TON Toncoin Price Target after Court approves FTX LiquidationGiven the recent developments in the crypto space, there are several factors that point towards a bearish outlook:
FTX Liquidation of $3.4 Billion in Crypto Assets: The approval by the Delaware Bankruptcy Court for FTX to liquidate $3.4 billion in crypto assets is a significant event. This influx of a substantial amount of cryptocurrency into the market could potentially lead to an oversupply situation. When a large amount of assets is dumped into the market at once, it can put downward pressure on prices.
Limited Sales in the First Week: The imposed limit of $50 million for the first week indicates a controlled release of these assets. This may imply that FTX anticipates potential market disruption if a large volume is sold at once. However, even with controlled release, the market could still experience downward pressure.
Potential for Increased Limits: The provision for increasing the limit with the approval of the creditors’ committee and ad hoc committee, or potentially even up to $200 million weekly with court approval, shows that there's room for further selling pressure in the coming weeks.
Binance US CEO Resignation: The resignation of Binance US President and CEO, Brian Shroder, could potentially signal internal challenges within the exchange. Leadership changes in major crypto exchanges can lead to uncertainty and can impact market sentiment.
Asset List: The assets listed for liquidation include some of the major cryptocurrencies in the market such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, WBTC, WETH, USDT, SOL, XRP, STG, APT, BIT, DOGE, MATIC, FTT, TON and more. If a significant portion of these assets are sold off, it could have a widespread impact on the market.
Market Sentiment and Confidence: These events combined might lead to a loss of confidence in the crypto market, especially if investors perceive them as signs of instability or potential oversupply.
Regulatory Considerations: The fact that a bankruptcy court is involved in this process highlights the regulatory environment surrounding cryptocurrencies. Heightened regulatory scrutiny or intervention can have a dampening effect on the market.
Considering the above, my Price Target for TON Toncoin is $1.44.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Toncoin
TON/USD 12hour UPDATE BY CRYPTO SANDERS !!hello, welcome to this TON/USD update by CRYPTO SANDERS.
CHART ANALYSIS:- Toncoin (TON) was one of Thursday’s notable gainers, as the price rallied by as much as 4% in today’s session.
Following a low of 1.75 on Wednesday, TON/USD rose to a peak of 1.88, earlier in today’s session.
The move comes days after the token reached a high of 2.05, which was the highest point it has hit since May.
, the rise in price comes as the relative strength index (RSI) jumped to a floor of 60.00.
At the time of writing, the index is tracking at 63.35, with the next point of resistance around 66.00.
In the event it moves beyond this level, there is a good chance that the price will move back towards 2.00.
I have tried to bring the best possible outcome to this chart.
Hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
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TON/USD 1DAY UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS !!hello, welcome to this TON/USD update by CRYPTO SANDERS.
CHART ANALYSIS:-Toncoin (TON) also moved higher to start the week, with the token hitting a fresh multi-month high.
TON/USD peaked at 1.93 on Labor Day, following a low of 1.85 during Sunday’s session.
toncoin climbed to its most vital point since May 8, when the price reached a high of 2.08.
The RSI on TON continues to reside over the 70.00 mark, meaning that price strength remains overbought.
This has not prevented bulls from continuing to send the token higher, with the 2.00 level as the perceived target for traders.
I have tried to bring the best possible outcome to this chart.
Hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
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TON Level of the Market makerThe purchase was at the level of 1.1545 in the purchase zone of 1.3168-1.0121
Now the price is in a conditional triangle at the level of the market maker 1.9107
The price of the trading volume is 1.4008
The price of the total volume was 2.2786
Events:
Exit from the triangle with anchoring
Volume Price level test
Entrance to the control zone 2.43-3.10
Level 3.95
Control zone 4.92-7.80
Just in case, exit down with a pin
Level 0.77
Buy zone, averaging 0.61-0.37
Bucket 0.498
TON. All eyes on me.Given the market state, the lack of TON correlation with the entire market looks rather curious. TON goes in the opposite direction, growing by 47% from the local minimum. Don't forget, behind the ecosystem is the world's largest messenger with almost 1 billion users on board. Small by the standards of the leading TVL blockchains, it allows you to see TON chain slightly from a different vector... The growth potential opens up huge. My previous ideas were negative in relation to TON and its ecosystem. Now, I admit my mistake. I underestimated this thing.
