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** TESLA Analysis - Listen to video!
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Tesla
TSLA: Technical OutlookIn a 1h chart Tesla is currently in a consolidation. I'd expect a breakout in today's session. Since July Tesla has been trading in a big bullish flag (trend lines filled in blue), breaking above this formation should be seen as bullish indicator for long term trend. Areas plotted to look out for, combined with daily and weekly MAs to be used as S/R confluences.
Tesla: Elon Musk Has A ProblemFounded in 2003 by visionary entrepreneur Elon Musk, Tesla has become a pioneer in the automotive industry. The company is one of the world's largest manufacturers of electric cars.
Beyond cars, Tesla has expanded its reach into renewable energy solutions, including solar panels and energy storage products. Musk's bold vision, commitment to technological advancement, and the company's relentless pursuit of sustainability have positioned Tesla as a transformative force in the intersection of transportation and clean energy.
Technical analysis
After the completion of the impulse phase, marked on the chart as ①-②-③-④-⑤, the price of Tesla shares continues to move within the downward trend.
We expect the share price to stabilize once it reaches $220, after which it will begin to move north to $250.
Fundamental Analysis
Tesla's revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2023 was $23.35 billion, up 8.9% compared to the third quarter of 2022.
Author's elaboration, based on Seeking Alpha
In addition to the company's margins continuing to decline, the Model S and Model X deliveries have continued to disappoint in recent quarters.
Author's elaboration, based on quarterly securities reports
Also, production and delivery volumes of Model 3 and Model Y, which are the cheapest in Tesla's line of cars, decreased compared to the previous quarter, which casts doubt on Musk's ability to attract new customers.
Author's elaboration, based on quarterly securities reports
The company's earnings per share (EPS) for the three months ended September 30, 2023 were $0.66, missing analysts' expectations of $0.07. But more importantly, this figure decreased by 37.1% compared to the previous year due to increased competition in the global electric vehicle market and lower prices for Tesla products.
Author's elaboration, based on Seeking Alpha
On the other hand, the company's fourth-quarter EPS is expected to be in the range of $0.55-$0.92, down 38.17% from the fourth quarter of 2023. Tesla's Non-GAAP (TTM) P/E is 65.26x, which is 361.86% higher than the sector average and 57.91% lower than the average over the past five years. The company's Non-GAAP P/E is 73.66x, indicating that it is overvalued in the current period as Chinese automakers continue to expand their presence in Europe and the United States actively.
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Analyst’s Disclosure:
This article may not take into account all the risks and catalysts for the stocks described in it. Any part of this analytical article is provided for informational purposes only, does not constitute an individual investment recommendation, investment idea, advice, offer to buy or sell securities, or other financial instruments. The completeness and accuracy of the information in the analytical article are not guaranteed. If any fundamental criteria or events change in the future, I do not assume any obligation to update this article.
TESLA Buy signal on the (1h) time frame.TSLA is trading inside a Channel Up pattern under the MA50 (1h).
The Higher Low was priced after a -8.20% decline from the top, symmetrical to the first one.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy as long as the candles close inside the Channel Up.
Targets:
1. 257.50 (Fibonacci 1.236 extension, like the Nov 29th Higher High).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is on a technical buy formation under the MA trend line.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Tesla Unveils Cybertruck pricing with base model topping $60,000Tesla (TSLA) - shares slipped lower Thursday after the carmaker unveiled pricing for its Cybertruck, which will cost around $100,000 for the high-end version of the long-delayed vehicle.
Tesla said the price of its cheapest Cybertruck will be $49,890 each, around $10,000 more than CEO Elon Musk had initially indicated when he introduce the truck to investors in 2018. The rear-wheel drive version will become available in 2025 and have an estimated driving range of around 250 miles, according to the Tesla website.
Taking out the $7,500 tax credit linked to the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) as well as an estimated gas savings of $3,600, the base model Cybertruck will cost $60,990 each.
The all-wheel drive variant, meanwhile, will be priced at $68,890 and available in 2024 while the higher-end Cyberbeast will cost around $99,990 and have a range of 320 miles, according to details posted on the carmaker's website. Removing IRA and gas savings pegs the two models at $79,990 each and $99,990 each, respectively.
