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Tesla

TESLA Is it making a 'META Bottom'?Tesla / TSLA has made a Double Bottom on Friday and today is making a run for the 1day MA50. This is an important level as since January 9th (3 months) it has been the Resistance and hasn't been broken. But can this Double Bottom for Tesla be a 'META bottom', like the one the social media giant had in November 2022? Both fractals formed Lower Highs under a Falling Resistance before bottoming, so if Tesla crosses over the 1day MA50, we see no reason why it shouldn't finally sustain a rally that will break above the Falling Resistance. META's first target before the first pull back was the 0.786 Fibonacci. Buy and target 260.00 (slightly under the 0.786 Fibonacci). Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TheCryptagon
TSLA - Weekly Inflection PointDaily is winding up to an inflection point, while the weekly is getting close as well. I'm favoring the bearish break; but there is a chance for a bullish reversal- so time will tell. What I can say is that we're approaching a conclusive point in time that will send price with signifcant momentum in either direction. When I look for an inflection point I watch for consolidating momentum. In turn I watch for breaks that releases the built up energy. Previous Analysis:
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Mikhiavelli
TESLA $TSLA - Feb. 16th, 2024Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ TVC:NDQ BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $195.75 - $260.50 (BUY ZONE ADJUSTABLE DOWN TO 208.50) DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $177.25 - $195.75 (DNT ZONE ADJUSTABLE UP TO $208.50) SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $113.00 - $177.25 Tesla broke out of its range lasting from Jan. 25th - Feb 15th. Breakout price was at 195.75, the Feb 15th daily candle broke and closed above this price level. This can mark a bullish trend, however; a safer bullish zone can be extended to start at 208.50, with the DNT zone also extending to end at 208.50. I personally like the early entries after a strong bullish candle yesterday with over a +6% move. Some other high frame bullish entries could be a retest of the top of the range, or a breakout of the 208.50 area. Some high frame bearish entries could be a test and rejection of the 208.50 area, or a break back into the range area. Long term targets would be the 230 - 260 area, would need another look once price moves closer. I quickly marked every recent structure 1 - 6 that I considered when looking to enter a new position to show somewhat where my mind was at. As price moves to new levels and zones and develops new structure I will update this. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TonyAiello
$TSLA Bearish to Bullish Break Coming SoonNASDAQ:TSLA Bearish to Bullish Break out Coming Soon with bottoming pattern. Waiting for a buy alert from our indicator before we go long. The technical analysis description "Bearish to Bullish Breakout to the upside" typically indicates a transition in market sentiment from a bearish trend to a bullish trend, accompanied by a significant upward price movement. This breakout suggests that the previous downward trend in prices has been overcome, and there is now potential for further upward momentum in the market. Traders and investors often interpret this breakout as a signal to enter bullish positions or to adjust their trading strategies to capitalize on the anticipated upward movement in prices.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by AlgoTradeAlert
Tesla's Robotaxi Set to be Unveil Amidst Investor SkepticismTesla's journey on the stock market has been nothing short of tumultuous in recent times, as the electric vehicle (EV) giant grapples with diverging narratives surrounding its futuristic promises and current market challenges. Elon Musk, Tesla's enigmatic CEO, once again sought to change the narrative by teasing the long-awaited robotaxi unveiling, scheduled for August 8th. This announcement, following a denial of reports about shelving plans for a cheaper electric vehicle, prompted a surge in Tesla's shares in extended trading. However, amidst the hype, questions linger about the feasibility of Musk's grand vision. Tesla's history is peppered with ambitious promises and delayed deliveries. Musk's predictions about autonomous vehicles, including the much-touted robotaxi, have yet to materialize despite years of anticipation. Regulatory hurdles, technical challenges, and manufacturing setbacks have impeded progress, casting doubt on the viability of Musk's ambitious timelines. Despite Musk's attempts to steer attention towards the future, Tesla's present struggles remain undeniable. Sluggish demand, intensified competition, and supply chain disruptions have weighed heavily on the company's performance. Tesla's first-quarter deliveries witnessed an 8.5% drop from the previous year, contributing to a sharp decline in share value. The regulatory landscape further complicates Tesla's path forward. Recent recalls and safety concerns surrounding Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) software underscore the challenges of gaining regulatory approval for autonomous vehicles. Convincing regulators of the safety and reliability