Wait for a break! AUDCHF Hello traders,
Long-Term trend is bearish.
Mid-term trend is bullish.
A short-term correction and may be change in trend may happen.
Enter only after breaking the 0.5707
Middle of the bearish channel could work here!
Timeframe
High vs Low in Time-frame Decisions🕒🚀🕒 Big Timeframes: Imagine looking at a painting from a distance – that's the essence of big timeframes. Daily, weekly, and monthly charts offer a broader view of an asset's performance over extended periods. They help you identify long-term trends and major price movements.
📊 Small Timeframes: Now, picture examining a single brushstroke – that's small timeframes. Hourly and minute charts provide granular details of short-term price action. They're useful for spotting quick trading opportunities and assessing market sentiment in the moment.
💡 Investment Approach: When it comes to investing, consider your goals and risk tolerance. Big timeframes are great for long-term investors who prioritize stability and are willing to ride out market fluctuations. Small timeframes suit traders looking to capitalize on short-term price movements.
🚀 Finding Balance: There's no one-size-fits-all answer. Many investors use a combination of both big and small timeframes. Large timeframes provide context, while small timeframes offer insights into entry and exit points.
So, what's the takeaway from this timeframe comparison? 📈 It's about understanding that different timeframes offer unique insights. Whether you're a patient investor or an active trader, the key is to align your timeframe with your investment strategy.
Stay curious, stay adaptable, and remember – the art of investing involves choosing the canvas that best suits your artistic vision! 🎨🚀
EURUSD: Weekly overviewRegarding our observations, currently there are more buyers in the market
Long-term trend is bullish!
There is a bearish move that has started from JUL 18 inside the bullish channel so we could consider the mid-term trend as bearish.
There might be a short-term bullish move that we could make profit out of it.
1.0820 and the bottom of bullish channgel are proper prices to place long limit orders.
1.0950 and 1.1028 are best places to set short limit orders.
These are best levels regarding Support and resistance, Channels, Weekly pivots, Buyers and Sellers focus and order_block.
XAUUSD Gold daily breakdownI have returned from my travels, apologies for the lack of ideas over the past 24 hours!
Gold closed below the key support area of 1903 on Tuesday, and wednesday saw the expected reaction of price continuing down especially with FOMC minutes adding to the move.
What can we expect from here? To keep it brief, on a daily timeframe I'm expecting 1965 to be tapped as a liquidity grab, if we see todays Daily candle flip from bullish to bearish there is a high probability we push down towards end of August.
Key thing to note - The monthly still has no top wick! That is a lot of liquidity left to grab at the 1980 area however, to see the monthly candle push 80+ pips and then flip would take a lot of momentum so whilst it's unlikely to happen in September, it's something to bear in mind if you are bullish.
AUDCADCurrently there are absolutely more buyers in the market
AUDCAD is bearish! But we are around a very important level and bottom of bearish channel
These are best levels regarding Support and resistance, Channels, Weekly pivots, Buyers and Sellers focus and order_block.
Save some profits in each static and dynamic level.
GOLD: What we are going to do in this week!Gold is bearish! But it is around a reaction leve, We could expect a correction for the first days of this week!
There is high probability of retrace back to main trend around 1935.
TP's might be weekly camarilla resistance levels , 1921 and 1912.
Our final TP is overlapping of middle of bearish channel and HTF bullish Order_block!
Best regards, Alisignals
Short CHF! LONG: ???CHFThe Swiss franc may use it's value in next days.
There is strong pressure in market for the currency. Mostly because of technical reasons. Rising pairs like CADCHF are much more probable here.
Just be a little more cautious about CADCHF! Cad is highly co-related to the oil!
USDCHF: 4H Chart:
Regarding HTF analysis USDCHF is bearish! However we are in an almost strong correction!
We expect a reverse from around 0.89000, but till to get there, considering intraweek tradings, the pair is bullish.
We wait for next week s1 to evaluate buying opportunities.
XAUUSD Daily breakdownPost FOMC and unemployment claims has finally given us the high volatility we've been waiting for. We saw price test 1980 before falling 40$ and closing below 1954 which was a strong level of resistance.
As far as the daily timeframe is concerned, we are in an area of indecision which means we could reject any support or resistance here at any level and just range like we did on the 24th May until the 20th June.
Alternatively, the market picks a direction and pushes straight through. What will be the catalyst for it? Well, We have PCE tomorrow (what people call the FED's favourite inflation indicator) and NFP next week. This is the perfect set-up for a push down.
