TSLA - Tesla S/R levels Hello traders,
Description of the analysis:
Tesla is currently testing the resistance that has the main reaction area around 740. Here I see the probability of short-term refusal of higher prices or consolidation in the band. Remember that primary S/R zones are only zones of increased probability of primarily rejecting lower/higher prices. If you want to own the underlying asset at a lower price, you can sell the put option at the requested price, you will receive a premium as a bonus and you will own the shares after exercise. Remember that 1 option = 100 shares.
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund (4 000 000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob
Teslashort
Tesla some Spiralsforecasting a potential top using Fibonacci spirals, and outlining how Fibonacci spirals can be used to show tops and bottoms.
For those looking to enter price is currently in a neutral zone, look for a short once the fib line is reached.
Or go long I dont really care.
Above chart is a bit iffy, hope someone got some use out of it.
Tesla to $450 I think we will see a continuation down to around $450 and ultimately lower like $340 soon if the DOW doesn't go up. And with the economy halted lets not be too bullish. Ultimately sub $200 is easy in this economy.
Also note the recent pattern that has appeared with perfect TD9 exhaustions coinciding with fisher transform crossovers.
This is not trading advice.
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What A Great Product, Yet Even A Better Short! $325 SoonTESLA is one of the greatest and most innovative companies ever. None the less they are over valued and there are tons of red flags within the company. Now is time to short.
Overall I am bullish on the Cyber Semi's , Solar City, Model Y. But the corona virus will put this company back at fair value if not discounted value.
Some critical areas to watch are listed on the chart.
This is not trading advice!
TESLA: THE BIG SHORTFirst off, I would like to say that I believe in Tesla and Elon Musk. But this parabolic rally is entirely unsustainable and is fueled by hype similar to cryptocurrency and 2000 Dot Com Bubble.
I called the dip to $750 and subsequent bounce to $950. I have been short biased since $958 and will add above $1,000 if we get there. We might have another push up, but in my view anything up here is an obvious short. I will link proof of my older call below.
Most TSLA bulls got rekt by shorting too early, while I was waiting for a blowoff and bounce (lower high) for this trade to fully develop.
For the Tesla bulltards, this is not a day trade. This is a multi-month or year macro swing trade and I will be hedging on strong bounces. It will not be a straight drop down by any means. But what goes up, must come down. I am primarily technical trader, but with the Cornonavirus debacle and the global slowdown starting, these events add confluence to my bearish view on Tesla.
Long term, I think Tesla can succeed so long as they can remain capital efficient. But for an asset to be properly price, it needs to not be in the midst of a massive hype cycle.
In short, Tesla to $601, $511, and ideally the ~$400 range. If this is a true parabolic invalidation, then an 80% decline puts us at a target of roughly $170-$200. That is not my primary count, but I consider it as a viable possibility if a recession begins within the next 18 months.
Until then, this is a game of patience and shorting every bounce or move higher above $1,000 while hedging long on dips.
If this trade is accurate, it will likely be one of the biggest trades of the decade among major companies. For now, we wait. The Big Short.
Tesla price is absurdOf course EV and Tesla has a feature. However current pricing is nothing other than crazy bubble. Just compare sales and profits of any other car manufacturer, even with tech companies. This is pure absurd. It might go bit higher in peak, then expect Elon Musk to snort cocaine or smoke weed live and the downward movement begins. Their next financial report is likely to reveal more rational outlook at company, other than accounting tricks.
TSLA possible break to $956 next week (be smart)NASDAQ:TSLA has been testing the 815 mark for the last few days and strong resistance lines of 750, keeps bouncing back.. Volumes has died down a bit and due to MMs pinning the stock at around 770-800 range in the last 2-3 days, they killed off the options premiums for the weeklies which expired 2/14.. they will have a tougher time containing it for the 2/21, 2/28s with it pushing higher at the close each day inching up.. Looking to go long here on some 780 calls.. however if it does dip and dips below, 750.. could see that short squeeze the bears and the street have been looking for.. should see some movement next week.
Anyone who doesn't understand why Tesla has this rally, why they are so disruptive, why they will grow much more, should really do some reading on disruptive
technologies and Kondratiev cycles. This company marks the beginning of a new era of rapid innovation. Tesla is much more than a car company. They build
solar arrays. They build energy storage batteries for renewable energy farms. They are also a software company. They are soon an autonomous carsharing fleet
company. They have the most advanced AI neuralnet, years ahead of anyone else. They have by far the biggest supercharger network. The lead to the other carmakers
who are struggling to even build the first generation Model S, is just INCREASING, not decreasing.
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Tesla is going to change the world. It already is doing so. Anyone who doesn't understand that, should really do some proper research, and not only read CNBC clickbait news
headlines and FUD.
Pump and Dump? Perfect Example on the Recent Movement on TESLANASDAQ:TSLA Shows a good example of a pump and dump scenario.
- The actual cause of this is still uncertain.
- Probably big withdrawals from significantly huge investors.
- Or the success of the latest model sales.
- NASDAQ:TSLA already achieved the highest price analysts anticipated for 2020, in less than the first 2 months of the year.
- What should we expect with NASDAQ:TSLA ?
Cheers,
G.
Ts: smartalphatrade