of Tesla's technology remains a formidable task, one that could significantly impact the trajectory of the company's autonomous ambitions. As Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) navigates these challenges, investor skepticism looms large. Analysts have questioned Tesla's growth prospects amidst a backdrop of sluggish demand and mounting competition. The recent selloff in Tesla's shares reflects growing concerns about the company's ability to deliver on its lofty promises amidst a volatile market environment. Tesla's future hinges on its ability to bridge the gap between promise and reality, demonstrating tangible progress in delivering on its ambitious vision while addressing present-day challenges. The upcoming robotaxi may capture headlines, but the road ahead for Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) remains fraught with uncertainty. Technical Outlook Technically, NASDAQ:TSLA stock has accumulated liquidity during its worst market days coupled with the release of its Robotaxi, it will capitalize on its gains as more buyers step in and then surge to a new Resistance level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45.09 is pretty much good for a perfect entry as NASDAQ:TSLA is on its way to a new Resistance zone.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DEXWireNews
NVIDIA SL 850 TO 1000 ENTER BETWEEN THIS LEVELS Dominance in AI and Software Solutions: NVIDIA stands out as a leader in software and AI solutions. Its technology is crucial for various applications, including AI training, autonomous driving, and the metaverse. The company’s strong position in these areas provides a solid foundation for growth1. Beat-and-Raise Potential: NVIDIA is expected to deliver a strong earnings report. Despite high demand for its artificial-intelligence hardware, the company may still outperform expectations. Analysts anticipate a beat-and-raise scenario, which could drive the stock price higher1. Long-Term Tailwinds: The secular trends favoring AI, autonomous driving, and the metaverse are long-term tailwinds for NVIDIA. As these technologies continue to evolve, NVIDIA’s revenue streams from software and AI solutions are likely to grow consistently1. Trade Strategy Entry Point: Consider entering the trade when NVIDIA’s stock price is around the current market price (approximately $434.86). Stop Loss: Set a stop loss at $850. If the stock price drops to this level, exit the position to limit losses. Take Profit: Aim for a take profit target of $1000. If the stock reaches this level, consider selling to lock in profits.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
2
Tesla Stock Down 30% This Year. What Happened to the EV King?The electric-car maker is in dire need of charging after losing more than $260 billion this year and turning Elon Musk into the biggest loser among the world’s wealthiest. Table of Contents » How It Started vs How It’s Going » Nothing Magnificent About It » Competition Revs Up » Teslas Pile Up on Weak Demand » If You’re Having a Bad Day, Read This 📍 How It Started vs How It’s Going Tesla (ticker: TSLA ) kicked off the year as the big tech highflyer we all know. With a valuation of more than $780 billion, the electric-car maker stepped into 2024 as the world’s largest EV seller. Deliveries were standing at record highs and chief executive Elon Musk was the world’s richest person and was looking at a gargantuan $55 billion pay day. All of that was taken away in one way or another. Chinese automaker BYD (ticker: 1211 ) dethroned the EV kingpin by selling 526,000 EVs for the fourth quarter of 2023, more than Tesla’s 484,000. Even as Tesla reclaimed the top spot in the January through March quarter, it flagged a worrying signal that its business was shrinking. As for Elon Musk, he lost a court battle over his lofty $55 billion pay package when a judge called it “an unfathomable sum.” Shortly before that, he handed the World’s Richest title to Amazon founder Jeff Bezos . 📍 Nothing Magnificent About It Chugging through first-quarter twists and turns, Tesla drifted away from the highly exclusive club called the “Magnificent Seven.” The group of companies with a snappy nickname is made up of Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ), Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ), Facebook parent Meta (ticker: META ), Google parent Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL ), Amazon (ticker: AMZN ), Apple (ticker: AAPL ), and outsider-in-the-making Tesla (ticker: TSLA ). How did that happen and why is Tesla at risk of falling out of the Magnificent Seven? Tesla’s valuation — which is notoriously volatile and hard to pinpoint — saw a massive 30% drop over the first three months of 2024, turning the stock into the worst performer in the S&P 500. More than $260 billion has been washed out since early January, giving the EV maker a price tag of around $520 billion today. Zoom further out, and you see Tesla peaked during the Reddit stocks meme-trading era of 2021 when shares hit an all-time high of $417. Back then, Tesla became the first car manufacturer to break into the $1 trillion club. Tesla stock has lost about a third of its valuation this year. Source: TradingView The drastic fall spotlights a stark difference between Tesla and the rest of the Magnificent Seven big shots. The other tech giants are at the top of well-developed yet competitive industries. Take for example Microsoft — the software mainstay has created for itself a competitive moat in the enterprise and retail software business. Tesla, on the other hand, is the trailblazer for the EV revolution but charged up rivals are shifting gears, threatening to soak up market share fast. 