Toncoin shows both bullish and bearish signs. So, what’s next?Toncoin (TON) has been making headlines lately, with a significant drop from its recent highs of around $8 down to now $5.51 at press time.
Toncoin’s net network growth stood out at press time, showing a 9.03% increase. This bullish signal indicated a steady inflow of new users into the network, reflecting growing interest.
However, without significant buying pressure, this growth alone might not be enough to reverse the downward trend.
From a technical analysis perspective, the relative strength index (RSI) was at 41.82, nearing oversold territory. Thus, Toncoin could be due for a short-term bounce, although it does not confirm a sustained reversal.
The Bollinger Bands (BB) showed that Toncoin was consolidating, with the price nearing the lower band at $5.43. The lower band could indicate support, with volatility likely to increase.
The upper band was at $5.60, and a breach of this level could signal upward momentum.
Toncoin’s indicators provided a mixed outlook. While Network Growth and whale accumulation were positive, the decline in large transactions and a neutral “In the Money” showed caution.
Combined with technical signals like RSI and Bollinger Bands, Toncoin looked to be at a key point.
The market’s next move could be influenced by rising volume and a potential breakout from the current consolidation phase.
Toncoin
Toncoin (TON) price analysisToncoin (TON) registered an incredible increase of almost 14% over the past seven days, despite its upward push stalling over the weekend after encountering strong resistance around $6. TON was extremely bullish last week as it surged on Monday, reaching a day high of $5.69. However, buyers could not sustain momentum, and TON eventually settled at $5.25, registering an increase of 6.12%. TON surged past the 20-day SMA on Tuesday, rising by 5.65% and settling at $5.55. However, after encountering resistance, the price fell back on Wednesday, dropping to a low of $5.15 before recovering and settling at $5.39, back above the moving average.
TON attempted a move past the resistance at $5.60 on Thursday but eventually settled at $5.58 after an increase of 3.43%. It finally broke past this level on Friday, rising by 4.25% and settling at $5.81. Buyers attempted a move to $6 but lost momentum after reaching a high of $5.93, with the 50-day SMA coming into play as resistance. TON fell back over the weekend as demand dried up, dropping 2.38% on Saturday and 2.24% on Sunday to slip back below $5.60 and settle at $5.55. The current session sees TON up by 0.80% after sellers failed to lower the price. Buyers will look to reclaim $5.60. If TON can consolidate above this level, a push above the 50-day SMA to $6 could be possible.
However, if sellers retake control, TON could slip to $5.30, where the 20-day SMA could act as support. Should TON continue to drop, its next support level lies at $5.
Further 50% decline in store for TON with bearish continuationTON/USD – Bearish Continuation with Elliott Wave & Head and Shoulders Setup
Toncoin has completed a Wave B as part of an ongoing A-B-C correction in the Elliott Wave structure. We are now entering Wave C, targeting a .618 Fibonacci level around $2.81. This level coincides with a previous high retest, adding further confluence to the idea of a potential bottom there.
Additionally, a Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, with the head peaking in May 2024 and a lower right shoulder forming around July/August 2024. The neckline sits around $5.00, and a confirmed breakdown below this level could accelerate the move toward the $2.81 target, completing Wave C.
Key Levels:
• Current Price: $5.61
• Neckline: $5.00
• Wave C Target: $2.81 (50% drop)
Both the Elliott Wave and the Head and Shoulders pattern suggest further downside, with $2.81 acting as a critical support zone. A break of the neckline could signal more selling pressure. Keep an eye on price action near $5.00 for confirmation.
"Inverse Head and Shoulders" Pattern: Is a Rally on the Horizon?In the latest technical analysis, a bullish "Inverse Head and Shoulders" pattern has appeared. The price started at $6.8, dropping to $5 to form the left shoulder. It then rebounded to $6 before falling to a low of $4.4, marking the head. From there, the price surged back to $5.9, creating the right shoulder.
This pattern is often a strong indicator of a potential bullish reversal, signaling a possible upward move. Traders are now eagerly watching for a breakout above resistance levels, which could confirm the continuation of the uptrend. Will this be the beginning of a new rally?
The next price movement could set the stage for the market's short-term bullish momentum.
