume remains very low and will make it two consecutive weeks of selling if it closes in the red this week. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $51, this leaves a lot of room for Price to fall and still not flip the SAR bearish . RSI is currently testing the uptrend line from November 2019 at 56. Stochastic is currently in the process of crossing over bearish at 58, just below 66.26 resistance. MACD remains bullish and is trending down at 13 after forming a peak at 14.09 minor resistance; if it crosses below 12 it would be a bearish crossover. ADX is trending sideways at 41 as Price is falling, this is neutral. If Price is able to establish support at $87.51, the next likely target is a test of $98-$105 before reassessment. However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely retest $74.60. One condition to pay attention to is Price and its relationship with both the Daily and Weekly MACD , if Price were to break below $78 on the Daily, MACD would likely lose -0.12 support and test -2.43 minor support; if this were to happen it would likely plunge the weekly MACD from 13 to 12, causing a bearish crossover; this would potentially take Price down to between $57.15 and $74.60 in the short to medium term. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $100.
**Occasional fundamental analysis on my Twatter**
Luna structuresJust an overview of my current theories. We'll see where to next. If the structure stays true to form who knows.
🆓Terra (LUNA) Apr-12 #LUNA $LUNA
LUNA has corrected down a lot from the $120 zone to the $80 zone, which is also the 0.5 Fib level of the uptrend from February to now. So we can buy LUNA at this $80 zone and expect a rally to $110 or even $140. However, it can still fall one more time to the $70 zone to test the MA200 line.
📈RED PLAN
♻️Condition : If 1-Day closes ABOVE 80$ zone
🔴Buy : 80
🔴Sell : 95 - 110 - 140
📉BLUE PLAN
♻️Condition : If 1-Day closes BELOW 80$ zone
🔵Sell : 80
🔵Buy : 70 - 60
❓Details
📈Red Arrow : Main Direction as RED PLAN
📉Blue Arrow : Back-Up Direction as BLUE PLAN
🟩Green zone : Support zone as BUY section
🟥Red zone : Resistance zone as SELL section
LUNA/USD Daily TA Cautiously BearishLUNA/USD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 30% LUNA, 70% cash. Price has broken down below the 50 MA ($90.50) and is currently testing $84.05 support. Volume remains low and with a red close today would favor sellers in eight of the past ten sessions (indicating enough buyers currently do not see value in above-$100 LUNA). Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $114. RSI remains trending down and is currently testing the descending trendline from August 2021 at 40 as support. Stochastic is currently attempting to crossover bullish at 4.50 as it precariously hovers over max bottom, this is mildly bearish. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending down at 1.56 as it approaches 1.16 support. ADX is currently forming a trough at 26.6 and is slightly trending up as Price continues to fall, this is bearish. If Price is able to establish support at $84.05, the next likely target is a retest of $92.78 minor resistance (which would coincide with the 50 MA). However, if Price continues to fall here, it will likely retest $78.04 minor support. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $97.77.
*Occasional fundamental analysis on my Twatter*