Tesla: In-Depth Fundamental Analysis 1M (Apr. 29)X FORCE GLOBAL ANALYSIS:
Tesla is an American Electric Vehicle (EV) company with a disruptive presence in the automotive industry. TSLA is one of the most hyped stocks of NASDAQ, with avid supporters of the company itself, as well as its leader - Elon Musk. Due to the nature of the stock, technical analysis can be used to identify strong support and resistance zones, but fundamental insight is required in order to grasp the tremendous value this company has to offer. Thus, in this analysis, we take a purely fundamental approach in analyzing this stock.
Fundamental Analysis
- Despite the Corona Virus (COVID-19), Tesla has managed to manufacture and deliver record-high number of vehicles for Q1 2020
- Tesla ended 2019 with 6 Billion Dollars, and early this year, they raised an additional 2 Billion through stock offering
- This indicates that Tesla has enough money to go endure the chaos caused by the viral outbreak
- Tesla is one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) credit regulations, racking up huge ZEV credits that other automotive companies pay billions to purchase
- In March 2020, Tesla has taken up 25% of the Chinese EV market, and further domination in arguably one of the most important markets is anticipated.
Arguments against Tesla
- Tesla has a negative Earnings Per Share (EPS). Negative earnings are a red flag for value investors
- Tesla's operating margin is arguably too low, and not enough to be profitable for the long term
- Tesla's Debt to Equity ratio is quite high, and is a reason for concern, as it suggests that Tesla is a higher risk investment
- While gross income growth of Tesla for the past three years have been great, these are not sustainable numbers
- There are arguments against Tesla's management; some argue that Elon Musk gave himself too big of a compensation package
- This is concerning to investors, as the company has still not turned an annual profit.
Future Projections
- While the Electric Vehicle ( EV ) Market continues to grow, Tesla's market share remains at 17~18% of a rapidly growing industry
- Tesla's gigafactories have shown unprecedented progress in terms of how fast the factory was built, as well as the automated manufacturing process
- Tesla has 2billion miles of autonomous driving data, which is more data than any other player in the market for self-driving cars
- Based on the vast amount of data, Tesla's self driving cars will allow the company to generate software-company-like margins
- Tesla has better battery efficiency compared to combustion engine cars, and can still benefit from economies of scale
- According to EV experts, Tesla's vehicles are at least 4-5 years more advanced than those of its competitors.
- They have been hit with the coronavirus, slowing down production in their gigafactories, but their fundamentals remain strong nonetheless
What We Believe
In summary, Tesla is not for the average Warren-Buffet-style fundamental investor, seeking to purchase stocks at an undervalued price. It is, however, for the Masayoshi-Son-style investors who values the company by future expectations. We believe that Tesla is an automotive company to the same degree as Amazon is a bookstore. There is a lot more potential in the fundamentals of this company that many fail to recognize, and despite the short term hardships it may face, the innovative values that Tesla prioritizes can take this company to record highs.
Trade Safe.
Teslaanalysis
Cybertuck Go Crash? (TSLA)Woah, woah, woah hey now!
It's ya big homie coming at you with another one of these fire TA 🔥
I got the daily pulled up on the big wild beast TESLA.
Elon could be calling up his A.I. hedge fund from Mars right now telling them to go short.
Or is Elon hoping in his Cybertuck to go fuel up the rocket?
We got the compression showing indecision.
Let's factor in the run from the recovery process.
Lots and lots of green.
When the compressed doji crosses over the green brick under it. Strong sign of a short.
We at the indecision stage.
I say fire short here at $725
With roughly a 3 - 5% stop 750 - 760 / Reverse target hit than go long
A break above $760 I think would lead to a massive surge.
Crack $700 I think it sells off
Based on the fact that if you look at like a 6 hr chart. It's overall pattern on these style of timeframes look like a massive cup. Which is bullish. I just think we are a little to overextended and could cool a little bit.
If I had to put price targets.
If it goes short I think next we can shoot for the $640
If it broke long than really the only next level is $900.
Break those targets, well than you are looking at a strong trend continuation
Those will be very important levels.
Right now we are at that sweet spot. Zone in on it.
Why TSLA will make New HighsHi Traders! Hope everyone is just as excited as I am with the opportunities the markets are giving swing traders these days.
Today, we are going to begin analyzing TSLA and its bullish case and how TSLA may be the trigger that leads to true capitulation in the stock markets.
