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Tesla

TESLA Massive pump to $360 coming based on historical behaviour.Tesla (TSLA) is recovering today after a sharp pull-back yesterday of around -14%. This marks the stock's first serious correction since the rally started in late June. Ahead of an emerging Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, we looked at Tesla's similar historical patterns since the IPO that offer remarkable insight. First and foremost, Tesla's recent pattern has been an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), which as we've noted on a previous analysis, was its bottom reversal formation that made the price break above the 3-year Lower Highs Resistance trend-line. Similar IH&S patterns were formed in 2019/20, 2016/17 and 2012/13. So we can claim that there might be a roughly 4-year Cyclical Behavioural Pattern behind Tesla's growth. The word 'growth' is key here as after every such pattern and more importantly a correction of around -15% after breaking above the IH&S, the stock price rallied parabolically into new expansion levels. As you can see on the 2019/20 pattern the correction was around -10%, on the 2016/17 around -15% and on the 2012/13 around -15% as well. Yesterday's -14% correction along with today's sharp recovery to the 0.5 Fib (losses cut by 50%), seems to fulfil this growth pattern. As far as a Target is concerned, on all previous cases, the price reached (and even surpasses significantly) at least the 1.5 Fibonacci extension measuring from the pattern's bottom (Head of the IH&S). In 2019/20 it took the price around 1.5 month to approach the 1.5 Fib while in 2012/13 it took roughly 2 months. As a result, our new medium-term Target on Tesla is $360.00 (marginally below the 1.5 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
ELLIOTT WAVES CHEAT SHEET 🏄‍♂️ 10 RulesHello, here is a cheat sheet for Elliott Waves for top 10 Rules, so you can print this out and keep on your desk. The Elliott wave principle is a form of technical analysis that finance traders use to analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying extremes in investor psychology, highs and lows in prices, and other collective factors. Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871–1948), a professional accountant, discovered the underlying social principles and developed the analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves, or simply waves. Elliott published his theory of market behavior in the book The Wave Principle in 1938, summarized it in a series of articles in Financial World magazine in 1939, and covered it most comprehensively in his final major work, Nature's Laws: The Secret of the Universe in 1946. Elliott stated that "because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable." The empirical validity of the Elliott wave principle remains the subject of debate.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by ArShevelev
353
TESLA Buy the dip, correction nearly over. $285 next short-term.Tesla (TSLA) is bleeding hard today but that shouldn't if you got on that rally early like our June 13 (see chart below) buy signal suggested while the price was still trading in the low 180s: Our long-term Target remains $400.00 and today's sharp correction is nothing but a strong technical buy opportunity. In fact, this pull-back is not stranger to Tesla. The stock has seen a similar rejection near the 2.0 Fibonacci extension during its May - July 2023 rally on the June 21 2023 High. As you can see, the price declined by -13.00% back to the 1.382 Fibonacci level. At the time of the (temporary High), the 1D RSI was at 89.00, roughly where it got rejected today. The price recovered when the RSI was at 57.00. As a result, from a R/R perspective, it is worth taking another buy on the current market price and target the 2.236 Fib extension (similar to the JUly 19 2023 High) at $285.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
2
Tesla : Approaching Key Resistance Level After Strong RallyBy analyzing #Tesla 's stock chart, we observe that after hitting the first bearish target last time, the price rose again. However, this time, the price did not drop from that level as we expected. Instead, it managed to rise powerfully to $260! Currently, Tesla is near a significant resistance level, and we need to wait for the initial reaction to this level. This analysis will be updated! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
5
