Is QQQ ready to continue after a minor pullback?On the 4H chart, QQQ has been in a trend up for the entirety of this year
reaching 42% YTD. Of late, QQQ has had a 2-3 day pullback correcting
a decent uptrend over the prior week. On the Relative Trend Index,
while the signal is below the mean line, there is all the more upside
and the overall trend is positive. The dual time frame RSI shows weekly
RS high and steady over 80 while the lower time frame of 3H as the blue
line fluctuating between support at the 50 level and 80 and presently
a 50 in the pullbck. I analyse QQQ as ready to continue its overall
trend up. I will take out additional call options for a strike of $385
to expire on August 18. Over the past day this option gained 33% and
had a bid/ask spread of about 1%. I will set a stop-loss of 10% while
anticipating a profit of 150%. Once hitting the anticipated profit before
the expiration date I will take one-half of the contracts off the table
and close the rest 1-2 days before expiration.
TQQQ
The TQQQ and BTC/USD CorrelationThe BTC/USD (Bitcoin to US Dollar) and TQQQ (ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF) can sometimes show correlation, though it's important to note that these correlations can change over time and are influenced by a multitude of factors. There are several reasons why this correlation might occur:
1. Risk Appetite: Both Bitcoin and TQQQ are considered high-risk, high-reward investments. Bitcoin is a volatile asset class, and TQQQ is a leveraged ETF that aims to deliver three times the daily performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index. Therefore, when investors have a high appetite for risk (often in a bullish or 'risk-on' market environment), both Bitcoin and TQQQ could perform well. Conversely, in periods of risk aversion (bearish or 'risk-off' markets), they could both decline.
2. Technological Optimism: The NASDAQ-100 Index, which TQQQ aims to amplify, is heavily weighted towards technology and innovative companies. Bitcoin, as a decentralized digital currency, is often viewed as a vanguard of technological and financial innovation. Therefore, positive sentiment towards technology and innovation could drive both BTC and TQQQ higher.
3. Market Liquidity: In times of ample market liquidity, such as periods of low-interest rates or quantitative easing by central banks, risk assets like Bitcoin and leveraged ETFs like TQQQ can be attractive to investors looking for higher returns.
4. Speculative Trading: Both Bitcoin and TQQQ are popular among speculative traders, given their potential for significant price movements. This common trader interest could lead to similar trading patterns and thus correlations in price movements.
However, it's important to remember that while Bitcoin and TQQQ can show periods of correlation, they are fundamentally different assets with unique risk profiles. Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency that is often subject to regulatory news, technological developments in the blockchain space, and changes in sentiment towards digital assets. TQQQ, on the other hand, is tied to the performance of a specific equity index (NASDAQ-100), and its performance will be influenced by factors like corporate earnings, economic indicators, and changes in interest rates.
Investors should consider these differences, and the potential for correlation to change or even disappear, when building a diversified portfolio.
Will SPY continue to rise? LONGOn the 30- minute chart, SPY is in an uptrend continuing from the end of the last
trading week. I see this as continuing for the following reasons on analysis:
1. The Lorentzian AI machine learning indicator's last signal was a buy signal. Given its
specific accuracy of 73% as the table reports, I suspect the uptrend will continue until
a sell signal prints.
2. The VWAP anchored to July 6th shows price riding the upper VWAP bands suggesting that
buying pressure exceeds selling pressure over the past week.
3. The MTF RSIs are steadily rising with the lower TF above the higher TF and no evidence
of weakening or bearish divergence.
4. The zero-lag MACD shows lines crossed and are now parallel and about to cross over the horizontal zero line.
5. In the last trading day, the price ran up then momentum stalled for profit-taking and consolidation to rest for the next.
6. Trading volumes have been at or above the running mean throughout the recent past
showing higher than usual trader interest which bodes well for volatility to be played for
profit.
7. If I were looking for chart patterns, I would say that SPY is currently a high tight flag. It is expectant of bullish continuation
Overall, I have further interest in trading call options with a low time interval until
expiration. I will use intraday pivots on low time frames to select entries and pick
strikes based on expected moves in analysing VWAP bands or Bollinger Bands.
