💎 TESLA vs BTC - Projection price falling!Thumb UP👍 if you like this chart!
I took the BITFINEX:BTCUSD candle drop pattern in 2018 and applied it to NASDAQ:TSLA shares. It turned out that exactly the same drop will lead the company's price to its fair valuation in the range of $240-$210. Why this assessment???
The forward P/E is still more than 90!!! Thats incredible in motor vehicles field! And this is all assuming perfect execution, production capacity that does not exist yet, and that income from regulatory credits will stay the same. With this P/E investors should not expect a good return. Under these idealized assumptions rational investors could expect a decent return at a P/E of 12, so at a share price of $217 or less.
Write in comment how do you think what the fair price for TESLA Motors?
______________________________________________________________________________________________
Subscribe to my channel and receive fruitful recommendation regularly!
😎 Here just clear and accurate ideas🎯! Max profit idea in crypto - 20%(BTC), Max profit in stock - 40%. Total profit more 300%. Trade my own funds. Consult privately🎩. Link to table with summary results: clck.ru
Teslashort
TSLA - What A Time To Be AliveTLDR:
What a time to be alive. These types of moves create a significant transfer of wealth, for the long's this has been a multi-year battle from $175 - $350 and now in a span just longer than a full month we're at $537.92 at market close January 14, 2019
This type of price action extends beyond fundamentals, and at this point is primarily dictated by human sentiment with a bunch of algorithms following (not the other way around)- good news for us, Elliott Wave analysis does some good in the department of predicting price action in periods of euphoria- these euphoric moves in price action almost always occur in the third wave. I have two scenarios or wave counts I have considered, one where the peak of price action today is the top of wave 3 or the conclusion of wave 5. I'm publishing the later, in both scenarios price action retraces.
Considering other technical indicators, the broader stock market soaring into uncharted territory, and retail sentiment I'm leaning towards the conclusion of a fifth wave, leading into a larger correction. The 0.50 fib retracement lines up neatly with a historic level of resistance (now support) for Tesla shareholders in the $380's
Perhaps there is more upside following the correction- something to consider for a later time -- or, sooner rather than later if the Tesla bulls continue to maintain the squeeze. If up is the direction from here- I haven't the slightest clue where the top is after this.
At the time of publishing this chart I hold $425 TSLA put contracts
If the price action continues to strengthen the probability of this wave count I intend to further short the trade with additional options
Tom
TESLA is a Company with essentially "ZERO" value.I see this argument often, and to anyone who see's this, I want to explain what I believe is the reason that so many people are Tesla Bulls.
The fundamental difference between an investor and an innovator is this:
- Innovators offer dreams that turn into ideas and use those ideas to provide solutions to real world problems.
- Most investors lack the ability to innovate; moreover, are motivated by greed if they cannot understand the dream.
- Investors support innovators by providing capital, thereby allowing them to execute their ideas by experimenting, designing, refining and finally providing a product to solve real world problems.
So, then the real value of Tesla is the "Dream" and not profits. People resonate with this far more than any amount of money, when you think of the power to change a nation, gain independence, land on the moon, obtain civil rights, or win a war.....it is the "Dream".
As Martin Luther King said - "I have a dream that one day every valley shall be exalted, and every hill and mountain shall be made low, the rough places will be made plain, and the crooked places will be made straight; "and the glory of the Lord shall be revealed and all flesh shall see it together."
Tesla is a result of a growing number of people who are tired of true capitalistic greed that halts progress. Its a push to a greener future, an acceleration of battery and energy storage technology, a push to renewable energy, a push to a more autonomous age, a push beyond the combustion engine that has not changed fundamentally in the last 100 years, and eventually a push to the stars.
And this is why you "Bears" are wrong about Tesla being "Overvalued", a "Bubble", and a company with "Zero" value. Because, these dreams have reached the people who will see it become a reality.
$TSLA Elon Musk Calls in Tesla Fanboys Like Aquaman!Tesla saw a big gap down this morning from $518 to $494, followed immediately by a huge spring shortly after open in the first 5 minutes that saw the stock rebound to $509.50 on strong volume. So what's driving this:
#1) Tesla Fanboys (AKA Bulls) - there are a ton of diehard tesla bulls out there, and after the stock rose to $550 earlier this week, anyone that missed the jump was waiting for a great entry.
#2) Morgan Stanley's 'Downgrade' - there's no question analysts can move markets, so what's with the timing of this downgrade with earnings just around the corner?? Answer: The ASTOUNDING Number of Naked Puts out there.
#3) Tesla Haters (AKA Bears) - you don't see a huge price jump like TSLA's without haters jumping on the bear bandwagon. The problem is, with a stock price > $500, you can't do a whole lot of hating by shorting a block of shares - but you CAN buy NAKED PUT OPTIONS on margin. And that's where the problem lies...
