Totalmarketcap
BEARISH DOM + BULLISH CAP = ALT SEASONsimple TA analysis with simple arithmetic operation :
decline of bitcoin Dominance with the rise of market capitale = the season of altcoins and price explosions.
the year 2025 will be profitable, enjoy the summer
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL BINANCE:BTCUSDT INDEX:BTCUSD BITFINEX:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
Crypto Tide Rising: Will TOTAL Market Cap surf past $5T?In November 2024 the crypto ocean was calm, hovering near $2.25T . Then, in a short time, fresh capital poured in, daily volume spiked, and the tide lifted us to $3.65T by mid-December .
Two bullish buoys popped up:
▶️ The daily down-trend snapped on Nov 4th, triggering a 51 % climb;
▶️ The 50-day MA (orange) crossed above the 200-day MA (white) on Nov 7th, after a 64 % rally.
Fast-forward to June 4th 2025 . Another Golden Cross has just flashed, and price is again nudging that descending trend-line. If History rhymes: the line breaks and momentum matches 2024’s move, the TOTAL MC could vault toward $5T .
Keeping today’s dominance ratios, that target implies roughly $162 k BTC and $3.8 k ETH . Add rising Global M2 and stablecoin liquidity, a supportive macro backdrop, and we may be staring at the next great crypto swell.
Will the market catch this wave or will macro headwinds keep the tide in check?
Not financial advice. DYOR, Arrr!
Really quick TOTALS charts - possible WARNINGS
It is Very clear when you look at these 4 charts
TOTAL - TOTAL2
TOTAL 3 _ OTHERS
The Top Left chart is the TOTAL chart and is the only one that includes BITCOIN and it is the ONLY one that is above all of its MA's
All of the other charts are heading into resistance on one or more MA's
ALT coins are sailing in to headwinds.
THIS DOES NOT MEAN THEY WILL GET REJECTEWD BUT IT OOES MEAN YOU SHOULD BE CAUTIOUS
Simple as that
TOTAL2, TOTAL MARKET CUP without BTCTOTAL2, TOTAL MARKET CUP without BTC
Reasonable targets are within the yellow zone — these are high-probability levels based on current price action, volume, and market structure. They offer the best risk/reward and are ideal for primary take-profit planning.
Targets outside the yellow zone are still possible but come with higher risk. They typically require extended time, increased volatility, or external catalysts. These should be treated as secondary or speculative targets, best approached with reduced size or active trade management.
Summary:
Yellow zone = high probability, balanced risk/reward.
Beyond yellow = lower probability, higher risk, use with caution.
Do you wanna see the bigger picture? (USDT.D Analysis 12H)After counting many waves for many days, I have a senario for USDT dominance which will lead the entire market on its way.
For those whose not fimiliar with this parameter, there is a very simple explanation.
It's the reversed way to see the market. If this parameter drops, your alts will skyrocket and if it rises, you're gonna be crying on somebody's X post's comments.
First of all, the short term wiev is bearish. We are currently in an impulsive wave 3 which is expected to be hardest for altcoins at the moment. There will be crash unless the value of this parameter drops below %4.50 and invalidates the analysis (you'll like this senario better, trust me).
All right, we got rid of the scalpers who bothered to read this far and now I'm here to explain what I see for the golden future.
Currently, USDT.D is forming a BEARISH impulsive wave for higher time frames. As long as you stick with 4H candles, you won't be able to see it.
USDT.D is trying to forming its bearish flag, by doing so it will be its second wave and will prepare its very own collapse.
Last summer, BTC has done the same thing (Check for daily time BTC).
There is more.
If we calculate the depth of this incoming flag pattern, breaking this flag would lead USDT to %3.75 which is the yearly support (Check in weekly, you'll see it).
If we calculate the time needed to past for this flag to work, it's the same amount of time needed for previous flag to break from last summer.
We also need to add fundementals in it. Currently people started to talk about a senario which will lead world to WW3. I don't think that will happen. But the problem in here is it will market throguh downside.
Furthermore, there is FED.
FED is insisting to leave interest rates on its own without a change. I believe that we won't be seeing any rate cuts till the end of this summer.
I believe that the FED will cute rates between Agust and September. This will be the fuel for our rocket to fly and ignite the wave 3.
I know it's a long script but you know it's necessary.
Thanks for reading.
$TOTAL – Is This Another Bull Trap in the Making?The total crypto market cap ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL ) has surged from $2.32T and is currently trading around $3.25T, continuing its upward trajectory. On the surface, things look bullish—but is there more to the story?
