Tesla
SeekingPips sees TSLS Tesla GAIN $60 ! What's Next?It's hard for many traders to do. 🤔
⭐️ I still see it today with traders and investors alike. Even with some who have been at it for many years...
BUT some of the BEST ENTRIES & EXITS for me have been when the OPEN CANDLE IS COMPLETELY AGAINST ME.
The LAST WEEKLY TESLA chart that I shared is another prime example of this.
🟢SeekingPips🟢 shared a BULLISH BIAS when the WEEKLY CHART was looking as BEARISH as hell. 🔥
ℹ️ Now it really is not a method that works for everyone.
Trading against momentum always looks SCARY BUT the SECRET is MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS and also being able to...
VISUALISE DIFFERENT OBSCURE TIMEFRAMES IN REAL-TIME USING THE CURRENT OPEN CHART.
⚠️I plan on going DEEPER INTO this rabbit hole with some information and examples in the TUTORIAL SECTIONS soon.⚠️
🚥 In it's simplest terms an example would be beaing able to note where price is on a 20 or 10 min chart just only by having a 5 minute chart in front of you.
By being able to do so in REAL-TIME KEY LEVELS POP OUT that you may not have noticed from the 5 minute chart perspective only.💡💡💡
Now 🟢SeekingPips🟢 has to wait for a TRIGGER for a NEW ENTRY & SO SHOULD YOU.👍👌👍
Tesla on the Path to New Highs: Correction Before a Major high?hello guys.
let's have a comprehensive analysis of Tesla
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Technical Analysis
Price Structure & Trend:
The monthly chart indicates a long-term uptrend within a broad ascending channel.
Tesla has recently faced resistance around $300 and is now in a corrective phase.
The expected correction may bring the price down to around $220-$250, where it could find strong support before continuing its bullish move. or it is possible to start an upward movement and form an ATH!
RSI & Divergence:
The RSI indicator previously showed a fake bearish divergence, meaning the price action remains strong despite earlier weakness signals.
Potential Higher Levels
If Tesla successfully follows the projected movement, a break above $575 could open the door to $700-$750, based on the channel extension and historical breakout patterns.
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Fundamental Analysis
Earnings & Growth:
Tesla's revenue growth remains strong despite market headwinds.
New factory expansions (Giga Texas, Giga Berlin) and production efficiency improvements contribute to long-term profitability.
The Cybertruck ramp-up and expansion in AI-driven automation could drive future stock value.
EV Market Outlook:
Tesla maintains a dominant position, but increasing competition from Chinese EV manufacturers and legacy automakers remains a challenge.
Recent price cuts have impacted margins but helped sustain high sales volume.
Macroeconomic Factors:
Interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve could impact growth stocks like Tesla.
If rates stabilize or decrease in 2025, Tesla could see renewed investor interest, pushing the stock to new highs.
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Conclusion
The mid-term bearish retracement toward $250 aligns with healthy correction levels.
If Tesla holds above support and breaks $350, your $575 target is highly probable.
A break above $575 could lead to $700+ in the longer term, assuming positive earnings growth and stable macroeconomic conditions.
OH NO GUESS WHAT I FOUND $TSLA HEAD AND SHOULDERThe head and shoulders pattern is a chart formation in technical analysis that signals possible trend reversals, often suggesting a change from a bullish to a bearish trend. It features three peaks: a central "head" that is the highest, flanked by two "shoulders," with a neckline connecting the troughs between these peaks.
Tesla's stock is often viewed as a risky investment for several reasons:
High Valuation: NASDAQ:TSLA stock price is considered very high compared to traditional car manufacturers, with a much higher price-to-earnings ratio.
Market Volatility: The NASDAQ:TLSA price is highly volatile, influenced by factors like CEO Elon Musk's public comments, regulatory changes, and overall market sentiment.
Intense Competition: The electric vehicle market is becoming more competitive, with many established and new companies investing heavily in EV technology.
