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$TSLA : This Is An Update From My Previous PostI originally made my initial publish on this website on the 13th of April. This publish is just a magnified look at that one. As you can see, the theory is holding pretty fair right now. Earnings still seem to be expected between the 22nd, and the 29th. Most seemingly expect it on the 22th. I believe as long as many maintain the belief that earnings will be on the 22nd, there will be continued strong resistance at around $750. There is mounting evidence that PUT options have and continue to increase on $TSLA, so i don't see it break that $750 threshold. In my opinion, i'm not looking to short until it goes below $700. At that point i will inspect how it moves from there and holds to the resistance of $700. If it continues at or about that range, the longer it does, the more confident I will be to short it after the 22nd. However, if it falls below $680, i don't see BULLS regaining control, in fact, most should be struck with fear and sell out to maximize profits. They wouldn't want to get caught in that free fall. After that free fall I'm looking to buy long term (depending on where I have 3 possible support zones) between the ranges of $415 and $350. I don't expect it to go lower than $350 with Tesla being a leader in its industry. Please like and let me know what you guys think. Again this is an update to my last publish, for more information please review my previous posts. I do not give away my personal signals.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by russkishurik
2
$TSLA Increase until EarningsOn April, 2nd 2020 $TSLA reported that they had delivered a little over 88,000 vehicles. This has been strong support for BULLS entering into Q1 Earnings season. $TSLA is expected to report earnings on or about April 22nd (maybe as far out as April 29th). The general consensus for the EPS is $-1.31. I'm seeing $TSLA continue to rise until then with the strong BULL support with 3 possible resistance levels. $675 $700 and $750 After that the BULLS (and anyone covering their SHORTS) will begin to sell: Tesla continued to work through most of the start of the lock-downs, but eventually had to oblige to lock-down orders. They have put many of their sales and delivery staff on furlough and slashed employee pay since. I believe Tesla stock will feel the BEARISH consensus following earnings. Looking to buy in long then. The shaded box is the range I am giving for their Earnings, however general expectations would be April 22nd.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by russkishurik
13
ridethepig | The Tesla BubbleIt's really difficult to find any Tesla charts here lately ... maybe you guys can post some in the comments (: Tesla adding another $20bn in market cap alone this morning...all perfectly normal valuation growth... right. I suggest selling TSLA on the open and expecting a -25% move to the downside. Lack of sizings against the bullish flow is allowing the short-squeeze to continue. Capitulation was the catalyst to go actively short, and in hindsight see how we were jumping the gun earlier into the move. TSLA will obviously benefit from the transition away from an oil driven economy, though this move does not reflect normality. The risk-off sentiment led to a significant divergence in the surface and inversion in short-interest structure. Initially I am going to run the trade dynamically to position for both a continuation and reversal (in simple words hedging) and then when the trade starts working we can go massive on sizings ! Ahead of the technical resistance at 900, I evaluate the balance sheet path's under different assumptions for the demand. I continue to suggest the metrics are overstretched on both deliverables and PPE spending. In my models, stock is fairly valued at +/- 250.xx but with initial targets (can't believe I am saying this) of 650 and 550. If we get enough interest in the comments we can explore TSLA's financial status and short-interest resilience to date. As usual thanks for keeping the likes, comments and etc coming!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ridethepig
32
TSLA Overheating !!TSLA overheating and valuations are currently stretched for even the most optimistic assumptions. Based on current valuations at $490, Tesla would need to be delivering 1,300,000 cars within the next 5 years. In my models, stock is fairly valued at +/- 280 but with an initial target of 360. On technical side at the top here you will notice exhaustion as predicted deliveries enter into "overpromised" territory. Of course the usual crowd will defend with China plant opening and unicorns expected. Based on current expectations, TSLA will need to deliver almost 475k cars this year and with demand starting to cough via late cycle fears this is looking doubtful to say the least. Flow wise, actively selling 490 overshoots with initial targets at 360 followed by 280 extensions. While to the topside, invalidation and reassessment necessary at 525. Tracking closely delivery numbers for 2020 but with the boat fully loaded on one side and short interest as a percentage of float still below 20% it is a screaming sell. Good luck all those on the sell-side in TSLA over the coming sessions.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ridethepig
15
Solar Energy Systems of Tesla Caused a SueWalmart sued Tesla on Tuesday for its solar energy panels. In addition to that, the retail corporation accused the firm of widespread negligence, which resulted in repeated fires of its solar systems. The company also ask the court to order Tesla to get rid of its solar panels from over 240 of its U.S. stores. Moreover, the electric car maker installed these solar energy systems, and, of course, the firm is responsible for fires at seven locations. Aside from that, there were dozens of it with hazardous issues like loose wiring and hot spots on panels. But as on now, Tesla did not give any comment regarding this matter. In the lawsuit, it accused the firm of having workers who lack training. And they are the one putting up shoddy installations, which displays utter incompetence of callousness, according to the court papers. Solar Business of Tesla Meanwhile, Tesla got its solar energy systems through its $2.6 billion purchase of SolarCity back in 2016. And the lawsuit became the latest blow to the firm’s already struggling business. Since the deal, quarterly installations collapse over 85%. And this happened after Tesla chopped its solar panel sales force and ended a distribution deal with Home Depot. Furthermore, in the lawsuit of Walmart, it stated the fires damaged significant amounts of store merchandise and needed solid repairs. As a result, the firm lost millions of dollars. Tesla Shares Despite Tesla’s self-inflicted wounds and dropping shares around 32% in 2019, billionaire investor Ron Baron stayed bullish on the company and CEO Elon Musk. And the reason for his consistent support is the ongoing expansion of the electric carmaker firm in China. Aside from that, its revenue growth and improvements in all-electric vehicle technologies are also part of his reasons to keep holding to the firm. After opening at $227.62 per share, Tesla stock was relatively firm Tuesday morning.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Financebroker
1
Tesla! 420 next year?Hi guys, Tesla just came down to long term support and held, and then came up and reject resistance so it looks as if we are in the same range as from 14-16. We are currently sitting in the middle of the range, I believe that the next big break will set the trend for the next 6-12 months. Fundamentals: For Tesla to succeed and see enormous growth they need to achieve full self-driving, I think they are still a few years away. The second thing is battery production and having access to the largest EV market which is China. This is coming with the gigafactory being built this year. Overall I am bullish on innovation so I'm bullish on Tesla, this doesn't mean we can't lose support and test lower :).
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by MaxxCharts
3
Tesla Short ReversalHi guys its Brian here with a short opportunity for Tesla. Tesla is currently in a downtrend ever since start of the year as seen by the downward sloping trend channel. The price has also always been consistently below the ichimoku cloud from February onwards. Tesla reached the support level of about 175 level at the start of June and showed an upward correction but the correction is starting to end as seen by the strong red candle upon hitting the blue trend resistance channel. Volume also increased on the 2nd red candle showing there is strong bearish pressure driving prices downwards. If shorting here, take profit could be set at about 195ish or even the previous support level at 180ish www.brianchai.com Free Trading Group
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by BrianChai
1