Tesla
TESLA is up 47X vs the SPX. Can it do another 6.9X?An extraordinary unicorn enterprise, or a collection of companies and intellectual properties, led by the most prominent CEO in the history of public companies.
TESLA and ELON are impossible to overlook, and this chart has kept many observers on the sidelines for over 14 years. In the initial 6 to 9 years, Wall Street analysts and commentators failed to grasp the bigger picture, focusing excessively on the balance sheet and evaluating the company merely as an automaker. They completely missed the groundbreaking technologies being developed and advanced.
Today, we stand on the brink of fully autonomous vehicles becoming commonplace, artificial intelligence integrating into our everyday lives, and affordable space exploration becoming a reality, not to mention the myriad of other innovative technologies emerging from this remarkable company.
Individuals often enjoy predicting market peaks and labeling stocks as overvalued.
However, this chart comparing Tesla to the S&P 500 indicates that the stock may be gearing up for another surge to new heights.
Picture 10 million robotaxis cruising through our streets.
Envision a fleet of vehicles that not only generates income but also undergoes upgrade cycles, in contrast to traditional cars that face maintenance cycles, and are bogged down by Human operator's.
This development is poised to significantly transform the self-hailing ride-sharing market and the food delivery sector, potentially eliminating the role of human drivers.
In fact, Uber could very well become Tesla's largest client!
TESLA: Key Days! NASDAQ Bottoms and TESLA Breaking Out!!Everyone is thinking about today, about how difficult it is to know whether a stock will rise or fall since Trump came to power!!! :-). On April 2nd, many things will become clear after the official publication of the tariffs, but it's true that with a person like Trump in power, ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN in the future!!
As with any investment, you have to analyze all the variables that could affect its performance. Today we'll analyze TESLA!! , one of the hardest hit in the American market, mainly due to TRUMP!!! , FOR BEING TRUMP'S FRIEND!! :-).
--> What does TESLA have AGAINST IT?
1) TARIFFS: If Trump punishes countries around the world with tariffs, they (mainly China) will fight back!! , and the one that WILL BE PUNISHED THE MOST will be TESLA for Elon Musk being in power alongside Trump.
2) CHINESE ELECTRIC CARS: The competition is clear! There are Chinese vehicle companies that will compete strongly with Tesla, mainly due to price, although from my point of view, Tesla will win because Tesla is a brand of reliability, while Chinese companies are not.
3) NASDAQ: If the US enters a recession or decline, all technology will fall sharply, and with it, obviously, Tesla.
--> But what STRENGTHS does it have?
1) ELON MUSK IN POWER IN THE USA: We all know Elon Musk! And once in power, he will take full advantage of it to strengthen his companies in the coming months/years.
2) TESLA: New Tesla models and the world's most efficient batteries, in addition to the release of its first line of MOBILE PHONES, which we're all sure will be IMPRESSIVE!!
3) 40% YEAR-ROUND DROP: The sharp decline accumulated through 2025 makes this a company with GREAT appreciation potential, and at the slightest bit of good news, it will rise sharply.
With these PROS and CONS, we now have the variables outside of mathematics that could affect the value. Now it's time for TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, and for that, I've published two charts: the one above for TESLA on a H1 timeframe and the one below for the NASDAQ on a H4 timeframe. Why the one for the NASDAQ? Because you always have to analyze the direction of the INDEX, since a global drop in technology would drag down the company even if the technicals were favorable.
---> How do you view the NASDAQ?
The Nasdaq is clearly bearish in a key support zone for its future. It must not lose its current zone, and in the event of an upward rebound, it will form a bottom and signal a bullish (bullish) signal for the index in the coming weeks/months, causing all technology to rise sharply.
--> How is Tesla doing?
Tesla's outlook is better than the NASDAQ's, as it is entering a zone with intentions of breaking out higher! If Tesla surpasses 293, it will end the bearish phase it has been in since the beginning of the year and begin a bullish recovery phase. Therefore, if the NASDAQ bottoms out! When Tesla surpasses 293, we will go long without hesitation!
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 293.