Production Issues: Tesla has experienced production and supply chain challenges, which can affect its ability to meet demand and maintain profitability.
Regulatory Risks: Changes in government policies and regulations, especially those related to environmental standards and EV incentives, can significantly impact Tesla's business.
While these points highlight potential risks, Tesla also has strengths such as strong brand recognition, technological innovation, and leadership in the EV market. It's important to consider both the risks and potential rewards when evaluating Tesla as an investment.
SELLL NOW!!!!!
$TSLA The rollercoaster ride The ride continues.... It can go up or it can go down 400 - 200 is the current range, while I think and hope that next quarters numbers are going to come in low. It's all going to come down to what happens when FSD launches middle of this year. Will this be a world changing moment? Or a somewhat disappointing take rate with crappy numbers...
TSLA at Key Resistance—Breakout or Rejection?Hi Traders! 🚀 TSLA is approaching a key resistance zone—will it break out or face rejection?
🔹 Scenarios:
📈 Buy if it breaks above $284, with a stop loss at $275 and targets at $290 and $320.
📉 Sell if it rejects $284 and falls below $270, with a stop loss at $280 and targets at $260 and $230.
📊 RSI is recovering from oversold territory—momentum could push prices higher! Keep an eye on the price action.
📢 Watch out for earnings reports and macro news! These could add volatility.
🔥 Smash that like button and show some energy! Let’s trade like pros! 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Tesla entering key $275 area.Tesla's stock price is currently at a critical juncture, entering the significant resistance zone around $270. The chart highlights this level as a pivotal threshold separating bearish and bullish market sentiments. Tesla's behavior around this region will likely determine its next major trend.
### Analysis of the Scenarios:
1. **Below $270: Bearish Outlook**
If Tesla's stock fails to effectively break above the $270 resistance zone and instead gets rejected, the bears will remain in control. Previous price actions indicate this level as a significant area of selling pressure, with multiple failed breakout attempts in the past. A rejection here could set the stage for a continuation of the downtrend, with potential declines back to lower support levels.
2. **Above $270: Bullish Resurgence**
A clear breakout above $270, confirmed by successive daily or weekly closes, would signal a bullish shift in Tesla's technical structure. This would suggest that buying momentum has overcome prior resistance, paving the way for further upward price movements. Breaking through this level could reignite investor enthusiasm and potentially initiate a new rally.
### Key Observations from the Chart:
- The $270 level has acted as both support and resistance in the past, underscoring its importance as a psychological and technical barrier.
- Tesla has recently bounced back after a sharp decline, suggesting a potential recovery attempt. However, the current price action faces a stiff challenge at this resistance level.
- A failure or success at $270 could trigger broader directional movement, with implications for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
### Conclusion:
Tesla's stock is at a decisive crossroads as it entered the $270 resistance zone. A rejection would signify continued bearish dominance, while a sustained breakout would indicate a bullish reversal. Investors will be closely watching the price action around this critical level to gauge the next directional move. As the market exhibits uncertainty, patience and prudent risk management will be key for traders looking to navigate Tesla's current trajectory.
$TSLL – Major Reversal in Play? Is tesla finally back???
TSLL has been in a prolonged downtrend but is now showing signs of a potential bottoming pattern. Price recently tested a key support zone between $6.26 and $7.18, holding firmly after multiple attempts to break lower.
Current price action is forming a strong base, and the first green candle breaking out of this range suggests momentum may be shifting.
The upside target is set near $20, which lines up with a previous consolidation zone and psychological resistance. A break and hold above current levels could trigger a strong move higher.
Risk is defined below support, making this a favorable risk-to-reward setup. Watching closely for follow-through confirmation.
My Technical Analysis for $TSLA (Tesla)📊 Technical Analysis: NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla)
🗓️ Updated: March 24, 2025
🚨 Critical Zone Being Tested
After breaking out of a multi-year symmetrical triangle, NASDAQ:TSLA is now retesting the upper boundary of the pattern — perfectly aligned with the key ACTION ZONE (liquidity zone + long-term MAs).
