Gold Price Analysis April 2The D1 candle has a red candle and the selling pressure has started to take profit of Gold but it is still unclear.
The most recent H4 candle cluster shows 2 important price zones 3135 and 3108. Breaking this boundary will form a new trend.
Trading plan: Gold pushes to 3108 and does not break this zone in the European session, then BUY GOLD to 3124. At the end of the European session, if it breaks 3124, then keep the order to 3135 and 3164 in the US session if it breaks the resistance. If it breaks 3108, do not buy anymore but wait for Sell Break out 3108, target day 3084, pay attention to the price reaction at 3100 (resistance of last night's session). If 3100 is broken, then SELL DCA, not BUY at 3100. Scenario 2: Price does not return to 3108 first but to 3124 in the European session. If it is not broken, then SELL 3124 to 3108 and breaks the 3108 area in the US session, then the TP scenario is the same as scenario 1. If 3124 is broken, then 3135 waits for a breakout when it breaks, it will be better to SELL down today. (Note the SELL scalp point around 3142)
Trade
SPX500 Long at 55301. All timeframes are massively oversold due to the huge sell-off on Friday night
2. It is the start of the week, and it opened at the low, which tends to mean there would be some strength to go up
3. Unfortunately, I cannot check if there is a harmonic pattern due to technical difficulties.
4. This is at excellent support as it is at the year low
5. There is a lot of divergence due to this not being a long consolidation try to exit at M15 overbought
6. Stop loss below 5500
Will the Fear Gauge Flash Red?The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street's closely watched "fear gauge," is poised for a potential surge due to US President Donald Trump's assertive policy agenda. This article examines the confluence of factors, primarily Trump's planned tariffs and escalating geopolitical tensions, that are likely to inject significant uncertainty into the financial markets. Historically, the VIX has proven to be a reliable indicator of investor anxiety, spiking during economic and political instability periods. The current climate, marked by a potential trade war and heightened international risks, suggests a strong likelihood of increased market volatility and a corresponding rise in the VIX.
President Trump's impending "Liberation Day" tariffs, set to target all countries with reciprocal duties, have already sparked considerable concern among economists and financial institutions. Experts at Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan predict that these tariffs will lead to higher inflation, slower economic growth, and an elevated risk of recession in the US. The sheer scale and breadth of these tariffs, affecting major trading partners and critical industries, create an environment of unpredictability that unsettles investors and compels them to seek protection against potential market downturns, a dynamic that typically drives the VIX upward.
Adding to the market's unease are the growing geopolitical fault lines involving the US and both China and Iran. Trade disputes and strategic rivalry with China, coupled with President Trump's confrontational stance and threats of military action against Iran over its nuclear program, contribute significantly to global instability. These high-stakes international situations, fraught with the potential for escalation, naturally trigger investor anxiety and a flight to safety, further fueling expectations of increased market volatility as measured by the VIX.
In conclusion, the combination of President Trump's aggressive trade policies and the mounting geopolitical risks presents a compelling case for a significant rise in the VIX. Market analysts have already observed this trend, and historical patterns during similar periods of uncertainty reinforce the expectation of heightened volatility. As investors grapple with the potential economic fallout from tariffs and the dangers of international conflicts, the VIX will likely serve as a crucial barometer, reflecting the increasing fear and uncertainty permeating the financial landscape.
USDJPY - Critical area for the pair!The USD/JPY pair currently sits at a critical technical juncture, trading around the 149.84 level, where market participants are closely watching for directional cues. The price action has been respecting an ascending trendline since early March, suggesting underlying bullish momentum, while simultaneously testing the lower boundary of a significant resistance zone highlighted in blue on the chart. This confluence creates a decisive moment for traders – a break below the trendline could trigger another downward leg toward support near 149.00, while sustained strength above the current level might signal continuation of the uptrend toward the upper resistance band at 151.00. The chart's annotated projection suggests the possibility of one more pullback before resuming higher, making this a pivotal area for determining whether bears will gain temporary control or if bulls will maintain dominance without further consolidation.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD - Uptrend is strong, pullback for buysThe gold market is displaying remarkable strength, with the XAU/USD pair recently breaking above the $3,085 level to establish new historical highs. The upward trajectory has been supported by a robust ascending trendline dating back to late February, indicating persistent bullish momentum. While the immediate trend remains decidedly positive, technical indicators suggest a potential short-term correction may be forthcoming, which would likely present advantageous buying opportunities for traders. The highlighted support zone around $3,030-$3,040 could serve as an ideal entry point for those looking to establish long positions, with the expectation that after this healthy pullback, gold will resume its upward march toward the projected target of $3,100 and potentially beyond.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD update 20.03After a successful swing long
that was taken
We've reached external liquidity
Now, I expect a correction to the green box; from it, we will go even higher—reaching liquidity from above.
The current correction will take some time to form. It may happen faster, but I have indicated the targets on the chart.
Best regards EXCAVO
Gold Price Analysis March 28Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) continued its upward trend, hitting a record high of $3,086 during the European session on Friday. Global risk sentiment weakened due to concerns over US President Donald Trump's auto tariffs and uncertainty over upcoming tariffs, boosting safe-haven demand for gold.
In addition, expectations of an early Fed rate cut due to concerns over Trump's trade policies affecting US economic growth also supported gold's gains. Although the USD recovered slightly ahead of the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index report, this did not reduce the appeal of XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
Gold is quite difficult to trade around the ATH zone today. Note that the lower boundary zone of 3060 is converging with the EMA 34 zone and the SELL zone around the 3100 round-trip barrier. The basic trading strategy requires your patience as the market is not easy to trade at the moment.