Tesla shares closed 1.78% lower on the session at $239.79 each, pegging their six-month gain at around 15.55%.
Tesla has been aggressively cutting the price of its flagship Model 3 sedan and Model Y midsize SUV in key markets worldwide including the U.S. and China as part of that aim, in its effort to entice new buyers and fend off increasing competition in the EV space.
Tesla's third quarter deliveries, while the highest on record, missed Wall Street forecasts when they were published in early October, suggesting at least some demand headwinds linked to China's post-Covid sluggishness and looming recession risks in Europe.
The slowing sales will test Tesla's 2023 strategy, outlined earlier this year by Musk, of focusing on market-share growth at the expense of profit.
Tesla will need to deliver around 477,000 new vehicles over the final three months of the year to meet its stated goal of 1.8 million, but CFRA analyst Garrett Nelson suggests the Cybertruck's installed production capacity should "reassure investors concerned about the ramp-up of the highly-anticipated new model."
Price Momentum
TSLA is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
Potential Impact of Cybertruck Production Nightmare on TeslaI would like to discuss the recent production nightmare surrounding the highly anticipated Cybertruck and how it could potentially impact Tesla's overall performance.
As we are all aware, Tesla has been at the forefront of electric vehicle innovation, revolutionizing the industry and capturing the imagination of investors and consumers alike. However, recent reports suggest that the production challenges faced by the Cybertruck have the potential to cast a shadow over Tesla's otherwise impressive track record.
The Cybertruck, with its bold design and promising features, has generated significant pre-order interest, reflecting the strong demand for Tesla's products. However, it is essential to consider the potential consequences of the production hurdles that Tesla has encountered. Delays in manufacturing, supply chain disruptions, and quality control issues could lead to dissatisfied customers, tarnishing Tesla's reputation for delivering cutting-edge products on time.
While Tesla has demonstrated resilience in overcoming obstacles in the past, it is crucial to approach this situation with caution. As traders, it is our responsibility to evaluate the potential risks associated with such setbacks and make informed decisions regarding our investment strategies.
Considering the gravity of the situation, I encourage you to closely monitor Tesla's progress in addressing the production challenges faced by the Cybertruck. Keep a keen eye on any developments or announcements that could shed light on the company's ability to overcome these obstacles effectively.
In light of these circumstances, some traders may consider exploring shorting opportunities for Tesla. However, it is important to remember that shorting a stock carries inherent risks and requires careful analysis of market trends, financial indicators, and broader industry dynamics. I urge you to consult with your trusted financial advisors or conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
Ultimately, the purpose of this email is to highlight the potential risks associated with the Cybertruck production nightmare and emphasize the importance of cautious evaluation. As traders, we must remain vigilant, informed, and adaptable in navigating the ever-changing landscape of the stock market.
TESLA Moment of truth for long-term buying. Will it fail?It was almost a month ago (November 03) when we called for the start of a rally on Tesla (TSLA) as part of the bullish leg towards the top of the Falling Wedge pattern (see chart below):
Today the stock hit our $250 target and immediately got rejected at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Wedge. That was on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the previous Lower High, the exact symmetrical level where the September 15 High was rejected.
This is a critical moment for the trend as failure to break and close a 1D candle above the Lower Highs trend-line, will maintain the bearish structure of the Falling Wedge, forcing us to sell again and target the 0.618 Fib level at $217.15. If however we close that 1D candle above, the Falling Wedge gets invalidated and with that the bearish trend, which transitions into a Channel Up (dotted lines) on the medium-term. In that case we will dump the short (low risk with the SL on the Lower Highs) and resume buying, targeting Resistance 1 at $268.85.
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🚗Tesla🚗 will Go Up at least 🚀➕10%🚀👋Hi, today I want to introduce you to a stock that is likely to grow by at least ➕10% in the coming days or in the coming week .
🚗The name of this stock is Tesla(TSLA) .
🥇After the Golden Cross was seen in Tesla, I hope there is more for the Tesla to grow.