🔵 ACTION ZONE ($245–265):
High-probability decision area. Holding this level could trigger a fresh bullish leg.
🟣 SWING BOX ($180–210):
If support fails, this is the next logical area for a potential bullish reaction.
🟡 FVG Daily ($75–115):
Unmitigated Fair Value Gap. Only relevant in case of a major breakdown.
📉 SMI (Stochastic Momentum Index):
Currently in negative territory, but nearing oversold — watch for a potential reversal.
🎯 Scenarios:
Bullish: Strong rejection from the Action Zone → potential move to $350–400 ✅
Bearish: Breakdown below the blue zone → eyes on Swing Box or FVG for reentry ⚠️
📌 Reminder: This is not financial advice. Always manage risk and wait for confirmation before entering a trade.
💬 What do you think? Is Tesla preparing for a bounce or heading lower?
👇 Share your thoughts in the comments!
Tesla Is Retail Traders' Choice, JPMorgan Says. Are You Buying?Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA has endured a soul-crushing experience over the past three months or so. The stock is down 50% from the record high of $480 hit in December (more than $700 billion in market cap washed out). Even insiders have sold a big chunk of their holdings.
But over the past three weeks (12 trading days to be precise), investment bank JPMorgan NYSE:JPM says, retail traders just couldn't get enough of it.
Retail net buying activity in TSLA stock. Source: JPMorgan
They’ve consistently been buying the dip, and then the dip of the dip and then… you get it. Every new dip is seen as a buying opportunity to the daredevils among us who try to catch a falling knife.
In the latest issue of “Retail Radar” — JPMorgan’s weekly report revealing where the retail money is flowing — the banking giant traced a net $12.5 billion of retail cash poured into stocks or stock-related investments last week.
As much as $4.2 billion went into ETFs (diversification, nice), where a cocktail of ETFs with a broad selection of stocks took the lion’s share along with some gold ETFs . Still, the big chunk of the pie went into individual equities — $8.3 billion of cold hard cash was injected into the retail-trading darlings Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA , Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA and other Mag 7 members.
🤿 Buying the Dip
Here’s what the bank said:
“Single stocks accounted for +$8.3B of the inflow. TSLA (+$3.2B, +3.5z) and NVDA (+$1.9B, +1.1z) collectively contributed more than half, and the rest of Mag 7 contributed another $1B. Notably, they have been buying TSLA for 12 consecutive days, adding $7.3B in total.”
The 3.5z and the 1.1z describe the standard deviation of the retail traders’ net flows compared to the 12-month average. (Keep reading, it gets even better.)
Did you hear that? Tesla dominated the charts. Day trading bros have kicked in a total of $7.3 billion into Elon Musk’s EV maker over the past 12 cash sessions. It even won some praise from JPMorgan analysts who said this endeavor represents “the highest magnitude among all past ‘buying streaks’ in over a decade.”
Here’s the best part:
“Retail investors returned as aggressive buyers on Wednesday, breaking the $2 billion threshold in the first half of the day (the 2nd time this year), and ending the day at $3.7 billion inflows (+7z),” JPMorgan noted (Wow, 7 standard deviations above the mean). “We observed their allocation into ETFs/single names are at 30/70% during a typical heavy buying day. Among single names, NVDA and TSLA led the inflows.”
JPMorgan also estimated that retail traders’ efforts to snatch the W this year are just bad.
“We estimate retail investors’ performance is down by 7% year to date (vs. -3.3% loss in S&P). Most of the drawdown came from March as they increased their holdings in Tech.”
Retail traders' performance, year to date. Source: JPMorgan
🤙 The YOLO Moment
Buying Tesla shares right now is the ultimate YOLO play. We’re only a week away before Tesla announces what’s shaping up to be the worst delivery figure in years. After a few cuts to delivery targets, considering Europe’s sales took a huge L earlier this year, analysts now predict first-quarter deliveries to land at an average of 418,000 vehicles.
