On this 4H Chart TMF has rallied in the past week about 9% as the reports of the impetus of inflation has diminished. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines are staying above the histogram which has not converted from negative to positive. The dual time frame RSI showing low 1 hour TF in blue and daily TF in black has the lower crossing over the higher both at...
TMV is an ETF Shorting the Treasuries. On the 2H chart, price is rising as the treasuries are suffering value contraction while interest rates are steady or projected to rise. The chart shows rising volumes, upwards volatility as well as a PV Trend demonstrating trend strength. I see these all as confirmatory for bullish momentum. I will take a long trade into...
TMF completed an uptrend from 3/28 to 4/6 and then a retracement of it. It is now positioned above the 0.5 Fibonacci level also the VWAP of the anchored multisession VWAP indicator in the fair value ( and high volatility ) area also near to and importantly above the POC line of the intermediate-term volume profile. This high confluence yields strong support...
Long on TLT here.. I think we could see 99-102 fairly soon with a huge reversal in the coming days. 100 lvl broke through and sold hard, I believe this will be a fake breakdown and if anything could be bottoming or reversing soon.
US30Y - 41 yr bull market in bonds comes to an abrupt end. US30Y yields headed much much higher.
Here's another perfect long term channel. It is a log chart of $TLT. I am long $TMF (3x leveraged ETF ). No price target yet as I want to see how this whole thing plays out.
We might be in a paradox where Interest rates and the Stock market (S&P 500) both move up together.
Yield's are tapping the top of this downtrend established since 1981 while the monthly RSI is at the most overbought levels we've ever seen. Also we can see that the yields are above the 144 monthly moving average that typically acts as resistance. There is still a possibility at this rate, with how crazy this market is, that it could blow out of this channel...
Soon it might be a good time to buy TLT or TMF. The top for bond yields looks near to me as it gets close to this channel top. A good confirmation for a pullback would be to watch for a break in the stoch support. You could argue that it is also making a megaphone pattern with the support at 2.6% and the resistance at the channel top. I looked into this pattern...
Contrarian bet against the onslaught of bond bears. RH Technicals vs. WallStreet - Clean, MACD Bullish Divergence - Descending Triangle, Completed E-wave signals new trend. - 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement hit; Also referred to as the Golden Retracement . It is, after all, based on the Golden Ratio. - And potentially a False Breakdown, likely to mirror the False...
Swing sell signal will likely trigger this morning on TLT . To be confirmed at the open but ... looking good. ... The above are for education and entertainment only. They must not be interpreted as investment advice nor recommendations. Trade at your own risk and mostly, trade safely and keep safe! Cheers!
I was waiting for the end of the wave to occur, but with the appearance of a descending wedge I know a buy opportunity awaits us. My apologies, I was just a little early! What worries me though is that with a rise in the treasuries perhaps the wider market will sell off?
There's a wiff of deflation in the air and the market has broadly, although not chaotically, sold off. It appears like a massive ascending wedge is developing in Treasuries.
TLT has pulled back to a very key trend line with additonal supports coming in below. On the hourly chart, we have positive divergence on TLT meaning we should see upside soon in the short term. Given the postures of the markets and how treasuries act as a flight to safety asset, it is reasonable to assume they will go up in price as stocks fall. For this trade,...
NASDAQ:DBX is showing bullish divergence on the daily chart on multiple indicators. I have the Twiggs money Flow (TMF) and RSI above, and Stochastics below the daily chart. You can also find bullish divergence on the hourly chart with the extended hours. It's respecting fib retracements nicely. An entry anywhere around 32 gives great odds regardless if DBX...
I posted this as neutral because it can go either way from here. I shorted the future 2 days ago but did not buy TMV in my 401k. For those who are short, this is a take profit area if support holds. I will put a tight stop loss here. A long position can be taken here depending on the price action. If it breaks support and the uptrend line, short at an...