Tesla - The Failed All Time High Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) will reject the all time high first:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Tesla was actually not able to create a sustainable all time high breakout and if a stock doesn't move up, it will come down. However Tesla still remains absolutely bullish and is now starting to create a textbook break and retest which will eventually still lead to new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $400, $280
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla
Tesla Stock Goes 'Interesting', Ahead of Earnings CallTesla is preparing to release its fourth-quarter earnings report on January 29, 2025, and analysts are closely watching the stock as it approaches this key event.
Here are some important points regarding Tesla's current stock situation and what to expect:
Current Stock Performance
Tesla shares have seen a 10% increase in 2025, but recently experienced a more than 5% decline, trading at Monday's pre-marker below $400, approximately $395.
The stock's valuation is considered high, with some analysts stating it is "priced for perfection," indicating that any earnings miss could lead to a significant pullback.
Earnings Expectations
Analysts forecast earnings per share (EPS) of 72 cents and revenue of $27.23 billion for the fourth quarter.
Gross profit margins are expected to widen slightly to 18.85%.
Key Factors Influencing Stock Valuation
👉 Delivery Performance. Tesla's deliveries were slightly below expectations in 2024, with 1.79 million units delivered, compared to 1.81 million in 20231. Investors will be keenly interested in guidance for 2025, especially with increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and NIO.
👉 New Vehicle Launches/ The anticipated launch of the smaller SUV, referred to as the Model Q, is expected later this year, which could impact Tesla's growth trajectory.
👉 Technological Developments. Progress in autonomous driving software and energy generation will also be focal points during the earnings call.
👉 The company aims to launch its Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in specific U.S. states and expand its energy storage business.
Analyst Sentiment
There is a mix of opinions among analysts; while some maintain a cautious stance due to potential delivery shortfalls and market competition, others see Tesla as a strong buy-and-hold investment for the long term.
The average price target among analysts is around $345.11, suggesting a potential downside from current levels.
Technical Sentiment
Technical graph indicates on epic upside channel breakthrough, as a result of China DeepSeek AI model influence.
Ahead of Tesla Earnings Call our "super-duper" Team is Bearishly calling to $300 per Tesla share, that is correspond to major current support of 125-day SMA.
Conclusion
As Tesla approaches its earnings report, investors should remain vigilant about delivery numbers and guidance for the upcoming year. The stock's high valuation combined with competitive pressures makes it susceptible to volatility based on the forthcoming financial results.
TESLA: Tesla sales fall by 50% in Europe! Fear ??
Tesla vehicle sales in the European Union fell by 50.3% in January 2025, compared to the same month last year, according to figures published on Tuesday by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA). Specifically, the company sold 7,517 units in the first month of this year, compared to 15,130 vehicles in January 2024, according to EFE.
This drop contrasts, however, with a 34% increase in the purchase of electric vehicles in the EU, up to 124,341 units, so that this type of vehicle represented 15% of the automobile market.
In global terms, new vehicle registrations fell by an average of 2.6% in the community market, with the largest declines recorded in France (-6.2%), Italy (-5.8%) and Germany (-2.8%). Spain, however, was the only one of the four major EU economies in which new vehicle registrations increased, specifically by 5.3%.
--> What is the company's technical aspect?
If we look at the daily graph, the medium-long term trend is still bullish (Bull), but it is in a phase of decline that began on December 17 when it reached highs in the 488 area.
Yesterday, the shares plummeted by -8% due to the news of vehicle sales in Europe, reaching the KEY ZONE of 299 (61.8% Fibonacci + most important dynamic support). From this area, it is MOST LIKELY that there will be an upward rebound, but until this rebound is consolidated and the STRENGTH AND MOMENTUM turn bullish (Bull), the retracement phase will remain active.
--> Which area could be good for entering long positions?