Toncoin (TON) holders record gains: analysisToncoin (TON) holders are seeing their investments pay off. The supply of coins held at a profit has reached a new weekly high, following a decline to a seven-month low.
This surge in profitability comes just a week after Telegram CEO Pavel Durov broke his silence regarding his arrest in France.
Following Pavel Durov’s public condemnation of his arrest on September 5, market sentiment has shifted positively towards Toncoin. The value of the Telegram-linked asset has surged by 15% over the past seven days, bucking the general market downtrend.
As Toncoin’s price climbs, the percentage of its total supply held in profit has also surged. At press time, it sits at a seven-day high of 53%.
This rise in profit has led to a shift in strategy among TON’s short-term holders. Data from IntoTheBlock reveals that many addresses that purchased the coin in the past month are now holding onto it, resisting the urge to sell.
TON’s technical setup confirms that the altcoin is poised to extend its gains. For example, the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicator — which tracks trend direction, shifts, and potential price reversal points — confirms the growing demand for the altcoin. At press time, TON’s MACD line (blue) rests above its signal line (orange) and is making its way toward the zero line.
If TON maintains this uptrend, it will target resistance at $6.8.
However, a spike in profit-taking activity may invalidate this bullish projection. If selling pressure gains momentum, it will pull Toncoin’s price to $4.46.
Toncoin price prediction: will the rally pick up?Toncoin (TON) has witnessed a 108% surge in the number of large transactions. Similarly, the number of active addresses has spiked by 35.13% from 2.44 million to 3.3 million.
This significant increase in the number of big players affirmed by the increase in market trading activity may bring a significant price movement for TON.
Toncoin price was approaching a key level at press time after a tremendous bullish rally. The altcoin had a 22% rally over the last three days before changing its trajectory.
In the last 24 hours, as per CoinMarketCap, the altcoin has plummeted by 1.06%, despite a long-term surge of 14.18% in the past seven days.
What is more, Toncoin bulls have defended the market with their increased large transactions, as indicated by the IntoTheBlock data. The number of large transactions spiked from 975 to 1.85K transactions.
The whale positions in the market suggest they anticipate an overall price rally towards the next resistance level in line at $6.02.
Despite the bullish sentiments aforementioned, Toncoin has experienced a declining long-short ratio since 9th September. This may suggest a short-term price correction before the market resumes its upward trajectory.
The price correction may be nearing an end, as evidenced by increasing whale and trading activity.
The increasing whale activity and trading activity converges with the price action analysis. All indicators point to a bullish run continuation.
However, Toncoin may experience some correction in the short-term before rallying to the target price at around $6.02.
TON Toncoin Potential Sell-OffIf you haven`t bought TON before the breakout:
Now you need to know that on August 24, 2024, the arrest of Telegram founder Pavel Durov by French authorities sent shockwaves through both the platform and its cryptocurrency, Toncoin (TON).
Durov's arrest, reportedly tied to illegal activities on Telegram, has been widely seen as an attack on free speech, which has paradoxically boosted interest in both Telegram and Toncoin.
This spotlight on Durov and his platforms presents both challenges and opportunities.
While the surge in activity signals increased attention, the future is uncertain.
The ongoing investigation and heightened regulatory scrutiny are likely to impact TON's market performance.
Investors and users are closely watching for further legal actions, as they could have significant consequences for Telegram and Toncoin.
With the regulatory landscape in flux, TON remains a risky investment until the legal situation stabilizes.
My price target for TON is $2.15.
TONUSD 1st 1D Death Cross in 1.5 years calls for more downside.Toncoin (TONUSD) has been trading within an established long-term Channel Up (blue) and a Diverging one (dotted), while forming a Bearish Leg since the June 15 2024 High.
The highlight of the day is the completion of the first Death Cross on the 1D time-frame since May 19 2023. Naturally this is calling for more downside, which can extend as low as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level according to the previous Bearish Leg.
Our Target is 3.50 and we expect the correction to complete a Bottom after the 1D RSI posts 3 straight Higher Lows, similar to the Bullish Divergence of July 2023.
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Can Toncoin (TON) overcome $5.3 barrier and reach $7.9?Like several other cryptos, Toncoin (TON) has also registered promising growth in the last 24 hours. But the token was testing a crucial resistance — a jump above that could lead to a massive surge.