Probably, the price will move in the 1.76 - 1.53 range if it does not go higher and does not touch the lower border of the ascending channel. But, this may be prevented by overbought on RSI. Although, assets can be overbought for months and this is not a 100% metric.
Toncoin & Telegram Toncoin price today is $2.5 with a 24hour trading volume of 40 million dollar. TON price is up 3% in the last 24 hours and 50% up in a month and some traders still believe crypto is ded and boring!
Telegram building a crypto exchange and non-custodial wallets right now and using TON blockchain to buy and sell telegram usernames on Fragment website which is pretty cool.
In worst days of market TON hit another all time high and the chart still looks strong. Toncoin listed on Bybit and you can stake it on OKX exchange for 200% APY.
TonBtc is in correction phase as you see. for scalpers 2.2 - 2.7$ is a good range for making some money
TONUSD Major bullish break-out on Inverse Head and Shoulders!Toncoin (TONUSD) broke last week above the April Lower Highs trend-line as well as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That is a major bullish break-out and as yesterday the price got rejected near the July 22 High (Resistance), it is forming an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). Technically the target is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (1.9165) but we will settle for a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) contact. The buy confirmation signal is a break above the July 22 High.
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TON. How things? - ask retail investors.Sometimes you can get backlash from your user base if you don't let them get cash out. Or are they here for the tech, sir? The global ascending channel that lasted a year has been destroyed. Target $0.7 - considering the most negative mood in social media and the general dissatisfaction with the direction of the project development, it is worth thinking about the likely price target achievement after breaking through the channel.
Also, keep in mind that the initial coins distribution was not rational... Since in the first two months 90% of the coins were distributed among a certain group of miners who picked up the project after the Durov's abandoned development after SEC claims.
TON coinHello everyone! Today, I want to share an interesting piece of news about the TON coin. Recently, Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram, announced the issuance of Telegram bonds. He shared this information on his official channel.
Furthermore, Durov stated that he also holds BTC and TON. This indicates his trust in these cryptocurrencies and may have a positive impact on their fate.
I have written about the TON coin and its prospects multiple times before. Personally, I hold TON coins for the long term, and if the price continues to rise, it will be pleasant.
In my analysis, I have identified an interesting zone where I plan to set a limit order in case of price decline.
TON Toncoin Potential Short Tern ReversalTON Toncoin currently demonstrates short-term upside potential, suggesting the possibility of a reversal and an upward price movement in the near term. The price action indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, with increasing buying interest that could drive the price higher.
Considering the short-term upside potential, a target of $1.55 could be set for TONCOIN. This target represents the projected level that could be reached if the reversal and upward momentum continue.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
TON Toncoin has been classified as a security by the SEC !The SEC's classification of Telegram's Gram (TON) as a security highlights the regulatory scrutiny surrounding certain cryptocurrencies. This classification implies that Gram tokens are considered investment contracts, subjecting them to securities regulations and requirements. Such regulatory actions aim to protect investors and ensure compliance within the evolving cryptocurrency landscape.
It reinforces the importance for cryptocurrency projects to navigate the regulatory landscape diligently and ensure compliance with applicable securities laws to foster investor confidence and industry growth.
My Price Target for TON is $0.73.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
TON has significant potentialHi traders! Today we're talking about TON, a coin that is trading in an ascending channel.
On the TON/USD chart, we can see that the coin has been trading in an ascending channel for some time now. This means that the price of TON is increasing within the two parallel lines that form the channel.
