💎 GTAI/USDT : More Bullish ? +37% so far ! (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the GTAI/USDT chart, we can see that the price entered the range of our desired demand zone ($1.60 to $1.77) and after that the price increased to $2.36 with a 37% growth! Now, the price is trading in the range of $1.83, by stabilizing the price above the specified demand range, we can expect the growth of this cryptocurrency again! The expected yield in the short term is between 20% to 50%!
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Tesla
Tesla - Is it a fakeout?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Tesla.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Back in 2020 we had a decent break and retest on Tesla stock which was followed by a pump of +1.500% towards the upside. Then Tesla topped out in 2021 and we saw sideways movement ever since. At the moment Tesla stock is trading in a bullish flag formation and is hovering around the psychological $200 level. Soon there will be a very interesting trading opportunity on Tesla stock.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla among top 10 losers. Next what?Tesla is the 7th worst performer YTD in the Nasdaq-100. It is the 11th worst performer in the S&P 500. The stock stands 28% lower.
Still, after reaching its lowest level on 22/April, the stock has rallied a remarkable 30%. On 24/April, the stock rallied 12% after the positive earnings call. On 29/April, the stock jumped another 15% after the announcement of the Baidu ( HKEX:9888 ) partnership.
Yet in the longer term, outlook remains cloudy as margin compression owing to fierce competition from Chinese EV makers and the wider EV industry slowdown.
MUSK'S CHINA VISIT LEADS TO BAIDU DEAL
Last Sunday, Elon Musk flew to China on a surprise visit. The last minute visit led to speculation over a push to launch full self driving (FSD) in China.
Persons close to the matter stated that Musk was expected to discuss the rollout of FSD software and permission to transfer data overseas, as reported in Reuters .
One of the key hold-ups for the rollout of FSD in China has been access to map data. Musk’s recent trip seems to have addressed that as Tesla announced a partnership with Baidu for map data access. While, Musk has long claimed that Teslas will be able to run FSD without map data, this will allow them to roll-out the offering much sooner and boost the slowing revenue in one of their leading markets in China.
FSD has been a recent revenue driver for Tesla. In 2024, Siena Capital analysts estimated that Tesla recognized almost USD 700 million in revenue, which represents 4.3% of their automotive revenue after stripping regulatory credits.
BYD PARTNERSHIP
Another strategic partnership that has helped boost investor sentiment at Tesla has been the strategic partnership with BYD ( HKEX:1211 ).
While both companies are major competitors, BYD recently overtook Tesla as the largest EV manufacturer in terms of overall vehicle sales (including hybrids). However, the fierce competition has also taken a toll on both companies as it has led to price cuts to win over more customers.
That’s why a technology-sharing partnership between the two companies is positive. While, they continue to compete, the partnership – specifically related to the use of BYD’s LFP battery technology in certain low-cost Tesla models – remains a positive for Tesla as it allows them to diversify their battery supply chain, reduce production costs, and enhance range for their lower-cost models.
LOW-COST MODELS COMING SOONER THAN EXPECTED
A recent hurdle for Tesla has been delay behind the upcoming low-cost Model 2 vehicle which plays a pivotal role in Tesla’s growth strategy. According to a Reuters report , Tesla had opted to cancel or indefinitely postpone plans for the upcoming Model 2. Instead, it would focus its attention on Robo-Taxis. The low-cost car represented the next phase of Musk’s long-term master plan to produce affordable electric vehicles through manufacturing process improvements.
Fears were that fierce competition in the low-cost category by Chinese manufacturers would make Tesla’s efforts unfeasible.
Yet, Elon Musk disputed the Reuters report and at the Q1 earnings investor call, it was verified. The Model 2 strategy is still on track. In fact, it may come sooner than expected at the end of 2024. Musk stated that Tesla was accelerating the launch of more affordable models that will be available to produce on its existing manufacturing lines.
Tesla aims to fully utilize its current production capacity towards these efforts and grow manufacturing 50% over 2023 before they start investing in new manufacturing lines.
