TSLA - The down fall of Tesla Pt. 3If you find this information useful - leave a comment and a like. thank you!
Hello Friends,
My stance on Tesla remains the same. Short.
I was bit early to the party on my options but none the less.
Elon never fails on being being corrupt.
Quarter earnings were pencil whipped to the max.
Then Elon goes on to twitter rant.
This is what you are getting when you are buying 700-800 dollar per share stock with this guy.
I say short the man out of the job.
Obviously not fit to run a publicly traded company.
Tesla peaked out in the 800's to be rejected with news of questionable ethics from accounting for the quarterly earnings.
More news than TA. Sorry friends. This just doesn't sit well with me.
As always this is pure speculation for charting - it is not financial advice.
If you find this information useful - leave a comment and a like. thank you!
Teslaidea
Tesla: In-Depth Fundamental Analysis 1M (Apr. 29)X FORCE GLOBAL ANALYSIS:
Tesla is an American Electric Vehicle (EV) company with a disruptive presence in the automotive industry. TSLA is one of the most hyped stocks of NASDAQ, with avid supporters of the company itself, as well as its leader - Elon Musk. Due to the nature of the stock, technical analysis can be used to identify strong support and resistance zones, but fundamental insight is required in order to grasp the tremendous value this company has to offer. Thus, in this analysis, we take a purely fundamental approach in analyzing this stock.
Fundamental Analysis
- Despite the Corona Virus (COVID-19), Tesla has managed to manufacture and deliver record-high number of vehicles for Q1 2020
- Tesla ended 2019 with 6 Billion Dollars, and early this year, they raised an additional 2 Billion through stock offering
- This indicates that Tesla has enough money to go endure the chaos caused by the viral outbreak
- Tesla is one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) credit regulations, racking up huge ZEV credits that other automotive companies pay billions to purchase
- In March 2020, Tesla has taken up 25% of the Chinese EV market, and further domination in arguably one of the most important markets is anticipated.
Arguments against Tesla
- Tesla has a negative Earnings Per Share (EPS). Negative earnings are a red flag for value investors
- Tesla's operating margin is arguably too low, and not enough to be profitable for the long term
- Tesla's Debt to Equity ratio is quite high, and is a reason for concern, as it suggests that Tesla is a higher risk investment
- While gross income growth of Tesla for the past three years have been great, these are not sustainable numbers
- There are arguments against Tesla's management; some argue that Elon Musk gave himself too big of a compensation package
- This is concerning to investors, as the company has still not turned an annual profit.
Future Projections
- While the Electric Vehicle ( EV ) Market continues to grow, Tesla's market share remains at 17~18% of a rapidly growing industry
- Tesla's gigafactories have shown unprecedented progress in terms of how fast the factory was built, as well as the automated manufacturing process
- Tesla has 2billion miles of autonomous driving data, which is more data than any other player in the market for self-driving cars
- Based on the vast amount of data, Tesla's self driving cars will allow the company to generate software-company-like margins
- Tesla has better battery efficiency compared to combustion engine cars, and can still benefit from economies of scale
- According to EV experts, Tesla's vehicles are at least 4-5 years more advanced than those of its competitors.
- They have been hit with the coronavirus, slowing down production in their gigafactories, but their fundamentals remain strong nonetheless
What We Believe
In summary, Tesla is not for the average Warren-Buffet-style fundamental investor, seeking to purchase stocks at an undervalued price. It is, however, for the Masayoshi-Son-style investors who values the company by future expectations. We believe that Tesla is an automotive company to the same degree as Amazon is a bookstore. There is a lot more potential in the fundamentals of this company that many fail to recognize, and despite the short term hardships it may face, the innovative values that Tesla prioritizes can take this company to record highs.
Trade Safe.
Cybertuck Go Crash? (TSLA)Woah, woah, woah hey now!
It's ya big homie coming at you with another one of these fire TA 🔥
I got the daily pulled up on the big wild beast TESLA.
Elon could be calling up his A.I. hedge fund from Mars right now telling them to go short.
