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EURUSD: Long term outlookThe downtrend in the Euro is in danger here. If EURUSD stalls, or rallies higher, there's a chance that it breaks the 2-month timeframe downtrend mode resistance, igniting a fierce rally, after absorbing all overhead supply. I deem it as a lower probability event, but a very significant one, if we do indeed make the downtrend fail. I think we can see a huge rally. This is a very crowded trade, so I'll focus on attemtpting to catch the dollar fall, while still being long good value US equities. If by the end of June, we don't hit 0,98898, we could anticipate price breaking higher in time. The minimum required time is signaled on chart. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
XBTEUR: If this is the top...We can expect a sideways consolidation, or, some kind of correction and retest of support, during the next month, as described here. Today, a support level held, and weekly is still in an uptrend for the next 3 weeks, technically, but sentiment was too positive before this drop, and we had already exceeded all weekly upside targets ahead of time, which usually points to a 'bubbly' situation. I reduced long exposure in $BTC to about 20% of the account, exactly 2 days ago. I am now looking to hedge the downside if necessary, on at least half the position, or maybe all of it. Good vehicles to do so are altcoin pairs like $ZECBTC, $ETHBTC, $DASHBTC, $XRPBTC, but you can also open shorts against fiat currencies if you trust exchanges with your money. As I pointed out in my previous post, the spreads closing (in relative performance terms during 1 year) signaled something was going on, it wasn't a normal occurrence. Like, everyone bought closing the spread up. Who's left to buy?... The fundamental situation is interesting but potentially dangerous. Litecoin's implementation of Segwit and the first Lightning network payment lit a fire of excitement, but it can also become a risk factor if this test were to fail. The first flaw that is found in this implementation will accelerate a decline in $BTC certainly, so, it is better to be prepared. Most people saw this as bullish, many were celebrating, people in my country were getting together, drinking champagne and celebrating $BTC's high prices, and $LTC's Segwit adoption like it was the 2nd coming. This was a sentiment red flag for me, which drove me to reduce exposure to be safe. Clearly, I was right so far, since prices fell more than 5% since then. Let's see how it evolves. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
Short
by IvanLabrie
35
EURUSD: UpdateWe now have a confirmed weekly uptrend, after retesting support...our long trade is in good profit and we can let it run with minimal risk. I'll be trading the daily to catch multiple add on trades here and there as the trend unfolds (IF it unfolds as expected). The gold spread and the fundamental/macro landscape makes me think the Euro can rally while the uncertainty lasts, while at the same time, it's quite likely to see equities go sideways, and the yen go down. The Pound and the Euro can rally against all currencies meanwhile. Specially until the spread vs gold closes. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
Equal weight cryptofolio: YTD performance and analysisThis is how a 60000 euro portfolio will look like if you buy 10000 euro of each of these 6 cryptocurrencies. I think there are significant odds of seeing the rally extend until the end of 2017, when Bitcoin's long term uptrend signal expires. By then I would advise extreme caution, since it would become probable, although not definitive, to see BTC stall or even fall, for the next 2 years. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
11
DASH: Holding, watch out for the long term uptrend time exp.$DASH shows to be in a longer term uptrend, as well as a weekly one. The current target in the weekly sits above 268usd give or take. This trend's duration, appears to roughly match the end of the long term signal, which could indicate a correction or consolidation might start in this cryptocurrency's price chart. I'm holding longs, after buying 2 weeks ago, aiming to ride the rally over $200 before closing. If you're long, hold, but be wary of the time and price targets, for they could become a short term or intermediate term top. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
7