What does this mean for traders? If we look at the TON chart in the context of the ascending channel, we can expect the price to continue to rise. Of course, this doesn't mean that the price can't fall, but growth is more likely in this context.
What are some possible entry points? If we consider the ascending channel, we can look for possible entry points at the support line of the channel. In other words, when the price of TON reaches the lower line of the channel, it may be an ideal time to enter into a buy trade.
Of course, we always need to be cautious and use additional analysis tools to confirm our decisions. But overall, the ascending channel is a very interesting indicator for traders who want to profit on TON.
It's also worth noting that TON has a significant potential for growth in the future, as the project has a strong team and a large community of supporters. So, if you want to take a position in TON, it's worth considering the possibility of entering into a trade within the ascending channel.
TON/USDT Analysis Update in Daily 🎯tonHI Friends 🌟
As we mentioned in the previous analysis of TON cryptocurrency; The price reacted by hitting the level of $2.9 and the selling pressure caused this cryptocurrency to enter the corrective phase. This price correction continued until close to the 0.618 Fibonacci line and the $1.8 support area. After finishing the corrective phase, the price was able to react to the resistance area of $2.7 again.
With the break of the red uptrend line to the bottom, the price is expected to choose the support areas of $2.2, $2 and $1.8 to form a reversal pattern.
Arztoday Team 💙
Analyzer ✍: AR.Rashidi
The Open NetworkThe processor is a device that contributes to a lot of intelligent delays organized in such a way that it seems logical in the output. The essence of its speed lies in the fact that the user can pay for additional equipment with the same chip in order to realize the "missed advantage" visually or aurally.
I don't think they're belittled by talk about their low level of performance as they are all examples of high aspiration. It works. You see, in all other theoretical disciplines, everyone wants to move faster, they want more knowledge and power from their authority, they want more information, points of view, secret teachings. But once you get to the existential experience, the accelerator becomes less interesting than the location of the brakes, which is what we're looking for. We're not trying to push it, we know how to push it to a speed we can't bear.
The inflation-adjusted deficit trend is the same!
TON. Project with the largest possible user base in space.The formation of ascending triangle lasted 175 days ended with a breakdown with subsequent testing. Price also touched moving average, which is a watershed at the moment. If we go below the moving average - this is a bearish signal, if above - in this case, the likely target after ascending triangle breakdown = $4.9.
Be patient with TonCoinGo back and look at any new asset on the daily chart and it will very often have long wicks to both the upside and downside. Pay close attention to that data as they will almost always take price back to both the high and low at some stage. We just never know when.
I couldn't care less about it's fundamentals but I think the market makers have big plans for TON and I am looking forward to adding it to the list of assets that I trade. Currently, I can only trade it Long so I have to be patient and wait for it to come back down in order to get a suitable entry point. Lucky you if you are able to short TON. The question is - will it go all the way down to 50 cents to recover that wick?
For now, patience is the order of the day and I have set an alert for $1.33 - a level at which I will start paying attention. If it paints a peak formation around that level then I will start to trade it. If not, then I will create an alert at $1 where I will once again pay attention. If it does not bounce from there then it will almost certainly go all the way down to 50c.
Let me know your thoughts on TON and whether or not you think it will recover those wicks.
TON: Overrated project or the FUTURE of crypto market?Hello! This is the third article in a fundamental project analysis (check the first one about Aptos and the second about Solana ). In this idea, we will analyze one of the most controversial projects of the last 2-3 months - TON. The main goal of this article is to show you the project from various perspectives, to provide all information about the project and our estimation of that information, and in conclusion we'll tell you our opinion on what to do with the project and how you can earn from it. In some way, this article will be beneficial to both experienced traders and newcomers to the market. Please leave your comments after reading it and subscribe to our other resources; we want to know what you think!
The project and its token
The Open Network successor to Telegram Open Network - native token TON successor to Gram.