📍 Competition Revs Up Chinese smartphone maker Xiaomi (ticker: 1810 ) last week unveiled a slick-looking, tech-rich electric ride. The model is called SU7 and it clocked up 10,000 reservations in the first 4 minutes after launch. Then it got to 89,000 in 24 hours. The successful launch bumped Xiaomi’s market cap by $4 billion to around $50 billion, or 10 times less than Tesla. The SU7, however, is priced lower than a high-end Model 3. Tesla has more rivals to outsell, among them BYD (ticker: 1211 ) and the more-niche player Rivian (ticker: RIVN ). Rivian is an EV startup that marked a 70% increase in sales for the first quarter. The number, however, is a tiny 13,980 units delivered. 📍 Teslas Pile Up on Weak Demand Tesla’s year went from bad to worse this week when it announced it had delivered 386,810 EVs in the first quarter. The number was about 20,000 below the most bearish forecast on Wall Street. It was also 9% lower than last year’s first quarter, indicating that the company’s business is shrinking. More importantly, Tesla produced 433,371 units, leaving about 46,000 waiting to be purchased by customers. The difference between production and deliveries meant that unsold models are piling up. A demand issue maybe? 📍 If You’re Having a Bad Day, Read This In all that chaos, Elon Musk emerged as the world’s worst moneymaker, taking a huge blow to his net worth so far this year. According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index , the eccentric engineer is down $45 billion to roughly $180 billion, taking the number one spot on the loser board. Elon Musk owns a 20.5% stake in Tesla worth about $120 billion, according to a December 31 filing . The stake consists of 411 million shares of common stock and 303 million stock options with a strike price of $26 a pop. The majority of Musk’s wealth is concentrated in his EV company, but he also owns private social media platform X, former Twitter, and space exploration company SpaceX, among other businesses. 📍 What’s Your Take? Are you buying the dip in Tesla stock? Or are you waiting for a deeper drop before scooping up some shares for yourself? Let us know your thoughts on Tesla’s future in the comments below! 🚀if you liked this article, give us a follow to make sure you don't miss any. 💖 TradingView Team
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingView
38
Tesla's Alternate Scenario 📈🔍Regrettably, our Tesla trade within the 2-hour timeframe faced an unexpected stop-out. The anticipated completion of Wave 2 hasn't manifested, evident in the broader timeframe. Initially, we presumed it concluded at 50%, specifically at Wave C around $195. This presumption was invalidated post the recent earnings call, signaling a potential double correction. Consequently, we envisage establishing the bottom for Wave 2 within the range of 61.8% and 78.6%. Should this support falter, the price may decline, reaching at least $100. A breach below this level introduces an entirely different narrative for Tesla. It is crucial for the level to hold; otherwise, the bullish scenario could be flawed and invalidated. In the midst of selling pressure, opportunities often emerge, particularly during a Wave 2 correction. It is characteristic that circumstances may appear more challenging than when Tesla was valued at $100. Therefore, our expectation revolves around a reversal between $177 and $144, paving the way for a subsequent surge towards $500. 📈🔍
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by stromm_by_wmc
TESLA: Bottom is being priced. $470 end of year possible.Tesla is bearish on all long term timeframes 1D, 1W and 1M. The lowest RSI is on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 37.118, MACD = -15.730, ADX = 32.394), which is the chart we focus today on. The stock has been inside a Channel Down since the July 2023 High, which was Lower High on the LH trendline that started on the ATH. We have spotted a striking resemblance of that pattern with 2014-2016. That pattern found support after the LH rejection on the 0.618 Fibonacci level and then rebounded aggressively to a new ATH on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level from the pattern's Low. That rise was slightly greater than the last LH (+116.98% agains 91.32%). Tesla is on today's pattern very close to the 0.618 Fibonacci level, so we see it as a unique long term technical buy opportunity despite the recent negative fundamentals, which are being priced in since the start of the year. If you don't want to target as high as the 1.382 Fibonacci extension, take a more 'modest' approach and go for the analogous +195.79% rise, same as the last LH rally (TP = $470.00). Unique long term buy opportunity indeed to buy the industry leader. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by InvestingScope
