iBIT - Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Afternoon,
Here is my weekly perspective for NASDAQ:IBIT ---
IV (48.31%) entering this week is holding in the 24th percent range for the year and has been climbing weekly from putting in new lows at the beginning of the year. We essentially have been seeing rising IV with rising price action, the best of the best. Premium increases from price action climbing and IV rising affects Vega positively increasing premium too.
Bi-weekly trends (27.64%) show a cooling off entering the week and contraction under IV, but it might not last long as there could be major macro news in the crypto world at any moment. This could be a big week on continued regression towards quarterly means (51.52%).
If this happens the range will continue to expand in my option and hold a +3.21% value per move on premium over stated IV, but weekly trends would be expanding 23.89% -- A huge move.
As always --
For those interested in volatility analysis and the application of weighted HV ranges to IV, I encourage you to BOOST and share this post, leave a comment, or follow me to join me on this journey.
Tracking
BITx - Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Afternoon,
Here is my weekly perspective for CBOE:BITX
IV (96.75%) entering this week is holding in the 18th percent range for the year and has been climbing weekly from putting in new lows at the beginning of the year. We essentially have been seeing rising IV with rising price action, the best of the best. Premium increases from price action climbing and IV rising affects Vega positively increasing premium too.
Bi-weekly trends (56.07%) show a cooling off entering the week and contraction under IV, but it might not last long as there could be major macro news in the crypto world at any moment. This could be a big week on continued regression towards quarterly means (104.06%).
If this happens the range will continue to expand in my option and hold a +7.31% value per move on premium over stated IV, but weekly trends would be expanding 47.99% -- A huge move.
As always --
For those interested in volatility analysis and the application of weighted HV ranges to IV, I encourage you to BOOST and share this post, leave a comment, or follow me to join me on this journey.
BITx - Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood afternoon -- Here is my weekly perspective for CBOE:BITX
IV (86.99%) entering the week sits in the 3rd percentile for the year. HV10 (60.22%) has been lowering towards it's yearly lows of 47.87% showing a coiling of bi-weekly values at 87.65% from this -- and a divergence from IV of -26.77% . IV is chasing the sinking bi-weekly volatility trends. We generally could see a volatility bounce within this range or continue to grind to new volatility lows.
I always expect and prepare for both, Lewis Pastor once said, "in a scientific setting, chance favors the prepared mind". I hold that true in a lot of situational settings not just scientific, but find it to be very true with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD volatility and risk management.
Moving deeper into the week; what can we expect?
Well, I think that the final shakeout may be here as we consolidate more into the beginning of the week finalizing on Tuesday, June 3rd. I find significance on this date being the extension in time from selling off for 45 days after the initial 'W' distribution off the top -- potentially the start of the volatility swing back towards long-term trending means and maybe the start of another impulse run to track into..stay tuned to find out in observation.
If this week we find regression to HV63 (99.73%), it will be a swift and quick move showing lots of strength. The ability to capture premium between the difference of stated IV from lowering HV10 values to the volatility swing back up above IV to quarterly means, is what it is all about! This capture can be upwards 12.74% as a volatility metric read and beyond, because when a volatility regression occurs, it moves past means until having to consolidate back downwards again. Rinse and repeat.
For those interested in volatility analysis and the application of weighted HV ranges to IV, I encourage you to BOOST and share this post, leave a comment, or follow me to join me on this journey.
iBIT - Weekly Volatility Snapshot Good afternoon -- Here is my weekly perspective for NASDAQ:IBIT
IV (43.42%) entering the week sits in the 6th percentile for the year. HV10 (28.24%) has been lowering towards it's yearly lows of 23.43% showing a coiling of bi-weekly values at 95.19% from this -- and a divergence from IV of -15.81% . IV is chasing the sinking bi-weekly volatility trends. We generally could see a volatility bounce within this range or continue to grind to new volatility lows.
I always expect and prepare for both, Lewis Pastor once said, "in a scientific setting, chance favors the prepared mind". I hold that true in a lot of situational settings not just scientific, but find it to be very true with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD volatility and risk management.