Additionally, the robo-taxi push is also underway. Elon Musk stated that Tesla will launch its long-awaited robo-taxi product as soon as 8/August/2024. The autonomous driving robo-taxis will earn revenue for their owners. Moreover, owners will be able to add their Tesla's to the robo-taxi shared fleet with just one click on the Tesla app.
BEARISH CLOUDS PERSIST
Despite these recent developments, the outlook for Tesla remains undeniably cloudy. At its Q1 earnings, Tesla reported dismal results. But it’s not just Tesla which is struggling, it’s the wider EV industry.
EARNINGS SUMMARY
Tesla's Q1 2024 earnings report released on 23/April revealed a challenging quarter marked by margin compression and a slowdown in electric vehicle (EV) sales, influenced by strategic price cuts and broader economic factors.
Financially, Tesla reported a reduction in its automotive gross margin to 17.4%, down from previous quarter, reflecting the impact of significant price reductions across its model lineup intended to stimulate demand amid a softening global market.
These price adjustments, while successful in driving a short-term uptick in sales volumes, did not fully counterbalance the revenue per unit loss, leading to an overall revenue of $21.3 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.45, both figures below analyst expectations. Quarterly revenue and deliveries were the lowest since 2022.
One of the bright spots has been Tesla’s efforts to control costs. Not only did the company recently announce layoffs. It also stated that it would slow the growth of its Supercharger network to bring costs under control.
Moreover, investors were not as concerned about the concerning financials following the investor call where Musk re-affirmed Tesla’s long-term strategy while maintaining that Tesla would remain lean by producing the new lineup on existing manufacturing lines, assuaging fears of spiraling costs.
Critical to note that it is not just Tesla which struggled in Q1. BYD also reported that its profits fell 47% YoY. Vehicle sales also slowed QoQ. It is the wider industry that is experiencing a slowdown.
Unfortunately for Tesla, margin compression is more concerning for it compared to its Chinese competitors. Particularly as Chinese manufacturers are able to keep costs lower with help from government subsidies. Not only does the Chinese government offer direct subsidies to manufacturers, it also offers subsidies for EV buyers in China which has led to a boom in EV sales, which has benefited Chinese EV manufacturers.
Economic slowdown from high interest rates and a domestic slowdown in China may keep EV sales subdued for some time. In which case, Tesla would be forced to continue with its price cuts which would continue to pressure margins.
TESLA'S FINANCES STRAINED UNTIL AFFORDABLE MODEL LAUNCH
With recent positive news, Tesla stock has recovered sharply. Yet, it remains one of the worst performing stocks in the S&P 500 YTD.
Bearish clouds persist for Tesla as margin compression continues due to competitive price cuts by Tesla. Amid an industry-wide sales slowdown, Tesla may be forced to continue with its strategy to offer price discounts on its cars, keeping its margins pressured. Moreover, Tesla continues to face pressure from low-cost Chinese EVs until it can launch its own low cost models.
While, Tesla’s new models are expected sooner than expected, they are still several quarters away. In the meantime, fundamental factors are likely to continue impacting Tesla’s profitability and subsequently its stock.
FUD: Tesla Sells BTC - My Bitcoin Buy ZoneFUD NEWS FROM ELON MUSK: Tesla sells off $1.5B USD worth of Bitcoin. Elon Musk "needs cash" but "will buy Bitcoin again" someday.
This news has caused a panic dump but I remain bullish. $1.5B sold out of the over $430B Bitcoin market cap is only around 0.345%. Not an impressive number. The dip is purely FUD. Elon Musk has a lot of sheep following his moves.
Although I remain careful not to buy within the first 3 days. FUD can be powerful.
I used Heiken Ashi candlesticks to highlight the fact that we are still in a bullish market from a weekly perspective.
1 BTC = 1 BTC
HodL
This is not investment advice.
Tesla Takes Flight: Is China's Approval Enough to Go Long?