TSLA | TESLA is OvervaluedTesla, Inc.'s second quarter earnings confirm our view that the stock is one of the most overvalued stocks in the market. Tesla's stock has been rising this year amid a sudden shift in overall market sentiment, with many investors now pricing in a soft-landing scenario after a brutal past year of Federal Reserve rate hikes. But the shift in market sentiment doesn't change the fact that Tesla's stock fundamentals are completely disconnected from reality. Tesla is a terribly overvalued stock that we think is worth closer to $26 per share instead of its current price of about $290 per share. While Tesla is profitable, its profits are nowhere near the levels needed to justify its current valuation. We recognize that Tesla's business generates an impressive return on invested capital (ROIC), which is a key measure of profitability, especially for an automaker. However, that ROIC is already declining in the trailing-twelve-month (TTM) period. Using our reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model, we find that for the stock to have any upside at current levels, Tesla must improve its ROIC to levels not achieved by even the most profitable businesses in the world . Figure 1 shows Tesla's historical ROIC along with the future ROIC implied by its current stock price. We provide the assumptions behind this DCF scenario later in this report. Tesla's latest earnings continue to show that it is not immune to competitive challenges and will likely see lower profitability in the future. But, its valuation implies the opposite. Any investor with fiduciary duties should be aware of the growing disconnect between Tesla's current fundamentals and the future fundamentals implied by its stock price. Even in an optimistic future cash flow scenario, shares could trade as low as $26/share. All the details are below. Supply Constrained Argument Is Gone: Bulls have long argued that demand for Tesla vehicles has always exceeded the supply of vehicles. However, Tesla's multiple price cuts in 2023, along with its lackluster production levels through the first half of 2023, raise questions about just how much demand there is for Tesla vehicles, especially amid competition from rivals Ford (F), General Motors (GM) and virtually every other automaker. Q2 2023 marks Tesla's fifth consecutive quarter in which vehicles produced were greater than vehicles delivered. Tesla is no longer selling every vehicle it can make. Should demand for EVs slow, Tesla could find itself with higher than wanted inventory levels, which could lead to further price cuts and additional pressure on already falling margins. Continued Cash Burn: Despite Tesla's top line growth, it continues to burn massive amounts of cash. Over the past five years, Tesla has burned a cumulative $4.2 billion in free cash flow (FCF), including $3.6 billion over the trailing-twelve months (TTM) alone. Tesla has generated negative FCF in all but one year (2019) of its existence as a public company. Margin Decline: Tesla's "GAAP gross margin" was 18.2% in 2Q23, down from 19.3% in 1Q23 and 25.0% in 2Q22. 2Q23's GAAP gross margin was below expectations of 18.7% and remains at its lowest level since 4Q20. Tesla's operating margin is also moving the wrong direction as it scales up. After selling 211 thousand more vehicles in 2Q23 compared to 2Q22, Tesla's reported operating margin fell 493 basis points YoY in 2Q23. Tesla noted in its press release that reduced average selling prices were one of the items that impacted margins in the quarter. We would expect Tesla's margins to fall further as competition limits pricing power across the industry. While Tesla has rapidly ramped up vehicle production and deliveries, its market share must increase almost exponentially to justify the expectations baked into its stock price. However, as it stands, Tesla holds a meager share of the global auto industry, and its share of the EV market ranks behind incumbents across Europe and China. In Europe, based on sales from May 2023, Tesla holds a 12% share of the EV market, much lower than VW Group (20%) and Stellantis (STLA) at (14%).In China, also based on sales from May 2023, Tesla holds 9% of the EV market compared to a staggering 38% share for top competitor BYD. Bulls have long argued that Tesla isn't just an automaker, but rather a technology company with multiple verticals such as insurance, solar power, housing, and, yes, robots. We've long refuted these bull dreams. Regardless of the promises of developing multiple business lines, Tesla's business remains concentrated in its auto segment. Auto revenue accounted for 86% of Tesla's TTM revenue as of 2Q23.Tesla can no longer enjoy its first mover advantage as many other major automakers are producing electric vehicles. These competitors have more experience in auto production and more resources and cash flow than Tesla to invest in the electric vehicle market. Tesla is at risk of losing market share to its competitors in the electric vehicle space and its stock price is currently not reflecting that, which is a major risk for investors. Since bottoming out at the beginning of the year, the stock has come up almost 200%, stopping just shy of $300. One could say the recent selloff is due to the earnings, but technical analysis would have suggested that a selloff was due even before the earnings. Firstly, we can see that a significant bearish divergence has been building in the RSI since June. Furthermore, we have been nearing an important area of trade as highlighted by the red rectangle. The $300 level has been a key area of trade, and you’d expect to see some resistance. So if a pullback has begun where can we expect it to end? As I see it, we have formed an initial ABC structure from the lows in wave 1 of a five-wave impulse. This means that wave ii could now take us down to the 61.8% retracement of this rally, which lands us at $198. We can see that this is also a very important area of support, as shown by the Visible Range Volume Profile. And, of course, we have the 200 day Moving Average offering support around this level, too.