What is the project?
TON is Layer one blockchain.
Working on The Open Network's (hereinafter TON) predecessor, Telegram Open Network (hereinafter Gram), began in 2018. Gram raised $1.7 billion in private sales to investors in April 2018, but fundraising did not stop there. Gram crashed as a result of the decision to hold an ICO under US jurisdiction, after which the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) recognized Gram as a security and declared all previous sales of Gram to investors to be illegal securities distributions. Litigation ensued between the SEC and Telegram, and the SEC won. Consequently, Telegram halted Gram development and began returning funds to investors who had decided to exit the project. The TON project was already well underway, with a team of developers and active users. Many of those who were excited about Gram joined the TON team.
PRODUCT PART
Key mechanics:
Proof of Stake consensus algorithm – network security is dependent on validators checking blocks and delegates trusting their tokens to validators to increase network security
Sharding – blockchain speed, scalability and higher throughput
TON Proxy – access to the TON blockchain via a decentralized VPN and TOR-like network. Increased decentralization and accessibility.
TON DNS – domain names similar to ENS on Ethereum, but TON has integrated their application thanks to Telegram support.
STRENGTHS:
TON's product strengths are not based on a technical stack; in 2022, sharding was implemented and is being implemented in blockchains. Claimed blockchain TPSs are breaking all records, and scalability is one of the key issues that all teams are working on.
TON's strengths are primarily in the user sector, where they are working to improve user experience and acceptance of TON. This is definitely a good thing, or it would be a good thing if Telegram didn't lose the trial in 2020, or it would be even better if there was no trial and the ICO took place in any other jurisdiction. TON, or Gram in that case, would already be among the top ten projects in terms of capitalization, dictating trends in the industry.
WEAKNESSES:
TON is not a self-sufficient project ; its entire success is dependent on a single narrative, Telegram integration. Without Telegram's support, TON as a project would have lagged behind the first hundred projects in terms of capitalization, and it would have been remembered as, yes, it was a solid idea, but these guys lacked originality.
To use an analogy, imagine Aptos coming out not with the idea, scalability, a new approach to the role of L1 blockchains, and its unique concepts, but as a project that might one day be integrated into Facebook or Instagram. And Zuckerberg was tweeting about his plans to incorporate Aptos DEX into his apps. Of course, everyone would shout LFG and To the Moon for the APT token, but the project would no longer be unique; we would no longer be able to appreciate Aptos as a project, but rather as a third-party add-on to social networks.
That is exactly what TON is; the project itself did not introduce any new ideas; it is simply a project that will most likely be fully integrated with Telegram at some point. TON is not a bad standalone project, but it is far from the best. The uniqueness and added value of TON tokens are solely dependent on Pavel Durov's will and integration solutions.
If any reader disagrees with these assertions, consider what TON has brought to the table as a unique project that we have not seen before.
Let's look at some examples:
1. Ethereum created the first and most stable DeFi ecosystem on the market, and advanced concepts and ideas (DAO, DeFi, NFT, SBT, Sharding, ENS, L2 solutions) were conceived and implemented within Ethereum.
2. Solana is a one-of-a-kind project with one-of-a-kind concepts such as no mem-pool and combining validation and consensus algorithms to increase TPS. On the product side, Solana has enabled users to earn dozens of times on DeFi and NFT, and the ecosystem has spawned some of the most well-known DAOs and projects.
3. Near is still considered one of the most technologically advanced blockchains, with a decently integrated EVM-like network for asset migration. Yes, there were marketing gaffes, and the network did not receive the attention it deserved. However, there was an attempt, as well as a narrative within the ecosystem.
What exactly did TON provide as an individual project??
BUSINESS PART
How does the product make money?
Any L1 solution has 4 basic ways to make money:
1. Selling native tokens representing the team's portion of the total number of tokens.
2. Selling their infrastructure for commercial use by other projects.
3. Investing in other projects.
4. Attracting investment – while we do not consider this a full-fledged way to make money, it does provide funds for operational and strategic actions.