However, an unsuccessful test could cause a price drop. Let’s take a look at what’s going on.
As per CoinMarketCap, Toncoin’s price surged by barely 4% in the last 24 hours alone. At the time of writing, TON was trading at $5.25 with a market capitalization of over $13 million, making it the ninth-largest crypto.
However, despite the price increase, only 15.4 million TON addresses were in profit, which accounted for 26% of the total number of addresses.
This stat might change soon if the token manages a breakout. The analysis of Toncoin’s daily chart revealed that it was about to test a resistance level.
In case of a bullish breakout, then investors might soon see Ton touching $6.8 again. A jump above that could end up in TON reclaiming $7.9.
Santiment’s data also revealed that Toncoin’s supply on exchanges dropped sharply, while its supply outside of exchanges increased. This clearly indicated a rise in buying pressure.
Hyblock Capital’s data revealed a similar story. TON’s whale vs. retail delta dropped from 100 to 59; this clearly indicated that whales’ exposure in the market declined in the last few hours, which can be inferred as a bearish signal.
What is more, MACD displayed a bullish crossover. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) also registered an uptick. TON’s Money Flow Index also followed a similar trend as it went northwards, indicating a price rise in the coming days.
in case of a continued price increase, Toncoin might soon touch $5.7. At this point, the token might witness a correction as liquidation will rise.
However, in case of a bearish takeover, the token might drop to $3.7 in the coming days.
NOT best level🔍 **NOT/USDT Technical Analysis - Opportunities and Challenges**
📉 **Current Trend:** The price is moving within a descending channel, indicating overall weakness in the trend. However, it seems to have reached a strong support level that could be a turning point. 📊
🔵 **Key Support Level (0.00734):**
This support level, marked with a blue zone, has historically shown price reactions. There's a high probability of a price rebound from this area, which could create a good buying opportunity if the price stabilizes here. 💪
📈 **Potential Upside Move:**
There are several key resistance levels for potential price targets:
1️⃣ **First Resistance: 0.01272** - A break above this level would indicate confirmation of an upward trend.
2️⃣ **Second Resistance: 0.01733** - A stronger resistance level that the price may reach with increased demand.
3️⃣ **Third Resistance: 0.02639** - The final target and highest level in this analysis, which could be reached if the previous resistances are broken.
⚠️ **Risk Management:**
While there’s a good opportunity to enter the trade at current levels, risk management should always be a priority. If the price fails to hold this support level and drops below it, the downtrend may continue. 📉
🚀 **Conclusion:**
This analysis suggests that the 0.00734 level is a crucial point for a price reaction, and a potential upside move could lead to the mentioned targets. The best strategy is entering at support levels and carefully managing risk. ✨
Could #TON Be on the Verge of a Massive MOVE? Yello, Paradisers! Could we be standing on the edge of a major market move for #TON? Let's break it down!
💎#TONUSDT is currently sitting at a crucial juncture around the support zone of $5.017. We’ve been keeping a close watch as #TON navigates through a descending channel. Recently, it broke above this channel, signaling a potential shift in momentum. If this upward movement holds steady, we could be looking at a strong bullish continuation ahead!
💎But wait—don’t let your guard down! If this momentum weakens around the support, we may see a pullback toward the next demand area around $4.914.
💎 A daily close below this level could invalidate our bullish scenario and open the door for further downside risks.
Stay focused, Paradisers! The next move could be a game-changer. Keep watching the #TON price action carefully; your patience and vigilance might just pay off big time!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
TON Analysis - What Shall we Expect !!!OKX:TONUSDT
The weekly candle close of the under the midline it means price can drop to the bottom of the channel and complete the downward wave (ABC) and then increase. also 4.3$ is a good support for TONCOIN .
✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Notcoin (NOT) price stabilises. What's next?Following in TON's footsteps, the NOT crypto has displayed a similar price action by adding approximately 4% to its valuation within the past day. With strong fundamentals and a discounted price of 73.4%, this crypto project holds a high long-term bullish return.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator has successfully retested its oversold range in the 1D time frame. This suggests an increase in the price of altcoin in the crypto market. Notably, with the rising volatility, a bullish rebound is anticipated from the Ton-chain in the coming time.