Goldman Sachs NYSE:GS , for one, is bigly bearish on the number. It trimmed its target by 50,000 to 375,000 cars. If true, it would mean that Tesla’s business is shrinking by 3% compared with Q1 of 2024 when deliveries hit 387,000 units.
For the year, analysts expect sales to land anywhere between 1.9 million and 2.1 million. With looming competition in the global auto space , Tesla will need to work extra hard to meet these numbers. In 2024, Tesla rolled 1.8 million vehicles off the assembly line and into customers’ hands (down 1% from 2023).
👀 Are Retail Traders Buying the Dip?
What better place to gauge retail traders’ sentiment than the absolute best trading community out there? Let’s hear it from you — share your thoughts on Tesla! Have you been buying the dipping dip that just keeps carving out new lows? Or you’re a freshly minted Tesla bear after all the havoc and drama around Elon Musk? Off to you!
TESLA Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on TESLA and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 249.11 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 240.93
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bullish TESLA prediction and bullish theoriesBullish triggers for this event to potenially happen. (I think)
1.If the macro landscape will calm down. (QE/ Lower interest rates / Tariff peace talks)
2.Musk returns to focus on TSLA.
3.Improvements or any new news regarding the optimus robots development.
4.Bitcoin breaking out (to the upside).
5.Retirement funds coming back as investors in TSLA. (Danish funds have left the stock).
6.Peace talks between Russia and Ukraine.
NASDAQ:TSLA
Why I think JP Morgan Predicts a $120 price for Tesla1) The price channel (white) reveals that we’re only halfway to the next major bounce on the daily chart. With boycotts gaining traction and sales projections looking bleak, the stage is set for more downward pressure.
2) Looking back at the last significant downward swing ( purple ) within this channel, history could repeat itself with a drop of similar magnitude. The pattern is hard to ignore.
3) A critical support zone ( green ) lies beneath an unresolved price imbalance, still waiting to be tested. It’s like a magnet pulling the price lower.
4) When you weave these factors together—channel dynamics, past swings, and untouched support—they converge ominously around the $120 mark. Coincidence? I think not...
Let me know what you guys think.
TESLA pricing its long-term bottom. $450 rebound highly likely.Nine months ago (June 26 2024, see chart below), we signaled the start of an enormous rally on Tesla (TSLA), which eventually hit our minimum Target ($400), based on a fractal from 2014 - 2016:
Since the upper 1.382 Fib Target wasn't achieved, the model is readjusted and this count makes better sense. Based on the 1W RSI we are on a bottom similar to October 30 2017 around the 4.0 Time Fib extension. That past sequence initiated a rebound towards the market Resistance before the next decline headed to the 5.0 Fib extension.
As a result, we believe Tesla will find a bottom here and target $450 just below the Resistance level.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TSLA bound to return to its GLORY. SEED now at 230 !TSLA'S 2024 year has been a glorious one after surging 2x its valuation from 200 area on Q3 of 2024 to reach a parabolic ATH high of 485.
From there on, the stock has spiraled down -- since TRUMP inauguration.
Slashing half of its market cap from a 1.5T+ company to just 700B. Price suffered most on the market bloodbath from its ATH of 480 back to tappin its pre-surge base zone at 200 levels.
Now, things has become more or less calm. And red days has become saturated hinting of possible reversal play to the upside.
Significant net longs has been registered this past few days conveying heavy accumulation at the current price range of 200.
A double bottom has been spotted on our diagram showing a strong support of the price line.
Current price range is an ideal seeding zone for trade entries.
A rare bargain opportunity for that growth prospect -- and a retap of its glory days back at peak levels.
Spotted at 230.
Target ATH levels at 480.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
Microsoft (MSFT): The "Can’t Go Wrong" Stock... Until It DoesAh, Microsoft—the tech titan that could probably survive a meteor impact. 🌍☄️ With a market cap so large it could buy entire countries and still have spare change for a few yachts, MSFT is the stock that everyone loves... even when it’s overvalued. But hey, let’s take a look at the "genius" behind the current price action. 🔍💰
📊 The Almighty Stock Performance (Because Fundamentals Don’t Matter Anymore?)
