Altcoin market looking bullishNote that I'm not a financial advisor, this is just my opinion and I am not recommending anyone to buy or sell. DYOR and don't just listen to an Explosive Cow.
I am bullish on the altcoin market (TOTAL2 is the market cap of all the altcoins), although at the moment I'm uncertain weather altcoins will outperform BTC.
The reasons I'm bullish are the following:
We have already had one cycle of the Elliot waves since March 2020 with and impulse wave from March 2020 to May 2021 and a corrective wave from May 2021 to June 2021. Now that the cycle has ended, we are starting a new cycle and could possibly entering wave 3 of the impulse wave.
The 9 weekly-EMA acts as support.
The MACD (blue line) is above the signal line (orange line).
We are not in overbought territory on the RSI, meaning there is room to grow
Higher highs and lower lows since July 2020
The only thing I'd note is that there is bearish divergence on the Histogram of the MACD since the past few weeks, but since it's only been 5 weeks, it's not a significant time. This is also the only negative indicator, so it doesn't pose a threat.
TP : My TP is the at the 1.618 Fibonacci level taking the March 2020 low and the May 2021 high, which would put it at 2.4T market cap (86% increase).
I put the wave 3 ending in January, but that is highly subjective, it could be 6 months or more from now or more
Note: I currently hold several altcoins at this point.
TOTAL2
ALT SEASON IS COMINGTotal 2 index is located in a sensitive area.
There are some positive points in it that can be evidence that it can register a new ATH and see the real ALT season.
Initially, a pattern of cups and handles was formed in the weekly time frame, and it was able to make a good candle this week.
The CCI is testing its 100 line break for the second time and is on an uptrend
Its MOM is above 65 and that is a good sign.
If this happens and it can break its resistance in the range of 1.44 - 1.49, each altcoin can grow by an average of 50%
I think the Alt season is on its way.
TOTAL2 - BIG MOMENT Hi, this is mye new update for Total Market Cap Exclude BTC. This is the moment guys, we have now completed a cup and handle pattern, in the NEXT couple of weeks we are going to see massive gains in Total Market Cap. One thing we have to notice is that the gains from bottom to previous top is 132% and from the definition of cup and handle, when we break the all time high then we are going to see another 132% gains, so be patient the new ALT season is going to start soon. I am LONG here ;)
BTC/USD (New Swing Top)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-Finally, BTC broke above the previous swing top at 53k dollars
-Most short players got their stop loss hit after hitting as high as 56k dollars
-The Bulls are back in momentum but we will have a much better view once the weekly candle is closed
-For now, our immediate support is the Fib 0.236-0.382 region with the confluence of previous resistance
-As long as the Buyers can hold above this area, the point of view is still going up
-I can see strong coins showing a potential continuation pattern for new highs
-I'm currently into swing trades right now and it is on profits too after a big win recently
-My small losses are now covered so I will keep these winning trades ride the trend
-Happy trading everyone and always plan your next trade
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BTC/USD (Test 53k Swing Top?)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-Bitcoin is looking good today after a bullish retest on the S/R level
-The chances to retest the 53k recent swing top is highly probable now
-If BTC reaches the 53k level, we will have to observe for any price reaction
-If the price will go higher or faces rejection because the sellers might re-enter
-There is always a risk to consider if you have any position opened
-I'm currently in a big win trade and small loses
-I'm always keeping my losses small and keeping my winning trades hit my targets
-This is how I become consistent in this environment
-I want everyone to follow the same and please risk management is very important
-Alright, stay safe, and good luck everyone!