Tesla's Production Numbers in Last QuarterI wanted to bring to your attention the recent news regarding Tesla's Q1 2024 deliveries. There are reports that deliveries fell short of expectations compared to the previous quarter. This development, along with concerns about the economy and evolving consumer preferences in the electric vehicle market, could have an impact on Tesla's stock price. It's important to consider this news along with other factors, such as Tesla's long-term position in the EV space and overall market conditions when making investment decisions. As always, it is important to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Please feel free to reach out in the comments if you have any questions or would like to discuss this further.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
Tesla Faces Headwinds as Q1 Deliveries Fall: What Lies Ahead?Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer, finds itself navigating choppy waters as it reports a decline in first-quarter deliveries, sending its stock tumbling in early trading. With 386,810 deliveries, an 8.5% decrease from the same period last year, Tesla's performance has raised concerns among investors and analysts alike. The company attributes the decline in volumes to several factors, including the early phase of production ramp-up for the updated Model 3 at its Fremont factory and disruptions caused by external events such as the Red Sea conflict and an arson attack at Gigafactory Berlin. These challenges highlight the vulnerability of Tesla's global supply chain to geopolitical tensions and unforeseen incidents, underscoring the need for resilience in an increasingly complex operating environment. Moreover, reports of decreased production at Tesla's Shanghai factory raise additional questions about the company's growth trajectory. While Tesla's China-made vehicle sales remained flat year-over-year, despite a 33% increase in overall industry sales in China, the EV maker faces stiff competition from local rivals and mounting pressure to maintain its market share in the world's largest automotive market. Chinese EV brands like BYD and Nio are aggressively expanding into new markets, posing a formidable challenge to Tesla's dominance. As these competitors gain traction both at home and abroad, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) must reassess its strategy to retain its competitive edge and sustain growth in the face of intensifying competition. The upcoming quarterly earnings report scheduled for April 23 presents a critical opportunity for Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) to reassure investors and reverse the downward trend in its stock price. Analyst opinions on Tesla's prospects remain divided, with some questioning the company's growth prospects amid mounting challenges, while others view the recent selloff as an overreaction, presenting an attractive buying opportunity for long-term investors. However, the road ahead for Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is fraught with uncertainty, as it grapples with supply chain disruptions, geopolitical risks, and increasing competition in key markets. As the EV industry continues to evolve rapidly, Tesla must demonstrate its ability to adapt to changing dynamics and deliver on its promise of revolutionizing the automotive industry. Ultimately, Tesla's success hinges on its ability to navigate these challenges effectively and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the rapidly evolving EV landscape. While the recent downturn in stock price may dampen short-term sentiment, long-term investors may view this as a potential buying opportunity, betting on Tesla's innovative capabilities and disruptive potential to drive future growth. Technical Outlook Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is Trading below its 200, 100 & 50-day Moving Averages (MA) respectively with a negative Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 37. indicating an oversold condition for Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) amidst market volatility.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by DEXWireNews
TESLA Macro ABC Potential $70Looking at a daily chart for Tesla we can see what has the potential for being a ABC correction wave from its drop last year. While the current trend is still bullish a lower high or a brake of the last high, grabbing the liquidity above, with a wick back below would be a clear indication that a pull back to the main trend is possibly on it's way. The previous all time high has a clear swing failure pattern by braking above its previous high dropping back below it and then retesting the same level with a rejection. IF price manages to make its way back to the main trend it will have an opportunity to redeem it's self but a brake of the main trend would be another clear indication of more potential down side. For down side targets the next support level below the current low is also corresponding with a previous fair value gap and the golden pocket retrace level of 50-61.8%. This evaluation has nothing to do with the viability of TESLA or its future but is rather a expression of the liquidity cycle; based on the value of and availability of the currencies used to purchase these assets.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Degen-Dynasty
3