CADUSD: Is this a bottom for the Canadian dollar?This level might be the bottom in this pair. Trump's tariff announcement might have created a negative enough sentiment to form a bottom here. From Zerohedge: "Canadians have had a tough time of it recently: they are getting inundated with illegal immigrants (thanks to Trudeau's welcome) and not benefitting from the wholesale emigration north that so many liberals promised if Trump was elected; housing has become unaffordable due to Chinese hot money flows encouraged by the government; the Canadian energy industry is hosed because of US shale production-driven low prices; and now the US imposes trade tariffs on another of their biggest exports." "The determination that Canada improperly subsidizes its exports is preliminary, and the Commerce Department will need to make a final decision. In addition, the U.S. International Trade Commission will need to find that the U.S. industry has suffered injury. But even a preliminary decision has immediate real-world consequences, by discouraging importers from buying lumber from Canada." www.zerohedge.com To me, as a contrarian, it sounds like a good opportunity, although the odds of the trade working are low, the payoff would be significant. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
4
BTCJPY: 1 year spreads are closed nowThis is an interesting phenomenon, the 1 year spreads in BTC prices have now converged. Weekly charts show $BTC can continue rallying, but it is good to take some precautions, holding equal amounts of $ETH as a hedge to it. I'm not sure of the implications of the spread closing like this, but it might affect prices soon. Perhaps it is related to Bitfinex, since spreads closed to the upside to match prices there, despite the problems with USD funding and withdrawals at that exchange. Interesting to keep an eye on the action from here onwards. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
by IvanLabrie
13
XAGUSD: Bottom's in?I think we have good odds that the bottom of this correction is in for Silver. I'm long, aiming to ride the move back to the weekly range top. There's a chance to trigger a monthly rally, so don't miss this trade! Long term stop: 15.864, short term: just under today's low, buy a new daily high tomorrow. Or risk 1 ATR under today's low if you want to buy now with a tighter stop. If interested in my trading ideas, send me a pm for more information. Best of luck! Ivan Labrie.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
4
Augur: Gnosis ICO insanity...I think that if investors jumped on GNO like they did, the market cap for $GNO can easily double. Or at least, they can close the spread between them soon. I'd reccomend selling $GNO at launch if you managed to buy some today, and buying $REP now, with the same allocation. The level above is significant, once above, this could go considerably higher. Don't trade this if you didn't catch the $GNO ICO. Most people couldn't so, it might not be a viable trade for most. What I'd do is buy this one and wait for $GNO to drop after launch, to buy into it. It would have to drop significantly, after developers cash out, and it is at a fairer valuation relative to Augur. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
11
TSLA: BTFD stupidI am watching $TSLA closely, I want to add to my long term longs on any kind of selloff, oversold dips, etc, as described in my previous publication, see related ideas. I added a guess/forecast based on the potential path way prices can follow after tomorrow. A drop after earnings gives us a low risk opportunity to join this uptrend and try to ride it until it tops in the long term. The quarterly signal suggests a continuous rally in it is possible, until we do hit our -rather lofty- targets. Best of luck navigating $TSLA, Cheers. Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by IvanLabrie
12
XRPUSDT: Ripple is in a long term uptrendWe had taken long positions before this strong rally, and reentered recently. The chart implies that $XRP might break out once more during Q2. I'm holding longs, in anticipation of this rally, and waiting to add more once we do confirm the next rally. Target is around 180% upside from here in the short term, and eventually could go as high as 0.41+-, so it will be an interesting trade if it pans out favorably. Good luck if already long, or entering now. Keep the volatility in mind to size your trade. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
60
ETHETC: Watch these price targets and time targetAs much as I dislike ETC, the chart here shows some levels where price could reverse...as well as the time target expiration for the last rally in this pair. Overall, I am in favor of investing in Vitalik Buterin's project, so, from day 1 I didn't think ETC was a good thing to hold. The chart has proved me right thus far, but at one point, it might become a good 'Ethereum hedge' in case of a top in the rally. This could coincide with the point when the monthly trend tops in ETHEUR, so it wouldn't surprise me if that's the case. Just set some alerts here, and stay ready for updates. It might just keep going until the time expires, then we would need to revisit the chart and track progress and update the fundamentals. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