Above you see the long term weekly view of TSLA. It is creating a rising channel that we can start to take seriously. If you had this channel drawn out you would have perfectly timed out the low the week of June 3, 2019.
The next image I examine instances when TSLA stock was at extreme overbought conditions. These are common during wave 3's. Wave 3's are typically the longest/strongest waves during a cycle. The wave that preceding impulsive wave 5 normally undergoes a divergence, signaling the trend is slowing.
What is happening now?
A wave 5 ending diagonal. Currently TSLA maybe consolidating into a wave 4 that could propel it to $1200 - $1500. The reason why I am beginning to think this may be an ending diagonal is the manner in which wave 4 has overlapped wave 2. You only see that in diagonals.
What am I looking for next?
If TSLA begins making new highs, there is a risk price is getting out of control and I'll be looking at this as a wave 5 extension and aiming at the top of the channel range for exhaustion. On the other hand, if TSLA continues consolidating in waves of 3, it is conceivable that it could be within a triangle consolidation.
Short term bullish on TSLA. Thank you for reading my analysis. Like, comment and follow if you enjoy this analysis and would like more content!
$TSLA Increase until EarningsOn April, 2nd 2020 $TSLA reported that they had delivered a little over 88,000 vehicles.
This has been strong support for BULLS entering into Q1 Earnings season.
$TSLA is expected to report earnings on or about April 22nd (maybe as far out as April 29th).
The general consensus for the EPS is $-1.31.
I'm seeing $TSLA continue to rise until then with the strong BULL support with 3 possible resistance levels.
$675
$700
and
$750
After that the BULLS (and anyone covering their SHORTS) will begin to sell:
Tesla continued to work through most of the start of the lock-downs, but eventually had to oblige to lock-down orders.
They have put many of their sales and delivery staff on furlough and slashed employee pay since.
I believe Tesla stock will feel the BEARISH consensus following earnings.
Looking to buy in long then.
The shaded box is the range I am giving for their Earnings, however general expectations would be April 22nd.
Tesla some Spiralsforecasting a potential top using Fibonacci spirals, and outlining how Fibonacci spirals can be used to show tops and bottoms.
For those looking to enter price is currently in a neutral zone, look for a short once the fib line is reached.
Or go long I dont really care.
Above chart is a bit iffy, hope someone got some use out of it.
teslahere my view on #tesla, hope this help you build up your position before the next spike happen, enjoy the ride, if this helpful pls hit the like, and comment, for any feedback, and subscribe for more like this set up,
pls be aware trading is risky use proper risk/trade management and investigate properly before taking any trades...
Alex Vieira Downgrades Tesla to Buy $924 from Strong Buy $179.4The legendary investor and Tesla bull legend who has published more than 65,000 case studies on how to invest in the financial markets including the famous real-time Tesla upgrade to Strong Buy $179 in 2019 downgraded the stock to buy $924 explaining that
"Now that Morgan Stanley has finally turned bullish on Tesla using my price target 1,200, I am more cautious. Alex"
TSLA possible break to $956 next week (be smart)NASDAQ:TSLA has been testing the 815 mark for the last few days and strong resistance lines of 750, keeps bouncing back.. Volumes has died down a bit and due to MMs pinning the stock at around 770-800 range in the last 2-3 days, they killed off the options premiums for the weeklies which expired 2/14.. they will have a tougher time containing it for the 2/21, 2/28s with it pushing higher at the close each day inching up.. Looking to go long here on some 780 calls.. however if it does dip and dips below, 750.. could see that short squeeze the bears and the street have been looking for.. should see some movement next week.
Anyone who doesn't understand why Tesla has this rally, why they are so disruptive, why they will grow much more, should really do some reading on disruptive
technologies and Kondratiev cycles. This company marks the beginning of a new era of rapid innovation. Tesla is much more than a car company. They build
solar arrays. They build energy storage batteries for renewable energy farms. They are also a software company. They are soon an autonomous carsharing fleet
company. They have the most advanced AI neuralnet, years ahead of anyone else. They have by far the biggest supercharger network. The lead to the other carmakers
who are struggling to even build the first generation Model S, is just INCREASING, not decreasing.
a
Tesla is going to change the world. It already is doing so. Anyone who doesn't understand that, should really do some proper research, and not only read CNBC clickbait news
headlines and FUD.