Lets analyze each and try to figure out how TON will make a profit:
1. Selling tokens is a well-established practice; everyone sells a certain percentage of tokens, and that percentage is primarily determined by the team's intentions for the product. If the team views its project as long-term, and things are going well within the project, a small portion of tokens are typically sold, or no tokens are sold at all. If you have funds for development, it is far more profitable to accumulate native tokens rather than sell them to the market, especially if the market is in a slump.
2. Selling their infrastructure – rarely can any project make a good profit on this; typically, buyers are large projects that already generate a profit from their operations. These parameters are well met by projects on large and active blockchains, such as Ethereum. TON lacks critical mass; the ecosystem currently lacks the required number of users and full-fledged businesses.
3. Investments are typically venture capital investments in the most promising projects within the ecosystem or in projects outside the ecosystem that can benefit your ecosystem. The average investment horizon is 3-5 years; such activity does not provide money immediately, as good investors will not drain the tokens of the project in which they have invested. The token's price is the most effective marketing tool. In the long run, it could be a good source of income for TON, but not right now. Furthermore, there are no such promising projects within TON; the ecosystem is still in its early stages, and the best projects for investment will emerge later, namely after the ecosystem's initial establishment and consolidation.
4. Attracting investment – everything is ambiguous here; we don't know who these people and companies are who are investing in TON, so this section is based on hypotheses and assumptions. Only one thing is certain: TON has money, or they would have to provide all marketing and project development for native TON tokens. According to one version, after the project's closure, some of Gram's private investors decided to invest their money in TON. There is also speculation that Telegram invested funds in its subsidiary project. Throughout the existence of TON, there was no public information about sums and investment rounds raised, we know nothing about splits and vesting periods of early investors, in fact, we know almost nothing. We only assume that at some point TON had enough funds to develop the project.
Okay, we've sorted through all four TON earning opportunities; the most important at this point in the project's development is selling tokens and attracting investments. Considering all non-transparency, until the policy on informing collection of new rounds is changed in TON will be invested by individuals and angels, funds, particularly those within the jurisdiction of the United States, hardly decide to invest their funds, many of them did not do it during Gram's flourishing, so after all litigations between Telegram and SEC crypto institutes will most likely decide to reinsure. This severely restricts TON's ability to attract investment.
We can't say how much influence investors can have on the price because we don't know the webcasts and splits, investor shares, and other key nuances of tokenomics. If we assume that the TON investor is only interested in making a profit, we already have two large groups of sellers: the project team and its investors. Keep in mind that there are groups of advisors and validators within the project who also receive native tokens and must lock in profits.
Team
We know nothing about the current TON team; previously, the key people at Gram were Pavel Durov and Nikolay Durov. Pavel is likely no longer a member of the team after Telegram officially closed the Gram project. Because of Pavel's dedication to TON, one can assume that his brother Nikolai is a key figure in the TON project. There is no more public information about the team, and there is nothing on which to base a hypothesis.
Funds and investors
All investments were private, and no information about the individuals or total amounts invested in the TON project is publicly available
Tokenomics
Current number of tokens: 5 billion TON
Number of tokens in circulation: 1.2 billion TON
Market capitalization: ~3 bln.
Total market capitalization: $12.2 billion
The token employs an issuance model based on the underlying inflation rate, the higher the price - the higher the rate, the higher the rate - the higher the issuance
The annual inflation rate is currently 0.6%
The target annual inflation rate indicated in the TON whitepaper is 2%
If the issue is proportional to the inflation rate, we will have at least 25 million new TON tokens per year at the current rate of 0.6%, and when the target rate of 2% is reached, we will have 100 million tokens per year. It should also be noted that issuance is typically based on the number of tokens issued, and the more tokens we have in the market, the higher the issuance will be in absolute numbers.