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BTC/USD (Bullish Weekly Candle?)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-The bulls showed their strength back after confirming the 40k dollar new key support
-The 40k dollar zone is a confluence of multiple factors like the S/R level, 50W MA, Fib 0.618
-This weekly candle is about to close in 3 hours, if this one closes above 46k that is a good sign
-A potential upside continuation up to its recent swing top around 52k dollar
-This will be an exciting week for the crypto space as I can see the market is back
-I am currently into swing trades right now and will add more to my positions soon
-Good luck everyone and make sure to plan your trades
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BTC/USD (Bullish Pattern Confirmed)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-Finally, the bulls showed up after a double bottom reversal pattern is confirmed
-This pattern is also a confluence of a descending bullish channel
-Which is trading in the key area of interest around the 40k dollar zone
-Currently, BTC is testing the mid resistance level at 48k dollar
-If the bulls will continue to go higher, the next stop is the recent swing level at 52k dollars
-Congrats for the bulls today, all they have to do is to consolidate and stay above 44k to stay strong
-I'll start looking for coins that haven't move any significant or are ready for a potential upside reversal
-Stay safe and good luck everyone!
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BTC/USD (100D MA Acting Support?)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-Every time the price goes above 44k dollars, the bears always enter the market
-We can see two downward trendline resistance which is acting heavy in the short term
-The only good thing right now is BTC is holding the Fib 0.5 and 100D moving average
-We will soon see a breakout direction within this week either up or down
-Guys, if you are holding any trade, please make sure to follow your stop loss location
-This is the time risk management discipline is very important for the past few days
-Regarding the BTC Dominance level, it is currently showing strength
-That is why the Altcoin space is looking weaker against the Bitcoin pairing
-Only two days left before the monthly candle closes
-Things are getting interesting for the coming month of October
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BTC/USD (Must Hold 40k Dollars)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-The previous support area has turned resistant today
-This zone is a perfect entry for the sellers to enter the market
-Another lower high structure is being painted by the Bears
-The Bulls needs a lot of work to do, they need to defend its recent mid support
-If the buyers can hold the 40k dollar area and bounces up like a double bottom reversal
-That can be our next step to look for a new trading opportunity in the coming days
-I am still not into any swing trade yet, and I am patiently waiting for the best confirmation
-Stay safe everyone and please manage your risk if the market is not in your favor
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BTC/USD (Retest Previous Support?)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-Bitcoin defending the Fib 0.5 level or 40k dollar zone
-The price bounce up by almost 12% today which is a good sign
-We can see many altcoins are also finding their new support area
-This could be a good positive view in the coming days
-Bitcoin is about to retest its previous support of around 44k-47k dollars
-If we can see the price holding on that region, potential to retest 49k level
-Otherwise, a pullback is likely to happen next week and the overall market will be affected
-I am looking for a new trade but not too optimistic because of the current condition
-This is not the right time to go full force in trading but to strictly follow your risk management
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TOTAL DISASTER!Good afternoon my friends,
I bring you a quick video on TOTAL2 showing similarities of a descending wedge that could potentially bring one more drop down for the altcoin market.
Lets take profits as these coins head for another lower high give the resistance trendline holding.
Trade thirsty, my friends!
Butterfly Strategy Pt. I: The ReboundAn important update for the cryptomarkets! I have been wrong on my previous analysis if the crypto markets were bearish or not. As you can read in that analysis; there was no news and no reason for bearish momentum. Unfortunately this has changed...
Evergrande & Fed tapering
With China Evergrande fiasco we now have another bearish trigger for the worldwide markets which is in confluence with my previous analyses of the S&P 500. I might have to remind you; but I did say; look out for the black swan! This swan might be arriving now and with the FED meeting this week and possible tapering of their bond program (they will stop buying bonds); it is likely to see interest hike up and consequently funds will react with a defensive position. What does that mean? It means big fund managers will take profits on risk assets (stocks and crypto) and roll them over into bonds, forex and potentially gold . If we get a default on Evergrande we have a problem where (simply said) there's a big debt gap that needs to be filled with funds (profits from the markets?) that creates a "gap, a whole or a dump" in the risk asset markets.