Looking at the chart, the current market structure bears a striking resemblance to previous cycles:
• 2021: Massive bull run
• 2022: Painful bull trap
• 2024: Another explosive rally
• 2025: …potential bull trap?
If history is any guide, we could be nearing a critical turning point. The pattern suggests caution—could this rally be setting up for another steep correction?
My Take: Momentum is strong, but the similarities to past cycles are too close to ignore. If the market stalls at current levels, the risk of a bull trap becomes very real.
What do you think—repeat of history or a new chapter for crypto?
Please support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳
Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
TOTALCAP — The Next Trillion Crypto Move: Are You Ready?When people analyse the crypto market, they often default to Bitcoin and for good reason. It’s the one and only, the king. But sometimes, to see the forest instead of just the tree, you need to zoom out and study the broader picture.
That’s where the Crypto Total Market Cap (TOTALCAP) chart comes in. It’s essentially the mirror of Bitcoin, but it offers powerful macro insight — not just price, but scale. Looking at trillions instead of dollars changes how you frame support, resistance, and overall sentiment. Let’s dive in.
🧠 Why TOTALCAP Matters
TOTALCAP aggregates the value of every coin and token — the complete valuation of the entire crypto industry.
And while it often moves in sync with Bitcoin, it carries a different weight.
Shows the “big picture” of institutional and retail money flow
Offers clearly defined round-number zones (Trillions) as psychological S/R
Removes coin-specific anomalies and focuses on collective momentum
In bull and bear markets, these trillion-dollar thresholds act like major checkpoints. Watching how TOTALCAP interacts with these levels can give early signals that BTC or alts alone can’t.
Historical Key Levels & Structure
Let’s break it down by macro phases:
✅ November 2021 — Peak of Last Bull Market:
TOTALCAP peaked exactly at $3 Trillion.
This level acted as a ceiling — once hit, the market reversed sharply.
This marked the top of the 5-wave impulsive move (Elliott Wave theory).
📉 November 2022 — Bear Market Bottom:
TOTALCAP dropped below $1 Trillion, bottoming at $727 Billion.
This was almost a 0.786 fib retracement from peak — similar to BTC’s historical retracements.
The $1T mark was retested as resistance before being reclaimed as support.
📈 2023–2025 — The Bull Awakens:
$1 Trillion flipped into solid support throughout 2023.
A clear sign the macro market structure had shifted bullish.
Once $2T was breached, things moved fast.
🚀 Current State:
The market surged above the previous $3T ceiling.
TOTALCAP has hit a new ATH: $3.73 Trillion
Now, the question is: Is this the start of a new leg higher, or a bull trap before a correction?
🔍 Fibonacci Confluences — Why $3.7T Was Key
The sharp rejection at $3.7T wasn’t random. It aligns with:
1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension: From 91.24B → 3T high → 727B low = 1.0 = 3.65T ✅ precise hit
1.272 Fib Extension of the macro move
Upper Pitchfork Resistance
Channel Top Rejection
→ All signals converged to mark that level as major resistance
🌀 Elliott Wave Macro Count
Looking at the weekly timeframe, we can see a clear impulsive 5-wave movement from the 2022 lows:
Wave 1: $727B → $1.26T
Wave 2: Correction to $975B ($1T) (support confirmed)
Wave 3: Massive rally toward $2.72T
Wave 4: Pullback toward $1.69T (VWAP retest)
Wave 5: $3.73T ATH
What does this imply?
According to classical Elliott Wave theory, after a full 5-wave move, the market tends to enter an corrective phase.
🔍 Some key levels to watch:
$3T: Historical S/R (was the 2021 top, now acting as a key level)
$2.31T: Recent swing low
$2T: Psychological and structural support
📌 Zone of Interest for Longs: $2.31T–$2T
This zone holds:
Previous consolidation zone from mid-2024
Fib retracement confluence
Likely forming Wave C bottom if this is a full ABC
🎯 Upside Targets — What If We Continue Higher?
Looking ahead:
🔸 1.618–1.666 Fib Extension = $4.42T–$4.53T
🔸 1.618 TBFE from previous cycle = ~$5.45T
📌 Rounded Targets: $4.5T, $5T and $5.5T
These are the next likely macro cycle targets — but only after a healthy correction and consolidation.