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 325 zone (+11%)
--> Stop Loss at 242 (-17%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop position.
--> Initial trailing stop loss at (-17%) (coinciding with the 242 level of position 1).
--> We modify the trailing stop loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (293).
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SETUP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do I know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest €2,000 in the stock, we divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening one position of €2,000, we'll open two positions of €1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but it automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a specified distance. This specified distance is the trailing Stop Loss.
--> Example: If the trailing Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% during increases. Therefore, the risk decreases until the position enters a profit. This way, you can take advantage of very strong and stable price trends, maximizing profits.
Tesla Stock Continues to Trade Within a Bearish ChannelThe monthly movements of Tesla's stock continue to reflect persistent downward pressure, with a decline of just over 10% since the beginning of March, showing steady selling interest. The bearish sentiment has remained in place as growing discontent over Elon Musk's political positioning has damaged the brand's image, while concerns over a potential trade war have raised fears that Tesla’s international sales may be negatively affected.
Bearish Channel:
Currently, the most important formation on the chart is a strong bearish channel that has remained intact since the final days of December 2024. So far, recent bullish attempts have failed to break out of this structure, reinforcing the broader bearish bias in the long-term outlook.
MACD Indicator:
The latest movements in the MACD histogram have started to show a notable decline, indicating that momentum in the moving average trend may be fading in the short term. This is likely due to the price reaching the upper boundary of the bearish channel, where resistance remains strong.
ADX Indicator:
The ADX line is currently trending downward, hovering just above the neutral 20 level. As this pattern continues, it reflects a lack of strength in recent price movements, pointing to growing indecision, which in turn reinforces the current resistance zone where the price is consolidating.
Key Levels to Watch:
$290: A significant resistance zone, aligning with the top of the bearish channel and the 200-period moving average. Sustained buying above this level could threaten the current bearish structure and signal the start of stronger bullish pressure.
$220: A key support level, representing the recent lows in the stock. A clean break below this zone could confirm a stronger bearish trend, opening the door for more aggressive selling in the sessions ahead.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Tesla - There Is Hope For Bulls!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is just crashing recently:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After Tesla perfectly retested the previous all time high just a couple of weeks ago, we now witnessed a quite expected rejection of about -50%. However market structure remains still bullish and if we see some bullish confirmation, a substantial move higher will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $260, $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla (TSLA) - The Big Short?Can Tesla save itself from the Big Short? With earnings coming up on April 29, the anticipated sales and earnings may be dismal. If hedge funds and retirement managers decide to lighten their exposure, this could lead to abrupt moves in the price of Tesla. Basically, if people want to sell and no one wants to buy at this price, then price has to go down. Also if Tesla hits a certain price on the way down, then all the loans like those used to purchase Twitter may margin call due to risk, more selling. This would not be good for Tesla or the market in general. Also keep in mind that April may be a pullback month for the S&P500 and Nasdaq anyway. So, what does Tesla need to do to combat this? 1. Deliver new products or announce the delivery of new product. 2. Deliver on full self driving along with the Robo Taxi service 3. Deliver on a new cheaper Tesla Model that can be used by individual owners to participate in the Robo Taxi network (Income for the buyer). 4. Deliver on a redesigned Cyber Truck. The current design in getting banned in European countries. Therefore, missing out on sells. 5. Deliver on mass productoin of humanoid robots and AI agents (someone has to be first). This will create excitement but can be tricky since it will unleash AI on the world which can be great but also introduce risk that have not been vetted. Such as, who controls the AI? Who is the AI 'loyal' to? What can people or Tesla ask AI to do? Are there morality rules? Is AI subject to the law? Who's laws based on the Country, State, or county/city it resides or where it was manufactured? 6. Advertise all the positive things about Tesla as a company and the cars as a product. Explain why someone should buy a Tesla over a BYD brand electric car in markets around the world.
These are just a few suggestions for Tesla to avoid The Big Short. What are some of your ideas?
TESLA formed the new bottom and is going for $600.Tesla / TSLA is on the 2nd straight green 1week candle, crossing above the 1week MA50.