Tesla's stock price recently soared after receiving "in-principle" approval from Chinese authorities to deploy its driver-assistance system in the world's largest auto market. This news undoubtedly fueled investor optimism, but is it enough justification to take a long position on Tesla stock (TSLA)? Let's delve deeper into the implications and weigh the risks before making a call.
China's Green Light: A Major Tailwind
China's tentative approval for Tesla's driver-assistance system is a significant development. China represents a crucial battleground for electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers, and Tesla has faced stiff competition from domestic players like BYD. Gaining official sanction for its advanced driving system removes a potential hurdle and paves the way for increased sales in China. This could significantly boost Tesla's revenue and profitability in the long run.
Beyond China: A Broader Growth Story
Tesla's appeal extends far beyond China. The company remains a leader in the EV revolution, continuously innovating and expanding its product line. With the Cybertruck launch and the ongoing success of Model 3 and Model Y, Tesla is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing global demand for EVs. Additionally, Tesla's focus on autonomous driving technology positions it at the forefront of a potentially transformative industry shift.
Risks to Consider: Not All Sunshine and Self-Driving Cars
While the China news is positive, there are factors to consider before going all-in on Tesla. Regulatory hurdles remain, with the final details and limitations of the driver-assistance system approval in China still unknown. Additionally, competition in the EV space is fierce and constantly evolving. Established automakers are rapidly entering the fray, and new startups are nipping at Tesla's heels.
Furthermore, Tesla faces ongoing challenges related to production issues, battery supply chain constraints, and potential safety concerns surrounding its Autopilot technology. These factors can lead to stock price volatility and production delays.
Beyond the Headlines: Look at the Fundamentals
Making a sound investment decision requires looking beyond just the latest headlines. Here are some key metrics to consider for Tesla:
• Valuation: Tesla currently trades at a high valuation compared to traditional automakers. This implies that the market has already priced in a lot of future growth potential.
• Overall Market Conditions: The broader stock market can significantly impact Tesla's share price. Investors should be aware of potential economic downturns that could affect growth stocks like Tesla disproportionately.
The Verdict: A Calculated Approach, Not a Blind Leap
China's approval for Tesla's driver-assistance system is undoubtedly positive news. However, it's just one piece of the puzzle. Investors considering a long position on Tesla should conduct thorough research, understand the inherent risks involved, and carefully evaluate their risk tolerance. A diversified portfolio with exposure to other EV players and established automakers might be a prudent strategy.
Tesla is a company with immense potential, but its future success is not guaranteed. A well-informed and measured approach is crucial before taking a long position on TSLA.
AMAZON 189 AFTER OR BEFORE EARNINGS ?Reasons Why !!
Key Financial Insights:
Stock Price: Amazon’s stock reached a peak of $189.77 on April 11, 2024, showcasing a remarkable uptrend1.
Market Performance: The company’s strong market performance is evident as the stock price hovers close to its 52-week high.
Behind the Surge:
Amazon continues to dominate the e-commerce space with innovative strategies and a customer-centric approach.
The company’s expansion into new markets and consistent investment in technology and infrastructure contribute to its financial health.
Investor Confidence:
The rise to $189 signifies a vote of confidence from investors who are optimistic about Amazon’s direction and leadership.
Analysts remain bullish on the stock, with projections of further growth and a positive outlook for the company’s profitability
TSLATsla share repumped today to retest the broken upper trend
There are a lot of movement expectations :
1- The Price close above the Key LVL 205.30 then we can find the prices go up again to try to rebuild new wave (not expected by myself)
2- The price is retesting the upper trend showing at the drawing, so later on we will see push of selling the share and this is my expectation.
if the price go down i preferer to invest on it with the suggested percentages
Thanks and Best regards
TESLA Has Elon made his miracle again? 4 month Resistance brokenNews quickly broke out that Tesla (TSLA) has received tentative approval from Beijing to launch its driver assistance software in China. This development occurred during a surprise visit by CEO Elon Musk to Tesla's largest market outside the US. Chinese authorities have agreed to allow Tesla to introduce its Full Self Driving (FSD) solution, leveraging mapping and navigation technology from Baidu (BIDU), the Chinese tech giant. This has so far pushed Tesla's shares more than +7.00% premarket.
