TLT Long US10Y heading to negative by Q1 2021. The bottleneck of current economy is not lenders not willing to lend, but borrowers not willing to borrow.
Tltanalysis
TLT - 20+Year Treasury Bond ETF s/r zonesHello traders,
Description of the analysis:
Strong s/r zones. If the first support will be broken, it should mean support for shares. The VIX index, as the main indicator of panic in the markets, is also slowly beginning to gradually return to its normal values. Market ties that were valid yesterday may not be valid tomorrow, so invest and trade wisely and carefully.
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund (4 000 000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob
TLT To The Sky As Fed Plans Negative Interest Rates Policy?Whetever the Elliott wave count (triangle, flat,...), it looks like we are going higher...
TLT, gap fill or pop?Below 162 and this could be heading for a gap fill to lower, if it stays above then it could pop back up to 164 or higher, there were call sweeps for 4/17 at the ask of 175 (10k)
TLT weakness & bond weakness, TLT down to $132TLT is a 20+ year bond ETF that made strong highs throughout the rate-cutting cycle and rightfully so. The inversion of bonds vs the equity market has caused bond yields to drop and because of that since the price of bonds is directly inversely correlated to their yields, prices in TLT and other bonds have been increasing. The low rates have come to a halt as the rate-cutting cycle has stopped, or so we think it has. TLT has since then entered a downtrend in a channel and looks to be continuing in that respect. Bond yields are so low, that the convergence with the SPX is imminent, we've seen a slow increase in yields which will further push the price of TLT down. Another factor is that the equity market is continuously showing strength and looks to be on the rise for the next few months based on FED policy to pump more money into the economy. The volume on TLTto the upside has decreased as well and every swing lower is accompanied by strong volume.
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only, this does not constitute investment advice. TRADEPRO Academy is not liable for any market activity based on this idea.