With the 1week RSI bouncing on the 2 year Rising Support, the Channel Up has technically formed its new bottom.
Both the current and the previous one were formed on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level after a -55% decline.
If the bullish wave is also as similar as the bearish waves have been, the price should reach as high as the -0.382 Fib extension.
Buy and target the top of the Channel Up at $600.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Tesla stock has completed 5 downward waves.Tesla stock has completed 5 downward waves
Currently, market sentiment is highly negative. A correction to the $296-$326 area, which corresponds to 38.20 and 50% Fibonacci levels, seems likely. They have also covered the gap from below.
After Tesla stock's correction, I expect a global collapse of the SP500, the US stock market, and the cryptocurrency market.
You can review ideas for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, SPY/SP500:
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SP500/SPY:
Today:
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Bitcoin:
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Ethereum:
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Solana:
TESLA Market Outlook: Strong Reversal Expected at $200 SupportNASDAQ:TSLA is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel , a structure that has guided price action since 2020. This channel reflects the broader bullish trend, with higher highs and higher lows consistently forming over the years. The recent sharp decline from the upper boundary of the channel is best interpreted as a temporary retracement rather than a structural shift. Such pullbacks have presented strong buying opportunities before, particularly when price approaches key support levels within the channel. The key area to watch is the $200 demand zone. This level coincides with the lower boundary of the ascending channel and has before drawn significant buying interest.
Given the broader bullish structure, a reversal from this zone could reestablish the uptrend and lead to a retest of higher levels. If a bounce occurs at the $200 demand zone, the immediate target is $263, which aligns with a key resistance level where prior rejection occurred. This area represents a logical point to watch for, but a successful breakout above $263 could lead to further move toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Fundamental Outlook:
From a fundamental perspective, the recent decline could be due to Tesla facing a unique set of challenges stemming from Elon Musk’s increasing involvement in the U.S. government. His role in the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) under the Trump administration has triggered mixed reactions across the financial landscape. The DOGE program, aimed at cutting bureaucratic waste and enhancing operational efficiency, has led to concerns about Musk’s ability to maintain focus on Tesla. Some investors do worry that his attention, divided among a few ventures such as Tesla, SpaceX, and also the federal program, might slow the company’s innovation pipeline in addition to running efficiency.
People are quite divided in their opinions. While some view Musk’s governmental involvement as a strategic advantage, believing his influence could drive favorable policy outcomes, others see it as a distraction that threatens Tesla’s future success. Additionally, if the DOGE program prompts budgetary austerity measures, there could be cuts to clean energy incentives, an outcome that would directly impact Tesla’s profits directly.
Despite these concerns, the market’s long-term outlook for Tesla remains bullish. Many investors view any significant retracement as a buying opportunity, particularly near major technical support zones like $200. This area is widely recognized as a strong accumulation zone where institutional buyers are likely to step in. Furthermore, the electric vehicle market continues to expand globally, and Tesla’s brand strength and technological lead remain intact, reinforcing the long-term growth narrative.
Market View & Predictions
While short-term volatility is expected due to ongoing uncertainties surrounding Musk’s government involvement, the broader technical structure suggests that the uptrend is still intact.
The recent pullback from the upper channel boundary appears to be a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal. If the price tests the $200 support zone, it could trigger a new wave of buying pressure, potentially driving the stock back toward the $263 resistance and beyond. As long as the price remains within the ascending channel, the bullish case for Tesla remains valid, with the potential for further upside as market confidence stabilizes.
SeekingPips sees TSLS Tesla GAIN $60 ! What's Next?It's hard for many traders to do. 🤔
⭐️ I still see it today with traders and investors alike. Even with some who have been at it for many years...
BUT some of the BEST ENTRIES & EXITS for me have been when the OPEN CANDLE IS COMPLETELY AGAINST ME.
The LAST WEEKLY TESLA chart that I shared is another prime example of this.
🟢SeekingPips🟢 shared a BULLISH BIAS when the WEEKLY CHART was looking as BEARISH as hell. 🔥
ℹ️ Now it really is not a method that works for everyone.
Trading against momentum always looks SCARY BUT the SECRET is MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS and also being able to...
