Market Leading Indicators - suggests DOWNThis is my most summarized panel of leading indicators which I use to assist in the determination of market projections, over and above technical indicators.
The SG10Y is about to break out
The JNK bonds are breaking down
Both TIPS and TLT have already broken down the uptrend support (bearish trend now)
The SOXL (semicon ETF) and the combined US Equities are just about to keel over.
Leads have turned down or are at the turning point.
Heads up!
TIPS
Be an expert at losing..Trading is a complex venture that involves understanding financial instruments, charts, patterns, market conditions, risk management and other factors.
Becoming a successful trader requires more than technical knowledge. You also need to develop the right mindset to navigate the psychological intricacies of trading.
Human emotion, instinct, and behavior can profoundly impact your decision-making process. That’s why it’s important to understand trading psychology.
~ OGwavetrader
Recognize the problems that you have..Trading is a complex venture that involves understanding financial instruments, charts, patterns, market conditions, risk management and other factors.
Becoming a successful trader requires more than technical knowledge. You also need to develop the right mindset to navigate the psychological intricacies of trading.
Human emotion, instinct, and behavior can profoundly impact your decision-making process. That’s why it’s important to understand trading psychology.
~ OGwavetrader
What Experienced Traders SayHey! In this post, I would like to share seven unexpected tips that can transform your trading approach and mindset.
These insights, collected from various sources and trader experiences, challenge conventional wisdom. Implementing these principles can significantly enhance your trading performance and decision-making .
7 UNEXPECTED TIPS
1️⃣ Trading More or Longer is Not Better: Quality over quantity should be your mantra; focus on high-value trades rather than increasing volume. Trade proven setups.
2️⃣ Trading is Not About the Market; It's About You: Your mindset, discipline, and emotional control play a pivotal role in your success. Don't gamble!
3️⃣ The Focus is Not on Winning; It's on Not Losing: Risk only what you can afford to lose. Protecting your capital should be your primary goal — profits will naturally follow.
4️⃣ Demanding Certainty is Not Productive: Think probabilistically. Embrace the uncertainty of the markets; flexibility is key to adapting your strategies.
5️⃣ A Trader Does Not Need to Be a Genius: Successful trading is about consistency and learning, not innate talent. Get smart.
6️⃣ The Harder You Try To Make Money, The Harder It Becomes:
LET IT GO! Sometimes, letting go of the need for immediate profits can lead to better results.
7️⃣ How Often You Win is Less Important Than You Think: Focus on your overall strategy and risk management rather than just win rates. You can be PROFITABLE with 33% win rate!
What do you think about these unexpected tips? Have you experienced any of these insights in your trading? I’d love to hear your thoughts and experiences — drop a comment below!
If you found these tips valuable, please give this post a like and follow for more insights!
XAUUSD 25-9-2024Hello Traders, Thank you for following me. I have been very much inconsistent with my post due to my travel for job.
This is TIP for everyone, specially if you are a beginner in any market. this is the market you want to avoid, check this level on 5min and check how you will get trapped everytime you try to get into trade. this is the market that will wipe your account every single day.
3 Pro Tips for Managing Losing Trades,Risk, Emotions & StrategyManaging losing trades is an essential part of trading, whether you're involved in stocks, forex, or any other financial market, we have all heard traders say I haven't ever taken a loss before my strategy has 100% win rate blah blah ok really, even the best traders in the world take losses, as humans we naturally don't like to lose but in trading its a part of doing business. Here are three in-depth tips to help manage losing trades effectively:
### 1. ** Develop and Stick to a Risk Management Plan **
A risk management plan is your primary defence against significant losses. The key components include position sizing, setting stop-losses, and managing risk-reward ratios.
- ** Position Sizing **: Always ensure that you're not risking too much of your capital on a single trade. A common rule is to risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital on any given trade. This way, even if you hit a streak of losses, your account can recover.
- ** Set Stop-Loss Orders **: A stop-loss is a predetermined point where you exit a trade to prevent further losses. This should be set based on your analysis and not emotions. Many traders use technical levels like support and resistance or a percentage-based rule (e.g., 2-5% below the entry price). However, it’s essential to place the stop at a level that aligns with market conditions, rather than placing it arbitrarily.