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by moonypto
tsla → is it the end of correction?!hello guys... I published before this analysis: I believe the target of the short position was 127$! but now the price made a three-drive pattern and showed us a manipulated area! I think if the price comes higher than 185$ it will mean the correction is done! let's see what happens! ___________________________ ✓✓✓ Always do your research. ❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. ❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by melikatrader94
5
Tesla gains approval for government vehicle procurement in ChinaTesla Inc. has received approval for its Model Y vehicles manufactured in Shanghai to be included in the new vehicle procurement batches for official use by government and public organisations in Jiangsu Province, China. This marked a significant development for Tesla, indicating strong support from the Chinese government. It comes after assurances that Tesla's data collection practices meet local requirements following a data centre establishment and plans to release Full Self-Driving software in the PRC this year. The recent engagements between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Chinese Premier Li Qiang also seem to have contributed to bolstering the company's position amid the ongoing US-China technology tensions. This new allowance for government agencies to purchase Tesla cars could boost Tesla's sales and presence in the Chinese market. Technical analysis of Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) Analysing the potential trading opportunities based on Tesla's stock performance: Timeframe : Daily (D1) Current trend : the stock is currently in an uptrend, demonstrating strong growth potential Resistance level : the last known resistance at 198.85 USD has been surpassed, and no new resistance has been established Support level : 179.65 USD Potential downtrend target : if a downtrend initiates, the downside target could be set at 160.00 USD Short-term target : if the uptrend continues, the next short-term target could be around 310.00 USD upon rebounding from the resistance level Medium-term target : with sustained positive momentum, the stock price might rise to approximately 345.00 USD Investors should closely monitor Tesla's performance, especially after these new developments in China, as they could significantly impact the company's stock valuation and market strategy. — Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews. The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by RoboMarkets
Will Tesla Double in Price This Year, Obliterate Bill GatesIt's gone a week or so, since Elon Musk gave Bill Gates advance warning last Tuesday not to truffle with him again. The Microsoft cofounder faces annihilation if he makes any further attempt to bet against Tesla. That’s because Musk believes he will have transformed the carmaker into an AI colossus worth a staggering $30 trillion as soon as Tesla completes its pivot from selling EVs first and foremost to operating a lucrative fleet of robo-taxis and humanoid robots. “Once Tesla fully solves autonomy and has Optimus in volume production, anyone still holding a short position will be obliterated,” he posted to social media on Tuesday. “Even Gates.” Indeed Tesla stocks recently jumped, erased all the 2024Y losses, to print new 6Mo highs. 52-weeks SMA has been passed through also, while Daily RSI(14) skyrocketed to 85+ area. Tesla is Dressed To The Nines. This English idiom meaning “The highest degree of perfection.” Literally, the idiom means “Dressed like a brand new man.” Btw, in financial circles, this is how they speak about assets after a Super Combo rally of continuous growth in shares or indices , after nine consecutive growing bars in a row (daily, weekly, monthly time frames). That’s exactly how many (nine) daily growth bars in a row were recorded on the eve of July 8, 2024 in Tesla shares. In nowadays even Tesla printed not 9-day but even 10-day winning streak, with the stock soaring 44% over the period. Prior to the rebound, shares were down 27% year-to-date, but they're now back in positive territory for the year, up nearly 6%. And it marked the second biggest combo rally in Tesla shares after May-June 2023, when the stock rose continuously for 13 (!) trading sessions in a row. It is worth to note that last time, after reaching “The Super Combo” in Tesla shares, Up/Down price deviations over the next 12 months were approximately equal, approximately 30-35 percent in each direction. Who knows, how many extra days will last this series right now, and where this soap opera ends. It's clear Mr. Elon wants to zap investors stress fast.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Pandorra