Maintaining the price above its resistance level of $0.00925 could set the stage for NOT coin price to test its upper level of $0.0140. However, if the bearish sentiment intensifies, this altcoin could retest its low of $0.00455 this month.
Toncoin (TON) rebounds after Durov breaks silenceThe odds appear to be shifting in favor of Telegram-linked Toncoin (TON), whose value has risen by almost 10% in the past 24 hours.
The altcoin has outperformed other cryptocurrencies during that period, thanks to Pavel Durov’s first public statement since his arrest on August 24.
In the statement, Durov expressed gratitude for the support he received following his recent arrest in France, where he was questioned by police for four days. He revealed that authorities suggested he could be held personally responsible for illegal activities on Telegram due to a lack of response from the platform.
Durov highlighted that Telegram has a designated representative in the EU to handle such requests and that French authorities had various means to reach him. He criticized the approach of holding CEOs accountable for third-party actions on their platforms, calling it a misguided application of outdated laws.
Toncoin’s performance on the 12-hour chart hints at the possibility of an extended rally.
First, readings from its Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) show its MACD line (blue) poised to cross above its signal line (orange). When this happens, it indicates a potential shift in the market trend from bearish to bullish. It suggests that the asset’s momentum is trending upward, and traders often interpret this as a buy signal.
Also, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which tracks how money flows into and out of the market, attempts to cross above the zero line. When an asset’s CMF crosses above zero, it indicates that buying pressure is starting to outweigh selling pressure. Therefore, it suggests that buyers are gaining control of the market.
If this buying pressure is sustained, TON’s price could rally toward $5.32. Breaking past this critical area of resistance could increase the chances for another upward move to $5.96.
$TONUSDT cannot escape this trap.After the arrest of Pavel Durov, CEO of Telegram, CRYPTOCAP:TON is enduring a bearish movement.
During the past hours CRYPTOCAP:TON managed to escape the bearish trend and started showing signs that it will reach $5.
After touching $4,9 he dropped again to $4,79 getting inside the upper level of Fibonacci which is $4,81. As it has entered this level I believe we are going to see more shorts till we reach $4,67 where we will need to re-evaluate the market.
TONCOIN will not shy away from $5.0 easily.TONCOIN will not shy away from $5.0 easily.
You see CRYPTOCAP:TON , it will not shy away from $5.0 easily.
Fundamentals have not been in favour of this coin following Durov's arrest.
However, investors are still optimistic about this asset.
These are some zones to watch out for trading
TON - price is in a dawn trend - follow it until it breaksTON - price is in a dawn trend - follow it until it breaks
Price dropped after Durov arrest
in a previous analysis i shared idea to take long after trade
price playedout it only by part and go on down
what should we do the next?
1st follow the trend until it breaks
2nd - reversal possible after big liquidation
or long range with structure change
in all other cases - follow the tide
What to expect from Toncoin (TON)?Toncoin (TON) has dropped by 10% in the last 24 hours, pushing its price below $5 for the first time since May. Currently trading at $4.67, this new low has market participants speculating about the token’s short-term future.
The key question is whether TON will experience a quick recovery or if the recent decline signals further losses ahead.
Toncoin price has been trapped in a correctional phase since August 19. This decline implies that the Telegram-backed cryptocurrency has had more periods of distribution than accumulation.
Furthermore, the daily chart shows that TON had formed a rounding top pattern between August 2 and 26. This pattern is typically considered bearish and signals a potential reversal of the previous uptrend.
From the chart below, after the pattern appears, TON had a neckline at $5.99 that could either prevent a drawdown or accelerate it. However, the bulls could not keep the price above the neckline, leading to a slip below $5.
Currently, bulls are not in a position to assist Toncoin in its recovery. As a result, the price could drop below $4.60, potentially reaching $4.55. However, if buying pressure picks up, this downtrend could reverse, allowing TON’s price to rise toward $5.40.
Is Telegram Slowly Becoming a Hidden Crypto Powerhouse?Telegram has rapidly positioned itself as a formidable force in the cryptocurrency sector, quietly amassing significant digital asset holdings and generating substantial revenue from crypto activities. Despite its ongoing legal battles and operational losses, the messaging giant is making bold strides in the blockchain space, raising questions about its future role in the crypto industry.