If the price exceeds 383 with the H4 close, we could confirm the end of the retracement and the beginning of a new bullish impulse on the way to highs.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 383
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 429 area (+12%)
--> Stop Loss at 349 (-9%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-9%) (coinciding with the 899 of position 1).
--> We change the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 ( 429 ).
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SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on increases, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
Tesla (TSLA) Weekly Chart Analysis – Key Levels & Market OutlookTesla (TSLA) Weekly Chart Analysis – Key Levels & Market Outlook 🚀
1️⃣ Overall Trend:
✅ Long-Term Uptrend (2019-2021): Tesla experienced a massive rally, reaching all-time highs.
🔻 Correction Phase (2022): A significant pullback led to a strong downtrend.
📈 Recovery Mode (2023-Present): The stock started forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish structure.
📉 Recent Pullback: The price is now retracing from recent highs, showing potential short-term downside momentum.
2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels:
📌 Support Zones:
$300: A critical level—if it breaks, Tesla could drop further.
$260 - $280: The next demand zone if selling pressure continues.
$240 - $250: Strong historical support, previous swing low.
$180 - $200: A major long-term base where Tesla found strong demand before a rally.
📌 Resistance Zones:
$380 - $400: A strong rejection zone—Tesla recently pulled back from here.
Above $400: A breakout could send TSLA toward $500+ (previous cycle highs).
3️⃣ Candlestick & Price Action Observations:
📉 Bearish Momentum:
The latest weekly candle is red, indicating strong selling pressure.
If Tesla fails to hold $300, expect a move toward $260-$280.
📊 Potential Bounce Area:
If buyers step in, Tesla might consolidate before another leg higher.
4️⃣ Market Context & Indicators:
🚗 EV Sector & Nasdaq Trends: Tesla follows macroeconomic conditions and overall tech sector movements.
📆 Earnings & News Catalysts: Watch for updates on deliveries, margins, and macro sentiment.
📊 Technical Indicators:
✅ Moving Averages:
50-Week MA: A close below this could signal weakening momentum.
200-Week MA: A crucial long-term dynamic support.
✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Not oversold yet—watch for levels near 30 for potential reversals.
✅ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
Bearish crossover forming? A confirmation could indicate further downside momentum.
✅ Fibonacci Retracement:
Retracement levels align with $260 - $280 as a possible bounce zone.
5️⃣ What’s Next?
📌 Bullish Scenario: If Tesla holds $300, expect a potential rebound toward $350-$380.
📌 Bearish Scenario: A break below $300 could lead to a test of $260-$280, with downside risk toward $240 - $250 in extreme cases.
🚀 Key Question: Will Tesla hold support and bounce back, or will sellers push it lower?
💬 Drop your thoughts below! 🔥📉📈
TESLA Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on TESLA and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 337.50 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 382.40
Safe Stop Loss - 313.62
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TESLA: The best buy entry is here. $600 long term.Tesla is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 37.443, MACD = -16.180, ADX = 38.976) as it is expanding the bearish wave of the Channel Up, under the 1D MA50. As the 1D RSI rebounded at 30.000 and the 1D MACD is close to a BUllish Cross, we see a striking resemblance with the lows of August 5th 2024 and April 22nd 2024. With the help of the 1D MA100, we expect the price to start making a slow recovery. Go long on this bullish wave, TP = 600.
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Tesla - Elon Is Playing The Charts!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is perfectly respecting structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Two months ago Tesla perfectly retested the previous all time high resistance and closed with a massive rejection wick. This means that a correction - which is currently happening - is expected and after the bullish break and retest, we will then finally see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $280, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TESLA ($TSLA) "Long" -$600-Tesla (TSLA) on the 4-hour chart.
First thing to mention: Weekly Close in 2days about might print a 2nd Doji.
Key Support and Resistance Levels :
The price is currently testing a crucial support level around $350.
Orange Block, 15min unfilled gap. If we take it out and don't lose Cyan trendline I might even add to the trade.
Dotted Cyan lines, 4h resistances
Price might go to $470 or even new high then do retracement to stop out late Longs.