📉 Price: $385.76 (up a whole 0.00584%! Call the champagne guy! 🍾)
📊 Intraday High: $387.88
📉 Intraday Low: $383.27 (because even Microsoft has bad days, right? 😅)
🔮 200-day moving average: $423.98 (oh look, it's trading below that... bearish much? 🐻)
So, let me get this straight. MSFT is 7.80% down year-to-date, but analysts are still screaming “BUY! 🚀.” Sure, because blindly trusting price targets has always worked out well for retail investors. 🤑
💰 Valuation: Overpriced? Who Cares, It’s Microsoft!
📢 Intrinsic Value Estimate: $316.34
😬 Current Price: $385.76
💰 Overvaluation? About 18%
But let’s be honest—does valuation even matter anymore? If people are throwing money at meme coins, why not pay a premium for MSFT? 🤷♂️ It’s basically a subscription service at this point—you pay every month, and the stock just keeps draining your wallet. 💸
🤖 AI Goldmine or Just Another Buzzword?
Microsoft has been riding the AI hype train harder than a teenager with ChatGPT. 🚂💨 Their enterprise AI growth is over 100%, and they’re pulling in a $13 billion annual run rate from AI services. But sure, let’s pretend that no one remembers the last time “the next big thing” crashed and burned. (cough dot-com bubble cough). 💀💾
Evercore analysts claim MSFT will dominate AI for enterprises. Well, duh. If you’re an enterprise and don’t buy Microsoft AI services, Satya Nadella himself might show up at your office and force you to install Windows 11. 🏢💻
📉 Risk Factors? No Way! MSFT is Invincible... Right?
🦅 Hawkish Fed = Potential Market Sell-Off (But don’t worry, just HODL, right? 🤡)
🚀 Tech Bubble Concerns (Microsoft will totally be the exception… like every overhyped stock before it. 😬)
🧐 Overvaluation? Pfft, who cares? (People said the same about Tesla at $400. Look how that turned out. 🪦)
📢 Analyst Hot Takes (Because They’re Always Right 😂)
📊 D.A. Davidson: Upgraded to Buy with a price target of $450. (Ah yes, let’s just throw numbers out there. Why not $500? $600? 🚀)
🔮 UBS: Predicts $3,200 for gold, but Microsoft will somehow go even higher. (Probably. Because… reasons. 🤷♂️)
🎭 Final Thoughts: Buy? Sell? Just Panic?
Microsoft is basically the “safe” tech stock everyone clings to while pretending that the market isn’t built on dreams and overleveraged hedge funds. 🏦💰 If you believe in the power of monopolies, overpriced AI services, and analysts pulling price targets out of thin air, then MSFT is your golden ticket. 🎟️💎
Otherwise, maybe—just maybe—waiting for a dip below fair value isn’t the worst idea in the world. But what do I know? I’m just some guy on the internet. 🤷♂️
🚀💸 Good luck, traders. You’ll need it. 😈📉
💬 What do you think? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Among the Biggest Losers AgainTesla (TSLA) Shares Among the Biggest Losers Again
As the chart shows, Tesla (TSLA) shares opened yesterday’s trading session with a bearish gap and closed more than 5% lower than the previous day’s close. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) also declined, but by only around 1%.
Why Tesla (TSLA) Shares Fell
The recent two-day decline may be part of a broader downtrend. As we noted earlier in March, one of the key bearish factors could be Elon Musk’s political involvement in the Trump administration. For investors, this may imply that:
→ A significant number of potential Tesla customers may be put off by Musk’s political stance, slowing sales.
→ The CEO may not be paying enough attention to the company at a time of intense competition. Notably, Chinese EV manufacturer BYD Co. (CN:002594) has announced the launch of its Super e-Platform, which can charge a vehicle with a 400-kilometre range in just five minutes.
