Expect Volatility for Altcoins: Key Levels to WatchTOTAL3 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC and ETH) is currently oscillating between $1 Trillion and $1.1 Trillion, presenting a tight range that traders are closely monitoring. Here’s what could happen next:
1. Range Rebound: A dip to $1 Trillion with a strong bullish rejection at this support could drive the market to test the top of the range at $1.1 Trillion.
2. Breakout Opportunity: A successful breakout above $1.1 Trillion would signal bullish momentum, potentially lifting Altcoin Market to $1.2 Trillion and marking the continuation of Altseason.
3. Bearish Scenario: Failing to hold the $1 Trillion support level would likely trigger short-term bearish sentiment, pushing Altcoin Market cap down by approximately 10%, targeting $0.9 Trillion.
Total3
BTC | ETH | ALTSEASONBitcoin is trading just underneath yet another ATH, and I'm watching the ETH chart in anticipation for a new ETH All Time High - there is just no way that BTC makes such a marvelous high and Eth stays behind.
The beauty of this, furthermore, is that during and especially AFTER a new ETH ATH, we can expect to see more rallies across the alt market, especially on the coins that have been lagging behind. This however, will also signal the beginning of the end of the bullish cycle.
This post specifically delves into more detail on TOTAL3, BTC.D and the Bitcoin chart. You can to watch it for key indications as to when the bullish cycle is turning bearish:
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CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
ALT COINs breaking the almost 2 year descending channelI made an interesting comparison between the TOTAL3 (ALT COIN Market Cap, i.e, excluding BTC and ETH) and the BTC Market Cap.
As you can see this ratio just broke the 2 year descending channel with big volumes, projecting a 1:1 capitalization between the two.
Heres are some key notes:
The RSI and MACD bullish divergences also suggest a strong trend reversal.
BTC Market Cap can easily reach 3 trillion dollars , the 2.618 fibonacci extension. This is a reasonable assumption since, in the last run, it reached the 4.236 extension quite fast. If both market caps should match - and my projection gets it's way - that means a 2 trillion dollars increase in the ALT COINs market capitalization (almost 3x)
I've been accumulating on a couple of alts since the end of last year, and I hope now is the time to bring some returns on that.
Stay safe!
Variation of last chart but daily. Alt scenario guess from here This here is a variation of my last but just on the daily instead and another wishful thinking price scenario guess for the altcoins from here. Came up with this scenario guess by using an amalgamation of different ta principles i picked up here and there like described on last chart mixed with a little bit of just intuition guessing, moon cycle theories, and real world time events. Could be totally wrong, not an expert, just throwing my guess based on my level of knowledge, just in case it turns out to be spot on.
TOTAL 15M: Hidden Bullish Divergence on Fake-OutThe Total Crypto Market Cap is displaying a significant technical setup on the 15-minute timeframe. We've observed a hidden bullish divergence forming in conjunction with a false breakout pattern, suggesting strong continuation potential. The market has maintained its structural integrity despite the fake-out attempt, indicating robust underlying strength.
The primary trend direction remains bullish, evidenced by the series of higher lows forming on the 15-minute chart. A notable hidden bullish divergence has emerged between price action and the RSI indicator, where price made higher lows while the RSI showed lower lows - a classic continuation signal in an uptrend. The market's reaction to the false breakout demonstrates strong buying pressure, as prices quickly recovered and resumed the upward trajectory.
Price Targets
Based on the technical structure and the measured move from the pattern:
Initial Target: $3.85T (near-term resistance level)
Secondary Target: $4.0T (psychological round number)
Extended Target: $4.2T (based on previous move projection)
Entry Conditions
Primary entry at current market price ($3.51T) following confirmation of hidden divergence
Secondary entry on any pullback to $3.45T support level
Initial Stop Loss: $3.42T (below the recent swing low to protect against further fake-outs)
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $3.85T (25% position size)
TP2: $4.0T (50% position size)
TP3: $4.2T (remaining position)
Stop Loss Placement: Below the recent swing low to accommodate market volatility
Position Scaling: Consider scaling into the position with 50% at entry, 50% on pullback
Market Conditions to Watch: Bitcoin's price action, as it often leads market direction
Additional Considerations
The presence of a false breakout followed by quick recovery suggests strong underlying buying pressure. The hidden bullish divergence adds significant weight to the continuation thesis, particularly given the overall market strength.
Bullish Case: Maintained as long as price holds above $3.42T with RSI showing positive momentum
Invalidation: A clear break and close below $3.42T would negate the setup
The broader crypto market is showing strength, with major cryptocurrencies maintaining their upward momentum. This macro context supports the bullish continuation scenario for total market capitalization.
TOTAL3 2H: Bull Flag Formation - 1.6T TargetThe TOTAL3 index, representing the total cryptocurrency market capitalization excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, is displaying a bullish continuation pattern in the form of a bull flag. The market has established a strong uptrend, followed by a consolidation period that appears to be setting up for another leg higher.
