TOTAL2
TOTAL2 / BTC ALTS Should be Close to BottomingWho remembers this chart I posted a month ago on TOTAL2 / BTC ?
This was the one that TradingView shared of mine on 12/31/24
Called the double bottom here. My squiggles are undefeated.
Alts should be close to the end of bleeding.
One last flush I presume (hope) 😂
TOTAL Crypto Cap. Who called 800-pound Gorilla to enter a chatThe influence of Donald Trump on cryptocurrency markets has been a topic of significant discussion, particularly in light of his recent inauguration and the launch of various crypto-related initiatives. His evolving stance on cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, has led to both volatility and optimism within the market. This overview explores the implications of Trump's actions and statements on the cryptocurrency landscape, focusing on the factors contributing to market fluctuations and the broader economic context.
Trump's Evolving Stance on Cryptocurrency
Historically, Donald Trump has had a mixed relationship with cryptocurrencies. Initially dismissive, he referred to Bitcoin as "based on thin air" and a threat to the U.S. dollar. However, as his US-elections campaign progressed, his views shifted towards a more favorable outlook. In recent pre-elections statements (usual populist election rhetoric), Trump has expressed intentions to position the U.S. as "the crypto capital of the planet", for example.
This shift aligns with a broader trend where economic uncertainty has made alternative assets like Bitcoin more attractive. During Trump's first term, Bitcoin's price skyrocketed from around $1,000 to over $40,000, reflecting increased interest in cryptocurrencies as a hedge against traditional financial instability. Following his reelection in 2024, Bitcoin surged past $100 000, attributed in part to renewed investor confidence driven by Trump's pro-crypto rhetoric and cabinet appointments.
The Launch of Memecoins and Market Volatility
The recent launch of memecoins associated with Trump, such as $TRUMP and $MELANIA, exemplifies the volatility that can arise from his influence in the crypto space. These coins saw dramatic price fluctuations shortly after their introduction; for instance, $TRUMP's market capitalization soared to $14 billion before experiencing a significant crash. This volatility raises concerns about market manipulation and the sustainability of such speculative assets.
Factors contributing to this volatility include:
Market Saturation. The cryptocurrency market is highly competitive, with thousands of coins vying for attention. New entrants can dilute demand for existing coins, leading to price declines.
Lack of Utility. Many memecoins lack inherent utility or clear use cases, making them susceptible to speculative trading rather than long-term investment.
Regulatory Uncertainty. The evolving regulatory landscape can create unpredictability in the market. Trump's administration has indicated support for crypto-friendly policies; however, regulatory frameworks remain unclear.
The United States of TRUMPAMERICA
Trump's presidency coincides with heightened economic uncertainty due to various pro-inflationary factors, including US-centric tariff policies, trade wars and geopolitical tensions.
Despite initial optimism following Trump's election victory, there are concerns about whether his administration can deliver on its promises regarding cryptocurrency regulation and support. While some investors have benefited from short-term price surges attributed to Trump's influence, questions remain about the long-term sustainability of these gains.
Regulatory Developments and Future Implications
The establishment of a crypto task force under Trump's administration aims to create a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets. While this initiative is viewed positively by many in the crypto community, it remains uncertain how effectively it will address existing challenges within the market.
Technical Challenge
The main technical graph for CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Crypto Cap indicates on Bearish trend in development, since "Double Top" technical figure has occurred a day before Mr. Trump entered the room.
The minor RSI (14) chart indicates also that Bullish optimism is getting sluggish so far.
Conclusion
Donald Trump's influence on cryptocurrency markets is multifaceted and continues to evolve. The recent volatility associated with memecoins underscores the speculative nature of digital assets while highlighting the broader impact of political fart on investor sentiment.
UPDATE: Altcoin Market Set to Surge Toward $1 Trillion Should this pattern hold, we could see the altcoin market targeting full Fibonacci extensions, potentially ripping to all-time highs and pushing the market toward a $1 trillion valuation this cycle.
Momentum is building as liquidity returns to the crypto markets, with growing retail interest and institutional capital eyeing opportunities in diverse altcoin sectors. Rotation out BTC is happening as the BTC rally is losing momentum.
Total2 Market Cap vs BTC Market CapToday we are looking at ratio charts. We plot the ratio of Total 2 Market Cap (Total Crypto Market Cap excluding BTC) to BTC Market CAP. This ratio chart is making new lower highs this BTC Halving cycle. There seems to be no bounce from the lows and Alt coin season seems to be elusive. As we move towards the end of the halving cycle there is very little time left for this Alt season. To reach the previous cycle highs of 1.5 in the chart the Alt Coins have to more than double from here and BTC must remain at this price for the rest of the cycle. For this the total Crypto market cap must reach almost 5 trillion USD, which remains unlikely. A better estimate will be the ratio of Total 2 Market Cap vs BTC Market Cap ratio reaches 1.09 which will be 0.618 Fib retracement level. This 0.618 fib retracement repeats in many instances. The same is true for BTC.D. What do you think?
