Looking for something like this to unfold heading into elections USA. The orange line is 10 yr Tbonds yields. So they inverse each other. When yields rise so do stocks and exactly the opposite when yields fall. Thinking a nice long set up on TLT options will be presented very soon maybe end Oct.
Hello traders, Description of the analysis: Strong s/r zones. If the first support will be broken, it should mean support for shares. The VIX index, as the main indicator of panic in the markets, is also slowly beginning to gradually return to its normal values. Market ties that were valid yesterday may not be valid tomorrow, so invest and trade wisely and...
Whetever the Elliott wave count (triangle, flat,...), it looks like we are going higher...
Hitting a bottom here. Weekly divergence, long term play Good luck!
TLT is a 20+ year bond ETF that made strong highs throughout the rate-cutting cycle and rightfully so. The inversion of bonds vs the equity market has caused bond yields to drop and because of that since the price of bonds is directly inversely correlated to their yields, prices in TLT and other bonds have been increasing. The low rates have come to a halt as the...
Evening traders, been a while since I shared my thoughts. I'm looking to enter short on TLT, as it's approaching historic over-extension. Let's dive in at the key points: 1) It's gapped up and will likely close outside the BB, should lead to down movement next week. 2) Short term squeeze has begun to trigger, this week is likely the top. 3) RSI is overbought...
TLT's longterm trend is down (see higher TF's). The daily TF presents a pullback. If price can break through the tiny (orange) shelf, we have a nice trade on the plate, at least down to the Centerline (my personal TGT1). P!
I am going to keep fixing this until it's perfect. Call this an updated chart.
Added trendlines to the first post.
I have really worked the TLT Daily chart and would like to share with you my thoughts exactly. Enjoy!
With US rates rising significantly in the past couple of months - how should a trader play this Being structurally short $TLT offers significant upside with a Put Butterfly Spread We have outlined trade which can be accessed on profile however a summary is provided 2 Month Put Skew is 3.62 standard Deviations above its 1 year mean 2 Month Volatility is 1.58...
Let me warn you now, this is not a fundamental or technical analysis based trade. This is a speculation on my behalf based on a simple theory. As the US Federal Reserve continues to rise interest rates up to 3x this year, is it time that a true bear market in fixed income has come to fruition? Are the "safe" government bonds becoming one of the worst asset...