Can the Bulls Hold this Up Move...?We are currently seeing some bullishness on this pair with regards to the 1-hour timeframe.
We have marked out our zone, as we would expect the market to retrace before moving further to create higher highs.
We have the market on the 1 hour timeframe currently making a Bullish PB, and we have done a bit of trade setup, looking and waiting to catch the longs trade when it comes with a retracement into our zone.
But there is one thing, and it seems to beg the question. Though our analysis are in order, there is a concern about looking to take the bullish run. The question is this: "Can the Bulls Hold this up move?"
As much as I would like to hold on to the already established 1-hour bullish analysis, I am afraid I might have to think otherwise. Here is our reasoning: The market has made a bullish push, an upmove, and an impulse on the 1 hour, but this entire bullish swing on the 1 hour timeframe forms what we can call a retracement on the 4 hour timeframe. With the market already touching the 4-hour zone marked out, we can see two reasons why the market will turn bearish: the first reason is the 1-hour retracement, and the second reason is the 4-hour extension building up. Because we know that the lower timeframes move in the direction of the higher timeframes, we are expecting the 1 hour to give way to the 4 hour.
And so we would hope to see prices melt as a retracement on the 1 hour towards the 1 hour zone. But in truth, that zone has only a 20% chance of holding. I its expected to be tested to put up some support , perhaps about 2 to 3 tries max before it gives way for the bears to take control of the market.
If that zone holds, we might see the bulls push the market higher for a bit. This up move will either be cut short by the current 4-hour zone to go bearish, or it might clear the 4-hour zone to make a higher zone before it reverses.
On the whole, we look at the market in the lower timeframes without forgetting the direction of the trend in the daily timeframe, which is still bearish.
Trade-setup
A little Bit of Bullishness in a Bearish MarketWe have seen this pair progress Bearish over the past few days. On the 4 hour and the 1 hour charts, which would be our primary focus for this analysis, the market has been Bearish.
But today we have seen a trend shift on the 1 hour. the 1 hour chart has turned Bullish today.
Taking a close look at the 4 hour (using the multi time frame analysis taught by Panzy Pips fx), we see that the 4 hour has completed 1 down PB and is not retracing Bullish. That is the bulishness we are witnessing on the 1 hour. We are expecting this bullishness to hold monentarily to help give us the needed retracement on the 4 hour bearish swing.
In another analysis, we will look at the 4 hour from the retracement perspective, marking out our PB and refining it to our reversal zone.
And in yet another analysis, we will look at the market from the current bullish perspective as played out on the 1 hour. The essence of the 1 hour bullish analysis is to see how far we would expect the retracement to go, comparing it with our refined reversal zone of the 4 hour.
With these pieces of information, we should be able to have a clear direction of market movement, with an added advantage of narrowing it down to actual reversal zones.
It's Never too Late to Catch the RollerCoasterFrom our analysis of this pair from yesterday, we had a prediction of this pair melting all the way down to hit the Daily Liquidation Target.
For those of you who were able to catch the trade from when i sent out the setup, thumbs up to you as you sure have made a good 1:25 RRR on the trade so far, if you trade with tight spreads like i do.
But for those who didn't, what can i say? Should i say sorry you missed the train. Better luck next time? That is definitely one way around it. But more there is sure is another way around it this time. More often than not, the market afords us an opportunity to enter on or join an already moving trend. This is done when the market gives pullbacks/retracements.
All you have to do is time your entry. It just like surfing the waves on the ocean; you miss one, you get ready for the next.
Bearish Again on the 1 Hour...?Yesterday, we made our analysis and found a possibility of the market dipping.
The market played out our prediction and hit the 1 and 4-hour liquidity target at 0.89016.
With that swing completed, we are setting up for the next trading opportunity.
We see prices begin to retrace Bullish after hitting our liquidity target.
We have prices back inside our Panzy Pips Block (PB) and we are setting up for a trade. Price is expected to get to our marked-out zone, and from there, it will reverse Bearish. We will look to jump on that Bearishness when the reversal begins.
Even though we are Bearish on the 1 Hour, as well as the 4 hour, it is important to notice and pay attention to the fact that the daily chart is bullish and we have seen prices very recently come into our marked-out zone. This is a sign of Bullishness on the Daily. Be that as it may, since we are trading the 1 hour time frame, we will hold on to the Bearishness sold to us by the 1 hour timeframe and only look to think otherwise where and when the 1 hour reverses adn begins to move Bullish, in the direction of and in syncrony with the Daily Chart.
Strong Bearish MomentumOn the 4 hour, we witnessed yesterday how prices retraced Bullish to come into our zone. This saw the 1 hour chart hitting its target price point and proceeding all the way higher to get to our 4 hour Panzy-Pips Block (PB) as marked out on the chart.
From this level, and with this look of bearishness, we expect prices to begin to melt and consequently witness a corresponding dip in prices. The market is expected to stay bearish as we target our 4 hour liquidity target at 1.20899.
Because it is the 4 hour chart, we would be expecting a good amount of swings on the lower timeframes of 1 hour and below.
AUDUSD Short trade waiting the FOMCOn AUD/USD, we have a bearish setup with a trendline that was breached this morning with a simple TOUCH, the third one. The market indeed used it as a resistance, precisely retracing to the 61 Fibonacci level. Now, I anticipate a short position with a target at 0.6360. Happy trading, everyone.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Breaks Wedge Pattern Yet AgainBitcoin is once again displaying its strength by breaking above the wedge pattern, signaling the potential for an upcoming rally. While it's important to acknowledge the possibility of further downside, the probability of the uptrend continuing is considerably higher. In this scenario, we're leaning towards a long opportunity, setting our profit target at the 161.8% resistance level.