VISUALISE DIFFERENT OBSCURE TIMEFRAMES IN REAL-TIME USING THE CURRENT OPEN CHART.
⚠️I plan on going DEEPER INTO this rabbit hole with some information and examples in the TUTORIAL SECTIONS soon.⚠️
🚥 In it's simplest terms an example would be beaing able to note where price is on a 20 or 10 min chart just only by having a 5 minute chart in front of you.
By being able to do so in REAL-TIME KEY LEVELS POP OUT that you may not have noticed from the 5 minute chart perspective only.💡💡💡
Now 🟢SeekingPips🟢 has to wait for a TRIGGER for a NEW ENTRY & SO SHOULD YOU.👍👌👍
Tesla on the Path to New Highs: Correction Before a Major high?hello guys.
let's have a comprehensive analysis of Tesla
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Technical Analysis
Price Structure & Trend:
The monthly chart indicates a long-term uptrend within a broad ascending channel.
Tesla has recently faced resistance around $300 and is now in a corrective phase.
The expected correction may bring the price down to around $220-$250, where it could find strong support before continuing its bullish move. or it is possible to start an upward movement and form an ATH!
RSI & Divergence:
The RSI indicator previously showed a fake bearish divergence, meaning the price action remains strong despite earlier weakness signals.
Potential Higher Levels
If Tesla successfully follows the projected movement, a break above $575 could open the door to $700-$750, based on the channel extension and historical breakout patterns.
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Fundamental Analysis
Earnings & Growth:
Tesla's revenue growth remains strong despite market headwinds.
New factory expansions (Giga Texas, Giga Berlin) and production efficiency improvements contribute to long-term profitability.
The Cybertruck ramp-up and expansion in AI-driven automation could drive future stock value.
EV Market Outlook:
Tesla maintains a dominant position, but increasing competition from Chinese EV manufacturers and legacy automakers remains a challenge.
Recent price cuts have impacted margins but helped sustain high sales volume.
Macroeconomic Factors:
Interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve could impact growth stocks like Tesla.
If rates stabilize or decrease in 2025, Tesla could see renewed investor interest, pushing the stock to new highs.
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Conclusion
The mid-term bearish retracement toward $250 aligns with healthy correction levels.
If Tesla holds above support and breaks $350, your $575 target is highly probable.
A break above $575 could lead to $700+ in the longer term, assuming positive earnings growth and stable macroeconomic conditions.
OH NO GUESS WHAT I FOUND $TSLA HEAD AND SHOULDERThe head and shoulders pattern is a chart formation in technical analysis that signals possible trend reversals, often suggesting a change from a bullish to a bearish trend. It features three peaks: a central "head" that is the highest, flanked by two "shoulders," with a neckline connecting the troughs between these peaks.
Tesla's stock is often viewed as a risky investment for several reasons:
High Valuation: NASDAQ:TSLA stock price is considered very high compared to traditional car manufacturers, with a much higher price-to-earnings ratio.
Market Volatility: The NASDAQ:TLSA price is highly volatile, influenced by factors like CEO Elon Musk's public comments, regulatory changes, and overall market sentiment.
Intense Competition: The electric vehicle market is becoming more competitive, with many established and new companies investing heavily in EV technology.
Production Issues: Tesla has experienced production and supply chain challenges, which can affect its ability to meet demand and maintain profitability.
Regulatory Risks: Changes in government policies and regulations, especially those related to environmental standards and EV incentives, can significantly impact Tesla's business.
While these points highlight potential risks, Tesla also has strengths such as strong brand recognition, technological innovation, and leadership in the EV market. It's important to consider both the risks and potential rewards when evaluating Tesla as an investment.
SELLL NOW!!!!!
$TSLA The rollercoaster ride The ride continues.... It can go up or it can go down 400 - 200 is the current range, while I think and hope that next quarters numbers are going to come in low. It's all going to come down to what happens when FSD launches middle of this year. Will this be a world changing moment? Or a somewhat disappointing take rate with crappy numbers...