TQQQ - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Breakout 44 resistance and next resistance at 47.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for medium-term long-term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
TQQQ - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]🔹TQQQ has broken the rising trend up in the medium long term
🔹Broken up through resistance 39.
🔹Support at 39.
🔹Short-term momentum is positive with RSI above 70.
🔹Technically positive for medium-term long-term
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Nasdaq Positioning. Haven't made an IDEA on Trading View in forever. Probably over a year somewhere.
But today I bring trading view a new idea to witness. And my participants to view my ideas in real-time.
So during this bear market, I wanted to accumulate an equity asset at the pits of the bear market bottom.
My research drew me into the product $TQQQ.
a Triple leverage Nasdaq instrument. I have used this instrument during the covid sell, buying the bottom at around 15-17.00 and holding long-term to nearly 100.00. I do believe that idea is on my page if you search for it.
Next, Market conditions have begun to shift tides. As much drama we have around our economy, there are some underlining changes, that could justify the potential projection of price for the Nasdaq for higher prices.
So since I started this position in Q4 of 22. It was to accumulate shares and Calls equivalence of 1,000 shares of $TQQQ.
Calls being 25 Strikes End Jan 2024 Leaps at 4.00 each or less.
And shares average price cost for me is about 22.75 with all the times I accumulated under and around 24-20.50
This will be the position I hold long-term for the year. Accumulate lows and ride highs and keep your average price as low as possible. While accumulating slowly and neatly on the best opportunities.
I will continuously update this idea. as time progresses.
TQQQ - Nasdaq based ETF - At 100% key zone!TQQQ - Nasdaq based leveraged ETF - TQQQ is at the 100% key zone from the discount zone! If there is a pullback, then we can do it all again, repeat? We are expecting the markets to recover over time and exceed the all-time highs just based on the history of the market. Time is the variable we cannot predict? When will price break the all-time high? 3 months? 6 months? 1 year? 2 years?
URTY - the 3X leveraged ETF for the Russell 2000 LONGURTY seeks to yield 3X the Russell . The Russell has lagged the other major indices. This is
probably because this is a big collection of small companies which are weaker in general
and more suspectible to financial pressures like to cost of borrowing to finance growth and
so on. This week the Russell is out performing SPY, QQQ and DIA. These leveraged ETFs should
not be traded downside as the 3x causes expotential decay over time. Buy and hold will not
work well.
On the chart, the up trends as tracked by the "alpha trend" indicator are fairly obvious and
substantial. The zero lag MACD confirms buy and sell signals with K/ D line crosses. Entry
points are marked by a dramatic uptick in relative volatility making it easy to buy fast
and early in trend momentum, URTY is up nearly 20% so far in June. ( So much for sell
in May and go away). At present, it is waiting in consolidation waiting for more buyers
to step into its price action.
TQQQ - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]🔹TQQQ shows strong development within a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹The price has risen strongly since the positive signal from the double bottom formation at the break through resistance at 23.69.
🔹The short term momentum of the stock is strongly positive, with RSI above 70.
🔹Overall assessed as technically slightly positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Still intermediate bullish $NDXWe turned bullish last year mid October. We've turned short term bear every so often but have maintained the LONGER TERM Cautious bull narrative for some time.
IMO buy the dips is still working.
#NDX looking to open @ 2023 high
IMO we still have more upside
Debt ceiling ya ya ya (MARKETS ARE IRRATIONAL)
HOWEVER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
On a WEEKLY basis:
We can sell off nicely & STILL be in upswing!!!
SPY & QQQ indecision Day | Support & Resistance Guide - SPY back tested prior resistance and so far held it triple bottom today on 5m time frame around 417 range
- Key question is which way do we break on Monday if we break bear we can potentially go back into our 1.5 month long chop zone.
- Can SPY hold this support zone if QQQ consolidates/slight pullback next week?