- ** Risk-Reward Ratio **: Aim for a risk-reward ratio that makes sense in the long term (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3), meaning that for every dollar you risk, you aim to gain two or three. This ensures that even with a lower win rate, your winning trades can outweigh your losses.
### 2. ** Detach from Emotional Biases **
Emotions like fear, greed, and frustration can cloud judgment, leading to poor decision-making during losing trades. Psychological discipline is crucial to protect against these common pitfalls.
- ** Avoid Chasing Losses **: After a losing trade, many traders try to "win back" what they lost quickly, often leading to overtrading or taking high-risk trades. This is called "revenge trading" and can exacerbate losses. Take a step back, assess the situation, and only enter new trades that meet your criteria.
- ** Accept Losses as Part of the Process **: Losing trades are inevitable. Successful traders view losses as an expense or cost of doing business. They understand that even the best trading strategies have losing streaks. Accepting this reality helps you avoid emotionally driven decisions.
- ** Maintain a Trading Journal **: Keeping track of both winning and losing trades can help you identify emotional patterns. Record why you took the trade, the results, and how you felt during the trade. This reflection can provide insight into emotional triggers and help you make more rational decisions in the future.
### 3. ** Adjust Your Strategy Based on Market Conditions **
Markets are dynamic and constantly changing. What works in one market environment may not work in another. Regularly review and adapt your trading strategy to current market conditions, particularly after losing trades.
- ** Assess Trade Context **: After each losing trade, conduct a post-trade analysis. Did the trade fail due to poor market conditions, execution errors, or a flaw in your strategy? Recognising these patterns can help you tweak your approach and avoid repeating the same mistakes.
- ** Diversify Your Strategy **: Relying too heavily on one trading approach or asset class can increase the likelihood of losses during unfavourable conditions. Consider diversifying your strategies (trend following, mean reversion, etc.) and the assets you trade. This spreads risk and can stabilise performance during market volatility.
- ** Cut Losses Early When Conditions Change **: If the market conditions that supported your trade change significantly, don’t hesitate to exit the trade, even before hitting your stop-loss. For example, news events or shifts in sentiment can render your trade idea invalid. Being flexible and willing to exit early when your initial reasoning no longer holds is essential.
By applying a robust risk management plan, controlling emotional biases, and regularly adapting your strategy to current market conditions, you can navigate and limit the damage of losing trades.
BITCOIN SCENARIOThis weakly candle is very very very important, there is a scenario that btc is registering higher low in Daily timeframe to push up price, but we should have a look on interest rates cut, its not time to be panic, the market is full of fear, dont sell your BTC to BIG GAME PLAYERS.
This analysis has only an educational aspect in the form of a possible scenario and is not published for signaling purposes.
Warning Signs for Traders: Are You at Risk?Trading can be exciting and profitable, but it's important to spot habits that might hurt your success. Here are key warning signs to help you become a more disciplined and successful trader:
Constantly Checking Charts : If you find yourself compulsively opening your charts every hour and feeling physical discomfort if you don't, it's time to reassess your approach. Constant monitoring can lead to impulsive decisions and increased stress.
Impulse Trading on Minor Changes : Do you get the urge to jump into a trade at the slightest percentage change of a currency? This habit can be detrimental. Reacting to every minor fluctuation often results in overtrading and can erode your capital.
Trading Without Stop Losses : Having open trades without setting stop losses is a recipe for disaster. Stop losses are crucial in managing risk and preventing significant losses.
Checking Apps Before Starting Your Day : If your first action in the morning is to check your trading app or charts before even washing your face, it's a sign that trading is consuming your life. This habit can lead to burnout and poor decision-making.
Not Keeping a Trading Journal : Failing to document your trades and thoughts can hinder your progress. A trading journal helps you learn from past mistakes and successes, allowing for continuous improvement.
Tips for Better Trading:
These warning signs highlight areas for improvement. By addressing these habits, you can enhance your trading strategy and outcomes. Here are some tips that have helped me become a better trader:
Set Specific Times to Check Charts: Limit chart checking to specific times of the day. This helps reduce stress and impulsive decisions.
Develop a Clear Trading Plan: Outline your trading strategy, including entry and exit points. Stick to your plan to avoid knee-jerk reactions to market movements.
