USD/CHF - Ichimoku Bearish Trade SetupWe've been on a big move down over the past couple weeks. Ideally we can look to enter a sell on the next push down. I've set an entry for a sell below our current candle. If we can break below it and hold this would be a good confirmation for our bearish trend continuation. I've set my target at previous price support to the left side of the chart. If we fail to break lower or our signs change to bullish, our setup may become invalidated.
The808trader
EUR/USD - Ichimoku Short Trade IdeaThis pair broke below the cloud last week and is starting to show some strong bearish signs. I've drawn the level I want to see broken in order to enter a short position. If price moves that low we should get a bearish TK cross that will help confirm a bearish move. If we fail to break the entry line I drew, or fail to complete a bearish TK cross, this setup may become invalidated. I will also be watching the bearish kumo to make sure we don't twist back to bullish.
AUD/USD - Ichimoku Short Trade IdeaThis one is pretty straight forward as far as trend trades go. We are in a bearish trend overall, but in the middle of a drawback. I am looking for a rise up to kijun sen for signs of a rejection so I can enter a sell to stick with my bearish bias. This setup will be about patience to wait for the rejection. If we fail to get a rejection at kijun sen, that could imply that we are actually in the midst of a reversal, so it will be important to see how price interacts there. Ideally we'll see a long wick through kijun sen and a close below it to signal a good time to enter that sell. I am targeting previous structure lows that acted as support for this move up as my TP
GBP/CHF - Ichimokuk Short Trade IdeaThis pair has been on a beautiful bearish run for a while now and I'm looking to capitalize on that trend. We have been respecting tenken sen very nicely so I am looking for a drawback and rejection there to enter a sell. If we can get a good drawback to the entry line I've drawn I'll look to get short. I've drawn out two possible targets based on previous structure lows that I've drawn out with horizontal lines. I am taking this trade from the daily chart so it may take a while to develop and unfold. If our bearish signs change or we fail to make lower lows, this setup may become invalidated.
GBP/USD - Ichimoku Short IdeaThis pair saw a bullish rise last week before finally falling back into the cloud. We are now showing some bearish signs with the bearish TK cross we've had. The kumo cloud is thinning now and is setting up to complete a kumo twist. I am watching for the twist to complete and a bearish kumo breakout to act as confirmations to enter a sell posistion. I've placed my entry where I believe the most likely area we could get that bearish kumo breakout is. I have to previous structure lows I'll be targeting as my TP's as drawn out with the blue horizontal lines on the chart. If we fail to get the breakout or our bearish signs change, this setup may become invalidated.
USD/JPY - Ichimoku Long Trade SetupLooking at the larger time frame for this one, we are in the cloud and should some moderate bearish signs. That being said we have this bullish breakout and the 4 hour and I'm looking for support to hold for a chance to get long. It's unclear to me yet that if we do get the bullish move up whether it would be holding here at tenekn sen (I have doubts on this since we have a flat kijun sen) or it would mean a drop down to the cloud area for a bounce back up (If it holds at all). So, I'm allowing for both variations to take place if I'm going to look for that bullish entry. If we hold here at tenken sen I'll look for a breakout of the lien I drew above previous structure highs. If we fall down, then I'll look for an entry of a rejection or subsequent breakout back out of the cloud. If neither scenarios play out, this this setup will be considered invalidated.
GBP/JPY - Ichimoku Long Reversal SetupThis pair has broken out on the 4 hour here but is still bearish on the daily time frame. The way this is moving right now I am considering that we may have an early reversal possibility here. I would like price to fall one last time and hold support to consider entering a long which is why I've drawn my entry down at the cloud. If it is a reversal then we may actually see GBP reclaim a lot of ground and it would be a good potential swing trade. IF this turns out to be the case I've drawn out a few take profit levels with my long term swing target at the top. If we fall and hold hold support, then my bias will shift back to the bearish trend on the dai
EUR/CHF Icimoku Short Sell IdeaWe've been watching this pair for a while and I commented that the 4 hour breakout hadn't convinced me we were in a true breakout yet, and that more than likely it was actually a fake breakout. This has turned out to be the case so far. Since we are still holding bearish sentiment on the daily I am looking for a slight rise to test kijun sen, Once/If we see a rejection there I will look for a longer term sell. Looking at hte current price structure it would make sense to target our previous structure low, but I would take some partial profit on the way down in the case that we don't make it all the way back down.