At $620, Projection of past price. I'll be 90% out before this.
If the price breaks above the cyan trend line and holds above $385 it could signal a bullish reversal.
Conversely, if the price fails to hold above these levels and drops below $350, it may continue its downward trend.
Keep an eye on volume during any breakout attempts. Higher volume can confirm the strength of the move.
Monitor key psychological levels like $400 and $500 for further confirmation.
$TSLA poised for an EASY rise to $400 and beyond.BUY NASDAQ:TSLA NOW
A falling wedge is a chart pattern suggesting a probable rise in a stock's price. This bullish pattern emerges during a downtrend, as the price range tightens and the trend lines converge.
RSI: 35.02 as of 02/10/2025
NASDAQ:TSLA 's price began 2025 at $403.84. As of today, it stands at $350.73, reflecting a -13% decrease since the start of the year. By the end of 2025, it's projected to reach $692 , a year-to-year increase of +71%. This marks a +97% rise from today’s price. Mid-2025 predictions place Tesla at $477 . In the first half of 2026, the price is expected to climb to $805, and by year-end, add another $163 to close at $968, which is +176% from the current price.
-Month Low $350.51
Low $350.51
Pivot Point 1st Support Point $346.59
Pivot Point 2nd Support Point $342.46
Price 1 Standard Deviation Support $334.84
Pivot Point 3rd Support Point $334.40
Thank you
TESLA SWING LONG IDEA - TSLA We had a great run on Tesla after Trump's election, which boosted the idea of Robotaxi and green earnings over time.
If you follow me on X, you would know that I have been buying Tesla since the $204 level (August 5th crash). We had a great run from there to $490.
Currently, we have seen a 33% retracement from the top.
The price hit the weekly demand zone and showed a strong rejection there (forming a weekly dragonfly doji).
I have started to build a swing position from this level to ride Tesla to new all-time highs.
The first challenge will be the bearish trendline that has been driving the bearish trend since December 18th. Breaking that trendline should lead to new highs, in my opinion.
If the price breaks and closes below $300 on the daily chart, it will invalidate my setup, and I will look to exit the position.
Are you a TESLA bull? If so check this out!NASDAQ:TSLA
and just like that Tesla has most likely bottomed...
- Bull Flag
- Volume shelf with GAP
- Wr% downtrend breakout
A bullish cross and green H5 indicator means we will more than likely breakout and head higher!
Short term we retest $400 🎯
Breakout = 🎯$488 🎯 $581
Not financial advice
TESLA ($TSLA) – PRICE CUTS, NEW MODELS & SHRINKING MARGINSTESLA ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) – PRICE CUTS, NEW MODELS & SHRINKING MARGINS
(1/8)
Tesla’s Q4 2024 revenue came in at $25.17B (+1% YoY), missing estimates of $25.87B. Full-year revenue hit $97.69B, only slightly above 2023. Let’s break down the numbers! 🚗⚡️
(2/8) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.71 (vs. $0.74 est.)