5
USDJPY: Trend is up nowI think we can be more or less sure that the trend has now turned up on this pair. I'm holding longs, although I had closed earlier, I reentered when turning up for the day today, after we made a new daily low. That was a good cue for a potential short term bottom. I like the VIX key levels on this pair, I have talked about this in the past. For more information, check Tim West's publications. If you're long, hold and trail stops gradually. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
1
On the Verge of the Biggest 5 Months Bitcoin Megabull EVERHi all, this is BTCEliX!l If you have been following my updates on my Bitcoin Live Trading Alerts Subscription, Twitter or Tradingview you would have known that I warned that the Bitcoin Megabull cycle could potentially start earlier then we expected in July 2017. AND IT DID! All the exchanges Coinbase, Bitstamp, Bitfinex, BTC-E, Kraken made new all time highs again breaking past $1350. Coinbase is currently at $1423. This is just the beginning of one of the potentially biggest Bitcoin Megabull Cycle (or bubble) ever in history of Bitcoin that could progressively keep rallying through the next 5 months (May, June, July, August, September)! The reason is pretty simple, the fundamentals are that Bitcoin after the halving has been too cheap at current prices and has been kept as such low prices way longer than it should have thanks to a series of unfortunate events such as the: PBOC crackdown/regulations Bitcoin Unlimited scam by Roger Ver and Bitman/Jihan and John McAfee (ASICBoost, poor and unsecure coding) - please NEVER listen to them and always side with Bitcoin Core OR the majority of the community. A strong and UNITED Bitcoin community is what we should always side with. Were strong as ONE. Do not side with individuals which seek to divide and destroy what took 8 years to build from the ground up since Satoshi's inception) 51% miner attack Bitcoin ETF and the latest which puts a cherry on top of the cake was Bitmain or Jihan's ANTBLEED remote exploit on all the miners. Back to this simple analysis, it is very important to know that it is based on the old 235 Days Bitcoin Megabull Cycles which is a recurring pattern still active until proven NULL. Based on this cycle shown as a blue fractal on the chart, Bitcoin will reach the final "ATH" (All Time High) on October 9, 2017. Hence, prior to that date make sure you sell your Bitcoins and close your longs. Your stop loss at ANYTIME must be under the yellow dotted line which represents the longterm bull neckline. If this neckline breaks for any reason(bad news e.g.) during the bullrun take profit without any regrets. The Potential "ATH" Targets for the megabull are not presented on this chart as I recommend to just stay in Bitcoin until October 9 or until the neckline is broken with volume. The fractal stops earlier than October 9, the reason is because their has never been a megabull bitcoin bubble that lasted more than 3-4 months. This if it plays out, could be the first 5 months Bitcoin Megabull cycle to ever happen. The final "ATH" target on October 9 2017 depends on how steep (slope) the uptrend is** ** I will re-evaluate the chart close to September for the megabull and provide an update on a possible final target. If you'd like to subscribe to my Bitcoin or Cryptocurrency Live Trading Alerts or my unique 1-on-1 Cryptocurrency/Bitcoin Mentorship and Coaching courses on my TA methods PM me directly for more information. Check out my profile for my social media links and the website as all the free trading material and information are located there.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by BitcoinGuru
58
SPX: Long term trends active right nowI made this chart for a student of mine, but I think it is a good idea to remind people of what the technical charts show in the long term here. The level of pessimism regarding being long stocks makes it clear that there is an uptrend at the moment. It can get you ridiculed, to mention in public that you buy stocks. People shy away from it, everyone is either in cash, or buying gold, or something else. Investing in start ups, you name it...anything BUT stocks. We have both a yearly and a quarterly signal active at the moment. The quarterly calls for a rally to 2621.8 by Q4 2018 at least, and potential for a max target of around 3230. The yearly chart's target is 2975.7 by 2021, give or take. Keep this in mind, when blaming Trump for 'the Trump trade' or when your VIX etf longs result in catastrophic loss...you're just not trading with the trend. Big volatility spikes are an opportunity to join this trend. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
TVC:SPXLong
by IvanLabrie
7