Tesla: BE CAREFUL We are currently at the 0.5 / golden ratio resistance levels, the recent spike was the market taking out late shorts. Notice that we are about to hit the last local high as well. I caution anyone to buy here as we may be running out of fuel. Looking at the ichimoku the general trend is also bearish at the moment. I would suggest anyone bullish to wait until this level is flipped, let price break through this resistance and ideally retest this level as support. Don't get sucked into the hype, the market is still generally bearish and inflation is still high. The market may have some relief but wait for confirmation
NASDAQ:TSLA
by sachu_blessyou
1
How Tesla Stock Rebounded Back to Green After 40% Loss in 2024EV king powered higher over the past couple months, charged on hopes of returning growth even as returning growth is nowhere to be seen. But does it matter? Let’s find out. Tesla Erases 40% Drop in Electrifying Rally Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA ) is on a tear. A powerful comeback has shut the haters’ mouths as the electric-car maker is up about 80% from its 2024 nadir back in April. In other words, more than $350 billion have been added to Tesla’s market cap in the span of a couple months. What’s driving the electrifying charge in the popular auto maker, arguably the most popular ? It’s a bunch of factors. But more than anything, it’s investors’ big expectations over returning growth after the car company’s shares were begging to be scooped up by bargain hunters. Tesla stock had slumped about 40% on the year through late April while other big tech giants were busy logging records and getting AI drunk. Take Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ) or Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ). Or any of the Magnificent Seven members. They’ve all been celebrated over prospects of artificial intelligence-driven gains. The apparent disconnect between Tesla and the rest of the Mag 7 crew is no longer there. After stringing up a winning streak of eight straight days of winnings through Friday, Tesla shares managed to reel out of their deep 2024 losses and move in the green by about 1%. Deliveries Fuel Investors’ Long Bets Better-than-expected delivery figures underpinned the recent leg up. The Elon Musk-led company shipped 443,956 vehicles globally in the three months ended June, a 4.8% decline from the same quarter last year. And while this drop, the second one in a row, indicated that the business of deliveries didn’t grow, investors got excited about the consensus-beating numbers. Analysts anticipated 439,302 delivered units. It was also better than the first-quarter delivery figure of 386,810 . Optimism about artificial intelligence is also a key factor in steering the share price higher. It’s worth mentioning that Tesla, which recently started churning out profits , has decreased its production rate and manufactured about 411,000 vehicles in the last quarter. Lower production count translates to lower inventories, reduced costs and less pressure to cut prices in order to get rid of cars gathering dust in factories. All that means the company could splurge some cash on other projects in the pipeline and a refresh of existing ones. Elon Musk + AI + Promises = Profits??? The advance of robots and AI-powered assistants is among the top priorities for Elon Musk. Tesla’s second-generation humanoid robot Optimus debuted last week at Shanghai’s 2024 World AI Conference. First released in 2021, Optimus was designed as an everyday AI assistant to help out with things like carrying stuff, cleaning up and cooking. Before it’s launched to the public, Tesla plans to test it out in its factories starting in early 2025. To this, Elon Musk had only one thing to do — slam the short sellers and send them into “obliteration.” ”Once Tesla fully solves autonomy and has Optimus in volume production,” Musk wrote on X, “anyone still holding a short position will be obliterated.” He went further to call out one specific Tesla permabear — Bill Gates . Buyer Beware! Now on to some concerning reality checks that can make you think twice before plowing your hard-earned money into the EV maker. Tesla’s fleet of vehicles is aging badly. The Model Y is just about to pop the confetti for its fifth birthday. A lack of innovation into Tesla’s best-selling models may strip some of the company’s brand