📚🥇 Golden Cross Signal 🥇: In technical analysis, a golden cross occurs when the 50-day Moving Average(MA) crosses above the 200-day moving average. It's a bullish sign, indicating that the market may be heading toward a longer-term uptrend or bull market.
✅Currently, Tesla reacted well to the Uptrend line and SMA(100) and started to grow with a Bullish Marubozu Candle yesterday.
🔔I expect Tesla to close the Breakaway Gap soon and grow at least ➕10% .
If you want to know about the types of Gaps , you can read the following article.👇
Tesla (TSLAUSD) Analyze, Daily time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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Tesla - Bullriding 🚀Hey Tesla Enthusiasts! 👋
Today, let's revisit Tesla, where we've had two trades, and both have been remarkably successful. The first trade is still active, and therefore, the new Stop Loss is set at $212.
I believe that Wave 1 has concluded here, hitting the 127.2% Fibonacci level. The rebound has been exceptionally strong, and I don't foresee it holding or reaching new highs. My assumption is that we are now entering Wave 2, inevitably accompanied by an ABC correction. It could potentially develop into a double or triple ABC, but the specifics will unfold over time.
Certainly, the price will need to dip for the Wave 2 correction, and I anticipate it finding support between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. Time will tell. 📈✨
Bye! 🫡
The Cybertruck's first delivery is coming tomorrowTomorrow is a big day for Tesla, which plans to deliver its first Cybertruck vehicle to the customers. Introduced in 2019 by Elon Musk, the Cybertruck's journey from concept to reality has been eagerly watched by enthusiasts and skeptics alike. Initially slated for production in 2021, the Cybertruck will be the first pick-up truck vehicle added to Tesla’s lineup, which, until now, has been comprised only of sedans like Model S and Model X. Unlike anything else on the road, the Cybertruck's design is a radical departure from conventional automotive design. With its angular, box-like appearance and a stainless steel, bulletproof exterior, it looks like it is straight out of a sci-fi movie. Performance-wise, the Cybertruck is said to have a towing capacity rivaling the strongest diesel-powered trucks and the capability to accelerate from 0 to 60 mph in as little as 2.9 seconds. Building on these unique aspects of Tesla's Cybertruck, it is noteworthy how its eco-friendly electric powertrain sets it apart in a segment historically ruled by gas-guzzling counterparts. This shift towards sustainability could appeal to a new demographic of environmentally conscious consumers. Additionally, its advanced driver-assistance features, leveraging Tesla's pioneering Autopilot technology, offer convenience and safety not typically found in conventional pick-up trucks. The integration of these high-tech features, combined with its striking design, positions the Cybertruck not just as a utility vehicle but as a symbol of futuristic innovation in the automotive world.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bullish
Weekly time frame = Slightly bullish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TESLA: Has seen this pattern before and can target $800.TSLA is on critical crossroads as it is approaching the LH trendline of the November 1st 2021 All Time High and that will basically be the third test in a little over 4 months. With the 1W technical outlook neutral (RSI = 53.560, MACD = 5.620, ADX = 26.050) we can't be sure it will break but if it does, a fractal from the distant past (2015-2017) shows that it can target the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
That is just over $800 and that will be our target once we close a full 1W candle above the LH. Even the 1W RSI patterns of the two fractals are similar. A third, not entirely similar fractal in 2019, also broke upwards (even more so) aggressively once the stock crossed over the LH trendline. Heading into 2024 our thesis is very bullish on Tesla.
See how our prior idea has worked:
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tesla like true There is nothing that explains the picture and direction except a comprehensive view from beginning to end without paying attention to the details so that we do not get lost in fluctuating movements that deceive us.
As shown in the logarithmic chart it shows the real trend line
Therefore, there are two possibilities for a decline: either a free fall or the price equalizing over time. In any case, the investment entry will be when the price meets the trend line.
TESLA Santa's rally starting. Minimum target $295.Tesla / TSLA is on a Channel Up trade since the start of the year.
Now that we are approaching its end, the price is trading around the 1day MA50 and within the 0.236 - 0.382 Fibonacci range.
This is the final consolidation before the final phase of the bullish wave begins.