Use Stop Losses: Always set stop losses to manage risk effectively. This practice can save you from significant losses and emotional distress.
Establish a Morning Routine: Start your day with a routine that doesn’t involve trading. This helps create a balanced life and a clear mind for trading decisions.
Maintain a Trading Journal: Documenting your trades, strategies, and outcomes helps you learn from your experiences and refine your trading methods.
By recognizing these warning signs and implementing these tips, you can cultivate a more disciplined and successful trading practice. Happy trading!
Things you might like:
- Trend Key Points Indicator have been used to draw important key levels and key points.
- Abnormal Pin Bar indicator
TRADING TIPS That SERIOUS Traders Know ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)Trading can be like... following a diet🥨
You need a clear plan, but also some space for cheats. If you're prone to jump-in trading, have some funds available for it - trading should be fun! Take that risk. But plan for it. If you've spent your 10% high risk capitol for the month/quarter, then that's that.
- Look for Fractals
Fractals in higher timeframes such as the weekly are often reliable, as it points towards the cyclic nature of the market.
How did I make +118% on SOL? By following a fractal from the previous bull market:
- Learn Elliot Wave Theory
From the DOGE chart, we can see that Point 5 is not going to happen. (not that it won't happen at all, but just that it won't happen for the short term). How do I know this? ...Elliot Wave Theory. The EWT tells us that if point 4 retraces beyond point 1, the bullish impulse is invalidated. We are now more likely to slow bleed down to Point 2.
- Look for Reliable Patterns
Sometimes, certain patterns can be seen moments before they are finally "finished" forming. It's important to know the rules of these patterns, and trade reactively.
I knew where to short ETH. How did I know? The M-Pattern:
Deep Dive guide on Pattern-Trading here:
- Learn to Manage Risk with Leverage
Let's not duck around - Trading is risky but crypto trading is VERY RISKY. Make sure you have a strategy.
- Learn To Trade the Rotations
There's a secret pattern in the relationship between Bitcoin, Bitcoin Dominance and altcoins by market cap. Make sure you understand it before you take a leveraged trade:
- Pick a few Technical Indicators and STICK TO THEM
It's tempting to use whatever new indicator is the flavor of the day... but how will you ever learn the secrets? Technical indicators have "secrets". They look different on different markets. For example, SOL can be "Extremely Overbought" without correcting much for an extended period of time, where as Bitcoin usually corrects when the "Extremely Overbought" signal flashes. (This is an observation from using one indicator on many charts).
Personally, I love Bollinger Bands, Moving averages and Cryptocheck START V3.5 as my combo indicator.
That's how I called the beginning of the new Bullish season in November 2023:
It's important to note that none of these strategies are 100% fail proof. Even the best Wallstreet traders average on 58% per annum.
Stop trying to follow people who claim to make +1000000....% per annum. Often, these guys have lots of money to lose, in other words it's more a fly-by-night than studying charts for consistent wins.
As long as you're making more than interest rates from a fixed deposit at the bank - you're winning!
________________________
More Than Money 💸Hello, friends! 😊 What do you associate trading with? 🧐 For most of us it's exchanges and investments are primarily associated with big money. However, trading in the financial markets not only provides opportunities for earning but also for significant skill development and personal growth.
Here are the top 4 qualities that trading helps to develop:
1. Strategic thinking 🧠
Systematic approach and having a well-thought-out strategy distinguish a professional trader from a gambler. Seeing that Bitcoin is rising and immediately buying it – that's not how it works: You need to follow rules to earn not situatively, but in the long term. First and foremost, adhere to risk management, which determines 90% of success.
The main rules of risk management in trading that are useful in any endeavor:
In trading: Invest no more than 1-2% of your deposit in one trade.
In life: Don't put everything at stake for short-term gain: soberly assess what you can risk so you won't regret it later.
In trading: It's not so important how much you earn. It's more important how much you lose or don't lose.
In life: Weigh the pros and cons of every serious decision.
In trading: Diversify risks, invest in different instruments so that potential losses from one asset are offset by profits from another.
In life: Always have a plan B, and preferably plan C as well, to achieve your goal. Because if something can go wrong, it will.