Is The EV Hype Over? How The Fed Is Destroying TeslaThe first quarter of 2024 is now over, closing in a record +10% YTD rally and an exceptional +43% YOY increase in the QQQ. Despite the markets pushing higher, Tesla is experiencing significant challenges, with a -30% decrease YTD and a -9% decline YOY. This performance has positioned Tesla as the worst performing megacap so far. Given these circumstances, it's essential to delve into both macroeconomic factors and technical analysis to understand what has happened and what is likely to happen moving forward. The Macroeconomic Impact on Tesla Two years ago, the Federal Reserve initiated a historic rate-hiking cycle, increasing interest rates from 0% to 5.5% within just over a year and maintaining this rate since July 2023. This shift in monetary policy has notably affected car financing rates, now at 8.2% for a five-year loan, which significantly discourages consumers from buying new vehicles, especially EVs. The chart clearly illustrates an inverse correlation between Tesla stock and interest rates. Moreover, Tesla has operated exclusively during periods of historically low interest rates. Despite the Federal Reserve pausing rate hikes nine months ago, the interest rate on car loans continues to rise. Further examination of inflation trends indicates that most common inflation measures have either plateaued or slowed their pace of deceleration, at a level inconsistent with the Fed's 2% inflation target. The M2 money supply and inflation expectations are critical indicators for predicting the direction of inflation. The peak in the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) followed the peak in M2 YOY by 16 months, recently bottoming just three months before CPI YOY stopped making progress to the downside. This lagged correlation suggests that headline CPI is unlikely to continue its strong downward trend moving forward. Moreover, inflation expectations, which remain well anchored, have also appeared to stop making progress to the downside, all remaining above 2%. This, combined with unchanged interest rates for nine months, suggests that the neutral rate of interest must be significantly higher than the pre-COVID trend. Historically, recessions have played a key role in helping the Fed bring down inflation to their 2% target. However, current economic indicators, including low unemployment levels and easy financial conditions, suggest that a recession is unlikely in the near future, despite the fed funds rate staying unchanged at a two-decade high. The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) captures the stimulative effects on the economy from the U.S. government's expansive fiscal policy. By borrowing and spending trillions directly from the Reverse Repo (RRP), the U.S. government has ingeniously counterbalanced the constrictive effects of tighter monetary policy without exerting upward pressure on long-term yields. The prolonged inversion of the yield curve, significantly extended by the U.S. government's financial strategies, could mark this cycle as having the longest inversion in history. Typically, a steepening yield curve is a precursor to higher unemployment and economic recession. However, the steepening of the yield curve remains unlikely in the short term, with excess reserves still available in the RRP and the Treasury General Account (TGA). With the U.S. employment sector still robust, showing historically low unemployment levels and low initial and continued claims, the likelihood of a significant uptrend in the unemployment rate seems low, as job openings are absorbing most of the excess labor supply and still remain well above the historical trend. This suggests that the fed funds rate may remain at around 5% this year, maintaining car loan rates at a higher level for an extended period and consequently making EVs increasingly less affordable for the average consumer. This scenario is likely to lead to a continuation of price cuts and greater margin contractions. Tesla's Technical Analysis Outlook From a technical analysis perspective, Tesla stock faced rejection at the $205 horizontal resistance line and might be rejected from the $180 level, marked by the 0.236 Fibonacci level. The next significant support level is at $155, with a possibility of revisiting the January 2023 low of $110, given Tesla's stock has been in a downward trend ever since November 2021. From a trend-based perspective, we can clearly see that TSLA stock is in a strong downtrend both in the 4H and daily timeframe with the EMAs and 20- week SMA trending lower. Despite this unfavourable outlook, caution is advised when considering short positions in Tesla due to its market dominance and relatively stable financial position, making it a riskier target than other less financially secure EV manufacturers. Concluding Thoughts While the broader market demonstrates resilience, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is significantly shaping the EVs industry future. With the economy likely transitioning away from historically low interest rates into a higher interest rate environment, caution is advised. Investors may benefit from considering less interest-rate-sensitive options until a clearer picture of the inflationary landscape and its impact on the economy emerges. Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ingeforberg
2