TSLA at Key Resistance—Breakout or Rejection?Hi Traders! 🚀 TSLA is approaching a key resistance zone—will it break out or face rejection?
🔹 Scenarios:
📈 Buy if it breaks above $284, with a stop loss at $275 and targets at $290 and $320.
📉 Sell if it rejects $284 and falls below $270, with a stop loss at $280 and targets at $260 and $230.
📊 RSI is recovering from oversold territory—momentum could push prices higher! Keep an eye on the price action.
📢 Watch out for earnings reports and macro news! These could add volatility.
🔥 Smash that like button and show some energy! Let’s trade like pros! 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Tesla entering key $275 area.Tesla's stock price is currently at a critical juncture, entering the significant resistance zone around $270. The chart highlights this level as a pivotal threshold separating bearish and bullish market sentiments. Tesla's behavior around this region will likely determine its next major trend.
### Analysis of the Scenarios:
1. **Below $270: Bearish Outlook**
If Tesla's stock fails to effectively break above the $270 resistance zone and instead gets rejected, the bears will remain in control. Previous price actions indicate this level as a significant area of selling pressure, with multiple failed breakout attempts in the past. A rejection here could set the stage for a continuation of the downtrend, with potential declines back to lower support levels.
2. **Above $270: Bullish Resurgence**
A clear breakout above $270, confirmed by successive daily or weekly closes, would signal a bullish shift in Tesla's technical structure. This would suggest that buying momentum has overcome prior resistance, paving the way for further upward price movements. Breaking through this level could reignite investor enthusiasm and potentially initiate a new rally.
### Key Observations from the Chart:
- The $270 level has acted as both support and resistance in the past, underscoring its importance as a psychological and technical barrier.
- Tesla has recently bounced back after a sharp decline, suggesting a potential recovery attempt. However, the current price action faces a stiff challenge at this resistance level.
- A failure or success at $270 could trigger broader directional movement, with implications for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
### Conclusion:
Tesla's stock is at a decisive crossroads as it entered the $270 resistance zone. A rejection would signify continued bearish dominance, while a sustained breakout would indicate a bullish reversal. Investors will be closely watching the price action around this critical level to gauge the next directional move. As the market exhibits uncertainty, patience and prudent risk management will be key for traders looking to navigate Tesla's current trajectory.
$TSLL – Major Reversal in Play? Is tesla finally back???
TSLL has been in a prolonged downtrend but is now showing signs of a potential bottoming pattern. Price recently tested a key support zone between $6.26 and $7.18, holding firmly after multiple attempts to break lower.
Current price action is forming a strong base, and the first green candle breaking out of this range suggests momentum may be shifting.
The upside target is set near $20, which lines up with a previous consolidation zone and psychological resistance. A break and hold above current levels could trigger a strong move higher.
Risk is defined below support, making this a favorable risk-to-reward setup. Watching closely for follow-through confirmation.
My Technical Analysis for $TSLA (Tesla)📊 Technical Analysis: NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla)
🗓️ Updated: March 24, 2025
🚨 Critical Zone Being Tested
After breaking out of a multi-year symmetrical triangle, NASDAQ:TSLA is now retesting the upper boundary of the pattern — perfectly aligned with the key ACTION ZONE (liquidity zone + long-term MAs).
🔵 ACTION ZONE ($245–265):
High-probability decision area. Holding this level could trigger a fresh bullish leg.
🟣 SWING BOX ($180–210):
If support fails, this is the next logical area for a potential bullish reaction.
🟡 FVG Daily ($75–115):
Unmitigated Fair Value Gap. Only relevant in case of a major breakdown.
📉 SMI (Stochastic Momentum Index):
Currently in negative territory, but nearing oversold — watch for a potential reversal.
🎯 Scenarios:
Bullish: Strong rejection from the Action Zone → potential move to $350–400 ✅
Bearish: Breakdown below the blue zone → eyes on Swing Box or FVG for reentry ⚠️
📌 Reminder: This is not financial advice. Always manage risk and wait for confirmation before entering a trade.
💬 What do you think? Is Tesla preparing for a bounce or heading lower?
👇 Share your thoughts in the comments!