$RUNE is crashing. What is the consequence for Defi?This idea focuses more on DeFi and Web3 as a whole rather than the specific case of $RUNE.
What is happening to CRYPTOCAP:RUNE can happen to any other DeFi protocol, so it’s crucial to analyze how these protocols work, identify the risks, and explore how to mitigate them.
### How DeFi Protocols Work
CRYPTOCAP:RUNE , like many other protocols, is powered by smart contracts. These are small programs that execute tasks like lending, swapping, and other DeFi functions automatically and without human intervention. Investors love these protocols for their decentralized nature and trustless execution, enabled by blockchain technology.
CRYPTOCAP:RUNE gained popularity because its decentralized protocol allowed its price to be tied to factors like its total value locked (TVL) and fee earnings. The more people staked, provided liquidity, or used its lending services, the more CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s price increased. For instance, we saw CRYPTOCAP:RUNE rise from $3 to $12 last year as people used the protocol to loan CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH during their price surges.
### The Mechanism Behind CRYPTOCAP:RUNE
DeFi protocols like CRYPTOCAP:RUNE rely on the token itself as collateral. For example:
- When users send CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH to the protocol, it automatically buys and sells CRYPTOCAP:RUNE , which drives its price up.
- Conversely, when users withdraw CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH , the protocol sells CRYPTOCAP:RUNE to repay those users, which puts downward pressure on its price.
This mechanism can create vulnerabilities, as we’ve seen with $RUNE.
### What Went Wrong?
While all altcoins were losing value, CRYPTOCAP:BTC outperformed to the point where the total value of CRYPTOCAP:BTC being staked and loaned on the protocol exceeded the total value of $RUNE. In simple terms, if everyone requested their CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH back, the protocol would not have enough CRYPTOCAP:RUNE to sell and repay them. This is known as **insolvency**.
Last year, when authorities paused Rune Swap for a week to investigate criminal activity, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s price plummeted from $2.2 to $1.3 as smart contracts automatically compensated for reduced earnings and people redeemed their staked assets, forcing the protocol to sell $RUNE.
### The Catastrophic Validator Decision
This month, with the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC surging, some inverstors decided to cash out from CRYPTOCAP:RUNE and that is when they realized that the price of CRYPTOCAP:RUNE was so underperforming CRYPTOCAP:BTC that the protocol might be insolvent. They createed a "bank run" and an avalanche of investors lost their trust and asked their coins back.
To prevent a complete collapse, validators—who are essential for running the blockchain—used a private key to manually stop the protocol. This halted the smart contracts from continuing to sell $RUNE. However, this move backfired.
Observers saw the protocol being manually interfered with, highlighting its insolvency and raising serious concerns. This decision led to even more fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD). It became clear that DeFi’s lack of flexibility and inability to adapt to emergencies can create destructive outcomes.
### Broader Implications for DeFi Protocols
This exposes a significant vulnerability in all DeFi protocols. Many rely on their own coin as collateral, but if CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to rise in value and users decide to withdraw their CRYPTOCAP:BTC , the protocols could face the same insolvency issue. In some cases, the amount required to repay users may exceed the protocol’s total collateral—or even the market cap of the altcoin itself.
### The Potential Domino Effect
If platforms like Uniswap, PancakeSwap, Hyperliquid, and others fail to address this issue, we could see a domino effect:
- Investors may withdraw their funds from DeFi protocols, leading to a collapse of the entire DeFi ecosystem.
- Such an event would have dire consequences for the broader altcoin market.
### The Solution
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues its bull run alone, DeFi platforms may need to reconsider their reliance on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and stop lending/staking and swapping to $BTC. Failure to adapt could render many protocols insolvent, triggering unprecedented FUD and potentially causing the crypto market to crash.
### Conclusion
The current situation with CRYPTOCAP:RUNE is a cautionary tale for the entire DeFi industry. Without proactive measures, the very mechanisms that make DeFi appealing—decentralization and automation—could become its greatest weaknesses.
Thorchain
Alikze »» RUNE | Head and shoulders pattern scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Head and shoulders pattern scenario
- According to the analysis presented in the previous post, he retested the supply area after exiting the congestion, but failed to break it.
- It is currently moving in an ascending channel in the weekly and daily time frames, which has broken the dynamic trigger.
- A head and shoulder pattern has formed in the weekly time frame.
