$XAU Daily uptrend analysis #Sequential #GoldHello everyone.
Gold remains in a bullish trend and found some exhaustion points recently:
- S13 and A21 on 08/08
- C13 on 08/13
- Nested S21 on 09/23
Despite these last exhaustion points, the daily main bullish sequential countdown has not been invalidated.
This bullish countdown is currently on a bar 5/13 and its last increased bar was on 09/04.
With the remaining countdown bars, price could then reach once again the upper limit of the bullish channel.
For now, price is forming a small consolidation pattern (blue), which looks like an ascending triangle.
If this pattern fails, the price could fall in a wider pattern (gray falling wedge) and find first some support on the middle line of the channel.
The TDST Support is @ 1400 USD and could coincide with the lower limit of the channel, so this is also a level to watch.
Best!
MATHR3E
Sequential indicators:
MATHR3E TD Multi Sequential
MATHR3E TD Setup Trend
MATHR3E TD Sequential Fibonacci Extension
MATHR3E TD Aggressive Fibonacci Extension
MATHR3E TD Combo Fibonacci Extension
Timing
Lets be honest guys. $tsla $spy it was a good run. Especially if you've been long from the lows. more than an 80% rally from the bottom. Tesla will dominate the auto industry as well as the energy sector. But just looking at the new range we find ourselves i can't help but consolidate on these gains. I have exited more than 50% of my position now and might continue to exit. overall not bullish on the stock, and the market anymore. my instinct is always to follow the trend, but nobody went broke taking profits. Thank you guys but im pretty much closing my fiscal year for stocks. Wont be looking for any positions until i see a correction in markets overall. Im comfortable now derisking from tesla and would like to see a new entry point. I have a little exposure left but anymore upside and i will continue to sell. \
Investing is my life now and im so happy to be part of a community that is so generous in offering their insight. Blessed for everyone that comments, likes and views my posts. i appreciate it so much. We are all going to make it if we continue to be constructive and thoughtful in our posts. Ill still be seeking out ideas and if you want to follow me on my youtube channel tagalong where i cover a few more markets like crypto. Thanks guys :)
www.youtube.com
$BTC Bull Flag vs Bear Trend continuation #SequentialHi everyone,
BTC is still forming a bull flag, but this could be insufficient to cancel the daily bearish countdown.
If the countdown has to complete first, this means a bearish target of at least:
- $7.993 on Coinbase
- $7.470 on Bitstamp
There is a countdown shift between the 2 platforms so it is actually quite difficult to predict a target.
I would favor the coinbase target as it coincides better with the 0.764 Fib retracement...
Targets are not a guarantee!
Countdown can be cancelled by these 2 conditions:
- A new Sell setup (After a bullish TD Price Flip, there must be nine consecutive closes, each one greater than the corresponding close four bars earlier)
- A candle low completed above TDST Resistance @10.379USD
On the 12H chart, we had 2 nice potential Buy points indicated by S13 and S21.
Here also the main bearish sequential countdown has not been canceled so we could reach the next S34 exhaustion point.
Best!
MATHR3E
Sequential indicators:
MATHR3E TD Setup Trend
MATHR3E TD Sequential Fibonacci Extension
MATHR3E TD Aggressive Fibonacci Extension
MATHR3E TD Combo Fibonacci Extension
Bitcoin Price Action Update (day 352)Disclaimer: If you are primarily interested in copying other people’s trades then this is not for you. However, if you are willing to put in the work that it takes to learn how to trade for yourself then you have found the right place! Nevertheless please be advised that you can give 10 people a profitable trading strategy and only 1-2 of them will be able to succeed long term. If you fall into the majority that tries and fails then I assume no responsibility for your losses. What you do with your $ is your business, what I do with my $ is my business.
Sawcruhteez Strategies: Comprehensive Trading Strategy - Consensio | Comprehensive Trading Process | How to BUY THE DIP | Advanced Dollar Cost Averaging Methods
Consensio: Long term is bullish. Short and medium term starting to turn bearish. If 50 and 200 EMA’s get death cross on 4h then medium term trend will be bearish for me.
Patterns: Pulling up and into death cross on 4h? If so would that be considered a pattern?
Horizontals: R: $10,800 | S: $10,500
Parabolic SAR: If looking for SAR based on Welles Wilder’s original calculations then use “Lucid SAR” on Trading View. Weekly bullish SAR recently brokedown which indicates medium term bear trend.
Futures Curve: Contango, but spread is narrowing on this selloff which is bullish
Funding Rates: Shorts pay long 0.01%. Nothing out of balance here.
BTCUSDSHORTS: Shorts are at new all time low
TD’ Sequential: 4h hit a green 9 on this last move
Ichimoku Cloud: Weekly and daily are bullish. Look at how the daily cloud (traditional settings) acted as support. 4h is bearish.
Relative Strength Index: Appears to be resisting 50 on daily.
Average Directional Index: Daily has fallen below 20 which is similar to the RSI resisting 50. Weekly is just showing the first signs of reversing.
