Forex Euro vs ThailandA bit of forex sometimes is interesting, but i will tell you a secret, if you are succesfull to trade cryptos. You can trade everything in the world.
Here a bit history :
So Euro was pushed down for more than 10 years, post crises 2008 it was like a long bloodbath ! Thailand Major tourism inflation pushed Thai Bath a lot, riches peoples are happy when their own money is rocketing to the moon so they can fly to others countries and buy some chanel bags cheaper!. The big Problem off this theory is a Coin have 2 sides, when u push something very high for riches, tourists spend less money or change holiday country, finally at the end poors peoples are the most impacted and more suffering from poverty.
Like you can see in the chart Euro Bounced at 32THB and this was the Lowest all time low EURO reached in 2000... and then in 2019 Euro Bounced again around 32 THB!! Magic... Actually Euro's trying to break the downtrend around 37 THB. Remember that Fibonacci told you that the story repeats all the time and this case is an pure exemple!, everything goes up have to go down and everything goes down have to go up.
The world is working like that, there's no winners from Greed and Fear when the Balance is not adjusted correctly.
Retracement according to Fibonnacci should be easy :
- Short Term 40 THB
- Middle Term 45 THB
- Long Term 50 THB
Happy Tr4Ding !
Thailand
RCL | About to make Grand Supercycle Wave 2: TP 107.50 SL 40.00RCL | Thailand SET Index | Transportation Sector | Possible Wave 2 of Grand Supercycle - TP 107.50 Stop Loss Conservatively 40.00 (EMA200)
First Buy: 44.00
Second Buy: golden cross EMA10
Third Buy: cross up EMA20 or breakout downtrend channel of trade
Key indicators:
> Truly aggressive Banker Share Volume turned green and Smart.
> BBD signal about to cross up 0.
> Smart Money and Bottom
> All-time high BDI index
AS.W2 | Cross up Volume Profile POC 13.0 - Follow Buy SignalAS.W2 | Thailand SET Stock Market | Media Sector | Warrant
> Cross up Volume Profile POC 13.0 - Buy Signal, Stoploss EMA35 12.0
> Risk ratio 2.5
> Target Price 16.0 estimated based on recent Inverse Head&Shoulders
AS | Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Testing Support NecklineAS | Thailand SET | Media Sector | On-line Gaming
A Breakout Inverse / Reverse H&S Testing Support Neckline - possible go up with new TP 22.5 setup if support failed might drop to EMA100 or EMA200 to complete Elliot Wave correction phase A-B-C position.
> Aggressive Stop Loss 14.0 @EMA50
> Conservative SL 15.0 @Banker Chip / Smart Money Support
CHG | Buy Signal Doubled Bottom @EMA100 TP1 4.00 (+10%), SL 3.50CHG | BUY SIGNAL DOUBLED BOTTOM AT EMA100: 3.66 - Target Price 1 = 4.00 (+10%), Target Price 2 = 4.30 (+18%) Stop Loss = 3.50 (-6%)
> Fibo Ext. estimates target Elliot Wave projection 1,2, and 3 @TP 4.3 (+18%)
> Q321E +321% yoy, +106% qoq from COVID case x3 during 3rd lockdown
> Pattaya health mgt. fee
> Newly launch Heart Center - Samutphrakarn, Rayong
> Upcoming Moderna Vaccine
> Covid Center with CPF and WHA
> Broker Final Target Price at 4.80
BANPU | Crossover EMA10 | Possible Re-entry@EMA20 | TP 15.7 +21%BANPU recent crossover EMA10 due to sudden decline of coal price and China restarting domestic coal production. China" orders "coal mines" to increase production capacity to almost 100 million tons to solve the energy crisis. China orders more than 70 coal mines
> Target Price 1 @ 15.7 based on Elliott wave extension projection.
> Stop Loss EMA50 @ 12.3
> Possible buy zone @ EMA10, EMA20 | 13.5, 12.9 - Buy position @ banker chip fund flow turned positive on day timeframe.
> New Castle Coal Price all time high this week at 270 and declined slightly to 238 still on the rise.
> BANPU.W4, BANPU.W5 trading this week making the stock more attractive.
ILM (TH) - Elliot Wave Analysis- CYCLE ABC pattern where the CYCLE WAVE B seems to be a strong b + c-failure pattern. This shows us that we can expect an aggressive thrust of the CYCLE WAVE C pattern with strong resistant at the given level on the chart.
- INTERMEDIATE WAVE (B) of CYCLE WAVE B seems to be a non-standard correction with a hidden wave (X).
THAILAND SET: PTTGC - SPECULATIVE BUY TP1 - 67.50 STOPLOSS 63.00THAILAND SET: PETROCHEMICAL SECTOR | PTTGC
CURRENT PRICE: 64.50
BREAK OUT VOLUME POINT OF CONTROL: 63.00 and previous high
Reasonably good buy position for speculative TARGET PRICE 1 @ 67.50 (5.4%) at mini Wave 5 position.
Stop Loss: 63.00 (current POC)
>Strong Foreign fund flow (NVDR) - hit the highest daily chart at +450 mil baht / day
>Strong Banker fund flow
>RSI almost hit overbought, still have room to go further
RECENT NEWS UPDATE: PTTGC announces the end of the share repurchase program, totalling 22.30 million shares, receiving 1.35 billion baht. To increase financial liquidity
BANPU (TH) - Elliot Wave Analysis- On the weekly chart, you can see that there is a CYCLE zigzag truncate pattern. According to Glen Neely, this pattern has a minimum target of an 81% retracement @45.5.
- On the daily chart, there are two likely scenario that could occur:
1. Primary wave has already completed and we are approaching Primary wave .
2. Primary wave might not be completed: we might be in an Intermediate wave(B) of the primary wave .
THAILAND SET: TVO THAI VEGETABLE OIL - SPECULATIVE BUYSpeculative BUY: TVO - Thai Vegetable Oil - Q2/21 Est. +113% QOQ, +92%YOY
> Weak Thai Baht - better export sales exchange rate
> Future Soy Bean rebounded as a positive factor for animal food supply profit contribution.
> Expect dividend 1.50 baht/share mid year (almost 5%, total year payout 8%)
Risk:
> SET declining due to COVID lockdown 3.0 w/ +25K cases /day
MENA (TH) - Elliot Wave Analysis- The first minute pattern was a zz truncate (July 7 - Aug 16). Hence, we have a TP for the second leg of 81% of the first zz truncate pattern (@2.56).
- Note: Minute wave of the first zz truncate seems to be a non-standard correction with the last ABC also being a zz truncate. However; price did not retract back to 61.8%/81% of this wave. Since history tends to repeat itself, we might need to keep in mind that this time our TP of 81% might not be reached.
KEX:LONG Possible VI Hold?Kerry Express has increased its deliveries by over 15 million packages (nearly 11%) over the same half year period as last year's, as well as reducing the costs (although the price per package fell too, resulting in reduction of gross profit - perhaps from falling consumer purchasing power in Q2). Future expansions include Kerry Cool Express (cold chain delivery) for temperature controlled goods, Kerry LTL for small freight, Kerry Wallet (a new payment system in partnership with SABUY). I believe Kerry will be Asia's UPS, Fedex or DHL, if not better. Systems will eventually be fully immersive and connected seamlessly between different countries. Definitely a VI hold, if one looks beyond the current domestic competition and economic situation. Price is fair and uptrending, as it should be for the market leader.
OCEAN (TH) - Elliot Wave Analysis- Still ongoing downtrend in minor wave c.
- Confirmation of the end of wave c when the 0-B trendline is broken.