recognition for slick-looking, ultra-modern EVs. What’s more, Tesla faces fierce competition from the East. China’s biggest maker of electric cars BYD (ticker: 1211 ), sold a record number of electric and hybrid cars in the last quarter. And it’s threatening to overtake Tesla as the world’s top EV manufacturer. In June, Tesla’s market share in China dwindled by a worrying 24% from a year ago while the broader sales numbers went up thanks to the rollout of cheaper EV alternatives. BYD’s sales rose 24% in the second quarter to 426,039 EVs. We Want to Hear from You Can Tesla continue its run and keep the profits flowing to fund its risky bets on AI? Judging by the share price increase, investors seem to think so. What do you think? Let us know in the comments below.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingView
17
Tesla (TSLA): Expecting a Pullback Before the Next RiseIn our livestream a few days ago, we talked about the impressive rise in Tesla's stock. Since our last analysis on June 13th, the stock has jumped 38% in just 19 days. This was somewhat expected because there was a lot of negative sentiment towards Tesla, which often leads to a significant rise. Congratulations to everyone who believed in Tesla with us. Our position is currently profitable, and the stock looks very strong. Current Situation: The current situation shows that Tesla has risen 40 % in less than 25 days, even though there was a lot of negative sentiment. The stock is very strong right now, but a pullback is likely. We think the stock could go up to $256, finishing the sub-wave 3. After hitting this level, we expect a Wave 4 correction, which will give us a chance to make more entries. Strategy: We plan to enter between $217 and $200. We will set the stop-loss at about $198 to protect against a failed Wave 4 scenario. Our strategy involves expecting the Wave 4 correction to close follow-up gaps and retest important levels. Even though the performance is strong, we should be careful as this could still be a temporary rise before another drop (a dead cat bounce). In conclusion, Tesla has shown impressive strength, but we expect a pullback before it goes up further. We are targeting the $256 level for the completion of Wave 3 and plan to enter more between $217 and $200, with a stop-loss at $198. We remain cautiously optimistic and will keep a close eye on the situation.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
6
TSLA FALLING WEDGE - EASY $250, $TSLAThe Falling Wedge is a bullish formation that starts with a wide top and narrows as prices decline. This movement creates a cone shape that slopes downwards as the reaction highs and lows come together. Unlike symmetrical triangles, which lack a clear slope and bias, falling wedges unmistakably slope downwards and exhibit a bullish bias. -The buy signal has been received. -Big Hands are buying NASDAQ:TSLA despite the bad earning= BOTTOM -MODEL 2 (EV Euphoria), FSD (Subscription & Licensing Income), INDIA GIGA FACTORY (cheaper and easier Production), OPTIMUS/ENERGY (Future & Growth) Buy now and hold until the EOY! NASDAQ:TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by sej4974
1
Tesla Rebounds From Multi Year Key SupportTesla's shares rose after the announcement of new models. Tesla shares (TSLA) rose 12 percent in post market trading on Tuesday, tracking gains in the U.S. market after the electric vehicle maker promised new, more affordable models. Tesla said on Tuesday it would introduce new models by early 2025 using its current platforms and production lines, while backing away from more ambitious plans to produce an all-new model expected to cost $25,000. The rise in Tesla shares provided a much-needed boost after Tesla struggled for months with tough competition and declining sales. In technical terms, Tesla shares are supported by a multi-year uptrend. In addition, resistance trend line is also pointed out.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Pandorra
AMD 200 BY SEPTEMBER !AMD Long 200 BY SEPTEMBER Forecast: According to Long Forecast, AMD’s stock price is expected to start September 2024 at around $174 and reach a maximum of $177, with an average price of approximately $167 by the end of the month. This projection suggests a -5.7% change from the initial value. PandaForecast: The weighted average target price per AMD share for September 2024 is $151.81, with a possible monthly volatility of 6.201%. The pessimistic target level is $146.28, while the optimistic target level is $155.95. Personal Finance Freedom: Their forecast indicates an average price of $170 for September 2024, reflecting an expected increase of approximately 14.8% during that month. StockScan: The average price target for AMD stock in 2024 is $180.52, with a high forecast of $227.30 and a low forecast of $133.74. This represents a +10.14% change from the last recorded price of $163.90.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL