CSI 300 [Weekly Chart]The similarities of market movement in the CSI 300:
1. 2006-2007
2. 2014-2015
3. 2020-2021
After which we see a crash in the CSI 300 following a 8 months to 1 year (est.) rally.
The rally leading up to the crash also comes generally in 2 stages.
"History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes"
Thelaughingchartist
[Off the Charts w Mysfft] CPI and US FED interest rate decision
US CPI data and US Fed Interest rate decision both falling on the same day.
(This only happens 13 times since 2008!!)
Here, I look to share my thoughts on how the CME_MINI:ES1! (S&P index futures) along with the USD Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) can be expected to move in light of the 2 important economic news.
This is just me sharing from a top down analysis along with multi-asset point of view.
Will be happy to see your comments and know your thoughts.
ps. MYSFFT stands for:
Master yourself, flee from temptation.
Just like in the world of trading, it's always about mastering ourselves and avoiding the FOMO, GREED, TRIGGER FINGER, REVENGE TRADES.
Its to be a misfit in the world of trading and to be a game changer.
Cheers!
Trade safe and stay safe peeps.
S&P [1-3 weeks]Short S&P
Tactical View
S&P broke out of ascending trendline support (now resistance).
Price has also completed the breakout-pullback-reject move that I always look out for.
Now looking to re-enter shorts around the 3735 resistance level for a short towards the 3600.50 support level.
This is the healthy correction that I've been telling friends and family members about. Long term, market is still within a bullish configuration.
DBS [1-3 weeks view]Long DBS
Entry: 19.11
SL: 18.35
TP: 20.62
DBS dropped quickly to new lows and is currently in a rebound.
Fibo and graphical level lining up nicely at the TP level.
Price above ascending trendline support and also moving average.
This should be a limited push up as I am generally bearish across the global markets.
EURUSD [1-3 days view]Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.06600
SL: 1.06330
Playing a short bounce above graphical support towards resistance which finds confluence with descending trendline resistance and also 61.8% Fibo retracement.
A short term trade so I will quickly move my SL to protect my profits at breakeven.
S&P [1-3 months view]S&P analysis: Where do we go from here?
Despite the fund injection and emergency rate cut coming from the Fed to hold up the markets, the markets did exactly the opposite and fell lower over the course of last week.
This is what I see for now:
- If we have really completed a 5-wave impulsive EW movement up, then we are due for a 3-wave (a-b-c) corrective EW wave down.
- The current drop that we see looks like a very strong a-wave. And what we can expect next is for price to do a b-wave bounce.
- What this then means is that traders/investors should then expect a c-wave down to complete the 3-wave corrective move.
- The EW structure that I pointed out was also confirmed with Fibonacci extensions and retracement ratios. (However I personally really put the supports/resistances at graphical levels because for me, price is king.
What should we do?
- Traders/Investors should take advantage of the b-wave to cut their losing positions or to lighten their portofolio load. And to better protect themselves for the c-wave down.
EURNZD [1-3 day view]Short EURNZD
Entry: 1.771350
SL: 1.775520
(Decided not to put TP because I believe trading should always be focused more on where we could possibly go wrong)
This would be an intraday short.
I am of the view that we should see a bearish drop towards my final TP.
Price has been drifting lower since the start of the month. Though on the longer term view, i maintain my bullish bias.
SGX [1-3 months view]I expect SGX in the short term to pull back towards 8.70 as long as it is holding below 9.38. After which, we should see a bounce reaction from 8.70 towards the alternative case target at 9.75.
Essentially, this is 2 trading ideas in 1.
Part 1: SGX to push down towards 8.70
Part 2: SGX to bounce and move higher to 9.75 thereafter.
Reason being that price is still holding above the long term ascending trendline support.
WTI Oil / USOIL [1-3 days view]Sell on strength
Buy: 52.75
SL: 53.65
Price expected to pull back towards 61.8% retracement (entry) before breaking below ascending trendline support and then continuing the drop towards 50.55 level.
Price is below what I call the natural moving average and MACD seems to be turning downward, heading into bearish territory as well.
Cheers.