• Net income slipped from $2.51B (Q1 ‘23) to $1.13B (Q1 ‘24) → margin pressures
• Full-year EPS: $2.04. Investors are edgy over slowing profit growth 😬
(3/8) – NEW AFFORDABLE EV
• Tesla plans to launch a lower-priced EV mid-2025—could spark future growth 🚀
• However, concerns linger about declining margins due to recent price cuts & softening EV demand 🔻
(4/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• P/E trailing: 177.26, forward P/E: 124.35 → major premium vs. Toyota (~8.5) & GM (~8.7) 🔎
• EV/EBITDA: 87.53—again, quite high
• Analyst avg. PT: $307.62 vs. current ~$355 → Some see overvaluation 📈
(5/8) – PERFORMANCE & COMPETITION
• Tesla’s revenue growth lags behind EV rivals like BYD (especially in China) 🇨🇳
• High valuation is tough to justify if margins keep slipping & demand cools
• Others note the potential for a “market correction” if Tesla doesn’t re-accelerate growth 🔻
(6/8) – RISK FACTORS
• EV Demand Slowdown: Price cuts & fierce competition in China
• Production Delays: Cybertruck & new affordable EV might take time to ramp
• Regulatory: Shifts in incentives or rules could slow sales 📉
• Economic Pressure: High interest rates = less consumer cash for big-ticket items
• Elon Musk: Diverted focus (X, SpaceX) + polarizing behavior 🌀
(7/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Leading EV brand & loyal customer base 🔥
Diversified streams (storage, solar) → less auto reliance
Massive market cap at $1.16T shows confidence
Weaknesses:
Shrinking margins (~17.86% in 2024)
Production hiccups → scaling issues
Sky-high valuations vulnerable to correction
Opportunities:
2025 mass-market EV could open huge demand 🚗💨
AI & autonomy (FSD, robotaxis) for new revenue
Energy storage growth offsetting auto slowdowns 🔋
Threats:
Competition from BYD, GM, etc.
Lawsuits & regulatory scrutiny (discrimination, product defects)
Global economic uncertainty → lower vehicle sales
(8/8) – With Tesla trading around $355 & a P/E near 177, is it still worth the premium?
1️⃣ Bullish—Musk’s vision & new EV model = unstoppable 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Waiting to see if margins recover 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Overvalued, competition is heating up 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
TSLA - Filling the gap and then upside?The stock is trading around $337, showing significant volatility after a sharp decline from recent highs near $480. There's a notable gap in the price action around the $260-280 region that hasn't been filled.
The overall price action has formed a series of lower highs since the recent peak.
The current technical structure suggests potential weakness in the near term. The unfilled gap around $260-280 could act as a magnetic price level. Historical price action shows that gaps tend to get filled eventually, supporting the likelihood of a move down to this region.
TSLA around a confluence zone : Technical Analysis and ForecastTSLA Technical Analysis and Forecast
Tesla (TSLA) is currently positioned at a critical confluence zone, where both horizontal and ascending trendlines intersect. Should the selling pressure persist and the stock breaks below the $325 level, there is a potential for further downside movement toward a psychological support zone at $300.
It is important to note that TSLA has experienced a significant decline of approximately 33% from its peak on December 18, 2024, which could indicate potential for a rebound at these levels.
Given the stock's current discount, I believe it may present a compelling opportunity for long-term investors. I intend to continue building my position through a disciplined Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy, gradually accumulating shares as the price moves lower.
Should TSLA reach the $300 mark, I consider it a strong buying opportunity.
As always, please trade with caution and consider your risk tolerance before making any decisions.
Under 3-Minute Deep Dive Into Tesla (TSLA) – Big Move ComingTesla just pulled back to $320 on the weekly chart, and this is where things get interesting. If buyers step in, we could see a strong push to $370, and if that breaks, $397 and even $417 are in play.
But here’s the flip side—if Tesla loses $320, things could unravel fast, and $250 might not be far off.
I’m watching this level closely because the next move could be huge.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
TESLA Is this the right time to buy again?Right at the start of the year (January 02, see chart below) we issued a Sell Target on Tesla (TSLA) at $330:
This was based on the 1-year Parabolic Growth Channel of the stock, which formed a Higher High and was already in the rejection phase. The 330 Target was hit yesterday, the price touched the bottom of the Channel and we already see a recovery attempt today.
The condition that completes the strong buy sentiment that is emerging on Tesla, is that it hit yesterday the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since October 23 2024. As you can see, the last two times that the stock traded on its 1D MA100, it was the most optimal buy opportunity.
Following a -33% decline on the previous two corrections of the Parabolic Channel, we've always seen an immediate rebound of at least +43.38%. As a result, we expect Tesla to initiate the new Bullish Leg, which, before a Higher High, can target on the short-term $465 (+43.38%).
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