💎 If after retesting the dynamic trigger fails to break it and breaks the neckline, it can confirm the head and shoulder pattern for a downward trend to the origin of the movement, which can have downward targets near 3.13 and 2.35 and a green box.
💎 Alternative scenario: if the dynamic trigger is broken, its first target will be $6.25 and then it can be offered after the pullback to the successful structure of breaking the zone, it can have the next targets of $9.38 and $12.5.
🛑 Resistance range: 6.25 - 9.38 - 12.5
🟩 Support range: 3.13 -2.35
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THORChain Drops Nearly 30% Amidst 90-day Suspension of THORFiTHORChain ( CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ), a leading cross-chain liquidity protocol, has taken a severe hit, tumbling nearly 30% in 24 hours. This sharp decline follows the announcement of a 90-day suspension of THORFi lending services, igniting fears about the project’s financial stability. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental aspects to understand the implications.
What Happened?
THORChain’s decision to pause THORFi lending services comes amid mounting financial uncertainties. Developers have initiated a 90-day restructuring plan aimed at stabilizing the platform. Key issues include:
1. Debt Overload:
- THORFi’s "Savers and Lending" programs accumulated significant unserviceable debt.
- Borrowings during lower BTC price levels created a shortfall, requiring the minting of CRYPTOCAP:RUNE to cover obligations.
2. Liquidity Concerns:
- Allegations of insolvency stem from insufficient Bitcoin reserves in lending pools.
- The lack of liquidation mechanisms worsened the financial strain.
3. Market Perception:
- Community members fear parallels with Terra/Luna’s infamous collapse in 2022.
- Synthetic assets backed by CRYPTOCAP:RUNE face increased scrutiny due to their reliance on liquidity pools for collateralization.
Despite these challenges, THORChain’s founder remains optimistic, stating that restructuring will allow the protocol to service its debt and restore stability.
Technical Outlook: What’s Next for CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ?
At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE is trading at $2.01, down 21% in the last 24 hours, with an RSI of 28.61, signaling oversold conditions.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Support: The 1-month low of $1.93 serves as critical support. A breach below this level could trigger a selling spree, pushing CRYPTOCAP:RUNE further down.
- Resistance: The nearest pivot point lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a potential target for recovery if market sentiment improves.
Trading Opportunities:
- Short-Term: Traders may capitalize on the oversold conditions for a potential bounce, especially as CRYPTOCAP:RUNE attempts to recover from the sharp decline.
- Long-Term: With the altcoin season expected in early March, analysts view this dip as an entry point for investors with a high-risk appetite.
Is This a Buying Opportunity?
While the current situation paints a grim picture, it also presents a window for traders to enter at discounted levels. The ongoing restructuring plan and the anticipated altcoin season could drive a recovery in CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s price.
However, caution is advised. The protocol’s financial health remains uncertain, and any further negative developments could exacerbate the decline.
Conclusion
THORChain’s current turmoil underscores the challenges faced by DeFi projects relying heavily on native tokens for collateralization. While the 90-day suspension of THORFi services aims to stabilize the platform, the road to recovery will depend on successful restructuring and improved market confidence.
For now, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s oversold status and support at $1.93 offer short-term trading opportunities, but long-term investors should remain vigilant. The next few months will be critical in determining whether THORChain can emerge stronger or succumb to its financial woes.
RUNEUSD: Rebound at the bottom of the Channel UpTHORChain is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.391, MACD = -0.566, ADX = 34.736) as it recovered the bearish action of Wednesday. That was straight after the price made a new HL at the bottom of the long term Channel Up. The 1D RSI is rebounding in the exact same way as the August 5th 2024 HL. We are bullish, aiming for the 0.618 Fibonacci level (TP = 5.8300).
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Skyrexio | Thorchain RUNE Is About To Explode!Hello, Skyrexians!
Recent month was difficult for cryptocurrencies, but BINANCE:RUNEUSDT was one the top losers. It was able to drop to almost the 2024 lowest price. Holders are scared, but Elliott waves power make us sure that this asset will explode significantly in 2025.
Let's take a look at weekly time frame. Previous bull run was huge and impulsive. The bear market did not overlap the bottom, it means that now price is in global wave 3. Recent dump is just the correction which reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level. We have already seen the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator inside this zone. Now price is about to print another one. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView . If this analysis is right, now price is about to show the most significant growth to $35-50.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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$RUNE is in my buying zoneCRYPTOCAP:RUNE has once again re-entered my buying zone, which I believe presents a buying opportunity.