If and when this target is reached, there's a potential for BTCUSDT to experience a 14% increase from its current price. The risk-to-reward ratio is notably favorable, making this an enticing trade setup. Let's closely observe how this situation unfolds and whether the market aligns with our analysis.
BTCUSDT Breakout Sparks Excitement for Buying OpportunityBitcoin has achieved a significant milestone by breaking and closing above the downtrend trendline, indicating a highly positive price action. Following a minor pullback, we anticipate the price to continue its ascent toward the uptrend trendline.
However, there's an intriguing aspect to consider: BTC has two potential targets, either reaching the 161.8% Fibonacci level at $31.6k or the 1061.8% Fibonacci level at $43k. Currently, we advise adopting a cautious approach, but regardless of the outcome, this presents a captivating buying opportunity for both Bitcoin and altcoins. The timeframe for this opportunity could be either short-term or mid-term. Exciting times lie ahead.
EURCHF Selling Opportunity for Next Wave DownThe EURCHF downtrend remains firmly intact, with the support zone successfully transitioning into a robust resistance area. The price action consistently adheres to the downtrend trendline, and today we observe EURCHF retesting this trendline. This presents a compelling opportunity for sellers to enter the market and anticipate the next downward wave.
In the event that the resistance area proves formidable, EURCHF is likely to target the 161.8% Fibonacci support level. However, it is important to note that achieving this target may require several weeks, if not months, to materialize. Patience and careful monitoring of the price action will be key in navigating the ongoing trend in EURCHF.
EURUSDOn EUR/USD, we have a bearish setup in the last week. The market is generating a supply zone with two price retracements before further declining and breaking previous lows, creating BOS in the process. The objective of this trade is to aim for 1.0880.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
Happy trading and have a great day.
XEMUSDT - NEM - LONG & SHORT TradeXEMUSDT - NEM
SHORT - after crazy pump into the Fib 0.382 Retracement and
fall back under the key level while taking liquidity from the previous double top.
LONG - after a massive fall right into the intersection
between the middle of the downsloping channel and the new rising channel exactly at Fib 0.886 Retracement.
TP1 & TP2 secured letting rest ride.
$REN - SHORT SWING OPPORTUNITY$REN - SHORT SWING OPPORTUNITY
Entry Conditions:
- Impulse Signal
- Breakdown from consolidation
- Head & Shoulders forming
- Break of local trend support
- Beraish Divergence
BITCOIN BREAKDOWNHave a nice day dear traders, we are here with Bitcoin
Bitcoin resumed its sharp move on Sunday evening early in the Asian session as I have been writing for the past two weeks. But currently I see less change, usually these moves determine the whole weekly trend but in this situation I would say the market went for liquidity at $16975 - $16920 and this is where the whales are taking long positions into swing trades. The last 40 years in the stock market, December has been 90% in the green which is currently indicated by the Fed's dovish policy
We are currently at the vPOC ( point of control ) of the Asian session for BTC which means that if we hold this level on the 30m chart and do not close at least 3 candles below $16930 then I see the current swing trend breaking out to the levels indicated on the chart around $17,500
BTC/USDT QUICK SHORT 30MINHELLO TRADERS, WE ARE HERE AGAIN FOR QUICK SHORT
Our trade is finally developing exactly as expected. On Friday, in the Asian session, when lately there is usually the highest volume of trades on Bitcoin, we created a vPOC (volume point of control) at the level of $17194, where there was the highest number of total traded orders on Friday, which predicts that the market will return to this level due to liquidity "fuel" for further movement
Since for the Volume Profile I follow the chart structure displayed in 30-minute candle intervals, it was necessary to wait for the confirmation of the price action so that it closes the current candles deeper below this level, which of course means for our prepared trade that we can open a transaction. I currently set the stop-loss much higher than usual due to the weekend's unexpected volatility and the last unsuccessful trades, but I balanced it with a larger position, so my trading plan still works
In the next week, where I expect extremely high volatility due to events connected with prepared statements, due to assumptions of a dovish policy from the FED, the market which has been holding an up-trend for 2 weeks will complete the valuation of this information, which was announced in the second half of November.
So why SHORT?? It is more than likely that December will be green on the markets and the only possible support for bullish swing positions is around the level of $16975, which if bitcoin does not hold on the 4H chart we will go much lower, of course we want to see a rebound and bullish positions up to at least $18500
BNB - Binance Coin - Dump is Inevitable$BNB / BNBUSDT
BNB Dump is Inevitable.
BNB looks bearish imo.
Any bounces are for shorting ( invalidation is clean break above and hold $ 285 levels )
I'm expecting if it breaks below $220s then most likely 180s incoming ( conservative though ) $130-$140 swing targets if the setup playouts.
Defi Liquidations 185M around $203 level ( liquidation cascade )
Cheers
$ETH - What now?$ETH - What now?
Honestly, the answer is nothing. I haven't traded or even bothered with crypto overall for months. I actually have preferred the classic gold and silver. There is nothing exciting going on and if I get in crypto it's only for long side. There is no long side for me at the moment we within the ranges and break to either direction but with crypto overall it lacks regulation, we saw that throughout various collapse of firms and the infrastructure is very new. IMO - I am out until it suits my plan to get back in for now, I prefer the side-lines.
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