Why down? Main reason is the weekly candle has flipped from being strong bullish to bearish. That is significant for price action, and all it takes from here is another $30 drop in price on Friday and Monday for the monthly candle to close bearish after testing the 1980 level, which for me would be the most obvious indicator that we will be visiting the low 1800's.
Thursday 27th was a great day for trading with 3 trades based on levels posted, and it was all from being patient.
As always, be patient, wait for the market to tell you what it is most likely to do next, and then act.
Feel free to request any charts in the comments below and let me know what you think!
EURUSD full weekly AnalysisSMA 20 of Daily chart alamost matches with SMA 480 of hourly chart.
SMA20 of daily chart was a great trend detector for the pair recently so I'll use 480 in hourlt chart.
According the SMA20 we are still bullish.
By deeper look at Daily chart a bullish channel could be seen that proves bullish trend. Also a great SNR zone is obviously clear in daily chart.
I think last week was just a correction.
By looking at 1H zone, we could see conflux of mighty SMA480, Camarilla pivot level of S3, Daily S&R zone and also a strong Delta Volume important zone.
There is a high probability of rejection from the zone.
About the delta volume: There were strong buyers in last bullish move, but in some points there were slightly stronger sellers, market tends to reverse from those critical points.
Looking at IG sentiment factor we'll get that sentiment indicators worked reversely in recent weeks. So strong sellers can not hesitate me.
Market may avoid sharp moves before FOMC meeting at Wednesday.
TP1 : 1.116
TP2 : 1.121
TP3 : 1.130
The importance of using different TimeframesWhen visualizing the market and conducting technical analysis, it is crucial to interpret different timeframes.
Multi-timeframe analysis can enhance the probability of success in our trading by utilizing support and resistance levels from higher timeframes than our base timeframe.
It is also useful for identifying candlestick patterns in other timeframes and assessing their alignment with other signals observed in our analysis.
Learn Why You Should Study Multiple Time Frame Analysis
In my daily posts, I quite frequently use multiple time frame analysis.
If you want to enhance your predictions and make more accurate decisions, this is the technique you need to master.
In the today's post, we will discuss the crucial importance of multiple time frames analysis in trading the financial markets.
1️⃣ Trading on a single time frame, you may miss the important key levels that can be recognized on other time frames.
Take a look at the chart above. Analyzing a daily time frame, we can spot a confirmed bullish breakout of a key daily resistance.
That looks like a perfect buying opportunity.
However, a weekly time frame analysis changes the entire picture, just a little bit above the daily resistance, there is a solid weekly resistance.
From such a perspective, buying GBPUSD looks very risky.
2️⃣ The market trend on higher and lower time frames can be absolutely different.
In the example above, Gold is trading in a bullish trend on a 4h time frame. It may appear for a newbie trader that buyers are dominating on the market. While a daily time frame analysis shows a completely different picture: the trend on a daily is bearish, and a bullish movement on a 4H is simply a local correctional move.
3️⃣ It may appear that the market has a big growth potential on one time frame while being heavily over-extended on other time frames.
Take a look at GBPJPY: on a weekly time frame, the market is trading in a strong bullish trend.
Checking a daily time frame, however, we can see that the bullish momentum is weakening: the double top pattern is formed and the market is consolidating.
The sentiment is even changing to a bearish once we analyze a 4H time frame. We can spot a rising wedge pattern there and its support breakout - very bearish signal.
4️⃣ Higher time frame analysis may help you to set a safe stop loss.
In the picture above, you can see that stop loss placement above a key daily resistance could help you to avoid stop hunting shorting the Dollar Index.
Analyzing the market solely on 1H time frame, stop loss would have been placed lower and the position would have closed in a loss.
Always check multiple time frame when you analyze the market.
It is highly recommendable to apply the combination of at least 2 time frames to make your trading safer and more accurate.
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History will repeat? $182 or $110Monthly Chart
Binance Coin ( BINANCE:BNBUSDT ) is trading around $236 now.
It's dropped from $398.3 and in accumulating
Look back to the history. I see two drops on Jan 2018 and Jun 2019, both of them has the same percent are about 83.64% and 83.89%.
History usually repeats itself!
I wonder how's about this time?
Now, BNB/USDT in Descending Channel and it's support zones by Fib Channel (1.0) and last Swing Month Low $183.4
Supports can hold it and made it bounced back or Binance Coin will break down and drop to around $110.