Just 2 weeks ago (April 15, see chart below), while TSLA's price was at $166, we made a case why a potential 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) bullish break-out after laying off more than 10% of its staff, could be its 'META moment', just like the social media giant did in November 2022 and bottomed:
Of course each case has its differences but as we can see, Tesla did make a similar bottom on April 22 and will most likely open above the 1D MA50 today for the first time in almost 4 months (since January 08 2024)!
That is a major bullish break-out for at least the medium-term as each time the stock did that in 2023, it didn't stop there and rather went for a Lower High on the dotted trend-line. Technically it should make contact with as least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), in order to allow the market given the fundamentals at the time to decide upon the longer term trend.
As you can see, there is a huge Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI, which has been trading within a Channel Up against the price's Channel Down since late January. As a result we set a minimum $210.00 Target on a 6-week horizon and then we will re-evaluate the longer term on the 1W time-frame.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TSLA ON A DEMAND ZONETSLA is clearly playing inside a bearish channel and we have witnessed a bullish reversal recently on the demand zone identified. If this level remains strong enough, we will see a potential continuation of the rally. Also on the lower timeframes, we see a bearish channel which indicates a bullish breakout.
TESLA Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
TESLA looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 147.01 pivot level.
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 155.99
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
JP Morgan Chase & Co. Hitting The Top The JPMorgan Chase CEO's WSJ was interviewed recently with Wall Street Journal Editor-in-Chief Emma Tucker, for a range of topics.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Jamie Dimon ranked geopolitics as his top worry and said he's less optimistic about a soft landing than Wall Street in an interview on Thursday.
While Wall Street seems to be betting of a roughly 70% chance of avoiding a recession in a so-called soft landing in the economy, Dimon said he sees the odds about half that.
The green economy, the remilitarization of the world, fiscal deficits and geopolitics are all factors that could keep inflation higher for longer, he said.
"When I look at the range of possible outcomes, you can have that soft landing," Dimon said. "I'm a little more worried it may not be so soft and inflation may not quite go away as people expect. I'm not talking about this year - I'm talking about 2025 or 2026."
While the economy continues to do well for the majority of Americans due to low employment, rising home values and stronger stock prices, the threat of slow growth and inflation - stagflation - from roughly 45 to 50 years ago could return.
"It looks a little bit like the 70s to me," Dimon said. "Things looked pretty rosy in 1972. They were not rosy in 1973. Don't get lulled into a false sense of security."
Dimon said he has "enormous respect" for Jerome Powell when asked whether the Fed chairman is doing a good job as the central bank signals that it's not in a hurry to cut interest rates.
"I think the Fed was probably late in raising rates," Dimon said. "They caught up. They're probably right in watching right now. We don't know what's going to happen. They might as well wait."
Dimon declined to state a preference in presidential candidates and said the bank would work with whomever is in the White House.
Biden's economic policies are working "partially," he said, party due to the huge amounts of economic stimulus such as the Bipartisan infrastructure bill, which Dimon praised.
But the bottom 20% of wage earners in the U.S. continues to struggle.
"If you go to rural America, or inner cities, I'm not sure they feel they're being lifted up by this economy," he said.
He avoids social media but said he pulls up popular destinations such as TikTok once a year to see what's happening on them.
"I am not a fanatic on the phone....I think people should spend a little less time on that and a little more time thinking," Dimon said. "I'm not on any social media."
In technical terms, JPMorgan Chase's stock (JPM) has risen 14.43% so far in 2024 (compared to a 7.48% gain by the S&P500), hit the Upper side of Long-Term upside channel near $200 per share, able to further technical declines.