The team is rolling out their next update, causing a temporary slowdown. As you know, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE 's price is closely tied to the number and volume of transactions on the network.
Since the new version hasn’t been fully deployed across all nodes yet, it’s impacting both the volume and the price. Once the update is complete, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE should recover.
DYOR, of course. Keep in mind that if BTC crashes, all altcoins will likely crash too, regardless of their fundamentals.
#RUNE #RUNEUSDT #THORChain #Analysis #Eddy#RUNE #RUNEUSDT #THORChain #Analysis #Eddy
At your request, dear followers, I'm here with a technical analysis of THORChain (RUNE).
On the daily timeframe, after exiting the trend and the ascending channel, I expect RUNE to have a Sharpe decline to the specified demand area after pullback to the specified supply zone at 5.170 & 5.270.
After this drop to the demand zone, with confirmation, we can enter long positions with a focus on the targets of $10 and $20.
It is also appropriate for spot buy in prices : 2.150 & 2.000
I also invite you to benefit from my Bitcoin analysis...
Bitcoin analysis: ((BTC/USD)): Check the link:
$RUNE is in an uptrend channelCRYPTOCAP:RUNE is an excellent DEFI blockchain that currently appears undervalued, taking time to recharge its momentum.
The price is trending upwards, with a short-term target of **$7**.
If you took advantage of the opportunity to accumulate in my **green box**, as outlined in a previous idea, you're well-positioned for solid profits. Stay patient and enjoy the ride! 🚀
Last Chance: $RUNE Poised for Parabolic Move Beyond ATHsThis could be the last chance to enter before CRYPTOCAP:RUNE begins its parabolic move, or at least starts expanding, leaving everyone behind.
The new weekly trend is about to confirm, and it’s at a pivotal area. If it breaks above $7, this will trigger an even bigger upside. I believe CRYPTOCAP:RUNE is on track to break beyond its all-time highs and could potentially reach the second target near $75. It may seem ambitious, but the chart is signaling a strong move ahead. BINANCE:RUNEUSDT
Buying as close as possible to $6.60 for this setup.
Previous entries are posted here
RUNE/BTC ThorChain Bullish Exit. Chance to triple your Bitcoin!BINANCE:RUNEBTC is forming a perfect trade setup with a clear defined stop loss and a few targets at +50%, +75% and 3x the current price.
I've been watching RUNE for a long time, and I have made two calls in the past year that were both correct in direction but never reached their targets.
The first call:
On the week of 12 April 2024 when this triangle was broken, I called a target of 3116 Sats. The target was never reached. We ultimately reached a low of 5100 Sats, but we did so in a gradual fashion respecting a descending trendline, which supported the price and acted as a lower line of a falling wedge structure that looks like this:
This was my second call with a target of 10,200 Sats. That target wasn't hit either.
The same lower line of that orange falling wedge now, in light blue, defines the bottom of a new falling wedge structure which is the main subject of this trade.
Price has broken above the falling wedge, then attempted a reversal off the top of it. Four times, the upper line supported price only to be broken the fifth time. A week later, price broke again above the line. I believe this is a perfect setup for a trade with a tight yet reasonable stop loss, and potentially a 3x bullish target.
Bear in mind, I'm calling 3x versus Bitcoin. I'm not talking about BINANCE:RUNEUSDT , which may well reach higher gains.
The stop loss is represented by the descending support line (dotted light blue) beneath the Falling Wedge's upper side.
The Targets are:
50% up to 8400 Sats.
75% up to 10,280 Sats.
200% (3x) up to 18,000 Sats.
Whether RUNE's price will reach these targets depends on the strength of the move. In the case where price gets rejected before or at reaching the first target at 8400 Sats, we can judge the momentum to be too weak, and expect a drop back to the falling wedge, this time, reaching the bearish target of my first call at 3116 Sats.
If the move is strong enough to reach the second target of 10,280 Sats, I expect a pull back and re-accumulation phase into what I labelled the Launching Platform on the chart. (Should've simply called it a Launchpad XD). This could be a bull pennant or an ascending triangle. That's what will push price to the third and log-scale target of 18k Sats.
Follow this chart here .
Rune , the uncontrollable Evening chat. Here we have the logarithmic chart for the rune , one of my favourite babies, trend line broken and retested and atm we heading towards the sky . in my opinion we definitely gonna hit the ath but the optimistic case and obviously not so optimistic ( cause i think the chances are high ) , we have the secure juice tp cause of course we dont wanna sell cheap and then as we head for the price discovery daddy will update the chart .