Wait and see
🕰️ The 4 Pillars of Trading Timeframes🔷Scalping:
Scalping is a trading strategy that involves making multiple quick trades within a short time frame, typically holding positions for just a few minutes. Traders who employ this strategy are referred to as scalpers. The main objective of scalping is to capitalize on small price movements and accumulate small profits that can add up over time. When engaging in scalping, traders focus on short-term charts, such as 1m,5m,15m charts, to identify rapid price fluctuations. They often use technical analysis such as order flow and volume , to spot entry and exit points. The key is to identify highly liquid instruments with tight bid-ask spreads and sufficient volatility. Scalpers must closely monitor their trades and maintain discipline, as the rapid pace of trading can be mentally demanding. Risk management is crucial in scalping and it is advised towards experienced traders that backtest their strategy before taking on scalping.
🔷Day Trading:
Day trading involves executing trades within a single trading day, with all positions closed before the market closes. Day traders aim to profit from intraday price fluctuations and take advantage of short-term trends. This style of trading requires active participation and constant monitoring of the market. Day traders typically use charts with shorter time frames, such as 15m,1h,4h to identify patterns and trends.
🔷Swing Trading:
Swing trading is a medium-term trading strategy that aims to capture price movements over a few days to several weeks. Swing traders seek to profit from short-term price fluctuations within the context of a larger trend. This approach allows traders to participate in more significant market moves while avoiding the need for constant monitoring. Swing traders typically use 1H,5h or daily charts to identify potential trade setups. They focus on technical analysis tools, such as trendlines, chart patterns, and indicators like moving averages or the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The objective is to enter positions when there is a high probability of a trend reversal or continuation.
🔷Positional Trading:
Positional trading, also known as long-term trading or investing, involves holding positions for weeks, months, or even years. Position traders aim to capture larger market trends and ride significant price movements. They often base their decisions on fundamental analysis, considering factors like macroeconomic data, company financials, and market trends.
Position traders primarily use higher time frame charts, such as weekly or monthly charts, to identify long-term trends. They rely on fundamental indicators, news events, and market sentiment to make informed trading decisions.
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📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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GBPAUD: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy GBPAUD .
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XRP Multi timeframe trend/stat this colors each show different powers
purple (strong) weekly
pink (major) daily
green (minor) 4hours
and each one can act differently in order to power and condition of price
Why You Need All Timeframes..Hey Guys,
As you may of seen earlier on my stream, we need to be using all Timeframes to be accurate when trading..
WHY? Well it's simple. Without them you are BLIND to the longer term market.
Short timeframes cater to SHORT TERM Trading. You cannot take long term trades or get a long term view of the market with short term timeframes.
So understand their true purpose and how to use them..
Watch for more.
EL - due for some rebound (bullish divergence)After a heaving sell off, EL appears to be finding support at the 78.6% fib retracement of it's major upswing AB (see mthly chart on Left).
Odds appear good that a rebound could be in the works as the bullish divergence seen on the daily chart spanning over the last few weeks is now supported by a mildly bullish divergence seen on the monthly chart as well.
I would consider to long upon the clearance of the last candle high @ 189 with a small stop loss about $1 below the recent low @ 182. Raise stop loss to breakeven as soon as it is able to clear 195 with a possible exit around $209.
Just a short term trading idea with 1 : 2.5 risk-reward ratio. Let's see if it works out!
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Developing a Trading Plan: 7 Key Aspects to Consider
Becoming a successful trader requires more than just simply buying and selling assets. To be consistently profitable, traders must create and stick to a well-designed trading plan. A trading plan is a detailed document that outlines a trader's approach to the market and establishes rules for each step of the trading process. The following are seven key aspects that a trading plan should include.
✅Timeframe
The timeframe determines the length of time each position will be held open. Traders can choose a long-term, medium-term, or short-term trading strategy. Long-term strategies may require holding a position for several months, while short-term strategies require closing a trade within a day, or even just a few minutes.
✅Risk Management
Risk management is the process of identifying, assessing, and prioritizing risks or uncertainties that may affect trading outcomes. A trader's risk management strategy may involve using a fixed lot size or a percentage of the account for each trade. With proper risk management, traders can reduce their losses and maximize their profits.
✅Market Conditions
Market conditions refer to whether the market is trending or ranging. A trending market is one in which prices move persistently in one direction, while a ranging market is one in which prices move sideways between a range of support and resistance levels. A trader should have different strategies for each type of market condition.
✅Choosing the Market to Trade
Traders must choose which market they want to trade, based on their trading plan, resources, and experience. Forex, stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies are some of the markets that traders can choose from. It is advisable to trade in markets that a trader understands and has experience in.