Price Action: 24h: +8.51% | 2w: -3.76% | 1m: +16.67%
Summary: My last update was on July 7th and that is when I predicted “four figure Bitcoin within 48 hours”. Furthermore my price target for the expected selloff was $8,975 by July 10th.
Both of those predictions were wrong. I roughly got the price targets right, but the time targets were about 1 week premature. Profitable trading revolves around projecting the price and the time. If you get one of those wrong then you are wrong, simple as that.
This has been a great example. I shorted above $11,000 with a $9,000 price target and I lost money eventhough the price went to $9,000 within weeks of entering my position. I had a stop set at $11,876 and that was triggered before the selloff that followed.
This is a great example of why trading revolves around price and time. Get one wrong and you will lose money.
About 5 days after my call the price of bitcoin reached my target of $9,000. I had a pretty good idea of where the price was going in the future but I still lost money because I thought it would happen a little sooner than it did.
With all of that being said I am prepared to take my second stab at the same call. As it stands I strongly expect four figure Bitcoin within the next 48 hours. From my perspective the market is very overbought while testing a major resistance level. This tells me that resistance will hold and that another leg down is to be expected.
Therefore I am viewing this as a good opportunity to sell. Whether that be short or a profit take.
It looks to me like $10,800 resistance is holding. If that is the case then we should get a death cross with the 50 and 200 EMAs on the 4h chart. If we do get a death cross then it would lead to a $7,500 target, at a minimum.
As a result I am viewing this as a selling opportunity. Selling $10,500 - $10,700 with a stop at $10,900 makes a lot of sense to me. If we are able to breakthough $10,800 and spend some time above that price (> 1 day) then I will very much be changing my tune while looking to buy back what I sold around $11,000.
Daily VZ forecast timing analysis by Supply-Demand strength21-Jun
Investing strategies by pretiming
Investing position about Supply-Demand(S&D) strength: In Falling section of high risk & low profit
Supply-Demand(S&D) strength Trend Analysis: About to begin a rebounding trend as a downward trend gradually gives way to slowdown in falling and rises fluctuations
Today's S&D strength Flow: Supply-Demand strength has changed from a strong selling flow to a suddenly strengthening buying flow.
View a Forecast Candlestick Shape Analysis of 10 days in the future: www.pretiming.com
(You can easily create a trading plan.)
D+1 Candlestick Color forecast: RED Candlestick
%D+1 Range forecast: 0.1% (HIGH) ~ -1.2% (LOW), -0.8% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of rising: 0.9% (HIGH) ~ -0.5% (LOW), 0.5% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of falling: 0.3% (HIGH) ~ -1.6% (LOW), -1.3% (CLOSE)
Price Forecast Timing Criteria: Price forecast timing is analyzed based on pretiming algorithm of Supply-Demand(S&D) strength.
Daily ETH/USD forecast timing analysis by Supply-Demand strength22-Jun
Investing strategies
Investing position about Supply-Demand(S&D) strength: In Rising section of high profit & low risk
Supply-Demand(S&D) strength Trend Analysis: In the midst of an upward trend of strong upward momentum price flow marked by the temporary falls and strong rises.
Today's S&D strength Flow: Supply-Demand(S&D) strength flow appropriate to the current trend.
View a Forecast Candlestick Shape Analysis of 10 days in the future: www.pretiming.com
(You can easily create a trading plan.)
D+1 Candlestick Color forecast: RED Candlestick
%D+1 Range forecast: 0.1% (HIGH) ~ -2.8% (LOW), -1.6% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of rising: 5.3% (HIGH) ~ -1.6% (LOW), 4.1% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of falling: 2.5% (HIGH) ~ -4.1% (LOW), -1.5% (CLOSE)
Price Forecast Timing Criteria: Price forecast timing is analyzed based on pretiming algorithm of Supply-Demand(S&D) strength.
HYG stock price forecast timing analysis. 13-JunStock investing strategies by pretiming
Investing position about Supply-Demand(S&D) strength: Rising section of high profit & low risk
Supply-Demand(S&D) strength linkage Trend Analysis: In the midst of an adjustment trend of downward direction box pattern stock price flow marked by limited rises and downward fluctuations.
Today's Supply-Demand(S&D) strength Flow: Supply-Demand strength has changed to a strengthening buying flow when stock market opening.
Possibility of change in forecast timing: Forecast timing has become high variability conditions. because the flow of supply - demand has changed, and the supply - demand linkage is unstable.
D+1 Candlestick Color forecast: GREEN Candlestick
%D+1 Range forecast: 0.1% (HIGH) ~ 0.0% (LOW), 0.1% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of rising: 0.3% (HIGH) ~ -0.1%(LOW), 0.3% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of falling: 0.1% (HIGH) ~ -0.2%(LOW), -0.1%(CLOSE)
Stock Price Forecast Timing Criteria: Stock price forecast timing is analyzed based on pretiming algorithm of Supply-Demand(S&D) strength.