Based on the 1day MACD's identical structure from January until May, we are on the consolidation phase like May 25th (also between 0.236 - 0.382 Fib), with the 1day CCI pulling back having crossed over its Falling Resistance.
The target should be a minimum of $295, which is on the 0.618 Fibonacci level, marginally under Resistance A and on a -5 degree ° angle relativeo to the previous bullish leg of the Channel Up.
Previous chart:
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Why TESLA is STILL heading LOWERHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
A quick analysis today on Tesla and why I'm still expecting the price of TSLA to head lower.
After a nasty Head and Shoulders Pattern on the monthly, TSLA has reached a selling climax and an automatic rally afterwards (which always follows a SC). However, if we look at the Wyckoff Method schematics, this is not yet the bottom. The bottom is expected to happen during phase B, which is the phase we're about to head into.
ST will always be LOWER than SC, therefore there will be another chance to accumulate TESLA at a lower entry.
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NASDAQ:TSLA
TESLA The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for TESLA is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 235.54
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 220.16
My Stop Loss - 245.52
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Its hard to talk Straight and Right/!>Hello dear participants in the Market
I am trying to somehow use political perspective as less as I can to express my view on the economic part.
But I think the general awareness on the subject justifies my use of this kind of references more. There is a lot happening and its getting harder to stay neutral.
The line between the power(political) and finances had become so thin, and we can see the market reaction to this struggles and sometimes it feels like a financial battlefield between grand players and sides(there is a visible harmonious movement most often).
What they are referring to these days as “the axis of evil” the new version of it of course, it must not hide or going unseen the impact of Many other parties playing…
But considering these three major countries, Iran, china and Russia influence and sometimes shared interests, makes the idea of an unusual(unwritten) alliance between them more possible But there are differences in their decision making dynamics.
China has a future defining role here.
It seems like they are preparing for different scenarios, maybe in controversial ways sometimes But if the peace chances looks stronger, I believe that they are ready to contribute to the way of maintaining and restoring some of the civilization's values in this chaos.
Iranian anti semitic government position in regard of the current events is disappointingly clear, in fact it’s been clear since it’s evolution turn-around in 1979, and like so many nations most of it’s people aren’t at the same page with their government's foreign policies and its overseas activities.
Its very important for us at this stage, to try define some key words because it makes a lot of difference given our minds way of measuring things nowadays. So given the circumstances the word “fair” make a tricky obsession of our sense on it, so the term “balanced expectations” is a more suitable and calculable way to deal with the reality we’re facing now.
What that should motivate us besides color, culture, religion, language, geography and even differences to stand out against the path which officially started nearly two years ago have to be the desire for peace and tranquillity. because if this continues it will ultimately touch all of our lives more than how much it already did and it won’t be a pretty sight for none of us if we let it be.
I think one thing we can do (which some began and are doing) is to determine the post-war solutions around geopolitical conflicts
So much that we will see a New(considering the expectations formed by the previous re-actions) picture better than before this chaos because we paid and are paying a painful price ever since and I think no Sane Mind having a desire for more now.
The game of power has been always suggested any shortage in responding as a sign of weakness and its true that we’re all a product of nature after all and we didn’t lose our animalistic instincts, we just learned to live above them, and base our judgments on reason and flexibility with counting on the hard earned values we gathered throughout our (bloody) history as humans(the good definition of it),
So we know enough, and it’s our choices which’s making the difference…
The more validate type of analysis about political military actions is to analyze interests gained by parties, and its true that manipulation of this kind of basic perception is a tool being used and using still
And even this method of manipulating could cause some kind of reverse psychology effect, so confusion is the main game and ultimately a lesson i hope it to be for us to learn, a lesson which should enhance how we perceive the ongoing reality.realities
Its seem like Middle east war has its own attention especially with America from west and almost all nations in the Region.
What “feels” like an expected discrimination, is showing itself and what threatens the future of our Civilization in peace and prosperity is this very feeling’s existence ! But Europe, is one of the powerful forces in the axis of peace and i think they can help out Ukraine if it receives proper (especially)financial support so it makes our currency related plans more clear.