Key Technical Observations:
The primary trend is decisively bullish, with price action showing a steep ascent from around 600B to 1.14T market cap. The recent consolidation has formed a flag pattern, with parallel downward-sloping lines containing the price action. This type of consolidation after a strong move is typically a continuation pattern, suggesting the bullish momentum may resume. The volume profile during the consolidation appears to be diminishing, which is characteristic of flag patterns and supports the continuation thesis.
Price Targets:
Based on the measured move technique for flag patterns, taking the flagpole's height and projecting it from the breakout point, the primary target extends to approximately 1.6T. This projection aligns with the principle that crypto markets often extend previous moves after corrections. The target represents a significant psychological level that could act as a major resistance zone.
Trading Setup:
- Entry Conditions: Look for a decisive break above the upper flag boundary at approximately 1.14T, preferably with increased volume
- Initial Stop Loss: Place below the lower flag boundary around 1.07T
- Take Profit Levels: Primary target at 1.6T, with potential intermediate resistance at 1.3T and 1.4T
Risk Management:
- Stop Loss Placement: The tight consolidation pattern allows for a relatively close stop loss, improving the risk-reward ratio
- Market Conditions to Watch: Monitor Bitcoin and Ethereum's price action as they can influence the broader market sentiment
Additional Considerations:
The current consolidation is occurring at all-time high levels for TOTAL3, suggesting strong underlying strength in the altcoin market. The clean technical pattern, combined with the strategic location of the consolidation, provides a favorable setup for continuation.
Trade Validation:
- Bullish Case: A high-volume breakout above 1.14T would confirm the pattern
- Invalidation: A decisive break below 1.07T would negate the immediate bullish setup
Market Context:
The altcoin market has shown significant strength relative to Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicating growing interest in the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem. This suggests potential capital rotation into alternative cryptocurrencies, which could support the bullish thesis.
ALTS Market Cap Chart AnalysisThe ALTS market cap has broken out of a descending broadening wedge, triggering a strong bullish rally. However, it is facing resistance at a key horizontal supply zone.
The Ichimoku Cloud shows strong bullish momentum, indicating the possibility of a continued upward move. A decisive breakout above this resistance level could trigger a significant rally, further strengthening the upward trajectory of the ALTS market.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out to DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Massive -17% flash crash! Stop loss hunting, liquidity grab!CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 experienced a historic flash crash that impacted all altcoins, with most losing up to 25% within minutes before bouncing back.
This coordinated crash likely affected many cautious holders who had placed stop-loss orders at -10% to -20%, waking up to the unpleasant realization that they lost significant positions during the event.
This incident highlights the brutal nature of unregulated markets. Additionally, numerous leveraged longs were likely liquidated, particularly in the altcoin sector.
The $100 billion drop has undoubtedly caused widespread pain but could also inject liquidity into the market, potentially fueling a future upward move.
Leverage remains inherently risky, and stop-loss orders must be carefully monitored to avoid falling victim to these liquidity-grab tactics orchestrated by market makers.
In this market, it’s not just trading—it’s a battlefield. Stay vigilant.
TOTAL3 ChartHey,
Normally I don't share lower-timeframe crypto charts, cuz I find that irrelevant.
However, due to the massive amounts of greed and fear in the markets...
It might be nice to get my view on things.
The market is sitting in the last push (which can be the largest)
But this type of price-action and volatility goes both ways.
A chart never just moves up without printing hh's and hl's.
A chart has structure, and makes sense.
Total3 tapped below the 1trillion.. after spiking to new ATHs.
I see it go higher from this clean demand area later this week.
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
Say It Back #Altseason
#Alts market cap TOTAL3 2021 #Altcoins rose 220% after breaking the 2018 ATH level ($358B), which was the major resistance before the parabolic run, reaching a local peak of $1.13T.
Major run will be inevitable after the breakout and retest of the 2021 ATH level of $1.13T is completed.
Alikze »» BITCOIN | Wave 3 of 3 bullish super cycle scenarioAccording to the previous analysis regarding Bitcoin, it is moving in a long-term ascending channel in the monthly time frame.
💎 Currently, according to the type of behavior and movement structure, it is in wave 3 of 3 super cycles.
💎 But since 2018, after a movement cycle and a correction in the form of a three-wave to the bottom of the channel in the range of $16,000, this correction ended.
💎 After that, it started another kinetic wave, which ended in the support range of the green box of its corrective wave 2, and is currently in wave 3, which overlaps with 100% Fibo of the previous wave, which is the range of $78,000.
💎 If this current wave 4 correction wave has started, it can be reviewed according to the analysis of the previous post ( here ), which you can follow its updates by referring to that post, at the same time, this wave should not enter the territory of wave 1. The chart is specified. In that case, the post should be updated and the scenario should be checked instead.
💎 But in its super cycle, as mentioned, this wave is in wave 3 of 3, which will have the ability to reach the red box numbers of the specified supply limit and up to 1.618 fibo to the range of $369,000.
💎 Going through a full cycle of 5 waves will have the ability to reach the range of $2,700,000. Please note that these numbers are in the monthly time frame and it is natural that the time to reach these goals will certainly require more time, which should be reviewed and updated step by step.
