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TQQQ

TQQQ reaching some Resistance (SHORT)Analysis based on long term trend lines and forming wedge. Moving averages starting to curl downward. Daily RSI is very high. Bought Put 11/5 dated 11/19 for $157.00. $2. No stop loss. In hindsight, it would probably be more advantageous to purchase a longer-dated put such as 1-month out, December 10th, and raised the price target close to the current share price, about $169, so that the risk of being out of the money at expiration is lower. The premium in that case would be more like $10. Loss due to theta decay would decrease. However, in that scenerio, a stop loss would be necessary due to the significantly higher premium. Also in that scenerio, it would be necessary to take into account the larger spread, about $0.50. Entry limit as close to the bid price as possible and wait for order to fill is a must. For the $2 put for 11/5 at $157, the spread was very small, about $0.02.
NASDAQ:TQQQShort
by bodeen88
NQ - 4Hr + Macro / Gamma - Delta Accident - JPow Fools AgainThe Macro Data Calendar for Today: Non-Farm Payrolls Average Hourly Earnings Unemployment Rate Coupons - $8.425 Billion 2s to 4s. ______________________________________________________ ZN continues to Trade the Lower End of the Range. The BOE Stick saved the US Treasury Market, although FED FUNDS... Disagree - www.cmegroup.com Oops... Again - www.cmegroup.com Powell Blindsided everyone with the Taper while FED FUNDS... Accident moving forward in TIME. 2x Ooops. ______________________________________________________ Our Thesis was the Federal Reserve would begin to move forward, quickly forward to Increase FED FUNDS far more rapidly than the Retail Trader/Investor anticipates. This Thesis has been ongoing since JULY 2021. 2024 to 2023 to 2022 to now 2021. We were Correct - 100% Correct. Thereby creating a large Event taking the Equity Complex to its knees and down to the 200SMAs, where they would find minor support for a Counter-Trend, only to reverse and Trade to closer to the 400SMAs. Nothing, and I am quite resolute in this Thesis, has changed. The Probability has increased substantially - Exponentially. ______________________________________________________ Disagree? Up to you, it is your Capital @ RISK. We continue to mount a large Position in Options for the IMPENDING reversal. ______________________________________________________ NQ will be in 8/9 today, the Price Objective we stated for the Profit Target... was met during Globex @ 16424. SOLD NQ on a FR. Resistance has Traded First. ______________________________________________________ I have been repeatedly Asked in PM @ TV why I am a "Bear" in this Mania. Answer: Continue to chase Gamma/Delta, we Fade it, there is no Top Picking is ongoing, there is, however, an acute understanding of how this ends, and it will. Positioning for it, taking heat... taking losses, all part of the entry. We hold no Underlying Sells in the NQ ES YM RTY. We do Hold Derivatives in the QQQ SPY SMH TQQQ TSLA QCOM TLT AMC AAPL and continue to build on these Positions from November to January. Top pickers have at it, wading in is more our style and we know how to do so with a minimal negative effect - Hedge Underlying. ______________________________________________________ We see a very large Market Dislocation directly ahead. Agree/Disagree - immaterial. It is our Trade Plan and it is not changing, not remotely. ______________________________________________________ The unwind will be of extreme velocity, most will indeed miss the majority of the Negative Price Actions. Presently - 32% Positioned into the impending SELL. ______________________________________________________ Trade Safe everyone - HK
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by HK_L61
2
$VIX - Key Levels and Analysis - Another View - Daily Timeframe$VIX - Key Levels and Analysis - Another View - Daily Timeframe ————— I posted a VIX study earlier today on the 1W timeframe (it’s the post directly before this) Now bringing it down to the Daily chart - another bearish MA crossover. Always a deep spike when these averages cross. YIKES… I hate being THIS bearish… but I do not think is is good. Trade carefully guys. I personally love volatility, but just know your limits - it could get bumpy —————— I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. My average is in Grey Red = Resistance Green = Support Blue = trendlines If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can. Have fun, y’all!!