Ukraine's destiny, is very sensitive to our specie's evolution in its history and it will define all of us as modern civil humans in an uniquely designed era of our world.
And i think its time for Capitalism to engage its resources into the ongoing issues more than ever and the front line of supporting is the Europe zone. It’s obvious that we all want peace but its not that simple, there are a lot of variables with different natures and reaching that point with solid and stable outcome needs…<;,>’’
We understand now that our destiny (living..) is very much linked to each other at this stage of the civilization, So as peoples affected by decisions out of our control or even knowledge we should remind our selves that we are the main vein of every major changes through history and this time we can choose not to be just the subject of Their deciding, for Ourselves. S
People can show that they have a say in or against politics around this deep rooted chaos, now is the time, now we have the chance to brighten our role(as a..?) in this critical chapter of modern history, to honor the sacrifices of those who lost their lives for the path to the next chapter of our Civilization as a Whole in peace and harmony. And its kind of exciting to witness and participate in the building of a new world a one
which… (:coming soon:), uniquely with no similarity to anything in our known history.
When to sell Tata PowerNamaste!
Power stocks and the electric car maker Tesla have sky-rocketed since the Democrats took the Whitehouse in the year 2020. Tesla jumped 1300% (peak) from previous swing low of USD 29. Tata Power jumped 974% (peak) from previous swing low of INR 28.
I remember watching an analysis on YouTube, which emphasized that Democrats are more "environment conscious". If they won the election, they will do the Democrat thing i.e. make policies for the benefit of environment. So, power stocks, clean energy stocks (solar, wind) etc. will be benefited. It eventually happened, which can be seen in the prices of Tesla, Tata Power, Suzlon, Adani Power, etc.
Suzlon is an interesting case. Like Democrats and their environment policies in the US, India was also following the hype. Suzlon Energy's price increased 1300% (peak) since Nov 2020.
There is another reason, based on the shareholding pattern shared by the company on August 14, the promoters of the company held 13.3 percent stake in the company amounting to nearly 180 crore shares, of this stake, nearly 81 percent or 146 crore shares were pledged. Suzlon's promoters released pledge on 97.1 crore shares from SBICAP Trustee Company Ltd. It was another tailwind for Suzlon Energy Ltd.
Not a long time ago, we have been listening "electric" everywhere. The hype was great at that time, but soon AI (Artificial Intelligence) stolen the hype. I am not saying electrification will not happen. But, it might take a longer time than the market is realizing.
There is one more uncertainty, there is US election in Nov 2024.
So now I think it is a good time to book profits in Tata Power. It could be sold at Rs 260.
Disclaimer: This article should not be considered as an investment or trading advice. The analysis is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. You must do your own analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing or trading.
TESLA Bullish long-term if this level breaks, targeting $365.We have presented our short-term view on Tesla (TSLA) 3 weeks ago (see chart below) when we issued a buy signal on the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) bottom pattern that transitioned into a Channel Up, similar to the Aug 18 - Sep 15 bullish leg, that is very near to hit the $250 target as part of the Lower High formation on the 4-month Channel Down:
On the 1W time-frame, we see that the bullish trend of 2023 is still restricted by a long-term Lower Highs trend-line that started on the week of November 01 2021, which was the All Time High for the stock. If this Lower Highs trend-line (can be also viewed as the top of a Channel Down that only broke during the Dec 2022 - Jan 2023 market bottom formation) breaks, then Tesla most likely restores the bullish trend on the long-term.
It is very likely to do so immediately in the coming weeks as the correction since July can be interpreted as the Right Shoulder of a very wide Inverted Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern. If symmetry indeed exists between the two Shoulders, then Tesla aims at $365 long-term.
Since however we like to minimize risks at Tradingshot and take one target at a time, we will initially target $295, which would make a +52.28% rise from the October 30 Low, the lowest registered rise since the Bear Cycle started, and then buy after a pull-back.
Note that the 1W RSI already bounced on the Buy Zone that only failed once to give a rally, during the Dec 2022 - Jan 2023 market bottom formation, while the 1W MACD is close to forming a Bullish Cross, when all previous (three in total) occurrences delivered rallies of over +50%.
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