In trading: Cut losses to a minimum, let profits grow.
In life: Don't waste energy, time, and resources on what doesn't bring benefits or doesn't work out. Strengthen what's strong: focus on what You do best.
2.Stress tolerance 🫨
Trading is not the easiest way to earn a living: you need to be mentally prepared for both profits and losses, not succumb to emotional impulses, and maintain self-control. Sometimes you have to " rise from the ashes " and start over from scratch. However, just like in life. Only 2-3% of traders have natural resilience: the rest need to develop it.
Here are some tips from me, which I have formulated from my own experience:
"To develop resilience, allow yourself to make mistakes, take on challenges, and solve complex problems. In doing so, you become stronger."
"Learn to be flexible, not confined to your internal boundaries. "
"Don't be afraid to be yourself, to develop internal freedom and individuality, so you can accept your mistakes without criticism. A successful trader is confident, free from societal judgment, and doesn't need to be perfect: they pursue their own goals, not dreams imposed by others."
3. Independence 🕊️
One of the main advantages of trading is freedom : there are no bosses above you, you manage your own time and resources, and you are solely responsible for your actions. You decide how, where, and how much to invest, what risks to take, and so on.
The ability to take responsibility for oneself, not blame others for one's mistakes, and be independent in decision-making is a quality that is valued not only in trading. Independent, self-aware individuals progress faster in their careers, build harmonious relationships, and establish large-scale businesses.
4. Developing 🎓
You can't learn trading once and for all: the market is not static, it's constantly changing. Yesterday, for example, only a few knew about cryptocurrencies, and today fortunes are made on them.
So don't miss the opportunity to learn more , interact with like-minded individuals. Thanks to the Trading View platform for providing such an opportunity. Here You can create your own charts, see what others think, and study educational content.
In conclusion , folks, trading is a unique simulator that develops discipline, forecasting skills, responsibility, independence, psychological resilience, and a drive for self-improvement. All You need is diligence, discipline, and a community of like-minded people! Wishing You success!😘
🫶If You found this post interesting, hit the like button or as it's called now (boost) and subscribe so You won't miss out!
Always sincerely yours, Kateryna💙💛
Kira!& Captain Renzo In a bustling town nestled by the sea, there was a young trader named Kira. Her dream was to navigate the vast and unpredictable market waters, much like a seasoned fisherman seeking the best catch. Her mentor, an old trader named Captain Renzo, often spoke of the market as a treacherous sea full of challenges and opportunities.
"Ahoy, Kira!" Captain Renzo would say with a twinkle in his eye. "The market is our battlefield, and our money is our ammunition. Every trade we make is like casting our net into the ocean."
Kira was eager to conquer this sea of opportunities, but she soon learned that dangers lurked beneath the surface. Captain Renzo taught her about the enemies of trading: Fear, Greed, Rush, and Hesitation.
"Fear can paralyze us, making us doubt our decisions," Captain Renzo warned. "Greed tempts us to chase after more, even when we've already secured a good catch."
Kira nodded, absorbing his wisdom. "And Rush," she asked, "what does Rush do?"
"Rush," Captain Renzo explained, "makes us act hastily without considering the currents of the market. And Hesitation? It causes us to miss out on great opportunities while we stand idle."
As Kira embarked on her trading journey, she encountered these enemies time and again. Fear whispered in her ear during market downturns, urging her to abandon ship. Greed beckoned her to hold on for just a little longer, risking everything for more profit.
But Captain Renzo had taught her well. He emphasized the importance of risk management above all else. "Just like a skilled sailor who knows the tides," he said, "a trader must understand risk. It's the compass that guides us through stormy seas."
Kira learned to beat Fear by calculating her risks before setting sail on a trade. She countered Greed by setting clear profit targets based on risk management principles. Rush was tamed through diligent technical analysis, ensuring she weighed her risks and rewards before casting her net.
One day, Kira shared her struggles with Captain Renzo. "Captain, sometimes I feel like I'm missing out on bigger opportunities."
Captain Renzo smiled knowingly. "Ah, Kira, remember the fisherman's tale. If you catch a fish, be grateful for your catch. Don't throw it back into the sea in pursuit of more. Those who master this patience and discipline become the whales of the market."