Or is Elon hoping in his Cybertuck to go fuel up the rocket?
We got the compression showing indecision.
Let's factor in the run from the recovery process.
Lots and lots of green.
When the compressed doji crosses over the green brick under it. Strong sign of a short.
We at the indecision stage.
I say fire short here at $725
With roughly a 3 - 5% stop 750 - 760 / Reverse target hit than go long
A break above $760 I think would lead to a massive surge.
Crack $700 I think it sells off
Based on the fact that if you look at like a 6 hr chart. It's overall pattern on these style of timeframes look like a massive cup. Which is bullish. I just think we are a little to overextended and could cool a little bit.
If I had to put price targets.
If it goes short I think next we can shoot for the $640
If it broke long than really the only next level is $900.
Break those targets, well than you are looking at a strong trend continuation
Those will be very important levels.
Right now we are at that sweet spot. Zone in on it.
TSLA - The Down Fall of Tesla pt2Hello friends,
This an update on a previous idea.
I am still short on #tsla
All things in mind Tesla is a car manufacturing company that has to sale cars to make money.
Record high unemployment rates in the US.
Which is the biggest market for Tesla sales.
With Covid-19, I believe earnings will be trash.
Earnings will be reported on April 29th.
Get excited.
Disclaimer - This is NOT financial advice and all charting is speculation.
Why TSLA will make New HighsHi Traders! Hope everyone is just as excited as I am with the opportunities the markets are giving swing traders these days.
Today, we are going to begin analyzing TSLA and its bullish case and how TSLA may be the trigger that leads to true capitulation in the stock markets.
Above you see the long term weekly view of TSLA. It is creating a rising channel that we can start to take seriously. If you had this channel drawn out you would have perfectly timed out the low the week of June 3, 2019.
The next image I examine instances when TSLA stock was at extreme overbought conditions. These are common during wave 3's. Wave 3's are typically the longest/strongest waves during a cycle. The wave that preceding impulsive wave 5 normally undergoes a divergence, signaling the trend is slowing.
What is happening now?
A wave 5 ending diagonal. Currently TSLA maybe consolidating into a wave 4 that could propel it to $1200 - $1500. The reason why I am beginning to think this may be an ending diagonal is the manner in which wave 4 has overlapped wave 2. You only see that in diagonals.
What am I looking for next?
If TSLA begins making new highs, there is a risk price is getting out of control and I'll be looking at this as a wave 5 extension and aiming at the top of the channel range for exhaustion. On the other hand, if TSLA continues consolidating in waves of 3, it is conceivable that it could be within a triangle consolidation.
Short term bullish on TSLA. Thank you for reading my analysis. Like, comment and follow if you enjoy this analysis and would like more content!
$TSLA : This Is An Update From My Previous PostI originally made my initial publish on this website on the 13th of April.
This publish is just a magnified look at that one.
As you can see, the theory is holding pretty fair right now.
Earnings still seem to be expected between the 22nd, and the 29th. Most seemingly expect it on the 22th.
I believe as long as many maintain the belief that earnings will be on the 22nd, there will be continued strong resistance at around $750.
There is mounting evidence that PUT options have and continue to increase on $TSLA, so i don't see it break that $750 threshold.
In my opinion, i'm not looking to short until it goes below $700. At that point i will inspect how it moves from there and holds to the resistance of $700. If it continues at or about that range, the longer it does, the more confident I will be to short it after the 22nd.
However, if it falls below $680, i don't see BULLS regaining control, in fact, most should be struck with fear and sell out to maximize profits. They wouldn't want to get caught in that free fall. After that free fall I'm looking to buy long term (depending on where I have 3 possible support zones) between the ranges of $415 and $350. I don't expect it to go lower than $350 with Tesla being a leader in its industry.
Please like and let me know what you guys think.
Again this is an update to my last publish, for more information please review my previous posts. I do not give away my personal signals.
$TSLA Increase until EarningsOn April, 2nd 2020 $TSLA reported that they had delivered a little over 88,000 vehicles.