TVC:VIX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
5
$VIX - Key Levels and Analysis $VIX - Key Levels and Analysis ————— The longer that VIX stays under the MacD centerline the more Violent the Spike is when it does cross up. Normally we see corrections much more often that return stocks and etf’s back to the 180EMA. The fact that we have not seen a crossover AND that we are SO FAR above the 180EMA makes me believe that this will be quite a violent correction. —————— I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. My average is in Grey Red = Resistance Green = Support Blue = trendlines If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can. Have fun, y’all!!
TVC:VIX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
1
VXN - NQ VolatilityNasdaq continue to ride the 2010-2011 Peak's Upper Trend Line. VXN's range is disturbing as it broke the 19 level. 13s are now open for a potential blowoff. Banging its head repeatedly, it has been difficult to ease into a SELL position that can be held... new highs, larger negative divergences. Straddling the Upper Boundary on the Weekly chart remains the trade for NQ. It has lost all momentum, making a lower low in trend - only to reverse and make new ATHs. Semiconductors were the leader for NQ - MU AMD INTC NVDA AMAT AVGO TXN QCOM ASML TSM all had large CALL BUYING to wreck the NQ Sellers. SOXS holders as well, a large destruction of Price to new lows. The RANGE is extreme, the Upper Trend Line now 10 years in uptrend, remains the Sell Off Level. Position - 0
CBOE:VXN
by HK_L61
ES - Channel Surfing 2hr - NQ YM RTY SOXS TQQQ TLT ZN ZB ARKKFriday's WRR was symptomatic of how the Order Book and Market @ depth can be rung like a Bell - Every stop was smoked. We held 493s @ 12 after peeling off the same ahead of Thursday. A solid and comfortable buffer of 8 Handles giving us a 501 B/E - Stop was 96, the reaction level and prior PO. Wrecked in minutes, All positions took the poker, hot. NQ was the leader into Thursday close, making a lower low on the Hourly, while finishing Friday @ new ATHs. The only trade taken in NQ was the initial higher high @ 428 to 390 on 80 MNQ scaled in from 426. This Sell became the fuel for the next stop run higher. Retail Traders entered and reentered the Sell all day only to be crushed under the Futures bid. The Semis bid took SOXS to new lows, ending our position on Stop - our largest loser in 17 months. TQQQ stopped .38 below entry. TLT ZN ZB closed @ 0.12%+ ARKK Stopped at ~ Entry and on and on it goes... stop stop stop run. 1st losing day in 17 days and a large loss on SMH's. ______________________________________________________________________________ ES Chart illustrates the higher targets - and lower 4441/4444 Support - 80 Handle range. What it does not show is the following - Market on Close orders were followed on in Globex - the Sell imbalances... were immense. Perhaps those in the know, knew the Drone Strike retaliation was on Deck. It is clear we are in a Large topping process, with stop run after stop run the tool in trade. Where this terminates now is a WAG. The very moment everything lines up in a large SELL, the rescue operation doubles down and makes New ATHs on expanding divergences. Frustrating in the extreme as it requires very large drawdowns, unacceptable drawdowns on Capital. Hedging DEC SELLs with SEP Bids Intra-Day has worked, although the Risks in continuing this balance is so extreme, we are going to remain in CASH with an extreme negative position structure.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HK_L61
TQQQ - Sell to open 143.55Globex SELL - 143.55 x 2K - 1st Position SEC warns ​on China's Listings transparency. China remains the 800lb Gorilla in the room. The rising wedge broke, only to be retested with the required new ATH. Big tech with the exception of FB/GOOG will be lowering guidance, reducing EPS to compound prior Q2 negative guidance. AMZN YOY Warning stuck, AMZN has had difficulty moving higher - ie. dead $. Big Data will excel while Semiconductors come under further Duress (SOXS SELL 40K) Our Sell Position is to 4K shares, the target below remains a break of the prior lows. Geopolitical Risks remain high within the SCS/Taiwan areana. Interest Rate pressure will continue to build as the Yield Curve's 10 - 30 spread is setting up to decline in Price as Yields move higher into Fall. FX is projecting a Higher DX, consolidating as Consumers continue to increasingly Hoard Dollars.
NASDAQ:TQQQShort
by HK_L61
7