Kira nodded, her determination renewed. With each successful trade managed with discipline and risk awareness, she grew wiser and more confident. She knew that mastering these skills was the key to navigating the tumultuous market waters.
And so, armed with Captain Renzo's teachings and her own newfound resilience, Kira set sail each day, ready to face the enemies of trading and emerge victorious in the ever-changing sea of opportunities.
The Being of your story!
we ask Allah reconcile and repay
XAUUSD: The Year of the Bulls 🐃XAUUSD: The Year of the Bulls 🐃
The last month or so has been a bullish infused few weeks for the precious metal gold, having surged above the 2000 level late last year with a spike up to 2140 and then settling down for the remainder of 2023 whilst initially being calm in Q1 price volume started to pick up in late february where it has since scaled to new all time highs with no precedence of any slow down occurrence.
NFP (Non Farm Payroll) finished the week with a bang pushing price into new territory at 2336 where it sits at this moment, with a little correction looming it is likely that xauusd will continue its ascent into the next quarter section.
What do you see? #GBPAUDTake a look at the #GBPAUD chart. What do you see? As a trader, it's crucial to identify patterns and trends. My analysis shows potential for a bullish breakout after landing near the support level of 1.91750 . With potential targets at around 1.96500 . But what's your perspective? Let's talk.
A rapid BTC and SOL uptrend worries me for my behaviour.For me as a swing trader, it's the first time I am dealing with uncomfortable emotions while the uptrend is remarkable going on and on... My thoughts are dealing with a mix of unbelief and trust issues. For all those traders with similar awareness, I put a list together of psychologic behaviour I have to deal with right now (12th of March 2024). I have decided to wait for selling due to all these in the list below.
1. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) : When prices are rising quickly, there's a tendency to fear missing out on potential profits, leading to impulsive buying decisions.
2. Overconfidence : Success in a rising market can lead to overconfidence, causing traders to take on excessive risk or neglect proper risk management strategies.
3. Herd Mentality : Traders may feel pressured to follow the crowd, leading to crowded trades and increased volatility.
4. Confirmation Bias : Traders might seek out information that confirms their bullish bias, ignoring or downplaying negative indicators or news.
5. Greedy Behavior : Greed can cloud judgment, causing traders to hold onto positions for too long, even when signs of a reversal or correction are present.
6. Panic Selling : Despite the overall uptrend, sudden dips or corrections can trigger panic selling among traders, exacerbating market volatility.
Being aware of these psychological tendencies can help you stay disciplined, adhere to your trading strategy, and avoid making emotionally driven decisions.
HINDUNILVR--Demand Zone @2300 ??This stock is trading in a range bound from long time...
facing resistance on top at 2720 levels, and finding support at 2440 levels multiple times.
on bottom side at 2300, we have great demand zone.
look for buy when price comes to these levels.
A drop base drop, may be possible in this stock...wait until price breaks the trendline and wait for retest then look for short.
or buy when price test this demand zone.
Mastering Stop-Loss with ATR IndicatorMastering Stop-Loss and Take-Profit with ATR Indicator
What is the ATR Indicator?
The Average True Range (ATR) indicator is a nifty tool that helps traders gauge the market's volatility. Simply, it tells you how much an asset typically moves in a given timeframe.
Placing Stop Loss to Avoid Getting Stopped Out
Step 1: Identify ATR Value
Look at the ATR indicator on your chart; it's usually at the bottom or top of your screen.
Note the ATR value; the higher it is, the more volatile the market.
Step 2: Setting Stop Loss
Set your stop loss beyond the ATR value to avoid getting prematurely stopped due to regular market fluctuations.
For instance, if the ATR is 50, consider placing your stop loss at least 60 points away to give your trade room to breathe.
Understand ATR's Role
ATR not only helps with stopping losses but also guides in setting realistic take-profit levels.
It gives you an idea of how much the asset can move in a given time, assisting you in capturing profits before a potential reversal.
Final Tips for Beginners
Adapt to Market Changes: ATR values change as market conditions shift. Stay adaptable and reassess your stop-loss and take-profit levels accordingly.
Practice on Demo Accounts: Before diving into live trading, practice using the ATR indicator on demo accounts. Gain confidence and refine your strategy without risking real money.