This sentiment is reflected in analysts’ decisions, as they continue to lower their target prices for TSLA shares, further fuelling negative sentiment.
TSLA Price Forecast
According to MarketWatch, RBC Capital Markets has cut Tesla’s target price from $440 to $320 due to a worsening outlook for the company’s robotaxi programme and autonomous driving software.
However, RBC analyst Tom Narayan maintained a “Buy” rating on Tesla (TSLA) shares, stating that concerns over a sharp sales drop in Europe and China are “overblown.”
Technical Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Chart
The previously identified downward channel (marked in red) remains relevant. However, price action suggests that selling pressure may be easing:
→ The decline on 10 March (marked by arrow One) was much more aggressive, but the downward momentum has since slowed (also marked by arrow One).
→ During yesterday’s session, the price closed only slightly below the opening level, suggesting that bears are hesitating near the yearly low.
This could potentially lead to a bullish Double Bottom pattern, increasing the likelihood of an attempt to break above the current resistance around the psychological level of $250.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Tesla What Next? TSLA Buy Bargain OR Bust?✅️Now you guys know my thoughts on this and although TESLA has been beaten ⚫️black⚫️ and 🔵blue🔵 recently somehow there may be an opportunity on the horizon.🚀
ℹ️ The way I look at it is unless you think TSLA is dead forever and to be cast to the dustbin 🟢SeekingPips🟢 would be looking for a buying opportunity.
👌I don't know who coined the phrase first however it's one that 🟢SeekingPips🟢 loves and uses often it's
⭐️"BUY WHEN THERES BLOOD IN THE STREETS"⭐️
⚠️Now don't get me wrong it doesn't mean I will be loading up gun ho RIGHT AT THIS MOMENT but it certainly DOES MEAN I'M NOT A SELLER AND STALKING BUYING OPPORTUNITIES✅️
❓️What's you thoughts on Tesla❓️
Share your thoughts with 🟢SeekingPips🟢
US Technology Sector Futures. The Heartbreak HotelPresident Donald Trump's tariffs on imported tech goods, targeting China, the EU, Canada, and Mexico, are reshaping the U.S. technology sector through higher costs, supply chain disruptions, and retaliatory trade risks. While intended to boost domestic manufacturing and reduce trade deficits, these measures are creating immediate economic strain across critical industries. Below is an analysis of their key negative impacts:
Rising Consumer Prices and Hardware Costs
The 25% tariff on EU semiconductors, 10% levy on Chinese goods, and 25% duties on Canadian/Mexican imports are projected to add $50 billion in new costs to North American tech supply chains. This directly affects consumer electronics:
Smartphones and laptops. Apple’s iPhone production in China exposes it to 10% tariffs, likely forcing U.S. price hikes.
Semiconductors. The U.S. relies on China and Taiwan for 80% of 20-45nm chips and 70% of 50-180nm chips, with tariffs disrupting access to essential components.
Cloud/AI infrastructure. Steel and aluminum tariffs (25%) increase data center construction costs, potentially raising prices for AWS, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure services.
Experts warn companies may pass 60-100% of tariff costs to consumers rather than absorb profit losses.
Supply Chain Disruptions and North American Integration
The tariffs jeopardize tightly integrated North American production networks:
Cross-border dependencies. Components often cross U.S.-Mexico or U.S.-Canada borders multiple times during manufacturing. Christine McDaniel of the Mercatus Center notes this integration means tariffs “hurt the pricing power of the U.S.” by inflating domestic costs.
Critical material shortages. Canada supplies nickel and cobalt for batteries, while Mexico handles assembly for firms like Foxconn. Tariffs risk delays and renegotiations with suppliers.
Retaliatory measures. The EU may respond with fines or trade barriers against U.S. tech giants like Apple and Google, escalating tensions.
Sector-Specific Challenges
Semiconductors and Hardware
Chip shortages. With limited domestic foundry capacity, tariffs on EU semiconductors threaten AI development and device manufacturing.