☀️ Macro Context & Summer Seasonality
Historically, summer tends to be a weaker period:
Lower volume
Institutional rebalancing
Geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty
📚 Educational Insight: TOTALCAP as a Tool
Treat TOTALCAP like the S&P500 of crypto.
Use round trillions as psychological levels: 1T, 2T, 3T, etc.
Always check if BTC’s price is aligned with where TOTALCAP is on the macro structure
Helps judge market strength even when BTC dominance is shifting
It’s especially useful when altcoins pump or dump out of sync with BTC — you can use TOTALCAP to track the real flow of money.
💡 Final Thoughts
We are likely in a corrective phase after a complete 5-wave cycle.
The area between $2.31T and $2T offers high-probability long entries
Watching how TOTALCAP reacts to these levels will help us anticipate the broader market’s next move
Summer slowdown could mean chop — but this also creates opportunities
💬 Let me know your thoughts: Are we entering a deeper correction? Or will TOTALCAP surprise us with a new leg higher?
Don’t forget to zoom out. The charts always tell the story.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
TOTAL3 – Altcoin Market Cap (Excluding BTC & ETH) Weekly TF 2025Summary
TOTAL3 is currently in a macro bullish cycle and undergoing a mid-cycle correction. The chart presents a Fibonacci-based structural roadmap with 3 Take Profit zones, identifying both correction supports and breakout targets. There is a high probability of short-term downside before a significant altcoin rally.
🌈 Chart Context
Fibonacci Retracement (Primary Leg):
100% = 285.3B
0% = 1.16T
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension
A = 285.3B
B = 775B
C = 464.11B
Price as of analysis: ~845.62B
Key Technical Observations
Support Levels:
61.8% Fib Retracement = 618.5B
Strong Confluence Zone: Fib Retracement 48% + Fib Extension 50–61.8% (highlighted on chart)
38.2% Fib Retracement = 824.38B
Resistance Levels:
951.73B: 23.6% Retracement + 100% Extension – strong resistance zone before $1T psychological level
Take Profit Zones:
1 TP (1.1T) = 127% Fib Extension (Upper leg of parallel extension)
2 TP (1.28T) = 161.8% Fib Extension
3 TP (1.7T) = -61.8% Fib Retracement and 261.8% Extension confluence zone
Pattern & Projection:
The structure suggests a possible correction phase to lower support before continuation.
Bullish continuation expected after corrective phase, shown by the projected dotted path.
Structure: Bullish structure with healthy correction in mid-phase of the macro uptrend.
Fundamental Context
Altcoin Lag: TOTAL3 remains ~40% below its ATH, while BTC and ETH have already hit new highs.
Liquidity Shift Expected: Altcoin capital rotation tends to follow after BTC dominance stabilizes or drops.
Macro Backdrop:
Fed expected to cut rates later in 2025
Stablecoin legislation and ETF narratives building altcoin trust
Institutional inflows are slowly diversifying from BTC to ETH and large-cap alts
These suggest a possible shakeout or deeper correction before altseason breakout gains strength.
Bias & Strategy Implication:
Bias: Bullish Mid-Term – Correction Before Continuation
Expected Scenario: Pullback to strong support zones (824B–733B–618B), followed by a sustained breakout toward 1.1T–1.7T.
Invalidation: Weekly close below 618B may delay bullish structure and extend correction.
Strategy:
Long entries at support zones with tight invalidation
Scaling out near TP1, TP2, TP3 based on market momentum
Philosophical View
Patience is the virtue of the second leg in a macro trend. The correction serves to eject the impatient, reprice risk, and strengthen conviction. When TOTAL3 rises from deep support, it will be not just price but confidence that rallies.
Related Reference Charts
TOTAL Market Cap Structural Breakout:
TOTAL2 Altcoin Chart with Fibonacci Path:
✅ Tags
#TOTAL3 #AltcoinMarket #Fibonacci #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #CryptoMacro #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishOutlook #MidCycleCorrection #Crypto2025
⚠️ Notes & Disclaimers
This analysis is educational and not financial advice. Markets are inherently risky. Do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Do you believe in miracles?Others dominance is crazily undervalued way beyond anyone's imagination, it's been a crazy 4 year bear market for alts. Big question is, when will it end. Can't fathom this industry getting killed by exchanges, just look at others.d go man, crazy low.
If this were the equivalent to 2019/2020 and 2015/2016, any buy in this range is a one in a lifetime opportunity.
If this is like December 2016, well, that would save us years of struggle. Hard to tell what's going to happen but I still believe Trump will give us an extended bullrun that will peak when the FIFA world cup is on somewhere around July 4th 2026.
