Teslaanalysis
Tesla "Long"As announce today and based on the dilution decision of the Tesla to sell some of its shares of its company for 5 billion $ value what is the meaning of that for stock holders?
As Tesla is investing in Berlin and Texas for new factory lines and consecutively higher production rates, this 5 billion dollar absorption of Finance has a clear asset value and debt reduction of Tesla within 3 months. This perhaps will lead to risk reduction and lowering of current debt ratio of the company. The positive side of point of view is that now each stock has a higher value with 5 billion dollar cash flow in. Though it seems a dividend dilution for investors but in fact this strategy is a risk management approach for higher production rate and especially for future.
With this move not only the current valuation make more sense but it also will have a long term impact for holders. In addition, with S&P joining in 14th and 21th of December higher means of support for this company will be provided and will bring a positive insight especially for emergence of Electric vehicles, new batteries and solar energy products in prospective years.
TSLA SHORT SET UPTITLE/(DATE)- SELL LIMIT TSLA
ASSET- TSLA
PLATFORM- MT4
ORDER TYPE- SELL limit
Time Frame- 1D
ENTRY PRICE 1- $632.00 (Pending)
ENTRY 2- $647.00 (pending)
STOP LOSS- $652.00 (300 PIPs)
TAKE PROFIT 1- $600.00 (300 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 2- $570.00 (600 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 3- $540.00 (900 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 4- $510.00 (1200 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 4- $480.00 (1500 PIPS)
STATUS🚨 PENDING🚨
TESLA at $700 before end of year?TSLA stock is very bullish just after the announcement of its S&P 500 inclusion.
Why $700?
I just found an old similar pattern...
Your comments are welcome.
##############
Legal disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The advice here given is not a financial advice even though my excitement might make it look like such. This account shouldn't be followed by anyone expecting something from me. You trade at your own risk and nobody can guarantee you results. Even if someone could, I don't.
Tesla - Triangle Pattern and target price of $587In fulfilled wave counting, in the 240-minute chart, the price has moved up to the range of $ 502.41, with 3 ascending waves, in a corrective wave of 4, due to the 3-wave structure, the sides of the triangle have been formed, by crossing the price from “d -wave” (452.50), we will probably see an increase in the price up to the range of $ 587.
The Loss limit for this order is around $ 382
TSLA: Tesla Gets Added to The S&P500Tesla (TSLA) is a one-of-a-kind electric vehicle company that is listed on the NASDAQ exchange. Just now, it has been announced that the stock will be added to the S&P500. In this analysis, we’ll take a look at the fundamentals of the company, as well as what this news means for Tesla.
Some of the information in this post is based on the analysis I wrote in March.
S&P500 Requirements
- There are certain requirements a company must fulfill in order to be added to the S&P500.
- The company must be a U.S. Company
- Must have a market cap of at least $8.2 Billion
- Must be highly liquid
- Must have a public float of at least 50% of its shares outstanding
- Its most recent quarter’s earnings and the sum of its trailing four consecutive quarters’ earnings must be positive.
Tesla had a hard time fulfilling the last part of the requirement, as it was not profiting for a while. They demonstrated increasing revenue, but a lot of their profits were reinvested into building infrastructures/gigafactories, and R&D.
Fundamental Analysis
- Despite the Corona Virus (COVID-19), Tesla has managed to manufacture and deliver record-high number of vehicles for 2020
- Tesla ended 2019 with 6 Billion Dollars, and early this year, they raised an additional 2 Billion through stock offering
- This indicates that Tesla had enough money to go endure the chaos caused by the viral outbreak
- Tesla is one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) credit regulations, racking up huge ZEV credits that other automotive companies pay billions to purchase
- In March 2020, Tesla has taken up 25% of the Chinese EV market, and further domination in arguably one of the most important markets is anticipated.
- With Biden’s winning the election almost being certain, it’s anticipated that Tesla will heavily benefit from Biden’s green policies.
Arguments against Tesla
- Tesla has a negative Earnings Per Share ( EPS ). Negative earnings are a red flag for value investors
- Tesla's operating margin is arguably too low, and not enough to be profitable for the long term
- Tesla's Debt to Equity ratio is quite high, and is a reason for concern, as it suggests that Tesla is a higher risk investment
- While gross income growth of Tesla for the past three years have been great, these are not sustainable numbers
- There are arguments against Tesla's management; some argue that Elon Musk gave himself too big of a compensation package
- This is concerning to investors, as the company has still not turned an annual profit.
- Most of the arguments against Tesla are in regards to their rather questionable financials, which they have now proven to be solid by being added to the S&P500
Future Projections
- While the Electric Vehicle ( EV ) Market continues to grow, Tesla's market share remains at 17~18% of a rapidly growing industry
- Tesla's gigafactories have shown unprecedented progress in terms of how fast the factory was built, as well as the automated manufacturing process
- Tesla has billions miles of autonomous driving data, which is more data than any other player in the market for self-driving cars
- Based on the vast amount of data, Tesla's self driving cars will allow the company to generate software-company-like margins
- Tesla has better battery efficiency compared to combustion engine cars, and can still benefit from economies of scale
- According to EV experts, Tesla's vehicles are at least 4-5 years more advanced than those of its competitors.
Technical Analysis
- We can look at the daily chart for some insight regarding technical analysis
- Tesla is notorious for ignoring a lot of the technical signals that appear on the chart.
- As it’s more driven by news and fundamental developments, it’s best to merely reference the technical aspect.
- We can see a clear uptrend marked by the ichimoku cloud support
- Prices trading above the 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) is a bullish sign
- We can see that we have never broken below the 200 SMA since Nov. 2019
- As we consolidate in a bullish pennant pattern, bullish news is likely to cause a breakout near the apex of the pattern.