Networking equipment. Proposed 10% tariffs on Chinese-made routers and modems could disrupt cloud providers reliant on these components.
Data Centers and AI
Construction delays. Steel/aluminum tariffs increase costs for server racks and cooling systems, potentially delaying $80 billion in planned U.S. data center investments.
AI infrastructure. Projects like the $500 billion Stargate initiative face higher expenses for imported components, slowing AI adoption.
Macroeconomic Risks
Trade deficit growth. Despite tariffs aiming to reduce the $1 trillion U.S. goods trade deficit, S&P Global warns retaliatory Chinese tariffs could worsen imbalances.
Job losses. Economic modeling suggests tariffs may cost 125,000+ U.S. tech jobs through reduced consumer spending and IT budget cuts.
Innovation slowdown. While firms like TSMC and Intel accelerate U.S. fab construction, short-term supply chain reallocations divert R&D funding.
Corporate Responses and Limitations
Some companies are attempting mitigation strategies:
Stockpiling. NVIDIA and AMD are urging partners to increase pre-tariff production.
Domestic shifts. Apple plans $500 billion in U.S. manufacturing, while TSMC pledged $160 billion for stateside fabs.
However, these efforts face scalability issues. Building advanced chip foundries takes 3-5 years, leaving gaps in critical components. Meanwhile, 65% of IT firms report difficulty finding tariff-free alternatives for Chinese inputs.
Technical challenge
The main technical graph for US Technology Select Sector Futures CME_MINI:XAK1! (CME Group mode of AMEX:XLK - SPDR Select Sector Fund - S&P500 Technology ETF) indicates on further Bearish market in development since major support of 52-week SMA has been broken already, with possible upcoming Bearish cascade effects in the future.
It is also important to note the almost complete absence of a Trump-a-rally in the 2024 holiday quarter, which contributed to the formation of a multi-resistance top.
Conclusion
While the tariffs aim to strengthen U.S. tech autonomy, their immediate effects—higher prices, supply instability, and strained international relations—outweigh potential long-term benefits. With global IT spending still projected to grow 9% in 2025, the sector’s resilience is being tested by policy-driven headwinds that threaten America’s competitive edge in semiconductors, AI, and consumer electronics.
Investing in S&P500 Technology Sector Futures / ETFs seeks to provide precise exposure to companies from technology hardware, storage and peripherals; software; communications equipment; semiconductors and semiconductor equipment; IT services; and electronic equipment, instruments and components industries; allows investors to take strategic or tactical positions at a more targeted level than traditional wide style based investing.
S&P500 Technology Sector Futures / ETFs are designed for investing at a more targeted Technology level, since nearly 50 percent of holdings weight just a five well-known names:
Name Weight
APPLE INC NASDAQ:AAPL 15.61%
MICROSOFT CORP 12.83%
NVIDIA CORP NASDAQ:NVDA 11.91%
BROADCOM INC NASDAQ:AVGO 5.18%
SALESFORCE INC NYSE:CRM 3.11%
--
Best 'Heartbreaking' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
TESLA (TSLA)What I’m Watching:
I’m focusing on the 245–250 neckline for a decisive reaction. If buyers defend this level, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend from the inverted pattern’s breakout. If sellers break below, the bullish bias could change, leading to a potential correction.
A strong bounce from the neckline would align with the prior uptrend, while a break below could shift the short-term bias to bearish.
Bullish Bounce:
If buyers hold the 245–250 neckline and push the price higher, expect to resume the bullish trend, targeting the recent high of 490, with potential to push toward 500–510 if momentum builds. A break above 300 would confirm buyer strength and support the inverted pattern’s bullish target.
Bearish Correction:
If sellers break below the 245 neckline and sustain the move, it could indicate a failure of the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, leading to a correction. A break below this level might target the 215 - 210 zone (right shoulder support) or lower to 210–180 if selling pressure intensifies. External factors, such as negative Tesla news or a broader market downturn, could drive this decline.