Soybean Following Uptrend Bullish ButterflyNovember Soybean is following an uptrend. Although today was bearish and probably the next two days next week, we should see another round of buying. Soybeans got hit on the USDA report so not too sure how high this will go. This may be a simple three drives pattern and double top rejection. R1 becomes resistance. Trendline becomes support. Next downside target is at pivot at 955'2, then trend. If trend broken and stays below trendline at the end of the day. S1 at 925'3 will be the next target. Bullish Butterfly is the pattern.
"With production looking a little bigger, futures should battle to hold Aug. 31 lows. The best chances for rallies in the short term come from weather in Brazil, where conditions are dry ahead of the start to planting Sept. 15. "
www.farmfutures.com
Three Drives
STR/USD Bullish 3-DrivesThis is very speculative and way too early to know, but this a possible idea for STR/USD over the next 30 hours. It also could just complete a AB=CD pattern - I will update when I can as the pattern follows or doesn't follow this. Values have been multiplied by 1000 so divide by 1000 to get the correct price. The pattern will complete at Point C where it will then continue to the target price which is a 61.8% retracement of the entire pattern.
GBP/USD constant downwards pressurean in-symmetrical 3 drives pattern has formed from the previous rally , and from here we can see the second major support at 1.28135 broken from yesterday's session, reaching below the 1.28 handle and confirming a trend reversal from highs of 1.32. i'm currently looking for a retracement back to the 1.28484 - 1.29183 area for a long-term short position towards 1.2636 - 1.259 area.
RSI shows bearish bias below it's neutrality level, and close to being oversold and therefore needs a minor correction for it to continue it's downwards movement. Things to take note of today is the anticipated UK GDP data coming out at 4.30am EST, i do have a feeling that it might be positive data for a correction upwards to continue it's strong downtrend. but however if it breaks above 1.292 then expect to see further upside , i will be placing a 'One Cancel Other' Buy order at 1.292 instead of a stop loss in case of a higher retracement targeting back into the 1.30 levels.
Trade 25: Long AUDCAD #FOREXI have Bought AUDCAD for a quick short term trade, within the context of the recent sideways range. The price has also completed a three drives pattern at horizontal support. While FISHER indicator is oversold.
Long at: 0.9972 -- T1 : 1.0018-- T2:1.0070 ---- SL: 0.9946 ..... Risk for this trade is only 1.5% of capital.
For more details and all Stats goo.gl
Disclaimer: This is my trading experience, it is not an invite or recommendation to trade.
Remember
-Never risk more than 2% of your balance on a single trade. And If you are a beginner 1%.
-A Single or few trades result is not important. Whats important is the net return at the end of the month, quarter and year.
Best
EURAUD ShortAfter closing me previous EURAUD short, I have taken another position, but yet to post analysis (it may not be too late to enter!)
This pair is showing us a 3-drive pattern, where most would look to go long after the 3rd drive completion. However, as stated in the previous AUDUSD and Silver trades, we here at Six Figure Capital look to trade the third drive. Taking this into consideration, I looked for a second touch on the trend line with a retracement level of 0.618-0.786.
Within this reteacement wave we have a bearish bat . Albeit taken form the lower high of the impulse eave, however the 88.6% retracement where we look to enter also aligns perfectly with the channel!
Bat Ratios
B: 0.382-0.5
C: 0.382-0.886
D: 0.618.2.618
xD: 0.886
3-Drive ratios
Retracements: 0.618-0.786
Extensions: 1.272-1.618
XAG/USD - Three DrivesHello traders :) I'm back with a market insight on XAG/USD. Price seems to be forming a valid bullish three drives pattern and I plan to capitalise on its premature formation.
Price completed the 2nd price drive at 15.18 and we may be starting the 3rd price drive once we confirm the 0.618 retracement level.
You will need to pay close attention to price action and candlestick formations in the current area for the perfect entry point.
A clear break and close above the trendline would indicate a move higher, therefor invalidating the pattern.
The maximum level for an entry point would be a 0.786 retracement, ideally I would prefer a 0.618 retracement to keep a symmetrical pattern.
This is a great trading opportunity with over 1:3 risk to reward.
Thank you all for your continued support, don't forget to add me on social media :)
Silver/USD ShortHere on the 4 hour chart we have what some would see as a bullish 3-drive pattern. However, in recent times, I have had more success trading the third wave (as suggested by my friend @LewisGlasgow ).
In this pattern the first retracement hit the 0.618 level, thus I will look for the second to do the same at the top of the channel. Should price hit the zone, I will look for a short candlestick formation. That said, should the minor support area highlighted above be broken, I will likely take a short position. This entry would mostly based on the urgency with which the level is broken- a dominant engulfing candle, long day candle etc.
Either way, I will hold my position until price is on par with support of the first drive- then leave half of the position until price hits the bottom of the channel. When this adjustment is made, I will also bring my stop-loss level to align with my entry price to bulletproof the trade. At Six Figure Capital, we're all about risk management! Risk is currently sitting at 1:3- should I decide to enter early, I am convinced that the lower entry will not require the same stop loss. The adjustment should allow for the risk/reward level to remain relatively unchanged.
See my AUDUSD short below where I took this exact same position and price turned TO THE PIP!
Three Drives ratios:
Retraements: 61.8%-78.6%
Extensions: 127.2%-161.8%
Three drives to the bottom in SILVER (XAGUSD)The end of the 5 waves down that started in 2011 seem eminent.
The ABCD target from 2016 top 13.155 with the first 2 legs been completed - the last leg looks like to be a three drives down pattern.
The ABCD target from the top is 11.69
Shoot up to my friend WallStScalper for the ABCD idea
AUDUSD On my radar as it reaches potential reversal zone #forexWatching few pairs closely next week for potential trades, one of them is the AUDUSD as the price forms a bearish three drives pattern(symmetrical waves). The potential reversal zone of the three drives is also near the main long term falling trend line. Slightly above that there is a cluster of horizontal resistance area. Finally, there is a clear bearish divergence on Fisher indicator.
My process is to spot these areas of interest where i will be looking for the trade. But as a trader, i know that patterns will fail, so i prefer to always wait for a final trigger confirmation which in my view increase the chances of setup success dramatically.
Keep posted and have a great weekend and new week.
Technician
Bitcoin - Three DrivesHello traders, due to numerous requests for the future direction of Bitcoin here is my current view for BTC/USD on the 4h chart.
I'm expecting a similar move to the one we experienced 2 months ago (chart is shown below).
The prediction above was used as an indication of future price direction from $890, rather than waiting to short upon completion of the pattern at $1600.
I will be treating the present setup in the exact same way.
The 0.886 retracement for point B aligns with a bullish bat pattern and bullish reciprocal AB=CD (chart is shown below).
This provides additional validation for a reversal at 0.886 rather than the 0.786 retracement level.
There is a lot of speculation that BTC will drop to $1,000 due to it losing a further 13% in the last 24 hours, however, bitcoin has proved many credible analysts wrong time and time again, it will be interesting to see how this trade develops over the next month.
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