✅Where to Enter
Traders can use different methods to enter a trade, such as pullbacks, breakouts, or crossovers. A pullback is a temporary reversal in the direction of an asset's price movement. A breakout occurs when an asset's price moves through a support or resistance level, and a crossover is when two moving averages cross over each other.
✅Stop Loss
A stop loss is an order placed with a broker to buy or sell a security when it reaches a certain price. Traders can use percentage-based or market structure stop-losses. A market structure stop-loss is set at a support or resistance level and is based on the analysis of market structure.
✅Targets
Traders can have fixed or trailing targets. Fixed targets are predetermined profit objectives that are fixed in advance. Trailing targets are profit targets that move along with the price of the trade as it goes in the trader's favor.
In conclusion, developing a trading plan is an essential step for every trader. It allows traders to make informed decisions based on their analysis, experience, and personal risk tolerance. It's important to review and adjust the plan regularly based on market conditions and changes in personal goals and financial conditions. By adhering to a trading plan, traders can improve their chances of success in the market.
I hope this post was helpful to some of our beginner traders😊
Dear followers, let me know, what topic interests you for new educational posts?
TSLA - turned the corner?TSLA had been on a wild ride down since peaking on 4th Nov 2021, with many strong bear rallies in between. It finally hit the bottom on 6th Jan this year and began a rather strong rally until early Feb where it started to churn violently for the next 2.5 months, shaking out any weak bulls.
A sustainable rally emerged again from 27 Apr and more signs have been emerging that the longer term trend have changed to bullish (short term pullbacks not withstanding):
1. a close above the 200 day moving average on 31 May and continued to propel higher for more than a week now
2. a break above a longer-term neckline in the region of 200-215 this week and
3. RSI line on it's MONTHLY chart has crossed above the 14 SMA line (signifying the likely emergence of a longer-term bullish trend).
However, TSLA has been traditionally a volatile stock, hence it is safer to wait some dips to go long. Any retracements in the near term should preferably not breach the neckline support (200 - 215), although it is not up to us to decide how far it would pull-back .
Wait to see the stock finding possible support (after a retracement) to go long (with stop loss below the most recent pivot low).
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. I may have an opinion but I do not hope. Cut loss (sooner rather than later) and move on if wrong. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Daily Time Frame is The MAIN Time Frame to Trade! Learn WHY:
Hey traders,
You frequently ask me what is the most important time frame to analyze and follow.
And even though I must admit that multiple time frames must be taken into consideration for successful trading like weekly/daily/4h/1h. Among them, there is the one that is universally considered to be principal. That is a daily time frame.
There are a lot of reasons why so many traders rely on a daily time frame:
1️⃣ - Daily time frame shows a global market trend at the same time reflecting a mid-term and short-term perspective letting the trader catch trend following moves and spot early reversal signs.
2️⃣ - Covering multiple perspectives, daily time frame is the foundation of the majority of the trading strategies being the main source of key levels & pattern analysis.
3️⃣ - Daily time filters out news events that happened during the trading day. It shows the composite reaction of the market participants to all the data posted in the economic calendar.
4️⃣ - Daily time frame reflects all trading sessions. Within one single candle, we see the outcome of the Asian, London, and New York Sessions.
5️⃣ - Daily candle filters out all the noise from lower time frames & intraday price fluctuations and sudden spikes & rejections.
6️⃣ - Covering all the trading sessions, daily time frame mirrors the activities of big players like hedge funds and banks. Showing us the flow & direction of big money.
⚠️Being so important for analysis, do not neglect other time frames.
The most accurate trading decision can be made only relying on a combination of intraday and daily time frames.
What is your favorite time frame to trade?
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Gold Bull-Bias (XAUUSD)Base on DTGD Method,
apply a simple TL & SNR with TF confluence,
waiting for Price Action on H4 (reversal candle)
Disclaimer: "This is not an investment advice"
How to know where you areThe markets are fractal.
Fractal : each part of which has the same statistical characteristics as the whole.
This means that there are patterns within patterns on all degrees which can look identical from the macro to the micro. Just like the veins on your hands, to the rivers on earth.
Although in terms of trading with take profits and stop losses, you need to know exactly which degree/fractal you are trading on because it can get confusing if you don't know where you are.
The best way to learn how to approach this situation is to start from the macro and work your way down to the micro. My favorite way is,
Daily
4hr
1hr
15min ( I personally stop here )
5min
1min
This is the easiest way to start and then once you find your time frame for setups, you will get flexible with these principles and use them in alignment with your time horizon for trading.