This has been strong support for BULLS entering into Q1 Earnings season.
$TSLA is expected to report earnings on or about April 22nd (maybe as far out as April 29th).
The general consensus for the EPS is $-1.31.
I'm seeing $TSLA continue to rise until then with the strong BULL support with 3 possible resistance levels.
$675
$700
and
$750
After that the BULLS (and anyone covering their SHORTS) will begin to sell:
Tesla continued to work through most of the start of the lock-downs, but eventually had to oblige to lock-down orders.
They have put many of their sales and delivery staff on furlough and slashed employee pay since.
I believe Tesla stock will feel the BEARISH consensus following earnings.
Looking to buy in long then.
The shaded box is the range I am giving for their Earnings, however general expectations would be April 22nd.
Tesla some Spiralsforecasting a potential top using Fibonacci spirals, and outlining how Fibonacci spirals can be used to show tops and bottoms.
For those looking to enter price is currently in a neutral zone, look for a short once the fib line is reached.
Or go long I dont really care.
Above chart is a bit iffy, hope someone got some use out of it.
teslahere my view on #tesla, hope this help you build up your position before the next spike happen, enjoy the ride, if this helpful pls hit the like, and comment, for any feedback, and subscribe for more like this set up,
pls be aware trading is risky use proper risk/trade management and investigate properly before taking any trades...
Pump and Dump? Perfect Example on the Recent Movement on TESLANASDAQ:TSLA Shows a good example of a pump and dump scenario.
- The actual cause of this is still uncertain.
- Probably big withdrawals from significantly huge investors.
- Or the success of the latest model sales.
- NASDAQ:TSLA already achieved the highest price analysts anticipated for 2020, in less than the first 2 months of the year.
- What should we expect with NASDAQ:TSLA ?
Cheers,
G.
Ts: smartalphatrade
ridethepig | The Tesla BubbleIt's really difficult to find any Tesla charts here lately ... maybe you guys can post some in the comments (:
Tesla adding another $20bn in market cap alone this morning...all perfectly normal valuation growth... right. I suggest selling TSLA on the open and expecting a -25% move to the downside. Lack of sizings against the bullish flow is allowing the short-squeeze to continue. Capitulation was the catalyst to go actively short, and in hindsight see how we were jumping the gun earlier into the move. TSLA will obviously benefit from the transition away from an oil driven economy, though this move does not reflect normality.
The risk-off sentiment led to a significant divergence in the surface and inversion in short-interest structure. Initially I am going to run the trade dynamically to position for both a continuation and reversal (in simple words hedging) and then when the trade starts working we can go massive on sizings !
Ahead of the technical resistance at 900, I evaluate the balance sheet path's under different assumptions for the demand. I continue to suggest the metrics are overstretched on both deliverables and PPE spending. In my models, stock is fairly valued at +/- 250.xx but with initial targets (can't believe I am saying this) of 650 and 550. If we get enough interest in the comments we can explore TSLA's financial status and short-interest resilience to date.
As usual thanks for keeping the likes, comments and etc coming!
TSLA Overheating !!TSLA overheating and valuations are currently stretched for even the most optimistic assumptions. Based on current valuations at $490, Tesla would need to be delivering 1,300,000 cars within the next 5 years. In my models, stock is fairly valued at +/- 280 but with an initial target of 360.
On technical side at the top here you will notice exhaustion as predicted deliveries enter into "overpromised" territory. Of course the usual crowd will defend with China plant opening and unicorns expected. Based on current expectations, TSLA will need to deliver almost 475k cars this year and with demand starting to cough via late cycle fears this is looking doubtful to say the least.
Flow wise, actively selling 490 overshoots with initial targets at 360 followed by 280 extensions. While to the topside, invalidation and reassessment necessary at 525. Tracking closely delivery numbers for 2020 but with the boat fully loaded on one side and short interest as a percentage of float still below 20% it is a screaming sell.
Good luck all those on the sell-side in TSLA over the coming sessions.