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bitcoin hits 749k into 2025.gm,
in previous cycles, the duration from cycle low to cycle high has typically been roughly 1,000–1,100 days. currently, we are 742 days in, which suggests we still have about a year until the "expected top." this projected top also aligns with the global liquidity index in q4 of 2025.
the way i interpret this current structure is straightforward:
from the november 2022 low to the march 2024 high, the price action visually resembles five waves up. this is followed by a clean three-wave correction into august of 2024.
from the low in august of 2024, bitcoin appears to have formed a clean five-wave impulse to the upside and is now approaching a top. in theory, once this top is established, we should expect a three-wave corrective move to backtest the previous support. this support corresponds to the 2021/2024 highs and the previous accumulation zone.
hypothetically, backtesting the prior supply zone would likely liquidate many late long positions, providing a full sentiment reset. this reset could allow bitcoin to rebound with significant force, potentially reaching unprecedented levels.
my estimated upside target for q4 2025 is approximately $749,000.
✌️
ps. in my last bullish trade, i pulled at 9,000% trade on btc... and 42 alt trades, some of which ran as high as 22,000%.
view last bull post here:
#Altcoins super cycle has just begun!#Bitcoin dominance monthly rising wedge breakout and breakdown completed!
#Alts market capitalization OTHER TOTAL3 AND TOTAL2 The breaking and closing of the handle cup formation that formed on a monthly basis has been completed.
We are moving towards #Altseason in an environment of Denial and Disbelief!
BTC | BITCOIN ATH | ALTSEASON A comprehensive analysis today on my take regarding Bitcoin , BTC All time High, and for how long we can still expect to see altseason.
When I say altseason, what I am referring to is hard pumps and large increases, scattered across the altcoin market.
In the previous BTC update, I considered an ATH between 99k and 105k. More on that here :
Today's main "concern" is really whether or not the alt-rallies are finished - and I say, not yet .
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BINANCE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
ADA | ALTCOINS | Altseason Approaches AN ENDA quick look into Cardano after a near 330% increase, there seems to be room for further growth.
Key Fibonacci levels are a great watchpoints, especially the 618's.
Two other coins that pumped recently :
Just remember that after the pump, comes the DUMP. Almost every time .
Here's my thoughts on the BTC ATH being in:
The Altcoin Market is About to Ignite: Here's What You Need to KAs we enter the final stretch of 2024 and head into 2025, the altcoin market is poised for a massive surge. Despite recent market fluctuations, whales have been quietly accumulating Bitcoin, while retail traders have been selling off for no reason. But the tide is about to turn.
Whales Are Holding, Retail Is Selling
On-chain data from CryptoQuant confirms that whales have accumulated $1.6 billion worth of Bitcoin in the last 3-5 weeks, while retail traders have been panic selling. Meanwhile, the ETH MVRV chart shows that Ethereum is currently undervalued, but is starting to shift upwards, signaling strong momentum on the horizon.
Institutional Interest in ETH Longs Is Growing
Strong institutional interest in ETH longs has been growing massively since November 5th, with 245,000 ETH in ETF inflows just this month. In fact, ETH ETF inflows have surpassed those of BTC for the first time, marking a major shift in the market.
The Altcoin Market is Undervalued
The altcoin market is currently undervalued compared to Bitcoin, with a ratio of 95% - meaning Bitcoin is heavily overvaluing the altcoin market. But this is a good sign for both. Based on calculations that factor in the ratio, stablecoin supply, and Bitcoin dominance, the altcoin market cap is predicted to reach $1.4 trillion by Q1 2025.
The Rise of Altcoin ETFs
The market is pricing in a massive altcoin ETF in 2025, something that has been predicted for over a year. Rumors are circulating that BlackRock and JPMorgan are planning to launch an XRP ETF, which would be a game-changer for the altcoin market.
The Numbers Don't Lie
In April/May 2021, the altcoin market cap was $984 billion, and by November 2021, it had dropped to 18% of Bitcoin's market cap. But now, the ratio is sitting at an extreme 95%, indicating that altcoins are seriously undervalued.
Get Ready for Altseason
The boring altcoin movements are over, and the altcoin market is on fire. The XRP ETF is coming, and it's going to be huge. Anyone who isn't paying attention is going to get left behind. With Bitcoin predicted to reach $130k and the altcoin market cap predicted to reach $1.4 trillion by Q1 2025, the time to invest is now.
Summary
As we approach the end of 2024 and enter 2025, the altcoin market is gearing up for a significant surge. Recent data shows that while retail traders have been panic selling, whales have accumulated $1.6 billion in Bitcoin, indicating a strong hold on their assets. Ethereum is currently undervalued, with rising momentum reflected in recent ETF inflows surpassing those of Bitcoin for the first time.
The altcoin market is on the verge of a major breakout, with rumors of upcoming ETFs for XRP from major firms like BlackRock and JPMorgan. Currently, the altcoin market is heavily undervalued compared to Bitcoin, sitting at a 95% ratio, suggesting potential growth. Predictions estimate the altcoin market cap could reach $1.4 trillion by Q1 2025, with Bitcoin projected to hit $130k. Overall, the altcoin season is beginning, and it presents a prime opportunity for investors to capitalize on potential gains.