In essence, the ATR indicator is your ally in navigating market volatility. By using it wisely, you can enhance your risk management, safeguarding your trades from unnecessary stop-outs while optimizing your profit potential. Happy trading! 📈✨
Tips To Become A Better TraderBecoming the consistently successful trader you aspire to be requires the creation of a new version of yourself, akin to a sculptor crafting a model. The attainment of financial success is a byproduct of acquiring and mastering specific mental skills. Embracing the mantra "I am a consistently successful trader" entails prioritizing consistency over any other rationale for engaging in trading.
To achieve this, it is crucial to recognize that the extent of your success is directly tied to your ability to minimize the assumption of future market movements. Seven key beliefs guide the path to consistency:
1. Objectively identifying edges.
2. Predefining the risk for each trade.
3. Accepting the risk or gracefully exiting trades.
4. Executing trades confidently based on identified edges.
5. Appropriately compensating oneself as profits materialize.
6. Continuously monitoring susceptibility to errors.
7. Recognizing the absolute necessity of consistent success principles and adhering to them unwaveringly.
Trust in oneself is paramount, as susceptibility to errors rooted in rationalization, justification, hesitation, hope, and impatience can undermine success. A future projection of a successful trader necessitates growth into that role, recognizing and addressing common problems such as an unwillingness to create rules, failure to take responsibility, and addiction to random rewards.
The development of a trader mindset unfolds in three stages:
1. Mechanical stage: Building self-trust, flawless execution of a trading system, thinking in probabilities, and fostering unshakeable belief in consistency.
2. Subjective stage: Utilizing learned market insights freely.
3. Intuitive stage: Operating on intuition.
Trading involves meticulous steps:
1. Choosing a market.
2. Defining edge variables precisely.
3. Executing trades based on rigid system parameters.
4. Determining stop-loss exits based on market structure.
5. Selecting a consistent time frame for all signals.
6. Scaling out of winning positions with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
7. Rigorous testing of chosen variables for effectiveness.
In summary, success in trading lies not only in mastering market knowledge but, more crucially, in cultivating a disciplined mindset and adhering to proven principles.
What do you do when your trading plan fails? Yesterday I wrote about a beautiful chart pattern that was forming on the Bitcoin daily time frame that ended up failing not long after I wrote the post. That kind of thing will shake a trader to their core, especially if they thought it was going to play out, but ended up losing their shirt.
This is why it is important to set stop losses, so that if the trade does go the other way, you will be out of the trade before it gets too bad. This is simply called risk management, and is one of the biggest things that any trader, especially new traders need to master.
Trading is a business of statistics and probabilities. Just because something has worked for you in the past, doesn't mean it is going to work for you every time. So when something like a bullish pattern that you have traded many times fails, you have to reassess and move on to the next trade. Out of 100 trades, that pattern may only work 6 or 7 times which gives you a 60-70% chance of it working in your favor. That's how it works, nothing is ever 100% in this game. So you always have to be ready for things to not work out the way you think they should.
If they don't work out, don't freak out! Just learn from your mistakes, readjust your plan, and move along to the next trade! Hopefully things like this will help you better understand the importance of a good risk management plan.
Be safe out there everyone and trade logically!
looking for 50 percent of rise in 25 weeks from 27-11-23
**KD Leisures Limited** (KDLL) is a holding company that operates in the hospitality and entertainment sectors. The company's principal activities include the ownership and operation of hotels, restaurants, and bars. KDLL also owns interests in real estate and other investments.
KDLL is a relatively small company with a market capitalization of approximately ₹100 crore. The company's stock is thinly traded, and it has a wide bid-ask spread.
KDLL's financial performance has been mixed in recent years. The company's revenue has been relatively stable, but its profits have been volatile. In recent years, KDLL has been struggling with high debt levels.
KDLL's stock price is currently trading at ₹6.63 per share. The stock has a 52-week high of ₹13.73 and a 52-week low of ₹6.30.
**Here are some of the factors that could affect KDLL's stock price in the future:**
* The overall performance of the hospitality and entertainment sectors
* The company's ability to manage its debt levels
* The company's ability to execute its growth plans
* The company's financial performance