NDX DOES IT PIVOT HERE?I'm observing some interesting trends on this NDX renko chart. Take a look at my lower wavetrend indicator and the simple, yet remarkable, patterns that exist. This chart goes back 10 years but I really want you to focus on the giant ascending broadening wedge (aka megaphone) from 2018 until now. I see this area as a potential pivot but we're just as likely to melt-up, even if we do have another correction. I'd love to see a #6 of this megaphone but I'm not certain of that. If the NDX eventually breaks above this pattern then it will most likely soar similarly to 1999-2002. This seems absurd but it's not unlikely considering the ingredients baked into our current monetary cake. I will consider a long hedge (2023+) calls in QQQ if we can have another nice correction but I don't like the risk/reward of going long here. Let's see if we can get another nice pull back.
TQQQ
TQQQ long swing trade entry off- heiken ashi strategyShortly after bouncing off the 21 day moving average, we got a buy signal.
Closing price was 164.74
1st Take Profit (10% of position @ 4%) = $171.33
2nd Take Profit (10% of position @ 8%) = $177.92
Exiting on 1st red heiken ashi or 9th green. No stop loss, chart shows 12.3%, this is max single trade drawdown of this strategy from 2010-2020, in order to show max risk.
NASDAQ still above supportS&P took a big hit overnight, but NASDAQ still above support. Not sure if it will hold support all day or fold.
$PLTR - Still Bearish - $16-19 Price Target*Broked the symmetrical triangle. Heading to lower buy zones
Let's try again! Will Tech Join the Reopening Trade? ContinuedI am reposting my trade from November 24th that is still active.
So far we have hit our 12% price target twice, and we are awaiting the ninth bullish heiken ashi candle in a row on Monday, on which we will take 50% of the position off no matter what.
TQQQ Life Has Been a Logarithmic LineIt seems like quite a coincidence that NASDAQ:TQQQ has been so linear on a logarithmic scale. You'd expect more randomness.
Why is it so straight?
Is this a result of some fundamental underlying economic laws?
Or is the Federal Reverse using its powers to maintain a very specific level of long term economic growth?
NDX Finding SupportNDX looks like it could find support at ~11,000 for the following reasons.
1) Potential Trend Line Forming; Break toward the top
2) I have the 2 Stdev Bollinger bands plotted: Price action is at the lower limit at this moment and could present buying pressure from the many who use this metric for entry points.
3) Fib levels show a retracement level at about 11,0000
4) VXN looks like it is hitting resistance at 43 and we are lower today than the values we saw on 10/28. Next resistance is ~46, and then ~60, so some risk there if volatility breaks out, but currently looks like the 43 level is holding.
5) PCC ratio is lower than the 10/28 value as of this moment, providing a little bit of comfort.
With this in mind, I believe this is a decent entry point for those willing to take the risk. If you have the ability to trade options, maybe consider selling some delta 30 covered calls to hedge your trade.
TQQQ Trends heading toward US Elections and Black FridayI anticipate the elections to continue to exert downward pressure on TQQQ as forecasts predict an administration that is less business-friendly will take control, and begin legislating an environment that is less supportive of profits and rapid growth. I suspect a bear condition on TQQQ and the broader tech market to persist into the new year, and think short positions or inverse positions are likely the spot to be for the foreseeable future as it relates to tech.
TQQQ - Hopin' to eek out a little at 141.25 then say goodbyeI see a downward channel the past few days on TQQQ and QQQ, an corresponding upward channels on SQQQ
Resistance around 135.40 on the downside.
Breaking move Up or Down out of trend coming soon.
Morning delight as the market rises, followed by afternoon drops seem to be the norm these days.
*NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE - NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR*
TQQQ Scalper PatternThere seems to be a pattern here. When a strong sell signal is followed by a buy signal, there are strong gains over the next few weeks. Also notice the Supertrend buy signals on 6/23 and 10/12. 6/23 was followed by a loss of ~15% followed by a 100% gain. 10/12 has now also lost ~15%.