Financial Snapshot: Telegram’s Crypto Revenue and Holdings
Telegram’s 2023 financial report, audited by PwC’s Dubai branch, reveals the company’s strategic pivot towards the crypto market. The firm’s digital asset holdings have surged past $400 million, eclipsing its cash reserves. This impressive figure is largely composed of Toncoin, the native token of Telegram’s blockchain project, The Open Network ( CRYPTOCAP:TON ). With over 40% of its $342.5 million revenue generated from crypto-related activities, Telegram’s financials paint a picture of a tech company deeply intertwined with digital assets.
Despite reporting a substantial operating loss of $108 million, Telegram’s integration of crypto into its business model has proven profitable. The firm’s newly introduced integrated wallet and sales of Toncoin have become significant revenue drivers, showcasing the company’s seamless incorporation of blockchain technology into its platform.
Deep Integration of Crypto Services
Telegram’s commitment to the crypto ecosystem extends beyond mere asset holdings. The integrated wallet, introduced as part of the company’s broader crypto strategy, enables users to store, send, receive, and trade various cryptocurrencies, including Toncoin ( CRYPTOCAP:TON ). The revenue from this service stems from its integration into the social media platform and the provision of continuous access to users. Payments for collectibles like usernames and virtual phone numbers, which can be purchased using Toncoin ( CRYPTOCAP:TON ), further underline Telegram’s active participation in the crypto economy.
However, the most striking aspect of Telegram’s strategy lies in its management of Toncoin ( CRYPTOCAP:TON ) holdings. The company successfully mitigated potential losses by strategically selling a substantial portion of its Toncoin ( CRYPTOCAP:TON ) before a recent market downturn, realizing approximately $243.5 million. This proactive approach underscores Telegram’s active management of its crypto exposure, highlighting its role as more than a passive participant in the market.
Telegram’s Legal Troubles and Market Position
Despite its success in the crypto space, Telegram faces significant challenges, including legal issues. The arrest of its founder, Pavel Durov, in France for allegedly failing to control criminal content on the platform has cast a shadow over the company’s operations. However, Durov’s subsequent release has sparked renewed optimism within the crypto community, signaling that Telegram’s troubles might not derail its ambitious plans.
Telegram’s growing crypto involvement, coupled with its substantial operating expenses of over $450 million, has led to questions about its overall valuation. Despite raising $2.3 billion from high-profile investors, including sovereign wealth funds, the company’s financial sustainability remains under scrutiny. Durov’s initial valuation of over $30 billion seems increasingly optimistic given the firm’s current challenges.
Technical Outlook: TON Token’s Performance
As of the time of writing, the CRYPTOCAP:TON token is down 2.79%, reflecting broader market downturns. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 37.98, signaling an oversold condition and increased selling pressure. Technical analysis indicates that CRYPTOCAP:TON ’s price is teetering near the $5 pivot. Holding this level is crucial for boosting investor confidence, especially amid Telegram’s ongoing network outages and blockchain challenges.
The TON blockchain has faced issues, including network disruptions where blocks failed to produce, which has sparked concerns among investors. Addressing these technical weaknesses could help solidify TON’s reputation as a potential “Solana killer,” a moniker that highlights its ambitious aspirations within the competitive blockchain landscape.
Challenges and Opportunities
Telegram’s foray into the crypto world is a double-edged sword. On one hand, the company’s deep integration of blockchain and digital assets positions it as a major player in the crypto sector. On the other, its ongoing legal issues, operational losses, and technical challenges present substantial hurdles. Telegram’s active management of its crypto holdings and strategic moves within the market suggest a company keen on navigating these complexities.
The firm’s success will hinge on its ability to leverage its crypto capabilities while addressing internal challenges and regulatory scrutiny. Should Telegram continue to refine its blockchain infrastructure and improve user experience, it could solidify its place as a hidden powerhouse in the crypto world, with the potential to redefine how tech companies engage with digital assets.
Conclusion
Telegram’s journey in the crypto market is a fascinating tale of ambition, risk, and innovation. With its significant Toncoin holdings and integrated crypto services, the messaging app is quietly but powerfully staking its claim in the digital asset space. However, the path ahead is fraught with challenges, and Telegram’s ability to navigate these will ultimately determine whether it can transform from a hidden player into a leading force in the blockchain era.