⭐️ XAU/USD : First LONG, Then a huge SHORT (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the gold chart on a weekly timeframe, we observe that after closing at $2393 last week, the price began a steep decline and even corrected to $2295! After constructing bullish candles for five consecutive weeks, this week we are witnessing the formation of a bearish candle, and it remains to be seen how far this decline will continue. If the price closes below $2344, we can expect further declines in gold next week. The $2344 mark is significant as it was last week’s opening price. This analysis will be updated, and we will discuss it further. Finally, I must mention that if we have a bearish candle next week as well, we could anticipate a medium-term decline in gold to $2225.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
TESLA $TSLA | TESLA MOMENTUM AFTER EARNINGS - Apr. 24th, 2024TESLA NASDAQ:TSLA | TESLA MOMENTUM AFTER EARNINGS - Apr. 24th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $165.00 - $181.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $160.00 - $165.00
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $141.25 - $160.00
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bearish
4H/2H: DNT, lean bullish
NASDAQ:TSLA earnings report yesterday had price move around 16% to the upside. Currently price has pulled back to around only a 10% gain. I tightened the new DNT zone so bears and bulls can have early entries in their respective directions. Bulls should be looking for a close above 165.00 and bears should be looking for a close below 160.00.
I did not label every level of importance because I didn't want to make the charts too messy and I used the 2H timeframe today instead of the 4H because I wanted to show the extra price action.
Linked below are the two previous ideas from this year!
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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TESLA ready to start it's run? Long with a 300$ TARGETTesla has been one of the worst performing NASDAQ100 listed stocks for the past year.
Now its the time for the trend to change. In our humble opinion of course.
We finally have an actionable set up with a falling wedge and the completion of a bullish 886 harmonic. The trade set up is standard and what really were looking for, for a long term run, is a break and confirmation of 180$, as shown below.
The 4h targets are traditional targets for the 4h set up.
⭐️ EUR/USD - Amazing Bullish move , What's Next ? (READ)By checking the #Euro_Dollar chart in the 2-hour time frame, we can see that the price moved to higher targets exactly as we expected, and we have seen +90 pips yield up to this moment! As you can see on the chart, the price has currently reached a supply range and that is why the initial reaction to it was negative! Therse is a possibility of price correction up to 1.067 and after that, by stabilizing the price above this level, we can enter another LONG position again!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
TESLA $TSLA - April 8th, 2024TESLA NASDAQ:TSLA - April 8th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $181.00 - $208.50
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $162.00 - $181.00
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $135.00 - $162.00
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: DNT - Lean Bearish
4H: DNT
NASDAQ:TSLA has been trading through a clean range for about a month now. There was strong bearish momentum that ran through my DNT zone and into my bearish zone before creating the range. There have been four tests to the bottom level of the zone @ 166.00/162.00 and three tests to the top level of the zone @ 177.50/181.00, currently approaching a potential fourth test of the top of the zone.
For early entries for bulls and bears all of the zones can be adjusted as follows (shortening DNT zone, extending bearish and bullish zones):
Bullish: $177.50 - $208.50
DNT: $166.00 - $177.50
Bearish: $135.00 - $166.00
The weekly timeframe has strong bearish structure, the daily timeframe has the range shown but still holds bearish structure, and the 4H timeframe most recently has developed bearish structure but has created the range so I have labeled it as DNT as there is no clear direction that price is following.
There have been slight level adjustments compared to my previous post that better fit the current structure price has created. I have drawn arrows on the range for easier distinction for what I am looking at, combined with potential breakout arrows and potential breakdown arrows. Both the bulls and the bears have roughly a 15% +/- price change as the targets I have shown.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Tesla - Don't get caught up!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Tesla.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2020 Tesla stock created a beautiful break and retest of the previous all time high which was followed by significant continuation towards the upside. After this pump Tesla stock entered a long term consolidation phase, forming a bullish flag formation. Considering that Tesla just retested and rejected the upper resistance, there is a quite high chance that we will retest the next support at $120.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)