It should also be noted that validators will receive 20% of the token distribution. A common misconception is that validators have no operating expenses. There are, of course, lower costs than for Proof of Work miners, but don't think that with the PoS algorithm, validators can't sell tokens because there are no transaction costs. There are those costs, and it also makes sense for validators to take a portion of the profits, resulting in structural supply.
Another piece of bad news is that the token burning mechanism is not mentioned. Without the combustion mechanism, the number of tokens gradually increases, and the greater the number, the greater the total supply; keep in mind that for the price of a token to rise, demand must be greater than supply. Without burning native tokens, the supply will exceed the demand, and this oversupply will only grow. TON token demand is currently seen as demand from Telegram users, and it is limited by Telegram's ability to enter new markets and attract new users. The supply of TON tokens is only limited by issuance, and the greater the demand for TON, the higher the issuance, and thus the sooner the supply exceeds demand.
All of this is on top of a lack of transparency about investors, vesting and unlocking tokens, information about the team, and the fact that TON is essentially not an independent project but a Telegram add-on.
There are also a number of structural supply and demand issues. For example, it is not enough to create initial demand; you must also maintain that demand. If everyone who wanted to buy TON tokens and demand drops, TON and Telegram should think of something to encourage users to buy a second round, otherwise the price will begin to fall and all those who said to the moon and LFG will sell, causing a cascade of liquidation of futures buyers and forced sales, resulting in a price collapse.
CONCLUSION
What to expect in the future?
TON should be approached from two perspectives: the product and the speculative investment.
From a product standpoint, TON is likely to be a success and mass adoption thanks to Telegram's support. The likelihood of this success is dependent on whether various governments will not interfere with Telegram as a result of TON integration, and if they do, whether Telegram and TON are prepared to fight back in court. If the authorities in some countries impose a mandatory block on the use of Telegram, TON's position may be jeopardized. If Telegram and TON are again defeated in court by regulators, the situation may change. If Telegram and TON can complete all of their tasks without incident, TON as a project and asset will be widely accepted, at least within the Telegram ecosystem.
From a speculative and investment standpoint, the uncertainty is even greater; the project has numerous flaws that must be addressed, and we do not know the motivation of the key stakeholders. If the integration is successful, TON will most likely be able to reach a new ATH in price, make x2-3 to the current value, and enter the top 10 projects in terms of capitalization. If the market enters a growth cycle, TON will be one of the most expensive tokens on the market for the next cycle.
If TON integration fails, it will be a total failure, and the price of TON will fall by -60-70%.
If we consider a neutral scenario in which the integration was successful but TON use within Telegram is not available in some countries, the price of TON will still break the ATH in the short term, and everything will depend on the team.
OUR OUTPUT: LONG OR SHORT
It all depends on the investment horizon and the ability to wait; in the short term, this appears to be easy money, but in the long term, the risks will be higher, as will the possibility of a black swan product or market.
A long or short in the short term is essentially a bet on whether Pavel Durov can carry out all of his plans, whether he is prepared for regulatory claims, and whether he has reached conclusions after 2020.
Long or short, whether the project team can maintain the product, introduce unique mechanics and narratives to maintain the ecosystem, and whether the team has a plan to eliminate weaknesses is your bet in the long run. It's also a bet on investors' desire to lock in as much revenue as possible, as well as their project valuation.
We see a picture in which the short term is long before the breakthrough of the new ATH, then you look at the market, and the long term is short after the breakdown of ATH, but you must consider how the product develops and what market. People do not see the weaknesses and vulnerabilities during the bull market because of the euphoria, but after the bull market ends, you can profit from these weaknesses.
OUR FINAL WORD
Always keep in mind that, in addition to your basic strategy, everything depends on your risk tolerance, ability to wait, and your fundamental principles and beliefs. We publish our opinions and assessments of various projects, what the prospects may be, and how those prospects provide opportunities for everyone.
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