Total market cap 2 - macro analysis ( expect $BTCUSD ) Hi 👋🏻 it's me your " Raj_crypt0 " is back 🔙 🎩
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 ( TOTALMAKETCAP2 ) crypto long run analysis ⏰ was here ..... ❣️
" It's important to close strong monthly above $1.71T " which makes bullish road clear "
🎯 ¹ - $2.5T ( 2.5 trilion dollars )
( When $2.5T was done before APRIL 2025 then , we aim for target 2 , if not it will turn as TOP 🔝 )
🎯 ² - $3.77T ( expecting potential TOP around 4 trillion dollar 💰 )
•
Note >>
don't think 🤔 all coins will complete " BULL RUN " 🔝 target's at index TOP 🎩
It depends on currency some complete " BULL RUN " at 1st target 🎯 some complete 💯 at 2nd target 🎯 INDEX ☝🏻 always show way to get exit and entry on entire portfolio 💰
( Yes 🙌🏻 i provided even " BEAR RUN " target 🎯 also but we can discuss later based on 🔝 )
TOTAL3 Chart Analysis.
The TOTAL3 chart, representing the entire Altcoin market except for Ethereum, has successfully broken its downtrend resistance, indicating a significant shift in market sentiment. With the RSI remaining comfortably above 60, bullish momentum is gaining momentum, indicating growing confidence among market participants.
Historically, this pattern precedes a macro bullish phase, where small-cap Altcoins begin to surge, led by Bitcoin and Ethereum. A break above the $1.1T level could act as a catalyst, potentially igniting a broader Altcoin season as capital flows into the Altcoin market.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
Altcoins: What Comes Up Must Go Down?Giant Flat Correction could be built on the altcoins chart (less Ethereum)
Indicators:
-Collapse in three waves in 2021-2022 (wave A)
-Retest of 2021 peak in three waves in 2023-2024 (wave B)
-wave B retested the start of wave A and failed to grasp the bullish ground beyond
-first move down and small correction that keeps below all-time high could be the harbinger of new five waves down in wave C
Large wave C should at least retest the valley of wave A at 288b cap
What could be the reason?
-Altcoins could lose its shine as institutions prefer only BTC
-Some huge risk aversion in global economy
You are welcome to share your views in the comments below to enrich our outlook.
TOTAL2 Index Set to Surge Towards $2.5 Trillion!CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears
This chart shows the gravity points for the TOTAL2 index. It also describes the potential targets and their different probabilities of realization. The nearest zones within this structure are highlighted in green.
After TOTAL2 broke above 1.29 trillion dollars, and with Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) decreasing, a very likely scenario for TOTAL2 is reaching the 2.5 trillion-dollar level.
⚡️Target:
2.5T
Altcoins Have Broken Out - In Case You Didn't Notice.Crypto Fam,
In case you didn't notice, altcoins have officially broken out of our bearish descending wedge. I am expecting 2025 to be a bull year and through April you should really see some massive pumping take place, especially with high MC memecoins.
Don't forget that my cycle theory is different this bull market but so far has proven correct. That is: BTC is bullish first often in sync with Solana, Solana Memecoins, and often accompanied by AI based alts/memecoins. The we see other memecoins pumping with continued strength from AI based coins. And finally we see the OG classic ALT follow the train. This seems to be the trend. I don't expect anything different this year.
As it pertains to ALTS on this chart, you can see I have drawn some resistance right around 1.13T MC. I would expect some pause here and maybe a slight pullback before the bulls gain enough momentum to break through. Then onward and upward we should proceed through April. I'll re-assess the macro outlook for all of crypto at this point.
✌️ Stew
TOTAL2/BTC Alts showing MAJOR WEAKNESS vs BTCAlts showing major weakness against BTC by Closing the Week in this trading region which will dump them another 15-20%
If BTC and Alts perform similar to last 2 cycles then Alts would have a 125 - 175% return above ₿itcoin
Notice the diminishing returns from each cycle 🧐
On a risk adjusted basis, the chart is suggesting that in future cycles it might just be better to be in BTC than Alts😲
We start ALT Season now with 3 targets!Hello guys,
As you can see we have 3 targets🎯 green, blue, red,
which target we will reach?
It depends on the Fractal scenario on the right, So we will wait 2 clear trends,
each one has 3 tops and Clear correction between the up trends,,
Don't lose your positions and don't jump between currencies!
Also Don't burn your wallet with Future!
Spot is Enough!