Read more a detailed Forecast Analysis Reports that candlestick shape and %change, S&D strength flow in the future 7 days.
www.pretiming.com
Time analysis: Could the bitcoin bear market end October 2020?To me, it looks like the market is moving slower after each cycle. Our last bull run was longer than the previous one. The 2014 bear market was also longer than the 2011 bear market.
To my findings, the bear market of 2014 moved 2.5x slower than the 2011 one. If we use that same factor this time according to my calculations the bear market now should end around October 2020.
I know that sounds very depressing but as a long term trader I'm trying to find every possible outcome and this is one of them.
Timing the BTC bottom with Murad, Vinzen & Tone V.MustStopMurad had this analysis where he suggested that the next BTC bottom would be around the 300 MA.
Tone Vays has for a long time compared MA crosses from 2014 with todays MA crosses for estimating how far into the bear market we currently are.
Yesterday when watching Tone Vays video with Vinzent and Willy Woo (first of the recent Thailand videos) Vinzen suggested with the Fib Time Zone (I believe) that the bottom would be between 2020-22. Combining the above two analysis’ which I attempted in the chart actually suggests the same a bottom around 2021 which I found interesting. Estimations of moving averages is drawn by hand so not sure how accurate this will be (and obviously these estimations are also just a predictions so could be completely inaccurate). Would still be very interesting to hear peoples thoughts on this anyways.
Best regards.
$DNA entry/exitDNA displaying a popular window of opportunity in the December period.
R: @0.098
S: @0.089 (conservative, last 4 hours of trade prior 31/12 close)
Volume still attractive.
RSI above 35 (however, capping at 70 showing overbought signals).
Conservative Strategy:
Proposed re-entry: @0.080
Proposed exit: @0.090
SL: 0.076
Aggressive Strategy:
Proposed re-entry: @0.085
Proposed exit: @0.095
SL: 0.082
Resistance and volume drop expectedALOT is showing a resistance in supply/demand in buyers with more selling on 4h chart.
Fibretracement 0.786 would drop to $20.75-20.80 or more likely $19.20-19.35 resistance zone areas as better
buy.
Watch the black change to blue on 4h or 1d chart for entrance, which is currently black. @MarxBabu for longbuylongsell chart adding MACD, volume, volume average and running average and here RSI Stoichastics. Optionally replace RSI Stoich with CCI for entry timing once blue, or RSI, or fast RSI.
View 1w, 1d and 4h for blue entry signal.
USD/JPY Yen volatility leading up to USA stock market open VideoI've noticed a clear trend leading up to 6:30am pacific time USA stock market open time, I think people are hedging currencies in order to trade in different markets. You can ride it down then up more days than not check profile for more examples
Let's see if 1.35% drop hits intersectI'm a huge fan of projecting cycles and timing. As we know, timing tends to be everything when executing a trade. For the short trades, we should be well aware of the unlimited upside loss and how quickly a "sure thing" can turn sour. That said, this analysis uses the uses a number of TA textbook tools (3 T's) to gauge a move within a narrow band.
Tools:
Bollinger
Gann Fan
MA (8)
DPO (20)
Fib Time Zones
The Fib Time zones are extremely beneficial when they align to the support areas you're attempting to seek out before placing a short position. If you insist on making back-to-back trades using the same reference point, you can short and long using the same turnaround.
Here, I decided to align the troughs with the Fib Time zone. This allows me to see how close my DPO (orange verticals) comes to capturing the end of a cycle. There's a 3-hr span on this chart between them, which is not too bad.
Bollinger bands are also a great discovery tool to pair with cycles. We are concerned more so with how the price moves away from the average and how likely it is to bounce fro the walls of the outer limits rather than ride along them for extended periods of time.
Using the RSI, of course, we can see if these touched limits are at oversold points to verify a turn around. From here, it's real easy to see the direction it's going to go next. The last thing is timing. Direction + time + reference area completest the forecast.
Where the Fib line #5 intersects the the 1/1 of the Gann Fan trend, this can be a place that we project with confidence. All elements point us in this direction.
Lastly, When shorting, we want to put a stop limit on the second to last bar ( red). If you are using a greater amount of leverage to initiate the trade, use a more frequent bar display to get a finer-tuned look at where that fail safe is placed. Target is 9450. Obviously, this being BTC, it's simply serving as our example for comprehending the basics.
Netflix and a moment of interest.Keep an eye on the stock and go long on these dates if your own indicators confirm it.
14.03.2018 01:09 UP 75,0% (6 up/ 2 down)
15.03.2018 20:43 UP 87,5% (7 up/ 1 down)
18.03.2018 22:53 UP 73,3% (11 up/ 4 down)
24.03.2018 01:36 UP 80,0% (12 up/ 3 down)
24.03.2018 18:31 UP 80,0% (12 up/ 3 down)
26.03.2018 04:22 UP 73,3% (11 up/ 4 down)
This TA is based on historical astrological events and performance of the stock.