- first day we see SMH a slow down a bit versus QQQ
NAS Ending Diagonal Triangle Break It doesn't get more obvious than this. We're probably headed back to 12k at the very least on a corrective wave. Fed GDP forecasts are really all you need to see to know lots of rate hikes and taxes coming soon. It's halving every year, and that's an optimistic estimate. Don't wanna spook the market. fred.stlouisfed.org
BIGGEST ECONOMIC CONTRACTION OF A LIFETIMEThe comparisons to the beginning of dot com are uncanny.
I compared countless indicators and the current price action is identical to the dot com beginning.
Additionally, the duration of the yield curve inversion is identical and the % of the drop is identical, almost to the decimal.
The current contraction took 5x as long to reach this point as compared with the dot com.
The dot com contraction took 2.3 years to hit bottom from the identified mark.
Scaling the time, this correction could take 10 years (5 x 2) to reach bottom.
We've enjoyed 15 years of a bull market (with some bumps along the road).
Now, we are facing the most inverted yield curve in 40 + years.
Time for the market to pay the piper.
I fear this will be a recession we will share with our children in 20 years
We are only at the start of this.
TQQQ - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]- TQQQ has broken the ceiling of the falling trend in the medium long term, which indicates a slower initial falling rate.
- It also gave positive signal from the double bottom formation at the break up through the resistance at 23.69.
- Further rise to 30.60 or more is signaled.
- The stock has broken a resistance level in the short term and given a positive signal for the short-term trading range.
- The stock has marginally broken up through resistance at 27.60.
An established break predicts a further rise.
- Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
*Chart Pattern:
DT - Double Top | BEARISH | RED
DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | GREEN
HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | RED
REC - Rectangle | BLUE
iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | GREEN
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
QQQ Bullish Reaction to MSFT & GOOGL Earnings | Daily Downtrend|- both AMEX:SPY and QQQ confirmed Daily downtrend.
- NASDAQ:QQQ finally broke out of its 3 weeks range bearish but the AH bounce
- NASDAQ:MSFT good earnings bringing all tech stocks up
- NASDAQ:GOOGL decent pop but faded most of its gains
- NASDAQ:AMZN moving due to MSFT decent cloud report
QQQ Falling Wedge Pattern | MSFT GOOGL Earnings Prediction | - NASDAQ:QQQ falling wedge pattern is about to break likely break tomorrow.
- QQQ & AMEX:SPY still trading in the same tight range for 3 weeks likely breaking this week with all the big tech earnings
- NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOGL Earnings report tomorrow AH
$QQQ $SPY Weekly Analysis Future Outlook | Support & Resistance - NASDAQ:QQQ & AMEX:SPY both are still in healthy daily uptrend no sign of red flags.
- QQQ Daily EMA 12 is a good support guide
- Still holding my SOXX short (in SOXS) due to relative weakness compare to QQQ
- Earnings coming up for NASDAQ:TSLA and NASDAQ:NFLX BCBA:TSMC
PPI Data | Bank Earnings | $QQQ Bear Break | - CPI came in 5%, personally i think it was pretty much priced in due to us knowing well ahead of data release at 5.1%
- PPI data tomorrow 530am EST
- bank earnings pre-market Friday.
- NASDAQ:QQQ & AMEX:SPY bear break, need SP:SPX to join SKILLING:NASDAQ tomorrow.
- still holding my AMEX:SOXS , shorting the NASDAQ:SMH /SOXX sector
Apple Is this market ready to break? This was a significant rebound, almost unimaginably unrealistic... 5-weeks of straight rallying through the tidal waves of bad economic news, rate hikes, QT, geopolitical tensions, ect...
Let's see what holds for August and September, which are two months that aren't great for stocks. If you do short, go to at least the end of September.
RSI and MACD are supporting a sell off. MA puts Apple at $160, and the Lower price of BB is $151. Was this a giant head and shoulder?
First shoulder December 2021, head at March 2022, and now the right shoulder at August 2022? Hmmm