Moving deeper into the week; what can we expect?
Well, I think that the final shakeout may be here as we consolidate more into the beginning of the week finalizing on Tuesday, June 3rd. I find significance on this date being the extension in time from selling off for 45 days after the initial 'W' distribution off the top -- potentially the start of the volatility swing back towards long-term trending means and maybe the start of another impulse run to track into..stay tuned to find out in observation.
If this week we find regression to HV63 (49.26%), it will be a swift and quick move showing lots of strength. The ability to capture premium between the difference of stated IV from lowering HV10 values to the volatility swing back up above IV to quarterly means, is what it is all about ! This capture can be upwards 5.84% as a volatility metric read and beyond, because when a volatility regression occurs, it moves past means until having to consolidate back downwards again. Rinse and repeat.
For those interested in volatility analysis and the application of weighted HV ranges to IV, I encourage you to BOOST and share this post, leave a comment, or follow me to join me on this journey.
Tuimaz Zavod AvtobetonovozovInteresting company for a long run investment in the tracking production area, concrete field. Low volume less than 100 000 000 ₽ but speaking of a chart of the company it looks like ATR could go back to the 10.9 level where it was during first days of the september. Cherry on a pie is price in the moment of pumping do not go out of the R5/S5 pivots this means traders love the company and do not over-buy or over-sold it. Price target could be 280 ₽ or 360 ₽ for the common stock. Current relation of capitalisation to volume is 22.76 this means even due to low volume and low capitalisation company has a lot of minoritaries and this is good.
VECHAIN TO $1.30 (£1.19)- Ve-chain is solving a massive problem - It was built to enhance business processes and supply chain management.
- Overall great project with amazing use case!
- Currently down by 88%, massive discount!
- Full 89 FIB extension could take VECHAIN to $1.30 (£1.19) That is around a 50X return!!
- NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE - PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH - ONLY INVEST WHAT YOUR WILLING TO LOSE - DOLLAR COST AVERAGE!
IWM leading the shit show?Been tracking IWM since h/s should breakdown, and was long on market from spy harmonic and the touch on bottom of chute, on personal analysis saw res. at 155, see now 156. Bearish harmonic at gap above C pivot coubld be possible target before bounce. NO positions just tracking for indication. area in ellipse possible right shoulder for large timeframe inv. h/s
Starcom Plc - WATCHING CLOSELY - #STAR Closing above 3.06p target 4.87p
Struggling to close above the 61.8% fibs. and RSI showing some weakness so we might need to retest the lows before having enough strength to go above 61.8% fibs.
RNS today was a gold bull ticket but quite possibly not enough liquidity in the market at moment so bears took power over it.
Looking promising though for the future of Starcom Plc.
today's RNS:
AGM Statement
Starcom (AIM: STAR), which specialises in the development of wireless solutions for the remote tracking, monitoring and protection of a variety of assets and people, announces that Michael Rosenberg, Chairman of Starcom will provide the following trading update at today's AGM:
The directors of Starcom are pleased to report that, based on unaudited management accounts, revenues for the first quarter have exceeded the level predicted in the Chairman's statement accompanying the results for the year ended 31 December 2017.
Revenues for the period were approximately $1.5m compared to the predicted level of $1m. In the same period in 2017, revenues were approximately $765,000. While it is not the intention to publish regular quarterly statements, the board felt it was important to update shareholders on the high level of business generated in the first quarter of 2018 and also the positive sales enquiries we are receiving from our customers; all of which indicates that revenues for the full year will comfortably exceed those of last year.
As previously stated, it is expected that EBITDA for the year will turn positive.
We can additionally report that our new strategic customers, including CropX and WIMC, have indicated placing further orders this year, in line with our expectations.
On the technology side, the Company is planning to launch new, cheaper and more versatile versions of the Watchlock, under the Starcom brand, which we hope will stimulate market interest while providing higher margin sales.