GBP/CHF - Ichimoku trade ideaFor this pair i'm looking to get in and out of a small run, with the option to expand my take profit levels if this pair pushes higher and holds. Until a move like that happens and is proven, I'll look to get in and out of the market. I'm looking to enter on a breakout of the 1.2698 level. I'm keeping my stop loss pretty short if I enter so keep a good risk to reward and also because if we don't get a push up after the entry I'm waiting for, I'll want to exit pretty quick. If our bullish signs change or we fail to break higher, this setup may become invalidated.
EUR/USD - Ichimoku trade ideaWe're back down to the 1 hour time frame here for this setup. I called out the move up with the bullish tk cross and chikou span bullish movement on the 4 hour chart for those of you in the membership trade room. I'm looking for a drop and support to hold before entering at the 1.1413 level. My longer term target is 1.1532 but I've drawn out a first take profit level I'll be aiming for as well. If our bullish signs change or we fail to break higher, this setup may become invalidated.
USD/CHF Consolidation zone trade ideaThis pair has been stuck in a larger consolidation zone so I'm looking to enter a small trade to play within the zone. This is a much smaller potential pip gain than I normally go for, but I think it's a pretty simple smash and grab type trade with good risk to reward. I will probably take buys and sells and play the zone for as long as it maintains it. If we have a breakout from the zone I may look to enter a longer term trend trade as well. If we fail to maintain this zone this setup may become invalid.
Hi Ho Silver! XAG/USD - Ichimoku Long Trade IdeaIf you're part of my private membership you know that silver has been on my watch list for awhile now. Silver as really flattened out here as we've been stuck in this consolidation zone for a while now. I am expecting a push higher sometime over the next week or so. I'm looking for a kumo breakout with a kumo twist and chikou span to get above price to help confirm we may actually be at a reversal level. I'm unsure how long this consolidation zone may continue, but I really want to see a breakout to help confirm this could finally be on the move upwards. If we fail to make the breakout, or we continue this consolidation, this setup may become invalidated.
Canada Eh! USD/CAD - Ichimoku Long Trade IdeaWe had a big push upwards and I am looking to hop in this trend. In order to get a good entry I am hoping for a drop at the beginning week back down to support so I can look for the entry I have on the chart. The support level may stall out even a little above that but I will be looking for it none the less. If we stall out and I get a good entry I've drawn out a few potential Take Profit levels to go after as well. If we fail to get a good drawback or if price fails to hold support, this setup may become invalidated.
Swiss Miss - USD/CHF - Ichimoku Long trade IdeaGood Swiss news played a major part in stalling out the USD rise with this pair and I am expecting that to come to an end, barring bad USD news. So, I am looking for a chance to get long and head back up to the previous structure highs you can see on the left side of the chart. Once we can break and close above the .9962 level to enter a long position. I've drawn out several Take Profit point I'll be looking at where we may see rejection as well. Longer term I would like to see a rise back to the price structure around 1.0023 If price fails to break higher or our bullish signs change, this setup may become invalidated.
Way of the Samurai - Eur/JPY - Ichimoku Short Trade IdeaAnother bearish setups, it can't be ! It is indeed! With the market widely expecting the BoJ to adjust monetary policy last week, they abstained and shocked the market a bit. We got a nice rejection at the cloud and price has been heading down since. I've drawn out a few possible Take Profit levels on our way down. This is another setup that will be more of a swing trade, and I'll look to hold it for awhile to see if we approach my long term take profit level which is a previous structure low. If any of our bearish signs change or we fail to break lower, this setup may become invalidated.
Kangaroo Punch? EUR/AUD - Ichimoku Short Trade IdeaAussie looks to be strengthening and at the same time if you've read much of my analysis, I believe the next year or so we'll see a predominantly weaker Euro. We had a big breakout last week and I am looking to enter a longer term swing trade on the next push down. I've drawn out several take profit levels to aim for. This trade may take a few weeks to play out. As a more conservative entry we may also wait for a drawback to tenekn sen and see a rejection to enter, but either way I am expecting price to head down for a while. If we fail to break lower, or our bearish confirmations change to bullish, this setup may become invalidated.