Summary
In summary, Tesla is not for the average value investor, seeking to purchase stocks at an undervalued price. It is, however, for the investors who know how to value the company by future expectations. I believe that Tesla is an automotive company to the same degree as Amazon is a bookstore. There is a lot more potential in the fundamentals of this company that many fail to recognize, and despite the short term hardships it may face, the innovative values that Tesla prioritizes is what brought the company to the S&P500. This obviously isn’t the end for Tesla. From a conservative view, I can see the stock easily double in price from these levels. A lesson to take from this investment is that if you have an in-depth understanding of the asset or security you invest in, despite volatile price actions and bearish news, the patience of holding can greatly reward you.
If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
Tesla long buy chartsConsidering i am long and currently hold 13 shares in my portfolio (for disclosure purposes) i have and extra buy zone for Tesla included. Normally I wouldn't sell Tesla and would just recommend buying when it goes down, if you are swing trading these are zones that could be useful. The most optimal buy zone is started at 318 and below. Most likely it is unlikely we see Tesla dip that far is still is a possibility that investors would be foolish to not jump on when the time comes. The second zone starts at 319-382. If you would like to add small amounts to your position 393-420. 421-447 is a holding zone and upwards from that is where you should start taking profits
$TSLA - MOMENT OF TRUTH! Bullish pattern forming$TSLA is in a moment of truth here. #TSLA formed a bullish pennant after hitting all time highs. Pennants are considered continuation patterns (in this case a continuation of the violent uptrend). The volume is also declining in typical fashion during these types of continuation patterns. The Stoch RSI is oversold which TSLA responds well to on the 1D chart.
The yellow arrows are when TSLA reported delivery numbers too. These have typically been the launch point to new breakouts. If TSLA can break out of the pennant, the expected mid term move is towards $616 where the 1.272 Fib extension is. This would also coincide with its inclusion in the S&P 500 at the end of the year or the beginning of 2021.
Bullish pennants aren't a guaranteed bullish continuation though. They break to the upside a little more than half the time so prudent traders will want to watch for the breakout first.
Like & share! 👍🏼📣
TSLA Squeeze is comingHave any of the TSLA bears paid any attention to the earnings call at all? Hello?
Shorts will be burned as usual.
Wedge pattern + Ascending triangle.
1st PT: 525-535
2nd PT: 625-635
I imagine we will get squeezed for the next 2-3 weeks. If Biden wins, it's good for EV/Clean energy. If Trump wins, it's good for EV/Clean energy.
Companies that practice ESG will win.
I bet Musk will become the first Trillionaire.
Tesla buyI want to show my future perspective on $TSLA with a technical analysis.
It is a super loved action among the staff of this community, that looking at it, we see that it has a fairly clean 𝐮𝐩𝐭𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐝.
From August until now, 𝐚 𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐥𝐞 𝐩𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐞𝐝, breaking it upwards.
At the bottom of the triangle is an area that touched 3 times before breaking it, so that area is 𝐚 𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲 𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐧𝐠 𝐬𝐮𝐩𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭 ( 𝟑𝟑𝟖.𝟓𝟖 )
However, in the upper part of the triangle, it is a virgin area, it is 𝐚 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 ( 𝟓𝟏𝟎.𝟖𝟓 ) that sooner or later has to touch it at least, although it will surely end up breaking it as well.
In the middle we have 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐩𝐢𝐯𝐨𝐭 𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐚 ( 𝟒𝟐𝟎.𝟔𝟐 ), it is an area that in the short term has to remain as support, 𝐨𝐟𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐚 𝐠𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐲 𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭.
If it respects that zone, and continues up, 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐲'𝐬 𝐓𝐏 destination would be at resistance 𝟓𝟏𝟎.𝟖𝟓.
The 𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐲´𝐬 𝐒𝐋 will be at 𝟒𝟎𝟒.𝟗𝟐 .
So with this trade if it goes well, it offers us with a 𝐒𝐋 -𝟑.𝟓𝟖%, a 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝟐𝟏.𝟑𝟏%. What is a 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤 / 𝐫𝐞𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨 𝐨𝐟 𝟓.𝟗𝟔.
🅴🅰🆂🆈 🆂🆄🅼🅼🅰🆁🆈
𝐁𝐮𝐲 ➡️ 𝟒𝟐𝟎.𝟔𝟐
𝐒𝐋 ➡️ 𝟒𝟎𝟒.𝟗𝟐
𝐓𝐏 ➡️ 𝟓𝟏𝟎.𝟖𝟓
𝐑𝐢𝐬𝐤 / 𝐑𝐞𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝 𝟓.𝟗𝟔
TSLA anticipated move to $540 then $600? Medium termTSLA has been the center of attention for the bulls and volatility for quite some time and it is forming a very interesting pattern that I cannot ignore.
There are die hard TSLA fans there that believe in the company, there no real reason not to, and there are swing traders that love swinging it because it moves. It is due for a volatile move once again, should we break resistance we'll see a pop that could take up through the high once again.
The technicals are building up for it, higher lows, EV potentially, a strong bull market its all coming together, just volume needs to come on board to the upside.
We need to see a drastic increase in volume as we break the $460 threshold for the next leg higher. With the S&P 500 potentially hitting 3,600 and the Nasdaq futures led by tech about to make a new high. It just seems likely that TSLA is about to make a leg up pop that we've been waiting for.
The targets to the upside are based on Fib extension lines and the volatility that TSLA is associated with could bring us there no problem. The prior TSLA idea we had, the market was forming a symmetrical triangle that could have sprung either way, the more recent price action is expecting a pop higher!
this idea is for educational purposes only, any trade or investment is taken and the traders personal risk.