Great depression? this goes way beyond that, what more of a great depression do you want. Just brutal.
Crypto Market Slows Down For A Correction Within UptrendCrypto market nicely slowed down as expected and Crypto TOTAL market cap chart can now be finishing a projected wave 4 correction right at the former wave "iv" swing low and channel support line, which is ideal textbook technical picture that can now send the Crypto market higher for wave 5, especially if bounces back above 3.3T area and channel resistance line.
However, even if it's going to face deeper and more complex correction within higher degre wave (2) down to 3.0T - 2.8T area, sooner or later we can expect a bullish continuation, as Crypto TOTAL market cap chart is not at the all-time highs yet.
TOTAL Analysis (12H)Red candles may be approaching for the TOTAL market cap parameter.
Currently, TOTAL is sitting right on a strong support zone that has held multiple times in the past. However, if this level fails to hold, the market could experience a sharp decline in the coming days.
Two Possible Scenarios:
Bullish case: If the market manages a bounce this week, there’s a risk of forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, which could act as a reversal structure unless invalidated quickly.
Bearish case: TOTAL has already mitigated a key supply zone (marked in red on the chart). A logical move here would be a retracement down to a nearby demand zone to regain strength for a fresh upward push.
If the current support is lost, we can expect a drop toward the green demand area between 3T and 2.85T.
Opportunity Zone: This range (3T–2.85T) will be ideal for long-term long or buy positions once reached, as it represents a high-probability rebound zone based on historical price behavior.
— Thanks for reading.
Altcoins The Moon AwaitsLike always, everything is clearly outlined on the charts :
- As a trader, it's crucial to follow logic and technical analysis. If you get caught up in the news and listen to everyone on Twitter, you won't last long.
- The first major altcoin rally was in 2018, pushing the market to $300 billion. This level later acted as a key support throughout the 2022–2023 bear market.
- The last all-time high for the crypto market (excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) reached $1.15 trillion in 2021. ( blue doted vertical line )
- This all-time high was retested in December 2024, with this ATH acting as strong resistance. ( second blue doted vertical line )
- The next move could be a breakout above this resistance. According to Fibonacci projections, the altcoin market has the potential to reach $4 trillion.
While the spotlight remains on Bitcoin and ETFs, altcoins could catch up with a sudden and powerful surge, so make sure you’re not left behind.
Hodl!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Altseason Isn’t Over – It’s Just Getting Started !!It’s not the end of #Altcoins this is just a small dip before the big move. 🚀
Right now, all EMAs (50, 100, 200) are sitting at the same level. This is acting as very strong support around the $1.12T zone.
Price has bounced from this area before, and if it holds again, we could see a big breakout toward $1.28T+.
Altseason isn’t over. It’s loading.
Be ready. 👀
#TOTAL2 #Altseason2025
USDT dominance chart!The chart shows USDT.D (Tether dominance) moving within a descending channel.
Currently, USDT.D is testing the upper resistance of the channel, around 4.65%.
If the dominance gets rejected at this level, the next potential target is the lower channel support around 3.9-4.0%.
This could indicate a risk-off environment where traders move capital from stablecoins (USDT) to more volatile assets like Bitcoin or altcoins.
The 50 and 200 moving averages provide dynamic resistance levels that support this potential downside move.
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
TOTAL 2 ANALYSEThe longer BTC dominance continues to decline, the more likely it is that Total 2 will break through key resistance levels.
For now, I’m anticipating a retest of the highlighted area, which would support a logical continuation to the upside, in line with the H4 analysis on BTC dominance.
Total Market Cap Weekly Chart: Ready to Explode?Hey traders! Let’s dive into this weekly TOTAL Crypto Market Cap chart. The headline says it all— Total Market Cap Is About to Explode , and we’re here to break it down!
We’re seeing a massive expanding triangle formation, with the market cap currently at 3.21T , right at retest of triangle resistance. Historically, these patterns have led to parabolic moves — check out the 2019 - 2020 breakout! If history repeats, a breakout could send the market cap soaring toward 8.0T or even higher!
However, if the breakout fails, we might see a pullback to the previous level of support around 2T .
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3.66T (ATH)
Support: 2T
Breakout Target: 8.1T+
Breakdown Risk: 1.20T (latest strong resistance below 2.6T)
Is the market cap about to go parabolic, or are we in for a fakeout? Let’s hear your thoughts below!