Stay safe
Thorchain "RUNE" long - will start moving soonRUNEs chart looks super strong both in short and long time frames. A daily close above 5.4 can be the starting point of a fairly quick 35% move to the next target which is 7.3.
Strong fundamentals will sooner or later be reflected in the price. I think an explosion in price is a possible scenario. We are currently in a market where it may soon be too late to take a position, if you're a rune bull, it's definitely time to be ready to take a position or add.
If BTC starts to move rapidly upwards I see RUNE accelerating in price - non financial advice.
RUNEUSD The 1D Golden Cross is the last buy opportunity to $38.THORChain (RUNEUSD) is about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame. It will be the first since September 06 2023, which at the time was incredibly bullish for the crypto.
As you can see basically, the pattern since the March 13 2024 High is quite similar to the price action from February 08 2023 to the time of the first 1D Golden Cross. Both sequences started declining under Lower Highs trend-lines and once broken, the 1D RSI turned overbought while the price entered a consolidation phase inside a Triangle pattern.
On the September 06 2023 Golden Cross, that Triangle broke to the upside just a week later and 6 months later it completed a +1368.50% rise from the bottom, reaching almost $11.500.
As a result, we expect a similar bullish break-out to take place and the upcoming 1D Golden Cross could perhaps be the last opportunity to buy. If the price follows another +1368.50% rise pattern, then we may very will see RUNE at $38.000 at the end of it.
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#RUNEUSDT Ready for a Major Breakout From the Falling WedgeYello Paradisers! Are you prepared for what could be a game-changing move of the #RUNE? Let's look at the latest analysis of #THORChain:
💎#RUNE is currently showing strong potential for a bullish continuation from a critical support zone at $3.50. We've been closely monitoring #THORChain as it follows a falling wedge pattern, and it now seems poised to break above the descending resistance line. The internal resistance at $5.43 is the next key target for #RUNE.
💎If #RUNEUSDT holds firm at this level, we might be on the brink of a significant bullish rally, reminiscent of previous market moves. A breakout above the crucial resistance at $5.43 could set the stage for a push towards the next resistance zones, potentially taking us even higher.
💎However, it's crucial to exercise caution. If momentum weakens at this critical support, we could see a pullback to the lower support area around $2.53-$2.78.
💎Stay vigilant and keep a close watch on CRYPTOCAP:RUNE 's price action. A daily close below this demand area could invalidate the bullish scenario and open the door to further declines.
Stay focused, patient, and disciplined Paradisers.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Rune (Thorchain) - DCA, the bottom is nearRune - the fundamentals looks super super strong.
Streaming swaps, new chains and exchanges make Rune grow in a rapid pace.
If you still think we are in a bull market and believe in Rune... this could be a great time to DCA into Rune.
I see Rune 3.00-3.65 dollar as a gift and probably the last time we see Rune so cheap
We have 0.5 fib level at 3.56 to watch out for.
$RUNE: simple head and shoulder pattern: buy zone for longCRYPTOCAP:RUNE is an established DeFi protocol that works and is solid, based on its own blockchain, Thorchain. No token unlocks, all tokens are vested, making it relatively safe from rug pulls. However, like many other altcoins, it has been overheated and is undergoing a drastic cooldown.
This pattern is a classic one, easy to identify, and therefore the target is below the neckline at $2 or less. It looks very low, but if you look at the Weekly MACD, you can see that it is not oversold and needs more downside to reset before a reversal.
Even if it bounces because CRYPTOCAP:BTC has another pump, the chart pattern suggests not buying above this zone as it would go against the chart theory.
Do what you want, but I have put my buy order in the green zone, which guarantees me a significant profit if it gets filled. If not, I will buy another coin.
Always do your own research (DYOR). This is not financial advice; I am just articulating what the chart indicates. It is up to you to make any informed decision based on that.
RUNEUSD Bull Flag completed. Expect x10 rise at least!THORChain (RUNEUSD) is on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the 3rd straight week, after holding and rebounding on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). In our view, this has completed the long-term Bull Flag (Channel Down) pattern that emerged after a +1428% rise from the June 2023 market bottom.
If we take a look at the previous Bull Cycle, a +1400 rise has been a norm during that run, in fact the rally started after a +1467% rise, which got doubled on its on the subsequent two rallies to the market top.
As a result, we expect at least another +1428% rise, thus putting our Target at a x10 state at $45.00.
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