USD Rampage? EUR/USD - Ichimoku Short Trade IdeaWe've been in a strong bearish trend with this pair. NFP caused a brief drawback right to tenken sen where we saw a textbook rejection. All current confirmations are bearish, so I'm looking to take advantage of the next movement. I've drawn out a few partial take profit levels along the way. This trade setup has a 1.5 Risk to Reward Ratio, so while it's not as high as I would like, I think its a strong enough setup that it's worth taking. This trade may get triggered pretty quickly after market open so I'll need to make sure to be on my toes or set a sell stop. If our bearish signs change to bullish or we fail to break below the previous low where our entry is, this setup may become invalidated.
Canada to Profit Eh? EUR/CAD - Ichimoku short trade IdeaThis pair has been in a strong bearish run I'm looking to hop into this establish trend. We tested tenken sen and saw a rejection and I'm looking for a chance to enter a sell to go lower. I've drawn out a few Take Profit levels on the way to my long term target of 1.5070 If we can break below the previous structure low we, we should see the big drop I am looking for. If we drop and can't break that low, I'll exit my position and cut the trade short. If we fail to break lower or our bearish confirmations change, this setup may become invalidated.
Euro Trash - EUR/CHF Iciomoku Short Trade IdeaThis pair has been in a nice bearish trend for a while, it's still forming lower lows and lower highs. Our major bearish signs are still there and I'm looking to hop in a trend continuation to the downside. I'm just looking for a move lower to enter my short bias trade. I've drawn out a few potential Take Profit levels on the way to my long term target of 1.1540 European Union sentiment of not wanting to raise interest rates until next year also leads me to believe there will be some EUR weakness ahead, especially if they stick with their plan of bond investment. If we fail to form a lower low or our bearish signs change, this setup may become invalidated.
BOE move in the works? - GBP/USD Ichimoku Short Trade IdeaComing up this week we have the Bank of England Rate decision. It's pretty much set that they will raise rates and I believe this has already been priced in to the market already. Instead of playing on GBP strength based off the news I'll be looking for a drop shortly after the news hits. I'm waiting for a drop below the cloud to enter a short position. I've drawn out a few potential Take Profit levels on the way down to my long term target of 1.2963 We also have some bearish confirmations right now like the bearish TK cross and chikou span is starting for fall through price. It would make me a little more comfortable to get a bearish kumo twist to help confirm my bearish bias. If we fail to break below the cloud or our bearish confirmations change, this setup may become invalidated.
The Running of the Bulls - EUR/USD - Ichimoku Long Buy SetupWith all the news last week the EUR got a nice push up and out of the cloud. We are now hovering just above the flat kumo. We are yet to complete the kumo twist and chikou span is still sitting below price. This leads me to believe we may drop and test the flat kumo before trying to push up and out, or even drop and consolidate a little bit here. With the trade wars and tariffs being thrown around, it is likely it will mean loss of strength of the USD in the long run, especially if Trump's plan to get the FED to stop raising interest rates succeeds. Once we get that dip down, I'll be looking either for a rejection at the flat kumo, or waiting for a new bullish breakout to get long. I've drawn out a few possible TP's with blue horizontal lines. I typically like to close partial positions at those levels, then if our trend is holding bullish signs, I can add some more small positions for the swing. If our bullish confirmations change or we fail to hold at the level I am watching, this setup may become invalidated.
Dollars and Watches - USD/CHF - Ichimoku Short Sell IdeaWith the chaos from last week we saw this pair sink below a flat kumo and complete the early stages of a kumo twist. I am biased towards a sell but for this setup I want to see a breakout of the level I am watching. An alternative entry would be a drawback to the flat kumo and rejection to enter a sell. Depending on how the market moves after open will determine which entry I look for. I've drawn out a few potential Take Profit levels I'll be targeting should I enter the sell, with the long term swing target being the previous structure low from a couple weeks ago. The overall movement required for this set up with be determinate upon how the FED reacts to comments that Trump wants to keep a weaker USD to bolster spending and continue to increase the economy. If our bearish confirmations change or we fail to break the level I am watching, this setup may become invalidated.
The British Samurai - GBP/JPY - Ichimoku Selling IdeaWe had some big pushes down last week leading to a nice kumo breakout. For this run we've been respecting tenken sen really well. There's two ways this sell could form. The first is to look for a break of the support line I drew. If we head right down and keep respecting tenken sen, it would be an ideal time to sell and I've drawn out Take Profit levels and well as a possible long term swing target. If we fail to hold tenken sen, we may rise to kijun sen. If that happens I'll look for a rejection at kijun sen to sell. If we rise and break kijun sen then this setup will become invalidated. Either way I'll be looking for a sell first and foremost until proven otherwise.