-ends-
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Positive whilst tracking within parallelsBitcoin Coinbase Chart Update
Bitcoin was hanging in the balance by 19:00 est/midnight gmt just before far Eastern markets opened and although it was
looking in a bad way with the threat of an H&S top formation beginning to loom large above it we can never forget that this
is Bitcoin. It's capable of amazing escape acts that make 'Prison Break' look lame and amatuerish sometimes. Bitcoin
does what it wants - and we have to follow it and never look to fight it. How many have tried to second-guess Bitcoin and
come unstuck ? All of us are familiar enough with the ways of this mesmerising monster to know that by now. Bitcoin leads.
We follow. Anyone who thinks they can switch roles is likely to get themselves a new one ripped faster than they can take
their pants down. Again. So once more Bitcoin refused to lie down overnight, breaking
higher from the new parallels it had formed and after 2 false breaks yesterday, the first that got stopped out for around a
50 point loss and a second break that scooped 200 to 300 points before being stopped out yet again (as well as short
from 8170 that had to have a trailing stop lowered behind it as it fell through the break level and should therefore have at
least broken even) - the weekend proved difficult and challenging and all in all those who took time out were the
winners yesterday - until midnight gmt at least
The new week saw Bitcoin finally find some buyers and those who waited patiently and didn't get bored or tired by the wait
finally got their reward - a good break-out emerged to the upside just at the witching-hour, midnight gmt, giving a good
chance to get long again around 8300-8350 on Coinbase and Bitstamp charts. Since then Bitcoin has had two 500 point
pulses higher - both hitting the resistance lines above it almost perfectly on Coinbase (line is at 8821, high so far
today = 8817) though we can have only captured a half of that total so far even if you were around for the break when it
finally arrived. The second 500 point or so pulse upwards started as Europe opened up for business and so those who
missed the earlier break got a good second chance to get long off the parallel at around the 8300 level and just above.
Day traders are closing out again at an obvious point but not creating much selling in their wake now. Usually we get 3 to 4
pulses upwards before the rally is spent so if still long can stay that way and consider raising the stop to under 8690 on
Coinbase as if it breaks below here it will likely revisit the lower parallalel again where it can be bought again with stops
below the parallel for small loss if wrong. As usual Bitcoin should stay positive whilst it travels within the parallels and
only turns back to negative if and when the lower parallel is lost.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Tracking parallel - use as stopBitcoin Update
Still grinding higher. Stops under 7430 have stil not been hit,
with a low since at 7434.
Now it's entered the area around the highs it's meeting that
profit taking we were looking for from 7500 through to the
highs at 7590, but absorbing all sales very well, so far...
It's tracking within a new impulse wave from the break-out
around 7pm est when markets in the far East opened - (that
was Chinese buying that followed the break back above the
upper parallel last night)
Whilst it tracks the parallel it's still very strong...when it
breaks below the lower parallel it will turn weaker and then if
it breaks below 7450 and breaks stops below 7430 it will start
to unravel for a while, back to the next listed support at 7346.
So day traders can stay long whilst within parallels and then
short on exit from lower parallel on retest and rejection.
Swing traders sit tight still awaiting a break above 7600 (with
stop 60 points lower)
Tracklist stock: BEKBAdding this stock to my tracklist: no position atm.
Bekaert SA operates as a technological company.
It engages in providing steel wire products and coating solutions.
The company offers metal processing, materials and coatings, and wire products and applications.
Bekaert was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Kortrijk, Belgium.
Website: www.bekaert.com
- Sales 2017: 3 950 M
- EBIT 2017: 306 M
- Net income 2017: 156 M
- Debt 2017: 875 M
- Yield 2017: 2,26%
- Sales 2018: 4 091 M
- EBIT 2018: 340 M
- Net income 2018: 186 M
- Debt 2018: 756 M
- Yield 2018: 2,46%
- P/E ratio 2017: 16,58
- P/E ratio 2018: 13,60
- EV / Sales2017: 0,93x
- EV / Sales2018: 0,87x
- Capitalization: 2 812 M
Tracklist: no advice atm