TLT may have already bottomed out & the US10Y topped out with weekly hammer candles. TLT may find equilibrium at 132, my inflation pivot zone while US10Y may stabilize at 3.6% inflection point retesting its upchannel. TLT is now completing its M-pattern & has just entered my bullish BUY ZONE at 114 to 120. DCA Dollar cost averaging up from this point presents a...
Alright, interesting candle on the one week on TLT : In my opinion this is a Takuri Line. The body is small and the close happens near the high (I am not 100% satisfied with this classification since it has an upper shadow but it is 16% of overall candle). The lower shadow is more than three times the body length (3.37). So it fits the takuri line definition....
TPs of 125 and 130 seem reasonable with massive growth deceleration coming. Maybe even ~140
Look at the pivot finally form? It’s been a long fall but look at the change of the pivot finally forming. Anyone else see this reversal?
TLT (20+ Years Treasury Bond ETF) Huge drop since January 2022. If you connect all the big lows since 2013 and draw a line you will notice that TLT is now sitting on a huge support and has starting to bounce off the 119 level (Green line). RSI weekly and daily oversold. Let's see if we can get a decent bounce. I'm long April 29 call. We can target 125,...
After the whole round trip that started when covid hit, I think we are getting closer to a big, long position in bonds. The price range on the chart is where I will start buying and expecting to see seller exhaustion and trouble pushing it down further. Sentiment is really weak and you have people late to party trying to short right now to pick pennies in front of...
TLT looks to be close to finding a bottom. I could see TLT finding a bottom in the $138-141 range then basing for a couple of weeks before rallying higher in early November. Key dates and levels on the chart. My macro thesis is that we're at the start of a larger pullback in markets and money will flow to treasuries as a safety net. Dates align on both the S&P...
The US bond market got it right in 1936, in 1947, 2008, 2011, and it still has it right today. The people doing the real dollar printing are the same people that run the biggest repo and bond trading desks - they know what's up (and it's not inflation).
Readers familiar with traditional financial world will recognise the generational downtrend of every interest rate (inverse of Bond prices) charts. US 30 Year Bond Rates are set to go near zero before the immortal rate Bear is final through. TVC:US30 TVC:US30Y NASDAQ:TLT CBOT:UB1!
Admittedly, the above Chart is Richly Busy. The Crux this is the true "Don't Fight The Fed" expression. Long Strong the Final Bond, with this upside breakout. NASDAQ:TLT
Based on the updated chart formations, I expect the US10y to fall out of this rising channel with a floor of around 1.0, then rapidly rise to at least 1.95. This should begin to play out over the next 1-2weeks. The theory becomes invalid if yields continue to rise in the channel to above 1.36.
Expecting $TLT to go to around $154 before a small pullback with a start to a solid uptrend.
Looks like the craze over high interest rates is coming to a congestion zone. If you go back to 2019, there were hella buyers at $135. I think we are getting to the point where such high interest rates, while the stock market is still skyrocketing, and yet the global economy has not recovered; or said better, investors are in denial. When interest rates are low,...
here is more explanation of my last video that why we have 3 targets based on elliot waves. there are 3 elliot waves from small to big picture that gives us some classics theoretical targets. does it mean we will reach all of them? does we even pass them? or we reject from here again? all possible!!! if you are a trader more than even 1yr you know that ALL...
Wow, So who would have thought that we'd get here? Just about any person in the space would say that they knew and called it but with so many saying and believing how many are just simple repeats of thought outside of their own view without even being aware of the cultist view crypto harbors to simply just follow and buy at the Top? Perhaps not "you" but many...
Careful I think I just spotted a Dolphin!?! I think most have an opinion on ADA like everything else in the world. Hate it or love it they know how to put on a show on just like the Dolphins at SEAS "SeaWorld" . LOL The recent news or lack of has likely sparked zero new ideas for the majority of traders for ADA most thoughts you could travel back to 2017 and get...
Yes, ADA has been a main squeeze of mine over the years. Waiting for a day that seemed would come COINBASE! "But you have been short!" they shout. Sure, I have but I am bullish as well. We have seen awesome moves up with next sell feeling better than the last. Sometime ago thanksgiving day actually I scrambled to get my Binance account made back in 2017. LOL The...