Butterfly Strategy
I call this the butterfly effect and subsequently I make this "my own" butterfly strategy . What it means is that I look for confluences in: fundamentals, news, technical analysis , market makers perspective, retail investor's behavior (market sentiment) and long term corporate strategies / investments and federal / central bank's policies. It's a whole lot and it's not easy to get the big picture or know everything there is to know. However; you can know a lot by researching what is going on and constantly re-evaluating what is going on and what is likely to happen . This means, that last week I can be bullish and this weak I can be bearish . Some might say that is nonsense and you should choose a direction and stick to it; yes that's fine for long term holders. But I am trading; mostly swing trades from a few weeks to several months in either direction and 98% without leverage. For me that works just fine, for others it doesn't. Just see what works best for you. For me it means one thing and one thing only: I cash out only in profit and when there's confluence of downside across the board (let's call it a butterfly lift off) and same for buying: bearish times that are flipping towards bullish times.
Technical analysis
Given we are trading below the 50 day EMA and dropped below the golden pocket (0.618) which both could be acting as resistance; we might have not seen the end of this dump. Historically; losing the 50 day EMA and/or the golden pocket in confluence with the bad news, bearish divergences, a "smaller" wyckoff distribution, possible fed tapering, interest rates, S&P 500 turning bearish , investor's sentiment crumbling towards fear, a lot of profit in the market and a market maker that profits from lower prices for the futures expiration this friday. That is a butterfly taking off. It is to be seen whether this bearish butterfly get squashed down by the bulls or it opens a can of bears and sell pressure. We don't know anything for sure but we can add up all possible confluences which make the Butterfly Strategy a powerful method to use.
S&P 500 topped out?
It looks like the S&P500 is topping out at the top of my box and at my estimate of 70%. Its an analysis from a long time ago and it are these moments that I can refer back on them and find the confluences I am looking for. As of now, faith seems to be lining up but nothing is for sure in the markets - we are always anticipating multiple scenarios.
IMPORTANT: this is not financial advice, trade or invest based on your own risk and research.
NOTE: you can read my analyses below and see where I am warning for news, a black swan event and the top of the S&P500.
BTC/USD (Daily Mid Support Hit)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-Bitcoin hit the mid support around 40k dollar zone
-This area is a confluence of the 100D MA and Fib 0.5
-We can see the price reacted bullishly on this level
-The bulls immediately bought the dip within few minutes
-This is a good short term strength but still not enough
-We need to see BTC holding above Fib 0.5 for at least 3-5 days
-To confirm our bias that this area is establishing a supported territory
-For now, I'm patiently waiting for BTC to show more strength
-Before potentially entering new swing trade ideas
-Always take note that trading is not a race but a marathon
-Good luck everyone and keep safe
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BTC/USD (Test Important Daily Support)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-Things went bad for Bitcoin today as the price is back at the neckline support
-The price declined by almost -14% from the Right Shoulder swing point
-The overall market received a negative impact which leads to multiple stops out or liquidation
-I am technical out of my swing trade positions at a small loss today
-Getting stop out is always part of this game, you just need to know when to exit and re-enter
-If this bearish pattern will continue in the coming days, the potential next support is around 40k dollars
-Guys, be cautious on your next trade because the market is looking bad in the short term view
-Make sure to strictly follow your cut loss level and limit your portfolio allocation
-Risk management is very important during this time and trade discipline
-Good luck everyone and stay safe!
⚠️Please always read the description⚠️
Thanks for donating 💰 via Tradingview coins TheDeFiPool 🙏🎉
``````````````````````````````````````````````
If you need help🙋 don't hesitate to
Send me a message here PolarHusk 😊
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Trading Involves High Risk ⚠️
Not Financial Advice 💸
Exercise Proper Risk Management 💱
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TOTAL2 (alt) - H4 - back to ath ? Hi guys,
I'm currently watching the TOTAL2 chart ( crypto market cap without BTC)
I spotted an ascending channel on the 4hours TF.
If BTC remains calm this could lead to a nice pump on alts by the end of september !
this is invalidated if we break the support line and start making a lower low.
Good luck
please feel free to like if you share my pov.
NFA