At the present time (10:30a Thu), there are more than 48 THOUSAND OPEN PUTS between $500 and $525, and another 14 THOUSAND OPEN PUTS between $500-$490. When these put options are purchased, the investor's broker shorts the shares on the sellers behalf - usually on margin. When there are this many put options out there that expire in less than 2 days, we can start to see margin calls from brokers on any move up.
Thus, bears start devouring bears. Margin calls force investors out of put positions, forcing them to BUY the stock when they close their put position. Momentum to the upside shocks other bears, and any increase in price brings more and more buyers who cover their positions. That's one of the big reasons TSLA shot from $492.17 (intraday low) to $509.42 - a span of $17.25....in THREE MINUTES. The people at Morgan Stanley know this, and also encourage the sell off by the bears while undoubtedly holding their long positions - basically turning on a giant vacuum and sucking up all the option premiums on the short side from thousands of bears that can't afford to short the stock itself at $500/share.
Bottom line, there's a huge number of puts still on the books at the 510 level (8k w/ volume of only 3k). We usually see volume inline w/ open interest on the last 2 days before an option expires or is exercised. Expect TSLA to slowly trend up the rest of the day, some 'analyst' to come along and reaffirm their faith in TSLA, and the stock price to easily fill the gap and open tomorrow right around that $518 level it gap'd down from (likely followed by another run up to the $530-540 range).
TSLA, intraday consolidation w/ bullish pennant parabolic squeezTesla is setting up for a nice afternoon. Elon Musk fanboys gonna wake up and we'll see the same slow march up through the rest of the day that we normally see with tsla. Might be some short term selling over lunch. DON'T GET SPOOKED! The parabolic squeeze is followed by a big move to the upside 70%+ of the time. TSLA FTW!
TSLA Overheating !!TSLA overheating and valuations are currently stretched for even the most optimistic assumptions. Based on current valuations at $490, Tesla would need to be delivering 1,300,000 cars within the next 5 years. In my models, stock is fairly valued at +/- 280 but with an initial target of 360.
On technical side at the top here you will notice exhaustion as predicted deliveries enter into "overpromised" territory. Of course the usual crowd will defend with China plant opening and unicorns expected. Based on current expectations, TSLA will need to deliver almost 475k cars this year and with demand starting to cough via late cycle fears this is looking doubtful to say the least.
Flow wise, actively selling 490 overshoots with initial targets at 360 followed by 280 extensions. While to the topside, invalidation and reassessment necessary at 525. Tracking closely delivery numbers for 2020 but with the boat fully loaded on one side and short interest as a percentage of float still below 20% it is a screaming sell.
Good luck all those on the sell-side in TSLA over the coming sessions.
TESLA MANIPULATIONHello Traders.
Stochastic RSI is sky high.
Would like to bring to your alert that Tesla is a "Castle in the Sky".
I have done the fundamental analysis on Google and bring to you a message.
Facebook and Google are both funneling money into Tesla.
Tesla is the last castle in the sky for the "New World Order".
Apparently, Elon knew the whole time. This was an Irish pyramid scheme.
Apple is in on it too even.
If you watch the MACD Moving Time Frame (composite moving average) signals on the third chart from the top, we see a sky high signal line with oscillation between buy and sell.
Why?
They're faking out the day traders.
Rise. Destroy Tesla. They "cannot" crash? They are. The one castle in the Sky.
Exposed.
Wait for the South Korean whales to move first.
Britain should be in on this too.
- dysonring2050
Tesla! 420 next year?Hi guys, Tesla just came down to long term support and held, and then came up and reject resistance so it looks as if we are in the same range as from 14-16.
We are currently sitting in the middle of the range, I believe that the next big break will set the trend for the next 6-12 months.
Fundamentals:
For Tesla to succeed and see enormous growth they need to achieve full self-driving, I think they are still a few years away.
The second thing is battery production and having access to the largest EV market which is China. This is coming with the gigafactory being built this year.
Overall I am bullish on innovation so I'm bullish on Tesla, this doesn't mean we can't lose support and test lower :).
Tesla Short ReversalHi guys its Brian here with a short opportunity for Tesla.
Tesla is currently in a downtrend ever since start of the year as seen by the downward sloping trend channel. The price has also always been consistently below the ichimoku cloud from February onwards.
Tesla reached the support level of about 175 level at the start of June and showed an upward correction but the correction is starting to end as seen by the strong red candle upon hitting the blue trend resistance channel. Volume also increased on the 2nd red candle showing there is strong bearish pressure driving prices downwards.
If shorting here, take profit could be set at about 195ish or even the previous support level at 180ish
www.brianchai.com
Free Trading Group